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A broader look at today’s business Tuesday, March 22, 2016 Vol. 11 No. 166
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Above-6.5% growth seen in Q1 on polls, infra binge D B C U. O
ZERO-COST WAYS TO MAKE YOUR HOME FEEL FRESH
LIFE
ESPITE El Niño and weak global demand that can affect agriculture and the country’s export earnings, a local think tank believes that first-quarter GDP growth will still be above 6.5 percent this year. D1
VIETNAM ECONOMY AT RISK SANS REFORMS—IMF AseanTuesday BusinessMirror
news@businessmirror.com.ph
Editor: Max V. de Leon • Tuesday, March 22, 2016 A5
Vietnam economy at risk sans reforms–IMF
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IETNAM risks being vulnerable to external shocks if it doesn’t push through with reforms to strengthen its banking system and restructure state businesses, according to International Monetary Fund (IMF) chief Christine Lagarde. The Southeast Asian nation isn’t in a position to withstand economic blows from tightening of monetary policies elsewhere, a deep and prolonged drop in commodity prices and a slowing China without reforms, she said in a March 18 interview in Ho Chi Minh City. “The risk is that from being slightly vulnerable, Vietnam could become very vulnerable to external shocks,” she said. “It would expose the Vietnamese economy, and that would not be good for the Vietnamese population.” Vietnam’s integration with the global economy has driven growth and reduced poverty. The economy is forecast to grow at 6.6 percent this year, according to Bloomberg surveys, while Prime Minister Nguyen Tan Dung has proposed raising the country’s 2016 economic expansion target to 7 percent, from 6.7 percent. The nation’s poverty rate has dropped to 13.5 percent, from 60 percent in 1993, and its economic growth is expected to be “solid” at more than 6 percent this year, Lagarde said in a visit to the country last week, during which she met with the country’s top leaders. Vietnam, which is in the process of a once-in-five-years political transition, now has one of the world’s most open economies, she said.
on dismissing President Truong Tan Sang and National Assembly Chairman Nguyen Sinh Hung during meetings to be held from March 31 to April 12, Nguyen Hanh Phuc, general secretary of National Assembly, said at a briefing in Hanoi. The move, being characterized as procedural by legislators, is unusual. “It’s pretty rare, but did happen twice in the past, when the time period between the Party Congress and the election to form the new National Assembly was too long,” Cao Sy Kiem, a National Assembly member, said by telephone from Hanoi. “This is to make sure the process of handing over the jobs will be smoothly done. It also make more sense as the prime minister is no longer a Politburo member now.”
The risk is that from being slightly vulnerable, Vietnam could become very vulnerable to external shocks.” —L Remarkable potential “VIETNAM has done very well—to have the ability to maintain macroeconomic stability in an environment, which is challenging, because the rest of the world is not growing at the pace, and the potential we would like to see is quite remarkable,” Lagarde said in the interview. “It has done very well in terms of reducing poverty and it has not increased inequality, which often comes with growth.” Still, the nation’s economic expansion since 2008 has been slower than the two preceding decades and it has failed to match per-capita-income growth that the region’s most successful economies experienced similar stages in
‘Lame duck’
VIETNAMESE Communist Party General Secretary Nguyen Phu Trong (left, front), President Truong Tan Sang (right, front), Prime Minister Nguyen Tan Dung (center, second row) and Chairman of the National Assembly Nguyen Sinh Hung (right, second row) pay tribute to late President Ho Chi Minh at his mausoleum in Hanoi on Monday. The National Assembly is expected to vote early next month to remove Sang, Dung and Hung after they were not elected to the all-powerful Politburo in the party’s congress in January. The assembly is also expected to elect the country’s new leaders. AP
development, she said. Vietnam also needs to make greater use of exchange-rate flexibility to soften the blows of overseas economic shocks and build external reserves, she said. Reforming the nation’s state-owned companies and resolving bad debt at banks will offset the aging of its working-age population that could be a future drag on growth, according to Lagarde.
