BusinessMirror August 11, 2021

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May FDI down 25.4% on Covid ‘concern’ By Bianca Cuaresma @BcuaresmaBM

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HE Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) reported on Tuesday that longterm investments made by foreign investors to the Philippines posted a double-digit decline in May this year. Foreign direct investments (FDI) in May hit $429 million, declining by 25.4 percent from the $575 million in the same month last year. Despite the decline in May, the cumulative FDI level remained higher by 37.8 percent at $3.5 billion net inflows in

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the first five months of the year from $2.5 billion net inflows in the same period last year. The BSP said this is due largely to overall improvements across all the subsectors of FDI during the year. FDI are investments that are made by foreign players to the Philippines in the hopes of long-term return. Since these are in the country for a longerterm compared to their shortterm counterpart, the foreign portfolio investments (FPI), FDI usually create jobs for Filipinos and have a multiplier effect on the economy. “The FDI decline in May

2021 reflected renewed investor concerns on the rising cases of the new variants of Covid-19 globally,” the BSP said in a statement. By component of FDI, nonresidents’ net investments in debt instruments during the month contracted by 23.4 percent to $269 million from $351 million in May 2020. Foreign net investments in equity capital also declined by 53.4 percent to $60 million in May this year from $130 million in the comparable month last year. The BSP said this was on account of the increase in equity capital withdrawals by 70.2 percent to

$21 million from $13 million in the same month last year. This was coupled with the decrease in equity capital placements by 42.6 percent to $82 million from $142 million in May 2020. Bulk of the equity capital placements during the month came from Japan, the United States, and Malaysia. These were channeled mostly to the manufacturing; real estate; and financial and insurance industries. Meanwhile, reinvestment of earnings rose by 6 percent to $99 million from $94 million in May 2020.

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Wednesday, August 11, 2021 Vol. 16 No. 301

PHL OUT OF RECESSION, BUT FRAGILE–EXPERTS n

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WHAT WOULD IT TAKE TO SUSTAIN GROWTH? LAWMAKERS WEIGH IN By Jovee Marie N. dela Cruz @joveemarie

& Butch Fernandez

A Members of the Inter-Agency Council for Traffic check passengers’ APOR (authorized persons outside of residence) credentials before allowing them to board buses at the Edsa Carousel Busway in Bagong Barrio Station in Caloocan City. Prompted by a rise in new Covid-19 cases in the National Capital Region, President Duterte decided to place the metropolis under lockdown for two weeks until August 20. NONOY LACZA By Cai U. Ordinario

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@caiordinario

HE Philippine economy may have technically exited recession but the uncertainty caused by the Delta variant is threatening its recent economic gains, according to local economists. On Tuesday, the Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA) disclosed that GDP grew 11.8 percent in the second quarter and 3.7 percent in the first semester of the year.

However, local economists interviewed by the BusinessMirror were not quick to jump on the “recession’s over” train as uncertainties remain. “We were able to break the streak of consecutive quarters of contraction. Recession is two consecutive quarters of negative growth rates,” Ateneo Center for Research and Development (ACERD) Associate Director Ser Percival K. Peña-Reyes told the BusinessMirror. “It’s a different matter when you talk about levels of growth rates. We have a long way to go before we can go back to prepandemic levels,” he said. De La Salle University economist Maria Ella Oplas said the second

quarter GDP growth only meant that the economy improved from last year’s condition. This is more often known as base effect. Oplas said recessions often last for around three years. A technical recession is marked by at least two quarters of GDP contraction but, she said, “it can fluctuate.” This means, Oplas said, it is possible for the economy to contract for two quarters then increase in the next quarter only to go back to a contraction in the following period. “Well, you can say it’s part of the business cycle theory where the economy experiences bouts of recession and economic growth.

@butchfBM

LTHOUGH the country technically exited from the pandemic-induced recession with the 11.8-percent GDP growth posted in the second quarter, lawmakers said it would take a lot of effort for all sectors to sustain that growth, given the impact of the latest, still ongoing strict lockdowns in the major economic hubs. Still, leaders of the House of Representatives on Tuesday said the Philippines is still in the game for 7-percent GDP growth this year. However, House Committee on Ways and Means Chairman Joey Sarte Salceda said government should continue implement faster rollout of Covid-19 vaccine doses and mitigating measures against the Delta variant to sustain recovery on the second half of 2021. “We’re not yet out of the hole, so we have no space or reason for complacency,” said the lawmaker. “ We’re still in the game for 7-percent GDP growth in 2021 but it’s no indication

that people are having it easier economically,” added Salceda in response to GDP figures released on Tuesday. National Statistician Dennis Mapa announced an 11.8-percent grow th from Apr il to June, reversing the 3.9-percent plunge logged in the first three months of 2021. The latest figure meets the expected doubledigit growth by the economic team and analysts. It is also the highest since the fourth quarter of 1988 when the economy grew 12 percent. In the first semester of the year, the PSA reported that the country’s GDP averaged 3.7 percent, using constant 2018 prices. In a joint statement read by Socioeconomic Planning Secretary Karl Kendrick T. Chua, the President’s economic team attributed the recovery on the government’s policy to allow greater mobility to production sectors such as construction during the enhanced community quarantine (ECQ) period last March and April 2021. Metro Manila and huge parts of Calabarzon, however, have been placed anew under ECQ from August 6-20. See “Growth,” A2

See “Recession,” A2

PESO exchange rates n US 50.3660 n japan 0.4566 n UK 69.7771 n HK 6.4710 n CHINA 7.7651 n singapore 37.1212 n australia 36.9233 n EU 59.1347 n SAUDI arabia 13.4302 Source: BSP (10 August 2021)


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