BusinessMirror April 09, 2021

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BSP poll: More businesses grow optimistic By Bianca Cuaresma

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@BcuaresmaBM

OCAL businesses are growing more optimistic about economic oppor tunities in the countr y, as more and more firms adapt to the “new normal,” a recent survey by the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) showed. In the BSP’s quarterly survey of business and consumer sentiment, the countr y's central monetar y author it y repor ted on Thursday that the outlook of firms in the economy improved for the second consecutive quarter in January to March this year. In particular, the overall con-

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fidence index (CI) for the first quarter of the year rose to 17.4 percent from 10.6 percent in the fourth quarter of 2020. This is the second consecutive quarter that confidence in the business community grew based on the survey. The confidence index is computed as the percentage of optimistic respondents minus the percentage of pessimistic respondents in the local economy. A higher confidence index means the optimists outweigh the pessimists during the survey period. Local firms attributed their more upbeat outlook to easing of quarantine restrictions and reopening of businesses, obser-

vations that people are adapting to the new normal, and increase in volume of sales and orders. Some also said the rollout of vaccines for Covid-19, and the development of new business/ marketing strategies are starting to work in their favor. Respondents also cited expectations of higher demand for electricity and construction activities during summer for their more buoyant views for the second quarter of 2021. Favorable sentiment prevailed across the different types of trading firms like exporter, importer, dual-activity, and domestic-oriented, but at varying degrees. Importer, dual-activity, and

Friday, April 9, 2021 Vol. 16 No. 177

domestic-oriented respondent firms were more confident in the business environment for the first quarter of 2021, while exporters were less optimistic. The first quarter 2021 Business Expectations Survey (BES) was conducted during the period February 4 to March 12. There were 1,512 firms surveyed nationwide. Samples were drawn from the Top 7,000 Corporations ranked based on total assets in 2016 from the Bureau van Dijk (BvD) database, consisting of 585 companies in the National Capital Region and 927 firms in areas outside NCR, covering all 16 regions nationwide.

MANUFACTURING WOES SEEN TO RESTRICT JOBS n

P25.00 nationwide | 2 sections 18 pages |

MOBILITY CURBS BOOST ONLINE PURCHASES OF IMPORTED GOODS—DATA

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OBILITY restrictions to contain the spread of Covid-19 boosted the Philippines’s online purchases of imported manufactured items, including consumer goods, telecommunication equipment, and office equipment, based on latest trade data from the Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA). The PSA reported on Thursday that export earnings contracted 2.3 percent while imports posted a growth of 2.7 percent, the highest since April 2019. Exports in January contracted 4.8 percent and grew 3.4 percent in February 2020. Imports contracted 12.1 percent in January and 7.3 percent in February 2020. “E-commerce, induced by movement restrictions due to Covid, may have favored imported consumer manufactured goods not only of food items but also durables,” said former Dean of University of the Philippines

A barangay officer reminds residents of Barangay Batasan Hills in Quezon City to maintain social distancing to prevent the spread of Covid-19, as they wait for the distribution of financial assistance for communities impacted by the two-week enhanced community quarantine in NCR and nearby provinces where infections have soared. NONOY LACZA

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By Cai U. Ordinario

@caiordinario

HE Covid-19-induced trade bottleneck affecting the country’s major markets is a growing concern for the Philippine manufacturing sector, which continued to suffer a contraction in February, local economists said on Thursday. See “manufacturing,” A2

PESO exchange rates n US 48.5760

School of Economics Ramon L. Clarete. Based on data for imports, capital goods such as office and electronic data processing (EDP) machines surged 22.9 percent and telecommunication equipment and electronic machines grew 10.6 percent. Further, imports of manufactured goods grew 20.4 percent in February led by a 52.2-percent growth in Textile yarn, fabrics and made-up articles and Nonmetallic mineral manufactures which grew 40.8 percent. Data also showed that imports of consumer goods saw an increase of 3.9 percent led by a 36.8-percent growth in home appliances. “If [it is confirmed that] imports surged of the items that local manufacturing can produce, that is very worrisome. [This means] China is better positioned to ride the new wave of e-commerce than locals,” Clarete added. See “Mobility,” A2

PSA: ’20 GDP shrank even more, at 9.6%

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HE economy was worse off than initially estimated in 2020, according to latest data from the Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA). On Thursday, PSA disclosed that Philippine GDP growth contracted 9.6 percent in 2020. This

was a downward revision from the decline of 9.5 percent, the statistical agency announced in January. However, PSA data showed that GDP growth for the fourth quarter of 2020 was retained at -8.3 percent. “These are due to the latest full-

year data. We always update as needed if new data are available,” Acting Socioeconomic Planning Secretary Karl Kendrick T. Chua told reporters. Revisions on the estimates are based on the updated data submissions/releases by the data source agencies.

The PSA revises the GDP estimates based on an approved revision policy (PSA Board Resolution 1, Series of 2017-053) which is consistent with international standard practices on national accounts revisions.

n japan 0.4423 n UK 66.7580 n HK 6.2396 n CHINA 7.4235 n singapore 36.2291 n australia 36.9615 n EU 57.6646 n SAUDI arabia 12.9533

See “PSA,” A2

Source: BSP (April 8, 2021)


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