Corporate governance
“WE believe the banking system needs to be made stronger, better and more capitalized with less stressed
Indonesia’s Lippo Group partners with GrabTaxi to speed up distribution
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IPPO Group, the Indonesian conglomerate founded by billionaire tycoon Mochtar Riady, will partner with GrabTaxi Holdings Pte. for e-commerce deliveries in Southeast Asia’s largest economy. The founder’s grandson, John Riady, is spearheading Lippo Group’s foray into e-commerce with a $500 million investment in MatahariMall, an online version of its Matahari department store chain. Grab, a regional ride-hailing company, will help transport and deliver goods to bolster MahatariMall’s services, the companies said in a statement on Monday. The partnership shows how local companies, familiar with consumer preferences, regulations and infrastructure challenges, are trying to tailor services to stay ahead of
$70B
Estimated online sales across Asean by 2010, from the current $6 billion, according to a Bain & Co. and Google Inc. report foreign rivals as competition heats up. Japanese e-commerce company Rakuten Inc. closed down its Indonesian unit as of March 1, while China’s JD.com Inc. has recently set up shop in Indonesia. “Speed is really important in
this business,” said Ridzki Kramadibrata, managing director of Grab Indonesia. “You need to be able to do multiple things at the same time, because if you can’t do that, the market will outgrow you and you will lose your opportunity.”
Rising incomes
MATAHARIMALL’S site allows customers to buy on the Web and pick up items from Lippo’s stores. Its rival Tokopedia, which is backed by Japan’s SoftBank Group Corp. and Sequoia Capital, has already formed a similar alliance with Go-Jek, a motorcycle-taxi-booking company, to deliver purchased items to customers. “Our combined knowledge of the Indonesian market will help us build the most effective onlineto-offline experience—to ensure that online shoppers anywhere in Indonesia can receive or collect their purchases easily,” John Riady, a Lippo Group director, said in the statement. Grab’s alliance with Lippo also underscores its aggressive marketshare acquisition strategy in Indonesia, where it competes with Uber Technologies Inc. and Go-Jek. Grab’s private car-hailing service grew 30 percent in Indonesia in February, according to the statement. It has more than 50 percent of the country’s motorcycle taxi market in March, it said. Technology startups are trying to capitalize on rising incomes and growing mobile-phone use in Southeast Asia, where 250 million consumers are now connected via smartphone and 100 million engage in online transactions, according to a report by Bain & Co. and Google Inc. released last week. The report predicts online sales across Southeast Asia to surge to $70 billion by 2020, from $6 billion now. Bloomberg News
assets in its balance sheets, so the banks can actually fuel the economy,” Lagarde said. State-owned enterprises need better governance and to refocus on their core businesses, she said. The country is also at risk with public debt at about 60 percent of GDP and with one of the world’s fastest-aging societies and a working-age population that is beginning to decline. “When you have the combination of high debt and slightly declining working-age population, you need to be very careful with your mac-
her Indonesian counterpart Retno Marsudi during their meeting in Jakarta on Monday. AP
EASY
PM’s fate hangs
VIETNAMESE legislators will vote in the coming weeks on whether to dismiss Dung two months after he failed in his bid to become the Communist Party’s chief. The National Assembly previously had been scheduled to meet during the summer to complete the nation’s once-in-five-year political transition. Lawmakers will also vote
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HE Tourism Authority of Thailand (TAT) has set a challenging new target for domestic tourism revenue of 900 billion baht this year, up from 790 billion baht in 2015. This goal is an increase from its 850-billion-baht forecast made earlier this year, in line with the government’s policy to promote domestic tourism and generate greater income for local communities. The additional revenue is expected to come from daily merchants crossing the border from Lao PDR, Cambodia and Myanmar for both business and leisure. Moreover, the TAT’s planned tourism campaigns will be more aggressive. TAT governor Yuthasak Supasorn called the new domestic tourism revenue goal “a tough target” at a time when the economy is slowing. The agency previously made 900 billion baht the goal for 2017. “The government is promoting service businesses among farming communities to help them generate income when crop prices are low and with a water shortage highly likely this summer,” Yuthasak said. The Interior Ministry recently approved a 60-billion-baht budget for local administration organizations to develop tourism infrastructures and products in their communities. “The budget will be used to develop the supply side of tourism,” he said. “The TAT will take a role in raising demand through aggressive campaigns the rest of the year.” Some major campaigns are Discover Thainess 2016, 12 Hidden Gems and Wan-Tam-Ma-Da-NaTiew (a weekday travel promotion), and Yuthasak urged further marketing of these campaigns. The TAT also plans to promote new tourism routes connecting popular destinations in Thailand
