October 15, 2015

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BusinessMirror

THREETIME ROTARY CLUB OF MANILA JOURNALISM AWARDEE 2006, 2010, 2012

U.N. MEDIA AWARD 2008

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A broader look at today’s business Thursday 18,October 2014 Vol.15, 10 No. 40 Vol. 11 No. 7 Thursday, 2015

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P.  |     | 7 DAYS A WEEK

MBC joins lobby against pre-shipment inspection T B C N. P

INSIDE

HE Makati Business Club (MBC) has joined the groups that aired their opposition to the proposal to revive the preshipment inspection (PSI) scheme.

‘AMAZING GRACE’ Sports BusinessMirror

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| THURSDAY, OCTOBER CTOBER 15, 2015 mirror_sports@yahoo.com.ph sports@businessmirror.com.ph Editor: Jun Lomibao

TESTING THE COURSE Jenny Rissveds of Sweden competes in the International Mountain Bike Challenge at the Deodoro Sports Complex in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, over the weekend. Some of the world’s leading mountain bike riders competed on the track that will be used for next year’s Olympic Games. AP

‘AMAZING GRACE’ The 27-year-old sparkplug from South Africa, Branden Grace, was at his best for the International team all week at the Jack Nicklaus Golf Club Korea. B D F The Associated Press

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APA, California— Those traveling, songloving “fanatics” at the Presidents Cup had no trouble finding the right tune for Branden Grace, with a slight change of lyrics. “Amazing Grace, how sweet the sound, that saved his best for me.” That he did. The 27-year-old sparkplug from South Africa was at his best for the International team all week at the Jack Nicklaus Golf Club Korea. Not only did he become only the second International player to go 5-0 for the week—Shigeki Maruyama was the other in 1998—only one of those matches reached the 18th hole. And that might have been his defining moment. With partner Louis Oosthuizen having put his shot in the water, and the sky so dark that Grace could barely see the flag, he ripped a 3-wood into the wind and onto the edge of the green to secure a crucial point. “He just showed that he’s a world-class player, and there’s no moment too big for him,” Oosthuizen gushed that day. “He’s going to be a really great player.” Grace already showed he has the goods, even if not everyone was paying attention. He nearly crashed the Jordan Spieth-Dustin Johnson party at Chambers Bay, playing just as well as both of them. He was tied for the lead until one bad swing— his tee shot on the 16th that went over the railroad tracks and out of bounds—cost him. Grace also finished third at the Professonal Golfers’ Association (PGA) Championship, which is easy to overlook because Jason Day really didn’t give anyone a chance at Whistling Straits. Also forgotten is how Grace first arrived on the golfing scene in 2012 by winning back-to-back weeks in South Africa, including a

INTERNATIONAL team player Branden Grace of South Africa watches his chip shot on the 16th hole during his singles match against the United States’s Matt Kuchar at the Presidents Cup. AP

playoff victory over Ernie Els and Retief Goosen in the Volvo Golf Champions at Fancourt. Even so, there’s something about a Presidents Cup or a Ryder Cup that allows for the appearance of a breakout moment. It just doesn’t always work out that way. Jamie Donaldson contributed three points in Europe’s victory last year at Gleneagles, and he delivered the signature moment with a 9-iron to tap-in range that was the clinching point. Donaldson has finished in the top 5 only twice since, though the Welshman was 38, and somewhat of a late bloomer in the first place. A better example might be Graham DeLaet. The Canadian had one of his best weeks of golf at the Presidents Cup two years ago at Muirfield Village. DeLaet and Jason Day earned the most points for the International team, and DeLaet finished his week by holing a bunker shot to beat Jordan Spieth on the 18th hole. As well as he strikes the ball, and as much as he stepped up his game on a big stage, DeLaet was a feature story in golf magazines and a player to watch for years to come. Expectations got even higher when he finished one shot behind in consecutive weeks at Torrey Pines and Phoenix. He reached as high as No. 28 in the world that week, but he still hasn’t won on the PGA Tour and has fallen out of the top 100. Remember Nicolas Colsaerts, the Belgium bomber? He made a name for himself in one match at Medinah during the 2012 Ryder Cup by making eight birdies and an eagle and singlehandedly beating Tiger Woods and Steve Stricker in fourballs. Given his length and surfer-cool attitude, he looked to be a star in the making. And maybe that day will come. But since then, Colsaerts has rarely come close to winning and dropped to No. 233 in the world. What should set Grace apart

