September 2022 Amber Integrated / KOCO Poll: Toplines

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SEPTEMBER 19 - 21, 2022 KOCO OKLAHOMA STATEWIDE POLL (405) 330-4499 | 200 NORTHWEST 66TH STREET #972 OKLAHOMA CITY, OK 73116 | AMBERINTEGRATED.COM POLITICAL CONSULTING | GOVERNMENT RELATIONS CONSULTING | STRATEGIC COMMUNICATIONS | MEDIA AND ADVERTISING SERVICES | MARKET RESEARCH

TOPLINES

This survey was conducted from September 19 - 21, 2022 and included a pool of 500 likely voters in Oklahoma. These survey results were weighted based on party affiliation, age, gender, and level of education based on Amber Integrated’s proprietary 2022 voter turnout modeling. This survey has a margin of error of 4.4% at a 95% confidence interval. It is important to remember that subsets based on party affiliation, gender, age, education, race/ethnicity, and location carry with them higher margins of error, as the sample size is reduced. The poll surveyed both cell phones and landlines and used a combination of live callers and an online sample of likely voters.

IN NOVEMBER, THERE WILL BE A GENERAL ELECTION FOR GOVERNOR OF OKLAHOMA. IF THE ELECTION WERE HELD TODAY WHICH OF THESE CANDIDATES WOULD YOU VOTE FOR? [ROTATE]: KEVIN STITT THE REPUBLICAN, JOY HOFMEISTER THE DEMOCRAT, NATALIE BRUNO THE LIBERTARIAN, OR ERVIN YEN AN INDEPENDENT. (IF UNDECIDED, ASK:) “TOWARD WHOM TO YOU LEAN?

KEVIN STITT, THE REPUBLICAN 47% JOY HOFMEISTER, THE DEMOCRAT 44% NATALIE BRUNO, THE LIBERTARIAN 2% ERVIN YEN, AN INDEPENDENT 1% REFUSED / UNDECIDED 7%

IN NOVEMBER, THERE WILL BE A GENERAL ELECTION FOR LIEUTENANT GOVERNOR OF OKLAHOMA. IF THE ELECTION WERE HELD TODAY WHICH OF THESE CANDIDATES WOULD YOU VOTE FOR? [ROTATE]: MATT PINNELL THE REPUBLICAN, MELINDA ALIZADEH-FARD THE DEMOCRAT, OR CHRIS POWELL THE LIBERTARIAN. (IF UNDECIDED, ASK:) “TOWARD WHOM TO YOU LEAN?

MATT PINNELL, THE REPUBLICAN 49% MELINDA ALIZADEH-FARD, 34% THE DEMOCRAT CHRIS POWELL, THE LIBERTARIAN 5% REFUSED / UNDECIDED 12%

IN NOVEMBER, THERE WILL BE A GENERAL ELECTION FOR STATE SUPERINTENDENT OF OKLAHOMA. IF THE ELECTION WERE HELD TODAY WHICH OF THESE CANDIDATES WOULD YOU VOTE FOR? [ROTATE]: RYAN WALTERS THE REPUBLICAN OR JENNA NELSON THE DEMOCRAT. (IF UNDECIDED, ASK:) “TOWARD WHOM TO YOU LEAN?

RYAN WALTERS, THE REPUBLICAN 44% JENNA NELSON, THE DEMOCRAT 49% REFUSED / UNDECIDED 7%

*Not all numbers may perfectly total 100% due to rounding and weighting.

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TOPLINES

This survey was conducted from September 19 - 21, 2022 and included a pool of 500 likely voters in Oklahoma. These survey results were weighted based on party affiliation, age, gender, and level of education based on Amber Integrated’s proprietary 2022 voter turnout modeling. This survey has a margin of error of 4.4% at a 95% confidence interval. It is important to remember that subsets based on party affiliation, gender, age, education, race/ethnicity, and location carry with them higher margins of error, as the sample size is reduced. The poll surveyed both cell phones and landlines and used a combination of live callers and an online sample of likely voters.

