BusinessMirror December 16, 2015

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A broader look at today’s business

n Wednesday, December 16, 2015 Vol. 11 No. 69

BSP MAINTAINS 5% REMITTANCE-GROWTH GOAL FOR 2015

P25.00 nationwide | 4 sections 20 pages | 7 days a week

Oct remittances rise below expectations

INSIDE

C

serena williams

sports

A8

HOW A FED HIKE COULD HURT YOUR CREDIT-CARD DEBT

By Bianca Cuaresma

ash remittances—normally ramping up in October as overseas Filipinos prepare themselves for the long Christmas holidays back home—dipped lower this time around, reaching only $2.232 billion for a barely perceptible growth of just 0.2 percent, according to latest data from the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP). Continued on A2

‘Cash cab’

I

life

t’s the antiholiday gift: As consumers rack up credit-card charges on presents, vacations and dinners for the holidays, card issuers are poised to raise the annual percentage rate (APR) on their cards.

b2-2

green development

property

Card issuers are waiting to see if the Federal Reserve’s policy-setting committee bumps up the federal funds rate on Tuesday, as many expect. If it does, the hike will flow through to credit-card holders as soon as they receive their next bill. That’s because the peg for most variable-rate consumer borrowing—whether credit cards, adjustable-rate mortgages, or home-equity lines of credit—is the prime rate. And that rate moves with the federal funds rate. Prime is 3.25 percent today, and card issuers add a certain percent on top of it to set the APR. A 0.25-percent increase in an APR is a nonissue for people who pay off balances. But for those who carry a balance month to month, it affects the entire balance, not just new

C1

EARLY BIRDS GET THE BEST DEALS Shoppers rush to a mall in

See “Credit Card,” A2

Quezon City as soon as it opened its doors on Tuesday to finish their shopping early and avoid getting stuck in heavy traffic during rush hour. Nonie Reyes

New Fitch upgrade hinges on continuity of reforms after polls A

nother upgrade from a major credit watcher is forthcoming in the next 12 to 18 months, provided the political landscape of the country ensures continuity of reforms set by the present administration. In Fitch Ratings’s latest sovereign outlook on the region, the international credit watcher reiterated its confidence on the country’s macroeconomy as an outlier to the rest of emerging Asia. In September this year Fitch hiked its outlook on the Philip-

pines’s rating to “positive,” from “stable.” The Philippines is the only country in the 11 nations in emerging Asia to get a positive outlook from Fitch. A positive outlook means that a rating upgrade is possible in the next 12 to 18 months for the country. While economic managers earlier reacted to the development as something that is “long overdue,” the credit watcher said in its most recent assessment note on the Philippines that turning the posi-

PESO exchange rates n US 47.3390

tive outlook into an actual credit rating is also dependent on the confidence of the markets on the country’s next head of state. “Strong growth, a structural current-account surplus and ongoing fiscal-policy discipline are driving a steady improvement in the sovereign’s balance sheet. Increased confidence that these trends will be sustained under the next administration after the 2016 presidential elections would support the case for an upgrade,” Fitch said.

The credit watcher also reiterated that the positive outlook given to the Philippines is driven by a steady strengthening in the country’s structural fundamentals, improvements captured in international measures of governance standards and international competitiveness; and reflected in the Philippines’s strong macroeconomic performance—mostly seen improving under the Aquino administration. Meanwhile, in the region, Fitch said pressures against emerg-

ing markets in Asia due to a slew of developments—such as China’s slowdown, an expected rise in US rates, dollar strength, stillsluggish global trade growth and lower commodity prices—pose a challenging outlook for emerging Asian economies in 2016 to “varying degrees.” Despite the rising risks to the region’s emerging markets, Fitch said the potential slowdown and impact of these are by far not reminiscent of the 1997 Asian financial crisis.

“Emerging Asian external balance sheets are generally stronger than in 1996, the year before the Asian financial crisis broke. Sovereigns are generally much less reliant on foreign-currency financing; and many countries now have more flexible exchange-rate regimes in place of the more prevalent use of explicit pegs before 1997. This gives authorities greater scope to let exchange rates act as a buffer today compared with the mid1990s,” Fitch said. See “Fitch,” A2

n japan 0.3911 n UK 71.6760 n HK 6.1077 n CHINA 7.3290 n singapore 33.5952 n australia 34.2887 n EU 52.0066 n SAUDI arabia 12.6187 Source: BSP (14

December 2015)


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