from those examples is what he already has done—this year with two victories and the strong showing at Chambers Bay and Whistling Straits, his five-win season in 2012, ending last year with a seven-shot win over Oosthuizen. If anything has held him back, or kept him from getting more attention, it’s his lack of consistency. That’s a problem for just about anyone (see Billy Horschel). “I think I get a bit streaky out there,” Grace said. “The same happened in 2012. Got the one win and it led to another and five wins that season. I think the year where I didn’t win, a couple of bad habits came back into my golf game, a little bit of struggling with the putting and things like that. But I’ve got that under control now. I think that’s been the big turnaround for me so far this season.” That will determine where his game goes from here more than anything he did in a team uniform.

Reed has clubs and will travel

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APA, California—The Presidents Cup followed the end of a long season for Patrick Reed, and he still has a long way to go. Reed took up European Tour membership this year, and even with the Presidents Cup counting toward the minimum 13 events he must play, he is four short. That’s why he is headed back to Asia next week to finish off his schedule. It starts with the Hong Kong Open. He also will be in Shanghai for two weeks (HSBC Champions, BMW Masters) ahead of the DP World Tour Championship in Dubai. But then he’s still not done. Reed also said he would play the Hero World Challenge that Tiger Woods hosts in the Bahamas and the Franklin Templeton Shootout that Greg Norman hosts in Florida. “It’s tough,” Reed said. “After I play Tiger’s and Shark Shootout, I’ll be at 35 or 37 weeks of the year I’ll be gone. It’s a lot.” It might have been easier except that Reed chose to withdraw from two European Tour events—the BMW Professional Golfers’ Association (PGA) Championship at Wentworth and the Irish Open— in May when his wife’s cousin died. Reed is the only American-born player who had his PGA Tour card first and chose to play both tours, and he said he still hasn’t decided whether he would try it next year when the schedule will be even more packed because of the Olympics. But he had no intention of skipping the European Tour events in Asia. What does he get out of playing both tours? “Learning how to travel a little bit better, especially with time-zone changes,” Reed said. “In the United States, it’s very easy. But when you’re starting to fly to different countries, it becomes tough. Even though we had a direct flight here, a 14-hour flight, flying to Hong Kong is a long flight. Hong Kong to Malaysia is still a five-hour trip. Then Malaysia to China is not bad, but then China to Dubai is a long trip. “You get in Monday afternoon, and it seems like the weeks become a little shorter and you need to learn the golf course a lot quicker.”

SPIETH’S PUTTING

ACCORDING to the PGA Tour, Jordan Spieth led six putting categories (some of them are repetitive), including the tradition putts per round and overall putts. But one statistic remains hard to believe. Spieth made 27 percent of his putts between 15 feet and 25 feet. That’s the highest percent since

the tour began using lasers for its ShotLink scoring system.

MICKELSON’S WEEK

PHIL MICKELSON wasn’t kidding when he said how much he enjoyed the team events. He sat out on Saturday morning and was on the course early despite the threat of rain. Standing on the tee at the par-3 third hole, Lefty made sure every American player who walked by rubbed his belly for good luck. On the golf course, he turned in an unbeaten record (3-0-1) for the third time in the Presidents Cup. He also went 4-0-1 at Harding Park in 2009 and 3-0-2 at the Robert Trent Jones Golf Club in 2005. At the start of the week Mickelson bit his tongue when asked if he wondered how many more times he would play in a Presidents Cup or Ryder Cup. This was his 21st consecutive team. “Not yet,” he said. “I’m excited about the way the last few months have gone, which makes me very excited for the coming year and coming years.” When the reporter mentioned it was a negative question, Mickelson seamlessly interrupted by saying, “with a very positive answer.” Mickelson headed home for what amounts to a three-month break before starting out in 2016. He is No. 5 in the Ryder Cup standings, mainly on the strength of his runner-up finish at the Masters, though the team effectively is decided by 2016 performances. “I’m certainly looking forward to next year’s Ryder Cup, as well, and I hope that I don’t put the captain in a position where he has to pick me this time,” Mickelson said. “I hope that I will be able to make it on my own.” Still, the question leaving South Korea was whether Mickelson did enough to warrant a captain’s pick for the Ryder Cup if he is 30th in the standings as he was for this one?

