Businessmirror august 30, 2015

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n Sunday, August 30, 2015 Vol. 10 No. 325

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Weaker peso may be good for PHL economy–experts

week ahead

ECONOMIC DATA PREVIEW

FOREIGN EXCHANGE

n PREVIOUS WEEK: The local currency started off the trading with a hard-hitting 31.5-centavo depreciation coming from the shortened trading week. On Monday the peso traded at 46.815 to a dollar, registering the weakest that the peso has been in more than five years. The peso then continued its rally to close at 46.61 to a dollar on Tuesday and back to 46.72 to a dollar on Wednesday. The peso then hit P46.48 to a dollar on Thursday, and closed the trading week at 46.735 to a dollar on Friday. The peso averaged at 46.712 to a dollar during the week, with a total traded volume of $3.608 billion. n WEEK AHEAD: The peso is seen to take cues from external data—particularly from the United States and possibly more developments from China—as no significant economic data is set for release this week. The central bank governor earlier admitted that the value of the peso will remain “volatile” in the near term, as markets continue to weigh in on their sentiment on recent global developments. Bank of the Philippine Islands told its clients in a research note that it expects continuous caution in the local markets for the next week. Bianca Cuaresma

D

By Bianca Cuaresma

espite hard hits to bring the local currency to significantly depreciate in the previous week, a weaker peso may actually be what some sectors in the country need. Several economists in separate commentaries and interviews said that the losses in the peso’s value against the dollar in the previous week may be beneficial for some sectors in the economy, particularly in giving consumer spending and the central bank’s foreign-currency reserves a boost during the period. ING Bank Manila chief economist Joey Cuyegkeng said that the peso’s meantime bias toward the

‘Tough talk on China overlooks realities’

weakening side would “provide a lift to spending overseas Filipino workers’ [OFWs] families” in the near term. This would happen, as the dollars sent by Filipino migrant workers would have a larger peso value during the period, giving more fuel to consumer spending in the country during the period. Data from the central bank showed that OFW remittances See “Peso,” A2

Belmonte affirms support on passage of measure to cut individual tax rates By Jovee Marie N. dela Cruz

T

he leader of the House of Representatives has recently expressed support for the passage of the measure lowering individual tax rates. Speaker Feliciano Belmonte Jr., in a recent interview with reporters, said that now is the right time to readjust the tax on income to increase the take-home pay of ordinary workers. “The value of money is going down, but the rates not only of income tax haven’t been resolved in a long time. So on that principle, yes, readjust them with the values that they had,” Belmonte said. Currently, there are 14 bills pending at the lower chamber seeking to lower the individual and corporate tax rates. Belmonte said that the Congress leaders may discuss the tax-

PESO exchange rates n US 46.7050

reform measure during their regular monthly meeting. “Actually, we are due to have a meeting with the senators. So we can see what measures are the doables, so that we can achieve the doables. But there’s no schedule yet [of that meeting],” the Speaker said. Under the lower chamber’s version of the bill, individuals earning below P180,000 annually will be exempted from paying income tax. In the current setup, those earning P10,000 or less per month pay a 5-percent income tax. The bill also reduces the income-tax rate for those earning above P180,000 to 5 percent. The highest rate, at 30 percent, will be paid by those earning P1.1 million annually, he said. Currently, those with yearly earnings of P500,000 and above pay a 32-percent income tax. The Philippines has the secondhighest individual income-tax rate in the region, at 32 percent, next to Thailand and Vietnam’s 35 percent, See “Tax,” A2

C

HARLESTON, South Carolina—If there was ever a week for the 2016 Republican presidential candidates to talk tough on China, this was it. Spurred by the stock market’s wild ride, they lashed out at the world’s most populous nation. Scott Walker demanded that President Barack Obama cancel an upcoming state visit with Chinese President Xi Jinping. Mike Huckabee said the next president should “build America’s economy, not China’s or Mexico’s.” Donald Trump said the US economy needs to “do a big uncoupling pretty soon, before it’s too late.” It’s rhetoric that doesn’t always square with the realities of the relationship between the

world’s two largest economies, said experts on America’s ties with China, even if it does make for nifty campaign sound bites. “When you’re in the early phases of the primary season, and you don’t have a lot in the way of foreign-policy bona fides, a sure-fire applause line is to go to the extreme—and in the case of China, that’s always a very easy thing to do,” said Jon Huntsman, a former Republican governor of Utah and US ambassador to China under Obama. No candidate went further than Trump, whose pledge to bring back to the US the roughly 2 million jobs lost to China since 1999 is a centerpiece of his campaign. “Not only now have they taken our jobs...but now they are

pulling us down with them,” he said on Monday amid a worldwide swoon in stock prices. But “uncoupling” the US from China as Trump proposes would mean undoing the largest trade relationship in the world: $592 billion in goods and services were exchanged last year. While most of that consists of US imports of Chinese products, China is still the United States’ third-largest export market. General Motors has sold more cars in China than in the US every year since 2010. Apple’s second-largest market for its iPhones, iPads and computers is China. Said Apple CEO Tim Cook this week, “I get updates on our performance in China every day.” See “China,” A2

n japan 0.3860 n UK 71.9444 n HK 6.0263 n CHINA 7.2916 n singapore 33.3893 n australia 33.4635 n EU 52.5571 n SAUDI arabia 12.4523 Source: BSP (29 August 2015)


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