BusinessMirror
three-time rotary club of manila journalism awardee 2006, 2010, 2012
U.N. Media Award 2008
A broader look at today’s business
www.businessmirror.com.ph
Thursday 2014 Vol. No. 40 Thursday,18,October 22,102015 Vol. 11 No. 14
nn
P25.00 nationwide | 5 sections 30 pages | 7 days a week
WHILE KEEN ON JOINING THE U.S.-LED TRADE BLOC, AQUINO NOT WILLING TO AMEND CHARTER TO MEET THE DEAL’S REQUIREMENTS
Palace gives confusing tack on TPP T
he Aquino administration has stressed, time and again, that the Philippines wants to join the new trade bloc TransPacific Partnership (TPP). But, while saying this, Malacañang is also maintaining its stand against Charter change—a necessity to meet the highly ambitious liberalization agreements being set by the US-led trade grouping.
INSIDE
Communications Secretary Herminio B. Coloma Jr., when asked if President Aquino would soften his opposition to any move to tinker with the Charter in order to hasten the Philippines’s entry into the TPP, noted that the government is already in the process of fulfilling its commitments for joining the new trade pact. “We are taking steps to align ourselves with TPP norms,” Coloma said. But the Palace official quickly added that there had been “no change in the President’s stated position on Charter change.” This means no amendments to the Constitution under his term, a clear barrier to the full membership of the Philippines in the TPP. While the full text of the TPP agreement has
JOKOWI ‘DRIFTS’ IN 1ST YEAR AS ECONOMY STRUGGLES
Asean www.businessmirror.com.ph
Asean-wide advocacy needed Asean-EU Perspective
HENRY J. SCHUMACHER
W
ITH the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (Asean) Economic Community (AEC) being about two months away, Asean continues to organize functional cooperation in Southeast Asia in a wide range of areas through various agencies that implement regional programs under its umbrella. These include, among others, the Center for Biodiversity, the Center for Energy, both of which originate from programs undertaken with the European Union (EU) and are governed by boards made up of Asean senior officials and the Asean secretary-general. Among the various functional initiatives for economic cooperation introduced in Asean so far, Asean Free Trade Area (Afta) is the most successful one. It was launched in 1992 to increase the group’s “competitive advantage as a production base geared for the world market”; it has worked as an effective tool to sponsor trade liberalization, introduce a practice of adhering to reciprocal commitments and institutionalize constructive dialogue among the region’s members. Asean’s 10 members remain diverse in terms of their declared political and ideological backgrounds, and while the very large income gap among them is slowly closing, some have more advanced economies than others. Companies active in Asean or wishing to become active in Asean and take advantage of the opportunities the AEC has to offer, have “wishes” to Asean governments and the Asean Secretariat how to create an environment in which business in Asean can strive and be more conducive to investment and job generation. This is the reason why European Chamber of Commerce of the Philippines (ECCP), years ago, joined attempts to form the EU-Asean Business Council (EABC), composed of European Chambers in Asean and Multi National Corp. active in the region. The EABC is a strong supporter of Asean’s regional economic integration process. The aims and goals of the AEC, as set out in the Blueprint in November 2007, are welcomed and well supported by European business more generally. Once achieved, they will undoubtedly boost economic and social development in the region to the benefit of the broad population and the countries of Asean. The member-states of Asean should be applauded for their foresight and ambition. We recognize that the movement toward these aims and goals is a process: the “deadline” at the end of 2015 is just a point in time, rather than a “big bang.” There is much work that remains to be done, and the comments and recommendations included in this paper should be seen as part of this process. Our aim is to highlight some areas where, in our opinion, further work is required to achieve one of the key stated goals of the AEC, i.e., the elimination of nontariff barriers to trade. The EABC takes a broad overview of market access and trade-flow restrictions across the Asean region and highlights some common themes across the region, namely: n The scope for improvement in efficiency of customs procedures and greater harmonization between Asean member-states; n The need for more predictable application of regulations and procedures; n Continuing restrictions on foreign ownership and control in many sectors; and n The lack of harmonized standards or the mutual recognition of standards across many industries and economic sectors. ECCP is on the executive board of the EABC and will host an executive board meeting in Manila on October 27. The objective of the EABC is to be a driver for constructive change within Asean, addressing challenges and opportunities Asean offers and to assist companies in their Asean advocacy. It is in this context that we are inviting readers to join a discussion with a number of EABC board members to hear from them the areas and sectors of advocacy now and to listen to you what other issues need to be researched, addressed and advocated. This exciting dialogue is scheduled for October 27, 8 to 10:30 a.m., at the Makati Diamond Residences. If you are interested, e-mail me at Schumacher@eccp.com
