BMReports
What Filipinos should know about this thing called ‘QR’ By Jasper Emmanuel Y. Arcalas
Part Three
I
T all started with a despot. In 1972 former strongman Ferdinand E. Marcos signed Presidential Decree (PD) 4, creating the National Grains Authority (NGA), which was mandated to ensure stability of the country’s rice supply. Marcos also designated the NGA as the sole entity to import rice whenever there’s a deemed shortage in supply. Nine years later, Marcos issued PD 1770 and converted the NGA into what is now the National Food Authority (NFA). The order expanded the powers of the NFA, and allowed the agency to oversee the markets of nongrains commodities, such as fresh fruits and vegetables. In 1985, through Executive Order 1028, the NFA was deregulated; its capacity to control the nongrains-commodity markets removed, leaving only rice and corn under its jurisdiction. In 1991 Republic Act 7607, or the Magna Carta of Small Farmers,
AN irrigation canal cuts through a vast expanse of green rice fields in this aerial photo over Bulacan. NONIE REYES
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Continued on A2
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Wednesday, April 12, 2017 Vol. 12 No. 182
Duterte to steer PHL’s ‘golden age of infra’ ₧392.93B R By Cai U. Ordinario
@cuo_bm
OADS built roughshod and bridges that connect to nothing: a thing of the past if the Duterte administration achieves its dream of the “golden age of infrastructure”. T he cur rent administration plans to achieve this dream by increasing the country’s infrastructure-to-GDP ratio to 7.4 percent.
CHINA FACTORY-PRICE ‘SWEET SPOT’ TO WANE, TIGHTENING REAL RATES C hina’s economy has received a shot in the arm from rising producer prices and the easier financial conditions they spawned. The bad news: That boost to the global reflation outlook is poised to wane in the second half as low year-earlier numbers are removed from the equation. But there’s good news, too: Chinese policy-makers bent on ensuring a smooth leadership reshuffle later in the year are poised to keep the economy ticking, underpinning domestic and thereby global demand. Economists surveyed by Bloomberg News forecast factory-gate inflation will ease back slightly to 7.5 percent in March from a year earlier and dial back to 3.8 percent in the fourth quarter as yearearlier comparisons rise. That means real interest rates for industrial companies—as measured against the Producer Price Index (PPI) that most impacts them— are projected to tighten from -3.45 percent in February to +0.55 percent in the final quarter, assuming benchmark lending rates remain unchanged. “The first half of 2017 is likely to be a sweet spot,” said Andrew
Polk, director of China research at Medley Global Advisors Llc. in Beijing. “Real financial conditions will automatically tighten due to slower PPI growth in the second half of the year, so policy will shift back into a holding pattern in order to avoid overtightening.” Surging commodity prices from oil to iron, a weakening yuan and government stimulus helped fuel a spike in producer prices after years of deep deflation, boosting profits for industrial companies and triggering a recovery of investment. For downstream manufacturers, it was a mixed blessing as they paid more for inputs, but couldn’t always pass on their higher costs to final buyers. Purchasing managers’ reports have showed smaller firms still reporting deteriorating conditions in recent months, even as life got better for medium and larger companies—often state-owned. Producer prices will turn negative in March on a month-onmonth basis for the first time since June, indicating a peak for the corporate earnings cycle, said Larry Hu, head of China economics at Macquarie Securities Ltd. in Hong Kong. Continued on A3
PESO exchange rates n US 49.7790
This could easily amount to as much as P8 trillion to P9 trillion by the end of President Duterte’s term in 2022. Based on latest data from the
The cost of 17 infrastructure projects approved by the Duterte administration, based on latest data from the National Economic and Development Authority
National Economic and Development Authority (Neda), the Duterte administration has approved 17 infrastructure projects worth P392.93 billion. See “Duterte,” A2
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Still a beautiful place Teddy Locsin Jr.
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verybody talks big about what individuals want, what communities need, what’s imperative for national progress and world peace—this is why beauty contests are held, for beautiful faces to remind us. Actually, what people want is just to go home again, and be loved and feel safe again, like when first they wandered off to strike out on their own. Continued on A9
Passage of bills creating DHUD seen wiping out housing backlog By Jovee Marie N. dela Cruz
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one other than the 1987 Constitution mandates that the State shall make available at affordable cost decent housing and basic services to underprivileged and homeless citizens in urban center and resettlement areas. Despite this, the housing needs of Filipinos could not be met by the government, and the backlog could even balloon to 6.8 million units by the time President Duterte steps down from office in 2022. House Committee on Housing and Urban Development Chairman and PDP-Laban Rep. Alfredo B. Benitez of Negros Occidental, citing the Housing and Urban Development Coordinating Council (HUDCC), said the housing backlog reached 2 million units last year. For this year, the figure could expand by 760,400 units. In 2018 Benitez said the country’s additional housing needs would hit 774,441 units; 788,773 in 2019; 803,405 in 2020; 818,363 in 2021; and 833,619 in 2022. “However, we need to properly validate this data, because, I think, our housing needs are more than
Children of informal settlers play on the sprawling government mass-housing project for the police and the military, which they occupied since March 8, in Pandi, Bulacan, about 50 kilometers (31 miles) north of Manila. More than a thousand informal settlers occupied the still-unfinished housing project, and vowed to resist any attempts by authorities to evict them. AP/Bullit Marquez
that [6.8 million]. We need to work together to address this immediately,” he said. To erase this backlog, Benitez said the government, with the help of the private sector, should construct at
least 1 million housing units a year. He added this could be achieved with the passage of several housingrelated measures. These include the creation of the Department of Housing and Urban Development
(DHUD); transferring government offices to the provinces; establishing an on-site, in-city or near-city resettlement program for informalsettler families; and a resolution See “Passage of bills,” A3
n japan 0.4488 n UK 61.8205 n HK 6.4064 n CHINA 7.2091 n singapore 35.4324 n australia 37.3343 n EU 52.7608 n SAUDI arabia 13.2751
Source: BSP (11 April 2017 )