IN NOVEMBER, THERE WILL BE A GENERAL ELECTION FOR OKLAHOMA CORPORATION COMMISSIONER. IF THE ELECTION WERE HELD TODAY WHICH OF THESE CANDIDATES WOULD YOU VOTE FOR? [ROTATE]: KIM DAVID THE REPUBLICAN, MARGARET WARIGIA BOWMAN THE DEMOCRAT, OR DON UNDERWOOD AN INDEPENDENT. (IF UNDECIDED, ASK:) “TOWARD WHOM TO YOU LEAN?

KIM DAVID, THE REPUBLICAN 48% MARGARET WARIGIA BOWMAN, 30% THE DEMOCRAT

DON UNDERWOOD, 9% AN INDEPENDENT REFUSED / UNDECIDED 12%

IN NOVEMBER, THERE WILL BE A GENERAL ELECTION FOR OKLAHOMA LABOR COMMISSIONER. IF THE ELECTION WERE HELD TODAY WHICH OF THESE CANDIDATES WOULD YOU VOTE FOR? [ROTATE]: LESLIE OSBORN THE REPUBLICAN, JACK HENDERSON THE DEMOCRAT, OR WILL DAUGHERTY THE LIBERTARIAN. (IF UNDECIDED, ASK:) “TOWARD WHOM TO YOU LEAN?

LESLIE OSBORN, THE REPUBLICAN 52% JACK HENDERSON, THE DEMOCRAT 32% WILL DAUGHERTY, THE LIBERTARIAN 5% REFUSED / UNDECIDED 12%

IN NOVEMBER, THERE WILL BE A GENERAL ELECTION FOR UNITED STATES SENATE. IF THE ELECTION WERE HELD TODAY WHICH OF THESE CANDIDATES WOULD YOU VOTE FOR? [ROTATE]: JAMES LANKFORD THE REPUBLICAN, MADISON HORN THE DEMOCRAT, KENNETH BLEVINS THE LIBERTARIAN, OR MICHAEL DELANEY AN INDEPENDENT. (IF UNDECIDED, ASK:) “TOWARD WHOM TO YOU LEAN?

JAMES LANKFORD, 52% THE REPUBLICAN

MADISON HORN, THE DEMOCRAT 34% KENNETH BLEVINS, 2% THE LIBERTARIAN MICHAEL DELANEY, 4% AN INDEPENDENT REFUSED / UNDECIDED 8%

*Not all numbers may perfectly total 100% due to rounding and weighting.

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TOPLINES

This survey was conducted from September 19 - 21, 2022 and included a pool of 500 likely voters in Oklahoma. These survey results were weighted based on party affiliation, age, gender, and level of education based on Amber Integrated’s proprietary 2022 voter turnout modeling. This survey has a margin of error of 4.4% at a 95% confidence interval. It is important to remember that subsets based on party affiliation, gender, age, education, race/ethnicity, and location carry with them higher margins of error, as the sample size is reduced. The poll surveyed both cell phones and landlines and used a combination of live callers and an online sample of likely voters.

IN NOVEMBER, THERE WILL BE A SPECIAL ELECTION FOR UNITED STATES SENATE. IF THE ELECTION WERE HELD TODAY WHICH OF THESE CANDIDATES WOULD YOU VOTE FOR? [ROTATE]: MARKWAYNE MULLIN THE REPUBLICAN, KENDRA HORN THE DEMOCRAT, ROBERT MURPHY THE LIBERTARIAN, OR RAY WOODS AN INDEPENDENT. (IF UNDECIDED, ASK:) “TOWARD WHOM TO YOU LEAN?

MARKWAYNE MULLIN, 50% THE REPUBLICAN

KENDRA HORN, THE DEMOCRAT 39%

ROBERT MURPHY, THE LIBERTARIAN 3%

RAY WOODS, AN INDEPENDENT 3% REFUSED / UNDECIDED 5%

DO YOU PLAN TO UTILIZE OKLAHOMA’S “STRAIGHT-PARTY VOTING” OPTION ON YOUR BALLOT?

YES 31%

NO 48%

DON’T KNOW / UNSURE 20%

DO YOU THINK OKLAHOMA SHOULD ELIMINATE THE “STRAIGHT PARTY VOTING” OPTION ON BALLOTS?

YES, ELIMINATE 34%

NO, KEEP 47%

DON’T KNOW / UNSURE 19%

*Not all numbers may perfectly total 100% due to rounding and weighting.