SAWGRASS CHANGE?

PGA Tour Commissioner Tim Finchem said it might not be long before The Players Championship has a reachable par—the 12th hole. But it wouldn’t be a matter of just playing from a forward tee. “If we move the tee up, we probably have more guys taking a shot at it,” Finchem said. “What we want is a combination of it being riskreward and the way it’s structured is it entices you to take a shot at it. If there’s no downside to it, that raises the question, ‘Do you really want to spend the energy?’” AP

SPORTS

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PHL NEEDS BLOCK FARMS, LESS FARMERS —EXPERTS

The influential business group instead advised the Bureau of Customs (BOC) to iron out kinks in its procedures first before considering any new inspection scheme. “While we understand the intent and purpose of putting a PSI system in place, such should not run counter to the ultimate objective of facilitating trade. Absent a fully modernized and clearly streamlined customs procedures, the PSI may just be another hurdle for the S “MBC,” A

BSP: Peso can sustain levels after rebound

BusinessMirror

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HE rebound in the Philippine peso to near the strongest level in two months can be sustained, Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) Deputy Governor for the Monetary Stability Sector Diwa C. Guinigundo said, citing ample reserves and surpluses in the current account and balance of payments. “If we consider domestic factors, we have scope for the peso to be generally stable, and exchange rates at these levels can be sustainable over a longer period,” Guinigundo, 61, said in an interview in his office in Manila on Tuesday. “Pressures in the peso may be considered more manageable because of healthy

PHL NEEDS BLOCK FARMS,

LESS FARMERS–EXPERTS B M G P

NCREASING food production to feed more than 100 million Filipinos has become more challenging due to changing weather patterns, as well as the continuous conversion of farm lands. The Philippine Rice Research Institute (PhilRice) said it doesn’t help that farmers also have to deal with the “inherent disadvantages” of the Philippines. As rice is the staple food of Filipinos, farmers are under pressure to expand rice output every year. Paddy-rice output needs to keep pace with population growth, pegged at nearly 2 percent annually. According to the Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA), the country’s population increased at the rate of 1.9 percent annually, on the average, during the period 2000 to 2010. This means that there were two persons added per year for every 100 persons in the population. Meanwhile, annual per-capita consumption of rice was pegged by the PSA at 114.27 kilograms. This means that each Filipino consumes about 2.2 kg of rice per week. Because of the importance of rice to the Filipinos’ diet, the Philippines has 2.6 million hectares of land devoted to rice. The average farm size is at 1.04 hectares, while harvest area is at 4.7 million hectares. Dr. Santiago R. Obien, senior technical adviser of the Department of Agriculture’s (DA) National Rice Program, said farmers’ adoption of technological innovations would help them become more productive. One such technology is hybrid-rice seeds, which would al-

Rodham Clinton, former Maryland Gov. Martin O’Malley and former Rhode Island Gov. Lincoln Chafee take the stage before the CNN Democratic presidential debate on Tuesday in Las Vegas. AP/DAVID BECKER

TheBroaderLook

A4 Thursday, October 15, 2015

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DEMOCRATS DEBATE Democratic presidential candidates (from left) former Virginia Sen. Jim Webb, Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont, Hillary

low farmers to grow more rice and consequently earn more. The country’s hybrid-rice varieties, Obien said, are the best outside of China, as yield could average 8 to 10 tons per hectare, and can reach up to 12 tons. “As a farmer’s yield increases, his cost of production decreases. This would allow farmers to increase their profits,” Obien told reporters and editors during a forum, dubbed as the BM Coffee Club, held recently in Makati City.

