THE fate of the United States presidency hung in the balance Wednesday morning, as President Donald Trump and Democratic challenger Joe Biden battled for three familiar battleground states—Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania—that could prove crucial in determining who wins the White House. The highstakes election was held against the backdrop of a historic pandemic that has killed more than 230,000 Americans and wiped away millions of jobs. Full story on page A5. AP
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Thursday, November 5, 2020 Vol. 16 No. 28
P25.00 nationwide | 2 sections 16 pages | 7 DAYS A WEEK
ON PHL EXPORTS DATA
‘Remittances to best reflect impact of US election results’
By Cai U. Ordinario
T
HE increase in September exports is within expectations following the easing of lockdown restrictions, but sustaining this would depend largely on the pace of economic recovery of the country’s major markets like China.
On Wednesday, the Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA) said the country’s export earnings grew 2.2 percent, while the country’s import receipts contracted 16.5 percent in September 2020. With this, total external trade contracted 9.2 percent and balance of trade in goods (BOT-G) contracted 49.9 percent. “This is the correct trend and is expected given the easing of lockdown restrictions,” Ateneo Center for Economic Research and Development (ACERD) Director Alvin P. Ang told BusinessMirror. “We can sustain this as long as our value chain recovers similar to China.” Ang added that in order for the country’s trade performance to continue recovering, exports and imports must post double-digit growth next year. “The growth [of exports and imports] has to increase, otherwise we will be left out in the global value chain,” Ang said. ING Bank Manila Senior Economist Nicholas Antonio T. Mapa said China significantly affected the country’s external trade performance in September.
By Bianca Cuaresma
T
PHILIPPINE Coast Guard personnel and civilian volunteers from Pasay City work together at a Department of Social Welfare and Development warehouse repacking relief goods for distribution to areas devastated by Supertyphoon Rolly. NONIE REYES
‘FOOD SUPPLY VITAL TO AVERT DEEPER POVERTY FROM TYPHOON’
E
NSURING the country's food supply is paramount in keeping poverty rates from rising as a consequence of Typhoon Rolly, according to the National Economic and Development Authority (Neda). Acting Socioeconomic Planning Secretary Karl Kendrick T. Chua told BusinessMirror late Tuesday that the Neda is still assessing the situation and its impact on poverty.
Continued on A2
PESO EXCHANGE RATES n US 48.3790
Chua earlier said Covid-19 would increase poverty incidence rates nationwide to anywhere between 15.5 percent and 17.5 percent next year. "Agriculture is least affected by Covid-19 (while) typhoons are recurring events that affect agriculture. (The) key is to ensure food security and open the food supply chain," Chua said. “Low and stable food inflation is one key way to address poverty.”
However, Chua said typhoons usually affect the agriculture sector and this will affect food security in general. It may be noted that food accounts for 55 percent of the food and nonfood needs of the bottom 30 percent of the population. Apart from food security, Neda Undersecretary Rosemarie G. Edillon cited a need to provide quick response to those affected See “Food,” A2
CHUA: “Low and stable food inflation is one key way to address poverty.”
HE United States may be one of the Philippines’s top trading partners, but the results of its 2020 Presidential Elections will not be felt most on the country’s export and import numbers but on the Filipino migrants’ capability to send remittances back home. In a discussion with the BusinessMirror, Moody’s Analytics chief economist for the Asia-Pacific Region Steven Cochrane said the Philippine economy will not feel any economic shocks no matter who wins the elections for the year. The US started to tally the votes for its presidential election on Wednesday where, as of this writing, the race between Republican candidate and current president Donald Trump and Democratic candidate Joe Biden remains neck-to-neck. Cochrane told the BusinessMirror that, initially, there will be little impact for the Philippines from the highly anticipated results of the election. The effect of the US election, the economist said, will likely be felt by the Philippine economy months after the President has been elected. Where the Philippines would greatly benefit from this development, according to the Moody’s Analytics economist, is a Biden administration that will approve a fiscal stimulus on the US economy. “The spending on infrastructure, education, social support and state/local government would boost the pace of economic and job growth over the four years of the next term. This would bolster personal income, which would likely result in stronger remittance flows Continued on A2
n JAPAN 0.4631 n UK 63.1926 n HK 6.2407 n CHINA 7.2456 n SINGAPORE 35.5806 n AUSTRALIA 34.6394 n EU 56.6905 n SAUDI ARABIA 12.8997
Source: BSP (November 4, 2020)