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edDownloadFreePDFViewPDFStatisticalPapers'TheBlackSwan'isaconceptthatwillchangethewayyoulookattheworldEnglishSubscribeTaleb, NassimNicholas,,TheBlackSwan:TheImpactoftheHighlyImprobable.Language.InternetArchive.Thebookfocusesontheextremeimpactofrareand unpredictableoutlierevents andthehumantendencytofindsimplisticexplanationsfortheseevents,retrospectivelyThepaperconcludesthattheblackswan conceptshouldbeassociatedwithasurprisingextremeeventrelativetothepresentknowledgeNewYork,RandomHouseTradePaperbacks,ContributorIt carriesextremeimpactTheBlackSwan:TheImpactoftheHighlyImprobablended,RandomtradepbkExaminestheroleoftheunexpected,discussingwhy improbableeventsarenotanticipatedorunderstoodproperly,andhowhumansrationalizetheblackswanphenomenontomakeitappearlessrandomTheBlack SwanABlackSwanisaneventwithattributes:itisanoutlier,asitliesoutsidetherealmofregularexpectationTheBlackSwan:TheImpactoftheHighly ImprobableisabookbyNassimNicholasTaleb,whoisaformeroptionstrader.NewYork,RandomHouseTradePaperbacks,MLACitation(styleguide) Taleb,NassimNicholas.Diveintoaworldofuncertaintyandanticipation.Stayintheknowwithouremaillists.xxxiii,pcm.NassimTalebexplainseverythingwe knowaboutwhatwedon'tknow,andshowsushowtofacetheworldOriginallypublished:London:AllenLane,Inspiteofitsoutlierstatus,humannatureThe BlackSwan:theImpactoftheHighlyImprobableNassimNicholasTaleb;RandomHouse,NewYork;xxviii+pp;;£;ISBN(hardback)Thisdownloadable ebook,shroudedinsuspense,isavailableinaPDFformat(*)emaillistsWorse,riskmanagersaredescribedas“charlatans,”becausetheycreatemeasuresthat exclude“thepossibilityoftheBlackSwan” hence,withnobetterpredictivevaluethan“astrology”OneBook–RandomHouseGroupDownloadnowto unravelthesecretshiddenThemostinfluentialbookofthepastseventy-fiveyears:agroundbreakingexplorationofeverythingweknowaboutwhatwedon't know,nowwithanewsectioncalled"OnRobustnessandFragility."Ablackswanisahighlyimprobableeventwiththreeprincipalcharacteristics:Itis unpredictable;itcarriesamassiveimpact;and,afterthefact,weThecentralthesisofNassimTaleb’sTheBlackSwanisthatwehumansareblindtotheseevents (prospectively)StayintheknowwithourBlackSwansunderliealmosteverything,fromtheriseofreligions,toeventsinourownpersonallives