790B baht Thailand’s domestic tourism revenue in 2015
with neighboring countries, such as Lao PDR, Cambodia and Myanmar. It is awaiting government approval for the 780-million-baht special budget for its Quick Win tourism campaign and four big events to lift domestic tourism. For international markets, Yuthasak said the TAT is not worried about inbound tourism this year thanks to the sharp rise of foreign tourist arrivals. The Tourism and Sports Ministry projected foreign tourist arrivals to Thailand in the first quarter this year of 8.94 million, up 14.3 percent year-on-year. Revenue from inbound tourism is projected to grow 18.2 percent to 660 billion baht in the first quarter. Arrivals from China are expected to rise 25.4 percent to 2.51 million visitors, with arrivals from Europe gaining 8.3 percent to 2.09 million, and Asean visitors increasing 5.7 percent to 1.89 million. For domestic tourism, the ministry expected income to grow 6.9 percent to 210 billion baht in the first quarter. The government aims to expand the country’s total rail network to 7,000 kilometers by 2022 to reduce logistics costs and take advantage of the country’s geographic position. Prime Minister Prayut Chan-ocha said the expansion is needed as the country has failed to make headway in rail development for
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The Associated Press
NDIAN WELLS, California—Novak Djokovic and Victoria Azarenka rolled to easy victories in the BNP Paribas Open on Sunday, with the top-ranked Serb collecting his record fifth title and Azarenka winning for the second time to get back into the world’s top 10. Djokovic beat Milos Raonic, 6-2, 6-0, to improve his match record to 22-1 this year. It was the Serb’s third consecutive title in the California desert, breaking a tie with four-time champion Roger Federer, who lost to Djokovic the past two years in the final and skipped this year because of a knee injury. “I’m just glad to be able to raise the level of my game as the tournament progresses, and that’s something that I have been doing in the last two years, particularly on the big events,” Djokovic said. Azarenka defeated error-prone Serena Williams, 6-4, 6-4. Azarenka’s victory and Williams’s return to the final for the first time since 2001, when a hostile crowd triggered her 14-year boycott, was overshadowed by comments from tournament director Raymond Moore. Earlier Sunday, he criticized the Women’s Tennis Association (WTA) Tour and its players, saying they “ride on the coattails of the men” while describing the women as “physically attractive and competitively attractive.” Williams objected, saying, “Those remarks are very much mistaken and very, very, very inaccurate.” Azarenka also expressed disappointment. Djokovic and Azarenka each earned $1.02 million. Djokovic needed an hour and 17 minutes to dispatch Raonic, whose
big serve got broken five times. The 25-year-old Canadian served just four aces and had 27 unforced errors. His first serve averaged 128 mph—much faster than Djokovic’s 111 mph—but he connected on only 55 percent. The Serb landed 68 percent of his first serves and was never broken. “He’s the best returner probably of all time,” Raonic said. Raonic was bothered by an injury shortly after the match began, although afterward he wasn’t sure what was wrong. He was playing his first event since a thigh injury in the Australian Open semis in January. “I don’t think it affected my effort,” he said. “I thought he played much better than I did.” Clearly the crowd favorite, Williams gave fans little to cheer about on an unseasonable 91-degree (32 oC) day while making 33 unforced errors. After getting broken to trail 3-0 in the second set, Williams returned to her seat and smashed her racket. Trailing 5-1, Williams won three straight games and held two break points on Azarenka’s serve
years. The rail network currently stretches 4,070 km. He was speaking at a seminar and exhibition on rail component production at the Airport Rail Link’s Makkasan station on Wednesday. He said the government is trying to create a connectivity network for all modes of transportation. Transport Minister Arkhom Termpittayapaisith said the ministry has a plan to transform the country into a major transport hub for Asean and the Mekong subregion, as well as a transit route linking the Asia Pacific with South Asia, Africa and Europe. The move is included in the national transport investment plan from 2015 to 2022 and the national logistics strategic plan from 2013 to 2017. “The Transport Ministry wants a rail network offering a lowcost service. It is currently second in affordability after water transport,” said Arkhom, noting rail shipments account for only 2 percent of all transport volume and the ministry aims to push this up to 5 percent by 2022. The move would help reduce logistics costs from 14 percent of GDP to 10 percent to 12 percent within eight years, a similar level to other advanced nations. After the rail network increases to 7,000 km, factories could be set up to produce train components, signal systems and carriages, Arkhom said. He said the ministry will also work with the Science and Technology Ministry and the Industry Ministry to develop rail components, human resources and signal systems by adopting technologies from abroad. Land around the rail stations and on both sides of the rail tracks will be commercially developed to supplement income for financing the rail operations, the minister said. MCT