Economies of scale

PHILRICE Executive Director Calixto M. Protacio and Obien both agree that there should be farm areas consolidated and managed by fewer farmers to again make farming a “financially appealing and viable venture.” In economically advanced countries, Obien said only about 3 percent of the total population are farmers. Korean farmers in 1960 used to make up 53 percent of their population. Now, there are only 16 percent of these farmers, and they are rich. Obien also noted that the number of farmers in Th ailand is also declining, as many of them

are being recruited by factories. Some of these farmers ask their neighbors to take care of their farms. “If one farmer has 4 hectares of land and two of his friends who also have 4 hectares each go into other industries and ask him to cultivate their land, that farmer now has 12 hectares to harvest. With bigger land, that farmer can now buy a tractor and a [vehicle]. It just shows that we need less farmers to be rich,” Obien said. For his part, Protacio said there is a need to achieve economies of scale for farmers to make them more productive and competitive. He said farmers with a small land cannot afford to adopt innovations to make farming efficient and increase their output. “Clustering, or land consolidation, is good. You have to establish economies of scale. In a way, the idea is to go back to the concept of landlords. We are looking at this as a rural-transformation idea. We found that to be able to become a millionaire, a farmer has to have at least 20 hectares of land,” he said. In their study, “The Size Distribution of Farms and International Productivity Differences” published

in 2011, Tasso Adamopoulos and Diego Restuccia focused on the differences in average farm sizes among countries. They found that the average farm size for poor countries is 1.6 hectares, while rich countries have an average farm size of 54.1 hectares. “Richer countries have fewer small farms and more large farms than poorer countries. In the poorest countries, over 90 percent of farms are small and almost none of the farms are large; whereas in the richest countries, small farms account for about 30 percent of farms and large farms for nearly 40 percent,” the study read. A recent study by Krishna H. Koirala and Ashok K. Mishra of the Louisiana State University and Samarendy Mohanty of the International Rice Research Institute, titled “Impact of Land Ownership on Productivity and Efficiency of Rice Farmers: A Simulated Maximum Likelihood Approach,” revealed that a 1-percent increase in farm size could result in an increase in the value of rice production by about 0.4 percent.

CARP’s woes

THE Philippine government, nonetheless, still has a commitment to grant landless farmers and farm workers ownership of agricultural lands by the end of the Aquino administration. Farm lands are becoming more fragmented into smaller areas as they are being turned over to small farmers. Republic Act (RA) 6657, or the Comprehensive Agrarian Reform Law, was enacted by President Corazon Aquino in 1988, authorizing the Department of Agrarian Reform (DAR) to undertake the distribution of an estimated 7.8 million hectares of agricultural lands. The law was aimed to promote social justice and to establish

“owner cultivatorship” of economic-size farms as the basis of Philippine agriculture. “To this end, a more equitable distribution and ownership of land, with due regard to the rights of landowners to just compensation and to the ecological needs of the nation, shall be undertaken to provide farmers and farm workers with the opportunity to enhance their dignity and improve the quality of their lives through greater productivity of agricultural lands,” RA 6657 stated. However, Obien said the government has failed to follow the distribution of land with the provision of farm inputs and machineries. He said the Comprehensive Agrarian Reform Program (CARP) of the government has not served as a plan for productivity. “It [CARP] was simply a socialjustice system. That’s the problem. It should not have been that way. It should have been a systematic program so that farmers can become more productive,” Obien said. “The government, upon the release of the land, should have also provided the farmers with machineries, facilities, inputs and electricity, among others, so that they can be progressive. The Japanese call it land reformation, not land reform. However, nothing was given to our farmers,” he added. Protacio said the initial idea for the CARP was for cooperatives to take over the farmlands and consolidate them into large units. He said, however, that because of the individualistic nature of Filipinos, it did not work. In 1996 the Philippine Institute for Development Studies (PIDS) also published a study, titled “Issues in Revitalizing the Philippine Sugar Industry.” The study revealed that the sugar industry had to contend with declining productivity.

