BusinessMirror May 2, 2015

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BusinessMirror

three-time rotary club of manila journalism awardee 2006, 2010, 2012

U.N. Media Award 2008

A broader look at today’s business

www.businessmirror.com.ph

TfridayNovember 2014Vol.Vol.1010No.No.20540 Saturday, May 18, 2, 2015

P25.00 nationwide | 6 sections 28 pages | 7 days a week

n n

Imports outpaced exports, higher than government projection

Trade deficit hit $3.29 billion in 2014 May-Pac T by the numbers By Cai U. Ordinario

$180M $120M

Mayweather’s expected payday

Pacquiao’s expected payday

0

5

number of losses in Mayweather’s career

12

number of losses in Pacquiao’s career

scheduled rounds

3 number of titles at stake (WBA, WBC, WBO)

$1M

reputed cost of special WBC title belt made for the fight

he Philippines ended 2014 with a trade imbalance as wide as $3.29 billion, which was higher than preliminary government estimates for the period, according to the Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA).

PSA data show the government anticipating a trade deficit of only $2.71 million, as import activities outpace exports. The increase was traced mostly to the $874million increase in imports to $65.4 million in the January-to-December period last year, from the initial estimate of $64.52 million. Much larger deficits were reported in August, October and November, where the difference See “Trade deficit,” A2

China still a global economic engine even at lower gear of 7%

‘slower price hikes won’t mean deflation for PHL’ A By Bianca Cuaresma

$10,000

price of a seat on the floor at the MGM Grand arena

$1,500

price of the worst seat in the house

2.48M 27.9M

previous pay-perview record (set by Mayweather-Oscar de la Hoya in 2007)

total pay-per-view buys generated in past fights involving Pacquiao and Mayweather

$1,600 $120

cost of the cheapest room at the MGM Grand on fight night

cost of cheapest room at the MGM Grand on a typical night

900

number of tickets Pacquiao bought for his friends and family for the fight Source: AP

BM Graphics: Ed Davad

FLYING HIGH Passengers disembark from an AirAsia Philippines Airbus A320 passenger plane, with the livery of boxer Manny Pacquiao, upon arrival from Cebu City on Tuesday at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport in Pasay City. The low-budget airline surprised a mother and son with free roundtrip domestic tickets, as well as free passes to watch the live broadcast of the world welterweight unification fight (Sunday morning in the Philippines) between Pacquiao and Floyd Mayweather Jr. in Las Vegas, the richest fight in boxing history. AP/Bullit Marquez

T

he Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) on Friday ruled out the likelihood of deflation taking the country hostage over the near term, even as some in the central bank believe that inflation, or the rate of change in prices, could prove lower than 2 percent immediately ahead. This is significant in that countries under the European Union, for instance, suffer from a rather prolonged period of deflation, when commodity prices keep falling, such that consumers postpone purchases and, as a consequence the manufacturers, stop producing goods as demand steadily drops. Deflation is bad, because consumption and

PESO exchange rates n US 44.2500

GUINIGUNDO: “US monetary tightening could send the US dollar on an upward spiral again, and this would have some impact on the peso and on domestic inflation.”

investment activities that help push the economy forward can no longer be counted as growth drivers. While the BSP maintained that inflation should remain within target this year, rates as low as 2 percent is possible in some months during the year. Deputy BSP Governor for the

Monetary Stability Sector Diwa C. Guinigundo said it was possible for inflation to dip lower than 2 percent in some months immediately ahead, but that the full-year rate should still fall within target. This was in response to economists’ and analysts’ forecasts that inflation could fall short of the already scaled-back target, ranging from 2 percent to 4 percent this year. Analysts at First Metro Investments Corp., the investment banking arm of the Metropolitan Bank and Trust Co., and academics at the University of Asia and the Pacific said headline inflation could “even go below 2 percent” by July, if the current trend continues. The last time inflation fell below See “Deflation,” A2

surging China saved the global economy from recession, but a slowing China may not consign it to a slump. The world’s second-largest economy will grow 6.8 percent this year en route to 6 percent in 2017, the International Monetary Fund projects. That’s half the 14 percent of 2007, and well below the 10 percent of 2010. The deceleration will certainly eat into global growth, given that China now accounts for about 15 percent of worldwide gross domestic product. A slowing to 7 percent should be enough to reduce an already subpar expansion everywhere by 0.5 percentage points, according to Capital Economics Ltd. How it is slowing also matters, according to Louis Kuijs, chief China economist at Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc. A shift from import-

intensive industries, such as real estate and corporate investment, will hurt foreign trade partners. “Import volumes have been very weak, thus affecting the rest of the world,” Hong Kong-based Kuijs said. Commodity producers, such as Australia and neighbors in Asia, seem to be suffering the most. There are, nevertheless, some reasons for optimism to think that China will remain an engine for the world economy. First, it’s on course soon to pass $11 trillion in size compared with $2 trillion a decade ago. Andrew Kenningham at Capital Economics said that means it will still account for 30 percent of global growth in the next five years, higher than the 28-percent average since 2000. In dollar terms, it should contribute more than any other economy. Continued on A2

n japan 0.3717 n UK 68.3043 n HK 5.7098 n CHINA 7.1374 n singapore 33.4973 n australia 35.6395 n EU 49.1927 n SAUDI arabia 11.8006 Source: BSP (30 April 2015)


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