BusinessMirror April 29, 2021

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PHL banks strong vs pandemic impact B B C @BcuaresmaBM

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HE Philippine banking system is on a par with the majority of financial institutions in the region and the world in navigating the effects of the global health crisis, an international credit watcher said. In its recent research publication on banks worldwide, Moody’s Investors Service said prospects of an economic upturn and adequate credit reserves support stable banking outlooks worldwide. In particular, two thirds of

THE BROADER LOOK »A6-A7

STILL ON QUEUE: RETURNING OVERSEAS WORKERS, AND THEIR GROWING ECONOMIC NEEDS AT HOME

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banking systems around the world are now assigned a “stable” outlook. This is up from the one fifth at the height of the pandemic in 2020. The Philippines is among those whose outlook was reverted from negative to stable this year. Just earlier this month, Moody’s Investors Service put the Philippine banking system outlook back to stable. Moody’s said the main basis of their action reflects their expectations that a “mild economic recovery” will support the operating environment for Philippine banks. The rat-

ings agency, however, warned that asset risks remain high because of a “prolonged curtailment” of business activity, high unemployment rate and weak consumer sentiment. Banking system outlooks given by credit rating agencies are forward-looking assessments of fundamental credit conditions that will affect the creditworthiness of banks in a country over the next 12 to 18 months. A stable outlook means the current rating is likely to hold barring any extreme and unforeseen development. The most recent research

publication of Moody’s shows that most of the banking systems in the region were also given a stable outlook including Indonesia, Malaysia, Singapore and Thailand. This stable outlook trend extends to the larger Asia Pacific, with China, Hong Kong, Korea, Mongolia, Pakistan, Taiwan, Australia and New Zealand all in the “stable” outlook territory. Outliers are the banking systems of India, Japan and Bangladesh, which remain with “negative” outlooks. S “PHL ,” A

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Thursday, April 29, 2021 Vol. 16 No. 197

P.  |     | 7 DAYS A WEEK

PANDEMIC’S LONG-TERM JOBS DAMAGE FLAGGED ■

ADD to the 300-plus variations of community pantries this one in Mandaluyong City. Residents of Barangay Addition Hills exchange their recycled trash for vegetables and food packs as part of the barangay community pantry. In exchange for the food items, the barangay requires residents to bring recyclable trash consisting of snack and candy wrappers, food containers, and other similar items. BERNARD TESTA

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B C U. O

@caiordinario

HE magnitude of the shock brought by the pandemic on the Philippine economy may lead to “hysteresis” characterized by long-term adverse effects on formal employment in the country, according to the Asian Development Bank (ADB).

Octa: Not yet time for NCR Plus bubble to exit MECQ B R L. A Contributor

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S the effectivity of the modified enhanced community quarantine (MECQ) in the National Capital Region (NCR) Plus bubble is about to expire by end-April, the OCTA Research Group believes that it’s not the right time to ease the lockdown in Metro Manila and nearby provinces as the Covid-19 pandemic situation remains unstable. According to OCTA Research fellow Fr. Nicanor Austriaco, the decreasing number of active new cases must be sustained and the healthcare capacity needs to be improved in order to downgrade the current quarantine status in Metro Manila and nearby provinces. “This will take careful planning with the length of the MECQ,” he

told reporters at a recent online multisectoral discussion conducted by the Cardinal Santos Medical Center (CSMC). “[So] we urge the national government, as one possible benchmark for changing quarantine levels, is not to exit the MECQ until at least the R [reproduction number] is less than 0.9 in a sustained manner.” Based on data from OCTA Research, the R, which pertains to the number of people that a single Covid-19 patient can infect, has decreased to less than 1 in NCR. From 1.30 in the first week of this month (April 2 to 8), it went down to 1.17 the following week (April 9 to 15), and then continued to decline to 0.98 in the third week (April 16 to 22). “This is a very good news, in fact, for the National Capital Region. It

PESO EXCHANGE RATES ■ US 48.4080

S “O,” A

In its Asian Development Outlook (ADO) 2021, ADB downgraded its forecast for Philippine GDP to a “floor” of 4.5 percent this year, significantly lower than the 6.5 percent it projected for 2021 last year. In 2022, the economy is forecasted to grow 5.5 percent. Prior to the pandemic, the last time the economy posted a growth of below 6 percent was in 2011 when GDP growth averaged 3.9 percent. The ADB projections are also below government’s growth

expectations. “What we’re concerned about is this pandemic [could] have a much longer-lasting negative impact, particularly on formal employment,” ADB Philippines Country Director Kelly Bird said in a presentation on Wednesday. “Formal employment, [consists of] more regular employment [that offers]far higher salaries. Workers in formal employment have access C  A

PPE MAKERS TO GOVT: ‘BUY LOCAL’ WHEN GETTING COVID ITEMS B J E Y. A @jearcalas

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HE Confederation of Philippine Manufacturers of Personal Protective Equipment (CPMP) urged senators to immediately pass legislative measures that would require government agencies to prioritize the purchase of locally produced PPE to ensure the survival and growth of the industry. CPMP Executive Director Rosette Carrillo said the biggest challenge that their industry faces is lack of demand or market, since they are unable to get bulk of the government contracts for PPE. “We would like to call the attention of the Senate to hear the plea of the exporters, who have repurposed and reinvested [to manufacturing of PPE], to have the policies, especially those under the [proposed] Pandemic Act of buying Filipino-made PPE,” Carrillo said at the joint Senate Committees on Economic Affairs and on Trade, Commerce and Entrepreneurship on Wednesday. “And second, support the

stockpiling program which CPMP is also proposing so the Philippines is ready when the whole shuts down during any health crisis. These are the two elements we need support from the Congress,” she added. Carrillo disclosed that they are disadvantaged with how the government procures its PPE requirement during this pandemic, a situation worsened by the flooding of imported “very low-cost and substandard” China-manufactured PPE in the domestic market. “Unfortunately, the way the government purchases PPEs is subject to certain standard rules for purchasing. So, we were subjected to the lowest cost and at the same time the Philippine market is flooded with very low cost PPE from China, and even some of them are substandard,” she said. See related story in A12, “Manufacturers want workers on Covid vaccine priority list.”

CPMP was formed last year after five high-quality manufacturers and exporters of garments repurposed their facC  A

■ JAPAN 0.4453 ■ UK 67.3258 ■ HK 6.2369 ■ CHINA 7.4669 ■ SINGAPORE 36.5068 ■ AUSTRALIA 37.6033 ■ EU 58.5350 ■ SAUDI ARABIA 12.9102

Source: BSP (April 28, 2021)


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