Thailand’s Saha, Japan partner eye Vietnam
S
AHA Group, Thailand’s largest consumer-products conglomerate, is negotiating with its Japanese partner for joint expansion of its logistics and property ventures in Vietnam next year. The group was approached by its Japanese partner to expand together in Vietnam because the Thai conglomerate has had a presence there for years, a Saha executive said. Saha has teamed up with Japanese companies to do various businesses in Thailand for more than 50 years. It understands the working culture of its Japanese partners and has obtained many technology transfers. Moreover, Thailand has a geographical advantage to expand business to Vietnam. Saha also has experience in logistics and product distribution throughout that country. It set up Saha Vietnam Co. to distribute consumer products in Vietnam via retail outlets over there. Currently, Saha and a Japanese com-
pany are in the negotiation process for the joint venture. “We want to invest more abroad. For Vietnam, we’re interested in logistics, property and wholesale,” the executive said. This will not only cash in on opportunities arising from the Asean Economic Community to be formed at year-end but also gain benefits from the Trans-Pacific Partnership trade agreement that Japan signed two weeks ago along with several countries including Vietnam. If the deal can be concluded, it will help Saha Group to improve its competitiveness in the regional market. “The regional community will make cross-border logistics more important,” the executive said. Prior to this, Saha joined hands with Yangon-based retailer MK Group to set up a distribution company in Myanmar as a springboard to distribute and market more products in neighbouring countries. MCT
BusinessMirror Editor: Max V. de Leon • Thursday, October 22, 2015 B2-1
Jokowi ‘drifts’ in 1st year as economy struggles
S
INCE taking office a year ago, Indonesia’s President Joko Widodo has had mixed results in his agenda to lift the economy, build infrastructure and reduce inequality. The former governor of Jakarta was elected as the first leader outside the machinery of the country’s main political parties, on high expectations he could cut corruption and reform the bureaucracy in the world’s largest archipelago. On his inauguration on October 20, 2014, he was feted like a rock star in the capital’s main thoroughfare with crowds swarming around his open horse-drawn carriage. His popularity among voters and investors has fallen in a year marked by slowing economic growth, policy U-turns and controversy over appointments. Widodo, known as Jokowi, said on his Twitter account on Tuesday that the past year was about laying foundations and the
first step was often the hardest. “His first year in office has been characterized more by drifting through, rather than a seamless execution of a meticulously thought out master plan,” said Wellian Wiranto, an economist at Oversea-Chinese Banking Corp. in Singapore. Foreign fund investors have pulled $722 million from Indonesian stocks this year, and the rupiah is down about 12 percent since Jokowi took office, the secondworst performer in Asia. Here’s an assessment of progress in six key areas of Jokowi’s campaign pledges.
Economic growth
JOKOWI pledged to lift economic growth to above 7 percent within
By Butch Fernandez
his term, from an average of 5.7 percent during the decade of his predecessor Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono. Growth slowed to about 4.7 percent in the April-to-June quarter, the weakest since 2009, and in a Bloomberg survey is expected to only grow 5.4 percent next year. The economy has been hurt by a slump in prices for the commodities that make up more than half of Indonesia’s exports, such as natural gas, coal and palm oil. While that’s out of Jokowi’s control, the government’s economic forecasts were over-optimistic. Consumer confidence fell to more than a six-year low in September, in a country where domestic consumption makes up over half of the economy, and foreign direct investment has stagnated. A series of recent stimulus measures have amounted to tinkering rather than fresh cash or major structural reforms. “There is no evidence of a strategy to turn around the economy,” said Paul Rowland, an independent Jakarta-based political analyst. “Tweaks won’t do it unless they add up to a more coherent
strategy that unshackles domestic and foreign investment.”
