Japan’s Emperor Akihito (left) delivers his remarks with Empress Michiko during a memorial service at Nippon Budokan martial-arts hall in Tokyo on Saturday, marking the 70th anniversary of the end of World War II. Story below. AP/Shizuo Kambayashi
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A broader look at today’s business
n Sunday, August 16, 2015 Vol. 10 No. 311
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BSP brushes off deflation fears D
week ahead
ECONOMIC DATA PREVIEW Peso
n Previous week: The local currency hit a tough spot last week, as sentiment toward the peso was largely affected by the developments in the Chinese yuan. The peso opened trade on Monday at 45.755 to a dollar, which further decelerated to 45.93 to a dollar on Tuesday. The peso hit a big decline on Wednesday and hit its lowest value for the week at 46.26. This is the lowest that the peso has been in more than five years. The peso slightly corrected to 46.15 to a dollar, and ended the week at 46.215 to a dollar. The average for the week is at 46.062 to a dollar, about a peso weaker than the 45.709 average in the previous month. The total traded volume also almost doubled during the week at $4.179 billion, from the $2.824 billion in the previous week. n Week ahead: Market is still on the lookout for possible leads from the US, and movement on the sideways is expected, as markets still reel from the effect of China’s one-off move to devaluate its yuan. Traders are also on the lookout for remittance data set for release in the coming week.
Remittance data (June)
August 17, Monday n May remittances: Overseas Filipino workers’ remittances hit about $2.1 billion in may this year, posting a
See “Outlook,” A8
By Bianca Cuaresma
ESPITE the continued slowdown in the projected inflation rate of the country—as reflected in the central bank’s latest forecast for the average inflation for the year—the Bangko Sentral brushed off deflation fears, and said that inflation will still remain on the positive side up until the end of 2015. In a response to reporters’ queries, BSP Department of Economic Research Director Zeno Ronald R. Abenoja said that, while latest baseline-inflation forecast has shifted downward for the year, deflation is still out of the picture for the Philippines. Deflation is the general decrease of the prices of goods in the economy. This occurs when the country’s inflation rate falls below
Japan’s emperor akihito expresses remorse over war, in contrast to Abe
Emperor Akihito, accompanied by Empress Michiko, leaves after delivering his remarks during a memorial service at Nippon Budokan martial-arts hall in Tokyo on Saturday. AP/Shizuo Kambayashi
zero percent. The latest monthly inflation print for the country has already hit 0.8 percent in July this year, with its downtrend tracing back since February this year. The central bank also announced that inflation is now likely to fall below target this year— indicating a further slowdown in inflation number in the next months before ticking up back to See “BSP,” A2
IMF calls China’s yuan moves welcome step to more flexible rate
T
he International Monetary Fund (IMF) said China’s move to link the yuan’s value to market forces is an encouraging step toward what may become a freely floated currency within the next few years. The changes by China will help it gradually transition “from a tightly managed system linked to the US dollar to one that is more open and more flexible and more responsive to market conditions,” Markus Rodlauer, the IMF’s mission chief to China, said on a conference call on Friday. The currency ought to move to “free float” within two to three years, he said. See “IMF,” A2
PESO exchange rates n US 46.1290
Yuan to dollar exchange rate Between 1997 and 2005, China’s Renminbi Yuan currency had a fixed exchange rate set by the government, rather than a floating exchange rate determined by market forces. The chart below shows the value of the yuan compared with U.S. dollars. The higher the line goes on the chart, the weaker the yuan is in comparison with the dollar.
J
1997: The yuan is fixed at a rate of 8.28 per U.S. dollar.
10
8
6
2005: China “unpegs” the value of its currency from the dollar.
4
2
1981
’85
’90
’95
’00
Source: Federal Reserve, Congressional Budget Office
’05
’10
’15
Graphic: Tribune News Service
apan’s Emperor Akihito expressed “deep remorse” over his country’s actions in World War II, in a departure from his usual remarks, at a ceremony on Saturday to mark 70 years since the end of the conflict. “Reflecting on our past and bearing in mind the feelings of deep remorse over the last war, I earnestly hope that the ravages of war will never be repeated,” he said, after a minute’s silence to remember the war dead. It was the first time, since acceding to the Chrysanthemum Throne in 1989, that the emperor has expressed regret in such terms at the annual event, according to public broadcaster NHK.
His words contrasted with those of Prime Minister Shinzo Abe, who said in a statement on Friday that Japan shouldn’t be expected to continually apologize for a conflict that ended 70 years ago. “Japan has repeatedly expressed the feelings of deep remorse and heartfelt apology for its actions during the war,” Abe said, adding that these positions articulated by previous governments will “remain unshakable.” Akihito is widely seen as a pacifist. He has never visited Tokyo’s Yasukuni shrine because it memorializes war criminals, while Abe made a donation to the shrine on Saturday, and went See “Japan,” A2
n japan 0.3707 n UK 72.0304 n HK 5.9488 n CHINA 7.2088 n singapore 33.0390 n australia 33.9733 n EU 51.4800 n SAUDI arabia 12.2978 Source: BSP (14 August 2015)