An ALLPRO® Publication VOL. 22, ISSUE 6 NOVEMBER / DECEMBER 2012
by:Joe Poliseo and Scott Morath
Comeback Players of the Year - 2012 If you’ve read the paper lately or turned on the evening news you’ve probably seen articles and stories talking about the housing situation or jobless figures. However, unlike the past three to four years, you may have also noticed a change in the tone of the overall narrative. Rather than the seemingly endless reports of excess housing inventories, halted commercial construction, and record high unemployment the general tone of recent reports is much more positive. In fact it’s borderline celebratory. “Sales of new and existing homes are climbing,” reported the September 28th issue of The Kiplinger Letter. According to Kiplinger, sales of new homes climbed 20% this year. And it’s investors that are the reason behind this increase. Specifically, investors are taking advantage of a strong demand for renters who are now opting for homes rather than apartments. Leased homes generate a steady, fixed month after month profit with little risk. Likewise, housing starts in many areas of the country are approaching year 2000 – 2003 levels and delinquent mortgages of 90 or more days are a third lower than they were last year. The jobless rate is also continuing its downward, albeit slow, trend with recent reports showing it at 7.8%. All things considered, the numbers are reinforcing the suspicions everyone seems to have regarding the general state of the economy and more specifically the housing market and it’s good news. The good news isn’t just “out there” but is reflected in our own facts and figures as well. The group is showing a double digit increase versus last year through 10 months. Generally speaking, the business has been fairly steady and well represented in all areas of North America.
While there are no doubt still a few hills to climb, it seems that members are doing more than just surviving. 2012 has seen some reacquisition of past business, new growth and store openings. All of which is very refreshing to see after four to five very tough years. 2013 is also showing promise. Sales of new homes are projected to climb to 18% and housing starts to 17%. This bodes nicely for the well-positioned ALLPRO membership, which has a great foothold on residential re-paint and light industrial business. However, “caution” is still the buzz word of the day and probably will be for the foreseeable future. The fact of the matter is its going to take time for the housing market to truly stabilize. When it does it won’t be at the [overly inflated] levels we saw in 2005. That means moving forward it behooves us to have realistic expectations and set more modest and attainable goals for both the near and long term. From an organizational standpoint
• ALLPRO will continue to seek out new members. • Partner with our approved suppliers to ensure group programs are competitive.
• Identify and develop services that add value to membership.
• Promote networking through the group. In short, we look forward to the challenge of continuing to help both our members, and supplier partners meet the demands of a steadily improving economy. So for the first time in a while…put your shades back on because the future does look a bit brighter. And the comeback players are…the ALLPRO members!