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TOPLINES

This survey was conducted from September 19 - 21, 2022 and included a pool of 500 likely voters in Oklahoma. These survey results were weighted based on party affiliation, age, gender, and level of education based on Amber Integrated’s proprietary 2022 voter turnout modeling. This survey has a margin of error of 4.4% at a 95% confidence interval. It is important to remember that subsets based on party affiliation, gender, age, education, race/ethnicity, and location carry with them higher margins of error, as the sample size is reduced. The poll surveyed both cell phones and landlines and used a combination of live callers and an online sample of likely voters.

WHEN CONSIDERING THE ELECTION FOR GOVERNOR, WHICH ISSUE IS MOST INFLUENCING YOUR DECISION ON WHO YOU PLAN TO VOTE FOR?

EDUCATION 27%

ECONOMY / INFLATION 32%

ABORTION 16%

ELECTION LAWS 4%

HEALTH CARE 7%

SOMETHING ELSE 7%

DON’T KNOW / UNSURE 6%

WHEN CONSIDERING THE ELECTIONS FOR US SENATE, WHICH ISSUE IS MOST INFLUENCING YOUR DECISION ON WHO YOU PLAN TO VOTE FOR?

FOREIGN POLICY 4%

ECONOMY / INFLATION 45%

ABORTION 17%

ELECTION LAWS 8%

HEALTH CARE 12%

SOMETHING ELSE 7%

DON’T KNOW / REFUSED 8%

WHAT IS THE PRIMARY WAY YOU RESEARCH CANDIDATES BEFORE YOU VOTE?

LOCAL NEWS 39% CANDIDATE WEBSITES 31%

WORD OF MOUTH 14% (FRIENDS AND FAMILY)

DON’T RESEARCH 5%

DON’T KNOW / UNSURE 11%

*Not all numbers may perfectly total 100% due to rounding and weighting.

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TOPLINES

This survey was conducted from September 19 - 21, 2022 and included a pool of 500 likely voters in Oklahoma. These survey results were weighted based on party affiliation, age, gender, and level of education based on Amber Integrated’s proprietary 2022 voter turnout modeling. This survey has a margin of error of 4.4% at a 95% confidence interval. It is important to remember that subsets based on party affiliation, gender, age, education, race/ethnicity, and location carry with them higher margins of error, as the sample size is reduced. The poll surveyed both cell phones and landlines and used a combination of live callers and an online sample of likely voters.

DO YOU THINK GOVERNOR KEVIN STITT HAS IMPROVED OKLAHOMA DURING HIS TIME IN OFFICE?

YES 47%

NO 45%

DON’T KNOW / UNSURE 8%

TO WHAT LEVEL, IF ANY, DO YOU THINK THERE IS CORRUPTION IN OKLAHOMA STATE GOVERNMENT?

CORRUPTION IS RAMPANT 26%

THERE IS SOME CORRUPTION 60%

THERE IS NO CORRUPTION 4%

DON’T KNOW / UNSURE 10%

DO YOU SUPPORT OKLAHOMA ELIMINATING THE TAX ON GROCERIES?

YES 78%

NO 14%

DON’T KNOW / UNSURE 8%

*Not all numbers may perfectly total 100% due to rounding and weighting.

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TOPLINES

This survey was conducted from September 19 - 21, 2022 and included a pool of 500 likely voters in Oklahoma. These survey results were weighted based on party affiliation, age, gender, and level of education based on Amber Integrated’s proprietary 2022 voter turnout modeling. This survey has a margin of error of 4.4% at a 95% confidence interval. It is important to remember that subsets based on party affiliation, gender, age, education, race/ethnicity, and location carry with them higher margins of error, as the sample size is reduced. The poll surveyed both cell phones and landlines and used a combination of live callers and an online sample of likely voters.

DO YOU SUPPORT THE LOWERING OR ELIMINATION OF OKLAHOMA’S PERSONAL INCOME TAX?

YES, LOWERING 41%

YES, ELIMINATION 24%

NO, NO CHANGES 22%

DON’T KNOW / UNSURE 13%

*Not all numbers may perfectly total 100% due to rounding and weighting.

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