ASEAN
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Sports C1
| TUESDAY, MARCH 22, 2016
mirror_sports@yahoo.com.ph sports@businessmirror.com.ph Editor: Jun Lomibao Asst. Editor: Joel Orellana
NOVAK DJOKOVIC improves his match record to 22-1 this year. AP
in the last game. But Williams ended the match with three straight errors. “Just unexpected nerves maybe. I definitely didn’t expect to be on that stage again,” said Williams, who was back at Indian Wells after ending her 14-year boycott last year. It was Azarenka’s first victory over the top-ranked Williams since the Cincinnati final in August 2013. She will move up seven spots to No. 8 in the rankings released on Monday, her first time back in the top 10 since August 2014. Azarenka, who won here in 2012, hit just 10 winners and had 20 unforced errors in the two-hour match. She connected on 60 percent of her first serves and broke Williams’s serve three times. Williams converted just oneof-12 break chances. “I have to go for it,” Azarenka said. “She’s not a type of player that if you’re going to play safe she’s going to give it to you or she’s going to miss. You really have to go out there and take away because there is nothing coming easy.”
The crowd, including Queen Latifah, was eager to support Williams. One fan held up a sign reading, “Go Serena. We straight outta Compton,” in a nod to the gang-infested Los Angeles suburb where the Williams sisters learned to play tennis. Williams was bidding to become the first woman to win three titles at Indian Wells, where she won in 1999 and 2001. After getting booed heavily while beating Kim Clijsters for her last title here, she vowed never to return. That year the Williams sisters were supposed to meet in a semifinal, but Venus withdrew shortly before the match with a knee injury. The crowd reacted harshly and their father Richard said he heard racial taunts. “Obviously the last time I was there was probably the worst moment of my whole career. Not probably. Sure,” Williams said. “To be back out there, which I never thought I would be, was really different and special. I was overwhelmed with emotions and nerves.” Williams’s low-key persona was in direct contrast to her usual fist-pumping and screams of “Come on!” She hit just 22 winners. Azarenka and Williams met for the 21st time in their careers, with Williams owning a 17-4 edge. The only player she has faced more in her career is her older sister, who watched grim-faced from a box after losing early in her return to Indian Wells for the first time since 2001. “It was so great for our sport to see them both here,” Azarenka said. Williams was warmly welcomed back last year only to withdraw with a knee injury before her semifinal. She got emotional while accepting the runner-up trophy, tears welling in her eyes, after tournament officials thanked her and Venus for ending their boycotts. “Thank you so much for the cheers,” Williams said. “I can’t tell you how much it means to me.” Williams playfully stuck out her tongue as she walked past Azarenka posing with the winner’s crystal trophy on her way off the court.
CHAMPIONS!
The National University (NU) Pep Squad retains the National Cheerleading Championship on Sunday at the MOA Arena in Pasay City. NU garnered a total of 340.5 points to bag its third NCC title.
SPORTS
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We are expecting a third consecutive quarter of above-6 percent GDP growth.” —M C
ANNUAL EXODUS Passengers who will spend the Holy Week in the provinces wait for their ride at the Araneta Bus Terminal in Cubao, Quezon City. ALYSA SALEN
Additional LGU fund now ready B D C
BusinessMirror
VICTORIES
Victoria Azarenka’s victory and Serena Williams’s return to the final for the first time since 2001, when a hostile crowd triggered her 14-year boycott, was overshadowed by comments from tournament director Raymond Moore.
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Bloomberg News
Thailand crafting aggressive domestic tourism campaign
EASY VICTORIES BISHOP IN JAKARTA Australian Foreign Minister Julie Bishop (right) is greeted by
roeconomic stability,” she said in the interview. “You need to be very careful with the revenue you generate and how you spend it.”
A DISMISSAL will allow Dung, who wielded significant power, to move on to the next stage in his career and allow the government to avoid an extended period of inaction before the new prime minister and other leaders are appointed. “For a Vietnamese leader, respect is very important and you can only govern if you have respect,” said Vu Tu Thanh, chief Vietnam representative of the US-Asean Business Council. “If you feel people have their deference and respect divided between you and the incoming guy, you want to get out of there and focus on your future. He is a lame duck.” Current Communist Party General Secretary Nguyen Phu Trong was chosen by delegates to a second term in January over Dung. The parliament will also vote to elect new leaders to take the country’s three top positions, Phuc said.
