LOCKDOWNS TO DENT DBCC GROWTH TARGET
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n Tuesday, April 27, 2021 Vol. 16 No. 195
P25.00 nationwide | 2 sections 18 pages |
FINISHING touches by the Department of Public Works and Highways (DPWH) are ongoing at the Bonifacio Global City to Ortigas Center Road Link Project, which is set to be partially open to motorists by June 2021. Public Works Secretary Mark A. Villar said they aim to finish remaining civil work activities at the four-lane, two-way Sta. Monica-Lawton Bridge, a major component of the P1.793-billion BGC-Ortigas Road Link Project, one of several projects planned to ease congestion at Edsa by providing more alternate routes for motorists. Villar joined Undersecretary Emil K. Sadain and project managers in an inspection of the project on April 23, 2021. DPWH PHOTO
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By Cai U. Ordinario
@caiordinario
HE government’s growth targets this year may not be achieved due to the reimposition of the Enhanced Community Quarantine (ECQ) and Modified ECQ (MECQ) to control the spike in Covid-19, according to the National Economic and Development Authority (Neda).
In a presentation at the Sulong Pilipinas event on Monday, Socioeconomic Planning Secretary Karl Kendrick T. Chua said GDP growth this year may be lower than the 6.5to 7.5-percent target range set by
the Development Budget Coordination Committee (DBCC). Chua said, however, that the economy remains on track to return to its prepandemic growth by the middle of 2022. The DBCC target
BSP chief: Loose monetary policy still necessary for now By Bianca Cuaresma
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@BcuaresmaBM
ANGKO Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) Governor Benjamin Diokno said they are keen on giving more time for the recent monetary policy actions to work their way into the economy before pulling them out as the economy recovers. Diokno made the statement on Monday at the government’s Sulong Pilipinas Economic Development and Infrastructure Clusters Forum. The governor said that while the economy is “at the tail end of the crisis,” the BSP recognizes that economic recovery is “still in its early stage” and, as such, expansionary monetary support remains warranted.
“We recognize that the economy is still in its nascent recovery phase,” Diokno said. “The accommodative monetary policy settings provide significant stimulus to demand and should be allowed to continue to work their way through the economy to bolster recovery in private consumption and investment,” the governor added. The BSP has kept its record-low overnight reverse repurchase rate at 2 percent for three consecutive meetings since December 2020. This is despite the acceleration in the country’s inflation, which the BSP projects would overshoot the ceiling of government targets for this year.
is for GDP to post a growth of 8 to 10 percent next year. “Our recovery is slated for this year and we will achieve pre-pandemic [growth] level in 2022, middle of 2022. All of these are needed to prevent long-term scarring and productivity losses,” Chua said. “Although the recent imposition of ECQ and MECQ may lower our growth estimate....we are still early in the year and there is ample opportunity to catch up,” he added. Chua said any adjustments to the targets by the DBCC may be made after the release of the first quarter performance of the economy next month. Also speaking in the Pre-Sona economic forum, Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) Governor Benjamin Diokno reiterated that the country’s gross domestic product (GDP) growth will likely trend lower
than the current estimates due to the renewed lockdown measures. Diokno reiterated his personal assessment—a growth range of 6 to 7 percent—but said that they will still deliberate on how the economy will fare in their next forecast setting meeting with other economic managers. The governor earlier said the reimposition of stricter measures in the country’s capital—along with its neighboring provinces—may affect the pace of the country’s growth trajectory this year.
Catch-up
ME A N W HILE, Chua said the economy still had eight months to play catch up with its targets by making up for the damage inflicted on the economy by the ECQ and MECQ. Continued on A2
GOVT NOT GIVING UP ON INFRA DRIVE, WILL FINISH ALL PROJECTS
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ESPITE the need to address hunger and poverty caused by the lockdowns, the national government is not ready to surrender the Build, Build, Build program and insists that the ambitious infrastructure initiative will contribute to the Philippines’s recovery from the recession. Despite temporary snags, the National Economic and Development Authority (Neda) and the infrastructure agencies led by Public Works Secretary Mark A. Villar said the infrastructure projects will continue as planned. Neda said the government plans to spend P1.17 trillion for infrastructure this year. Transportation Secretary Arthur Tugade noted that the government is bent on completing a total of 163 projects worth P88.75 billion by the end of this year. “We continue to catch up in 2021 with the highest ever infra spending of P1.17 trillion and we will continue to do so until we complete the process in the BBB program,” Socioeconomic Planning Secretary Karl Kendrick T. Chua said on Monday. He reiterated that the recent dip in the country’s infrastructure spending was only temporary because of the mobility restrictions. The country’s infrastructure spending declined to
P825 billion in 2020 due to the lockdowns. This is the lowest since 2017 when the gover nment spent a round P691 billion. Chua said the most important aspect about infrastructure is the sector’s ability to create jobs that will address hunger and poverty.This year, the infrastructure sector is expected to generate 1.7 million jobs and for 2022, government projects additional employment for 1.5 million Filipinos. These represent the highest number of jobs created by the infrastructure sector in at least two decades, according to Chua. Since 2000, Neda data showed, infrastructure spending has been creating less than a million jobs annually. “The full-time equivalent of jobs is expected to reach 1.7 million in 2021 because of the infrastructure program and this is much bigger than less than 1 million and as low as 100,000 10 or 20 years back,” Chua said. Tugade said among those for completion this year are aviation projects worth P15.3 bi l l ion; mar itime projects worth P7.7 billion; railway projects, P34.4 billion; and road projects, over P30 billion. These projects may either be fully or partially completed this year, he said. See “Govt,” A2
Continued on A2
PESO EXCHANGE RATES n US 48.3830
n JAPAN 0.4483 n UK 67.1556 n HK 6.2350 n CHINA 7.4478 n SINGAPORE 36.4632 n AUSTRALIA 37.4775 n EU 58.5241 n SAUDI ARABIA 12.9014
Source: BSP (April 26, 2021)