Businessmirror august 09, 2015

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This Tuesday on The Millennials

Teens, technology and friendships For today’s teens, friendships can start digitally – 57% of teens have met a new friend online. Social media and online gameplay are the most common digital venues for meeting friends The number of friends teens % who have met in have met online person Refused

3%

1%

29%

43%

More than 5 friends

77%

No friends

The share of Americans for whom Twitter and Facebook serve as a source of news is continuing to rise.

Refused Have not met any online friend in person

22% 2-5 friends

6% 1 friend

20%

Source: Pew Research Center Graphic: Staff, Tribune News Service

three-time rotary club of manila journalism awardee 2006, 2010, 2012

U.N. Media Award 2008

Do you use Twitter or Facebook for news?

Have met an online friend in person

63%

who is the Filipino Millennial?

52%

63%

The % who have kept up with a news event as it was happening

Twitter

47%

59% Facebook 31% 2013

2015

Twitter

2013

2015

Facebook

Source: Pew Research Center Graphic:Staff, tribune News Service

BusinessMirror

www.businessmirror.com.ph

A broader look at today’s business

n Sunday, August 9, 2015 Vol. 10 No. 304

P25.00 nationwide | 7 sections 32 pages | 7 days a week

Red tape snags MRT 3 rehab T

week ahead

By Lorenz S. Marasigan

HE little breather that passengers of the Metro Rail Transit (MRT) Line 3 need depends on whether the Government Procurement Policy Board (GPPB) approves the emergency auction for the multibillion-peso maintenance of the ailing train system.

Interest rates in US expected to rise

W

ASHINGTON—After another month of solid job increases in July and a heartening uptick in wages, something else is more likely to rise: interest rates. Job creation index at record high

Confidence in economy low

The percentage of U.S. workers who say their employers are hiring new people minus the percentage who say their employers are letting people go.

The weekly index made significant gains in the latter half of 2014, coincident with the decline in gas prices, and peaked in January at +5. Since then, scores have generally declined, with the latest figures representing the index's lowest since late October.

30

ECONOMIC DATA PREVIEW n Previous week: The local currency treaded near the 46 territory in the previous week, starting the trading week at 45.66 to a dollar. This was followed by a slight correction to hit 45.61 to a dollar on Tuesday. On Wednesday the peso hit 47.45 to a dollar, which further decelerated in value at 45.79 to a dollar on Thursday. This was the lowest value of the peso for the week. The peso then slightly recovered to 45.74 to a dollar at the close of the week’s trade on Friday. The total traded volume during the week was at $2.824 billion and posted an average of 45.709 to a dollar. n Week ahead: Bank of the Philippine Islands told its clients that the peso is likely to stay within the range, as markets search for market moving developments.

August 11 Tuesday

June Production Index Data

n May production index: The country’s manufacturing See “Outlook,” A2

This was revealed by Transportation Secretary Joseph Emilio A. Abaya, who said the Department of Transportation and Communications (DOTC) aims to deploy up to 20 trains along the railway line during peak hours. Currently, Abaya said, the train line operates with only 15 trains during rush hours. He said the GPPB Review Committee has approved the DOTC proposal to conduct an emergency-procurement process for the train line’s

three-year maintenance contract. However, the contract must still be reviewed by Cabinet officials who comprise the GPPB. “We have to go through the general review committee, which has unanimously recommended the approval of the emergency procurement, and the final GPPB, which is composed of undersecretaries and secretaries of different departments,” he said. Continued on A2

Monetary Board expected to maintain policy settings By Bianca Cuaresma

A

MID increasing policy space to ease current monetarypolicy settings owing to falling inflation, the Bangko Sentral is still seen to maintain all policy settings on hold in its scheduled meeting on Thursday. Local and international economists interviewed by the BusinessMirror showed that the experts still bet on an unchanged policy setting on August 13, when

PESO exchange rates n US 45.7820

the central bank’s Monetary Board (MB) will meet for the fifth time this year to discuss the moves—or the lack thereof—on the country’s monetary setting in the light of recent developments. Economists acknowledged that the BSP has room to cut rates, as inflation went down in recent months—most recently at 0.8 percent in July this year. They, however, said that the central bank is not likely to choose this path next week. “We argue that the BSP will stay on hold due to three reasons: uncertainty regarding the Fed rate See “Monetary Board,” A2

26%

32%

U.S. economic confidence index

20

2 0 -4 -8 -12

10 0 -10

’08

’09

’10

’11

’12

’13

’14

’15

Source: Gallup Graphic: Staff, Tribune News Service

-24

Aug. ’14 Oct. ’14 Dec. ’14 Feb. ’15

New data from the Labor Department on Friday pave the way for the Federal Reserve (the Fed) to raise its benchmark interest rate for the first time since 2006, economists said. “The job creation to date is sufficient to give them the green light,” said Chris Rupkey, chief financial economist at Union Bank in New York, who put odds at about 70 percent that the Fed raises the rate at its September meeting. The economy added 215,000 net new jobs last month, led by hiring from retailers and health-care providers. The unemployment rate held steady at a seven-year low of 5.3 percent. In a hopeful sign for consumers’ wallets, average hourly earnings increased by 5 cents to $24.99 after declining by a penny in June. “The evidence overall is clear that the labor market has improved dramatically in recent years,” said Andrew Chamberlain, chief economist at Glassdoor, an online job search and recruiting web site. Job creation was down from June’s upwardly revised figure of 231,000. The July figure was in line with analysts’ expectations and was the 15th time in the 17 months that the labor market expanded by more than 200,000 net new jobs. Such “a boring report can be a good jobs report,” because it shows the economy is back on track after the Great Recession, Chamberlain said.

-11

-16 -20

Apr. ’15 Jun. ’15

Source: Gallup Graphic: Staff, Tribune News service

However, advocates for workers said there still are too many unemployed Americans, and wage growth is too slow to warrant an interest-rate increase any time soon. Still, investors appeared worried that a rate hike, which would start to increase business borrowing costs, is coming after the Fed’s September meeting. The Dow Jones industrial average dropped 46.37 points, or 0.3 percent, to close at 17,373.38. The so-called federal funds rate has been near zero since late 2008, as central bank officials tried to stimulate economic growth during and after the Great Recession by making it cheaper to spend and borrow than save. The rate applies to short-term lending between banks but has become a benchmark for consumer and business loans. After their meeting last month, Fed policymakers said a rate hike would be appropriate when there was “some further improvement in the labor market.” Economists said Friday’s jobs report showed conditions were getting better. “A similar report for August...would likely be enough to ‘seal the deal’ See “Interest,” A2

n japan 0.3670 n UK 71.0445 n HK 5.9067 n CHINA 7.3726 n singapore 33.0914 n australia 33.6360 n EU 50.0351 n SAUDI arabia 12.2082 Source: BSP (7 August 2015)


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Businessmirror august 09, 2015 by BusinessMirror - Issuu