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Could Trump’s deregulation quest speed permitting in Canada too? POLICY
| US moves will exert permitting, tax pressures north of the border
BY ALISHA HIYATE
U.S.
president-elect Donald Trump made two picks for key posts in his administration last week that signal he’s serious about rolling back environmental regulations and speeding up permitting for oil and gas as well as mining projects — a policy that could put pressure on Canada to do the same. Trump, who has repeatedly promised the U.S. will “drill baby, drill” for fossil fuels, named Lee Zeldin, a former congressman from New York, as his pick on Nov. 11 to head up the Environmental Protection Agency. Zeldin has promised to roll back “left-wing” regulations while also protecting the environment. He’s endorsed Trump’s call to use the EPA to pursue U.S. “energy dominance” and economic growth. For Interior Secretary, a post that oversees the management and conservation of federal lands in the U.S., Trump announced Doug Burgum, governor of North Dakota — the third largest oil producing state in the country – as his choice. Burgum will also lead a newly created National Energy Council,
“We’re going to have to finally speed up our permitting in Canada, otherwise we’re going to get left behind.” PATRICIA MOHR, ECONOMIST
Donald Trump during his first term as president at the G20 Japan Summit in Osaka in June 2019. WHITE HOUSE SHEALAH CRAIGHEAD VIA FLICKR
which will focus on increasing domestic energy supplies by better coordinating federal agencies and adding capacity to the electricity grid. Deregulation and speeding up permitting were key policies for Trump during his first term, and Frank Mariage, a mining-focused partner at law firm Fasken, says Trump’s picks show he considers that unfinished business.
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Trump 2.0 “When Trump 1.0 came in, he put in through executive orders a number of guidelines to start streamlining the permitting process. Most of those were repealed when Biden came in,” Mariage says. “So Trump is going to be looking to obviously put those back into force, and these nominations are a clear signal that that’s where they’re headed.” Much of the media focus has been on Trump’s support for fossil fuels, a reversal of Biden’s focus on fighting climate change and speeding the energy transition through the Inflation Reduction Act and other legislation. However, Trump also supports domestic production of critical minerals to reduce reliance on China, and has said that U.S. copper and lithium production should be maximized. Easing of permitting regulations in the U.S. will also have spill-on effects in Canada, where permitting is not quite as slow, but still excruciating, says Patricia Mohr, a former Scotiabank vice-president and economist. “If they do that south of the border, we’re going to have to finally speed up our permitting in Canada. Otherwise, we’re going to get left behind,” says Mohr, who also sits on the board of Horizon Copper (TSXV: HCU) and is also the former editor of Capitalight Research’s critical minerals-focused newsletter. “It’s going to create pressure on us because, in British Columbia alone, there are at least six latestage mining projects that could
actually be financed and get going. These are industrial mines, not gold mines. These things exist in B.C., but they need to really be pushed by government to get going.” Mohr admits some commodity prices aren’t cooperating — nickel for example — but says copper demand has held up despite weak growth in China, which accounts for over half of global demand. The Prospectors & Developers Association of Canada (PDAC), which advocates for improvements to the regulatory framework, agrees reforms are sorely needed to capitalize on the nation’s mineral potential. “While there is uncertainty around potential policy changes in the U.S., any moves to streamline permitting there could further heighten competitive pressures on Canada,” Jeff Killeen, PDAC’s director, policy and programs, said in an email to The Northern Miner. “We believe changes are urgently needed, including harmonizing federal and provincial approvals to eliminate duplication, setting clear and predictable timelines for permitting, and ensuring regulatory bodies have the resources to manage applications efficiently.” Tax impact Mariage says Canada will also have to consider how to attract investment if Trump follows through with pledges to slash taxes. “The extractive industry is very capital intense and it’s very risky, Trump 42 >
Mali risks on the rise for miners / 9
How will metals fare under Trump? page 42 PM44082538