Bureaucratic reform
IMPROVING spending needs a more efficient bureaucracy, in a decentralized system where civil servants are poorly paid and often act only if there’s an economic incentive. Jokowi changed the structure of ministries and pledged to fire officials depending on results. “The decision to rearrange a number of ministries also ate up a lot of time while new senior bureaucrat positions were filled, and it’s arguable that was unnecessary,” said Keith Loveard, head of political risk analysis at Jakarta-based security company Concord Consulting. “However, one year on there is a sense that the ship of state is settling on a steady course.” Jokowi reshuffled his economic team in August, and has also shaken up some state enterprises such as PT Pertamina with new management teams. There’s no sign Jokowi has been able to improve regional administrations, See “Jokowi,” B2-2
2 CARS GIVEN AWAY AT the BusinessMirror 10.0 PARTY Lucky raffle winners Aleah Alani of Oakwood (fourth from left) and Sally Lacanilao of OMD (third from right) receive the keys of their brand-new Toyota Wigo small sedans, immediately after the BusinessMirror’s 10th anniversary party held at the House Manila in Remington Hotel on Tuesday night, from the BusinessMirror officials (from left) Aldwin Talosa, manager for Advertising Sales; Frederick Alegre, vice president for Corporate Affairs; Adebelo Gasmin, vice president for Finance; T. Anthony C. Cabangon, publisher; and Marvin Estigoy, vice president for Advertising Sales. ROY DOMINGO
Continued on A2
DENMARK QUEEN IN INDONESIA
Denmark’s Queen Margrethe II, accompanied by her husband Prince Henrik (second from right), arrives at the Soe Karno-Hatta international airport outskirts of Jakarta, Indonesia, on Wednesday. The Danish royal couple is on a five-day visit to the country. AP
Ringgit extends drop as Maybank predicts higher taxes
M
ALAYSIA’S ringgit dropped for a fourth day ahead of the budget on Friday, when Malayan Banking Bhd. says there’s a possibility Prime Minister Najib Razak will announce higher taxes to compensate for the loss of revenue from oil. While the currency has rallied with the rest of emerging markets this month, it’s still Asia’s worst performer as a decline in Brent crude cuts earnings for the region’s only major net oil exporter. Najib will reveal measures to strengthen the ringgit, Trade Minister Mustapa Mohamed said in Parliament on Tuesday, after both the prime minister and the central bank governor earlier stressed there’s no plan to revisit capital controls imposed during
the Asian financial crisis. “The ringgit continues to retrace lower on weaker oil prices and as the selloff in the US dollar looks to have run its course,” said Khoon Goh, a Singapore-based senior currency strategist at Australia & New Zealand Banking Group Ltd. “The Malaysian budget will also be a focus for the market to see whether ongoing fiscal consolidation can be achieved in a tough environment.” The ringgit declined 0.7 percent to a two-week low of 4.2955 a dollar as of 10:36 a.m. in Kuala Lumpur, adding to a 3.5-percent loss in the previous three trading days, according to prices from local banks compiled by Bloomberg. The currency has dropped 18 percent this year amid a 15-percent
slide in Brent crude, which is down more than half since its peak in June 2014.
Fiscal deficit
MALAYSIA wants certainty and stability in the ringgit, Mustapa said. Parliament reconvened this week following a scheduled break, with Najib facing the prospect of a noconfidence vote over political donations and the government’s handling of an investigation into state investment company 1Malaysia Development Bhd. The government aims to cut the fiscal deficit to 3.2 percent of GDP this year from 3.5 percent, after amending the target from 3 percent in January as Brent crude continued to slide. The 2016 shortfall
is expected to be announced at 3 percent in Friday’s budget, according to forecasts from ANZ, United Overseas Bank Ltd., Maybank and Affin Hwang Investment Bank Bhd. Najib may allocate 52 billion ringgit ($12.1 billion) to development expenditure in the budget, up from an estimated 48.5 billion ringgit this year, as infrastructure spending increases, Maybank and RHB Research Institute Sdn. predict. The budget will be “one of the most difficult,” the premier was quoted as saying in a New Straits Times report on Monday. Malaysia’s five-year sovereign bonds rose, with the yield falling two basis points to 3.73 percent, prices from Bursa Malaysia show. The 10year yield was steady at 4.14 percent. Bloomberg News
ASEAN
THE COMING OF SUPERBUGS
B2-1
2016 polls seen hurting infra growth By Lorenz S. Marasigan
T
he 2016 national elections will likely derail the country’s infrastructure development due to policy conflicts, the BMI Research of Fitch Ratings said. “We expect growth to moderate beyond 2015, as the elections would disrupt policy continuity. A change in leadership would also signal a review of current projects, which will lead to project delays,” the research agency said.