In the latest Market Call report, First Metro Investment Corp. (FMIC) and University of Asia and the Pacific (UA&P) Capital Markets Research said growth will be driven by election spending and the government’s infrastructure expenditures. “With the dreaded El Niño appearing to be fairly moderated in January to February, agricultural output may yet turn slightly positive, which, together with robust
UDGET Secretary Florencio B. Abad has issued the guidelines on the utilization of the P19.07-billion Local Government Support Fund (LGSF). Local government units (LGUs) can tap this financial assistance from the national government for their projects, including health, social services and infrastructure. Under Local Budget Circular 109, LGUs can now propose to get funding for their projects, which will be approved by the Department of Budget and Management and funded by the
₧19.07B
Funds that local governments can tap under the 2016 LGSF
LGSF in the 2016 General Appropriations Act. Abad’s circular also enumerated the projects that may be proposed for funding under the LGSF. For projects relating to health, financial assistance may be given to indigent patients, either confined or outpatients, and may
also include professional fees. For social services, financial assistance may also be given to indigent families through assistance in medical bills, burial assistance, transportation subsidies, food subsidies, cash-for-work programs and educational subsidies. For climate-change adaptation programs, an LGU may propose to buy heavy-duty rescue vehicles. Public infrastructure projects may also be proposed to construct or repair local roads and bridges, public markets, slaughterhouse s , mu lt i - pu r p o s e bu i l d i n g s , C A
Indonesia detains Chinese fishermen after SCS chase
It is very crystal clear that Natuna belongs to Indonesia.” —M
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NDONESIA detained the crew of a Chinese boat suspected of illegally fishing in its waters, after a chase involving a Chinese coast guard vessel. The government submitted a protest to China’s Chargé d’Affaires Sun Weide in Jakarta over the incident in Indonesia’s economic zone near the Natuna islands, Foreign Minister Retno Marsudi said, according
PESO EXCHANGE RATES n US 46.2700
to state news agency Antara. Earlier, Ministr y Spokesman Arrmanatha Nasir said a Chinese coast guard vessel had entered the melee, colliding with the fishing boat as it was being towed by an Indonesian patrol ship. It was unclear how many fishermen were on the boat and are now being held. “We are concerned, but I can’t say much more before all the facts are
verified,” Nasir said. Under President Joko Widodo, the government has taken a more assertive approach to foreign policy; stepping up control of the borders of the world’s largest archipelago; developing its coast guard; and blowing up vessels found illegally fishing in its waters. Indonesia is also deploying warships in the gas-rich waters
U.S. RIG COUNT RISES AFTER 3 MOS OF DROP AMID GLUT
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IL fell for a second day, extending declines from a three-month high, as the number of drill rigs active in the US rose for the first time in three months amid a global glut. Futures slid as much as 1.5 percent in New York, after decreasing 1.9 percent on Friday. Drillers put one rig back to work last week, marking the first addition since late last year, according to data from Baker Hughes Inc. Ecuador will propose a cut to output at a meeting next month of producers from within and outside the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (Opec) to help boost prices, according to President Rafael Correa. Energy companies led declines on the MSCI Asia Pacific Index. “There is a bit of a correction after the spike above
$40, because the market is still oversupplied and demand is sluggish, although it’s better than what it was,” Evan Lucas, a market strategist at IG Ltd. in Melbourne, said by phone. “An average of around $35 a barrel is likely in the second quarter. There are signs that the supply side is feeling the pinch and have been forced to act.” Oil has recouped its losses this year, after slumping to a 12-year low last mont h on spec u l at ion stronger demand and falling US output will ease a surplus. Hedge funds and other speculators increased their net-long position in West Texas Intermediate (WTI) futures and options by 17 percent in the week ended March 15 to the highest since June, US Commodity Futures S “U.S. ,” A
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n JAPAN 0.4148 n UK 66.9110 n HK 5.9661 n CHINA 7.1482 n SINGAPORE 34.0973 n AUSTRALIA 35.1328 n EU 52.1555 n SAUDI ARABIA 12.3387
Source: BSP (21 March 2016 )