“Implementing the land-transfer scheme of CARP had been slow due to the government’s administrative and financial constraints. And then there is the strong opposition from the landowners. Nonland-transfer schemes, which include land lease or rental, profit sharing and corporate stock distribution, have proven to be unattractive to landowners,” the study read. “Such delay and uncertainties discourage CARP farmer-owners to invest in farm improvements, lower collateral value of agricultural land, and reduce credit flow to agriculture. In the end, low productivity becomes inevitable,” it added. A study published by the International Society for Southeast Asian Agricultural Sciences (ISSAAS), titled “Farm Size and Its Effect on the Productive Efficiency of Sugarcane Farms in Central Negros,” showed that average optimum land size should be around 41 hectares, which is lower than the optimum size (50 hectares) stated in the report of the Presidential Task Force on the Sugar Industry. “[Big farms] are also the more favored in terms of technology and access to information and extension services. Modernization of farm practices can improve productive efficiency, however, this is difficult to achieve at present due to the limited financial capability of the farmers,” the report read. To boost the productivity of sugarcane farms, the Sugar Regulatory Administration (SRA) rolled out a program, which sought to consolidate small farms into larger areas while still preserving individual ownership of the land, in 2012. “Block farming is the consolidation of the management of small farms of less than 5 hectares, into a bigger but contiguous unit of at least 30 hectares for purposes of

BROADER LOOK

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GUINIGUNDO: “If we consider domestic factors, we have scope for the peso to be generally stable, and exchange rates at these levels can be sustainable over a longer period.”

macroeconomic fundamentals.” The impending increase in US interest rates is putting pressure on emerging markets, complicating monetary policy, as central banks seek to support growth while guarding against capital outflows.

Singapore on Wednesday eased monetary policy for the second time this year, as the economy narrowly avoided a technical recession, saying that it will reduce “slightly” the pace of appreciation in the local dollar. “While there is pressure for the dollar to strengthen, the peso will be among the least affected, because we have constant inflows from remittances, outsourcing,” said Antonio Espedido, treasurer at China Banking Corp. in Manila. “Structurally, our outflows are more controlled, giving us surpluses every year.”

Stable reserves

THE peso, which climbed to a two-

month high on Monday, was little changed on Wednesday at 46.08 per dollar. It is still the best-performing Southeast Asian currency tracked by Bloomberg this year, and the nation’s reserves have remained stable at more than $80 billion, in contrast to others, including Indonesia and Malaysia, where they have declined. ING Groep NV on October 12 said it is reviewing its year-end forecasts of P46.8 per dollar for 2015, and P47 for 2016. “Recent external developments have been favorable and could extend to the end of the year and in 2016, S “BSP,” A

‘PHL NEEDS ABOVE 6% GROWTH ANNUALLY’ B C U. O

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F the Philippines were to reach First World status in 25 years as projected, economic growth should average more than 6 percent annually over the next three to five years. Economic Planning Secretary Arsenio M. Balisacan told reporters that, with growth averaging only 6 percent in the next few years, the Southeast Asian nation could achieve First World status around 2050 or even later to 2055. Achieving First World status within that period should also delay the creation of more jobs and improving the incomes of Filipinos. Such could also mean the country will again be a laggard among its peers in the Asean. “You have to grow faster, otherwise even Vietnam would pass us by. You need to grow close to 7 [percent]. [It’s] better to have 7 [percent] rather than 8 [percent], as long as we sustain that. An uneven growth path should also prove very costly,” he said. Balisacan earlier said sustained GDP growth of about 7 percent a year should help lift the Philippines higher to middleincome economy status, with a gross national income (GNI) per capita of $4,125 by the time the next Chief Executive sits in Malacañang. He added that should growth is sustained for three more presidencies, such could push the Philippines closer to highincome economy status, with a GNI per capita estimated at $12,746 by 2040. Former Philippine Economics Society President Alvin P. Ang said an added benefit to be derived from this development is greater reduction in the incidence of poverty in the country. University of Asia and the Pacific School of Economics Vice Dean Cid L. Terosa also said maintaining growth of 7 percent should make the country a more attractive investment destination. “Sustained growth at 7 percent means higher standard of living due to more jobs and higher income for many people. This can lead to a robust business and economic environment for investments and domestic production,” Terosa said. However, because of the government’s underspending and weak global demand, the $285-billion Southeast Asian economy was seen to post growth of just maybe 6 percent this year.

BusinessMirror MEDIA PARTNER

PESO EXCHANGE RATES n US 45.9830

n JAPAN 0.3839 n UK 70.1241 n HK 5.9333 n CHINA 7.2495 n SINGAPORE 32.7888 n AUSTRALIA 33.5446 n EU 52.3424 n SAUDI ARABIA 12.2670

Source: BSP (14 October 2015)


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