MEGAWORLD STEPS UP MCKINLEY WEST PROJECT By VG Cabuag
P
ropert y developer Megaworld Corp. on Wednesday said it has accelerated the construction of six office buildings in the 34.5-hectare McKinley West township in Fort Bonifacio, Taguig City, to keep up with the robust demand. The six towers will have a total of 60,000 square meters (sq m) of office space and will be part of the 350,000-sq-m office-space expansion of Megaworld in its entire Bonifacio property in the next three years. “We are now experiencing an overwhelming demand for office spaces in our various townships, and a big chunk of the demand pie comes from Fort Bonifacio. In McKinley West, the demand is focused on campus-type buildings that have higher efficiency floor plates, easy access to office floors via internal staircases and branding
rights for whole building occupiers,” Jericho Go, the company senior vice president, said. The ground level of each low-rise building will be devoted for commercial establishments. President Aquino recently declared McKinley West as a special economic zone for information technology under the jurisdiction of the Philippine Economic Zone Authority (Peza). As a special economic zone, certain privileges are granted by the national government to the business owners and investors operating inside the township, like incometax holidays, duty-free importation of capital equipment and other nonfiscal incentives. Real-property taxes on land are paid by developers. “Businesses, especially in the information- technology and businessprocess outsourcing [BPO] sectors, can now avail of the incentives of a special economic zone when they lease an office
space from Peza-accredited buildings in McKinley West,” Go said. These six office buildings could generate around 20,000 jobs once completed. The buildings will be certified under Leadership in Energy and Environment Design (LEED), a green building standard. “Megaworld continues to attract more locators to set up or expand their businesses in the Philippines, especially after we built 8 Campus Place in McKinley Hill, which is the first LEED gold-certified BPO office building in the country. We look forward to our LEED certification for the new office towers in McKinley West, as well,” Go said. Megaworld is the largest developer and lessor of office spaces in the country with over 700,000 sq m of office-space inventory, and around 300,000 sq m of the inventory are in the former military base.
See “2016 polls,” A2
Amnesty urges Asean govts to avoid repeat of Rohingya crisis
A
BusinessMirror media partner
mnesty International is urging Southeast Asian nations to avoid a repeat of the refugee-boat crisis that left thousands stranded at sea earlier this year, saying in a new report that human traffickers kept asylum-seekers in “hellish” conditions, beat them severely and even killed them if families failed to pay ransoms. The report released on Wednesday is based
PESO exchange rates n US 46.1840
on interviews with more than 100 Rohingya Muslim refugees who reached Indonesia through perilous boat journeys. “The daily physical abuse faced by Rohingya who were trapped on boats in the Bay of Bengal and Andaman Sea is almost too horrific to put into words.... Even children were not spared from these abuses,” said Anna Shea, a refugee researcher at Amnesty.
Tens of thousands of Rohingya have fled Myanmar by boat to escape persecution by the country’s Buddhist majority. Their plight became an international crisis in May when thousands of Rohingya and Bangladeshis were found packed in rickety boats with little food or water, abandoned by their smugglers. Some were turned away by the governments of Thailand and Malaysia, while some managed
to make it to shore in Indonesia. “The shocking truth is that those we spoke to are the ‘lucky’ ones who made it to shore— countless others perished at sea or were trafficked into forced labor situations,” Shea said. The mostly Bengali-speaking ethnic Rohingya are Muslims who have lived in Myanmar’s western state of Rakhine as a minority See “Amnesty,” A2
n japan 0.3855 n UK 71.3358 n HK 5.9592 n CHINA 7.2744 n singapore 33.2283 n australia 33.5469 n EU 52.3911 n SAUDI arabia 12.3190
Source: BSP (21 October 2015)