MayWSJpoll

Page 1

HART/McINTURFF May 2012

Study #12412 --page 1 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Interviews: 1000 adults, including 250 cell phone only respondents

Date: May 16-20, 2012

48 Male 52 Female

Study #12412 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Please note: all results are shown as percentages unless otherwise stated. The margin of error for 1,000 interviews is ±3.1% Unless otherwise noted by a “+”, all previous data shown reflects responses among all adults. (ASK Q1 ONLY OF CELL PHONE ONLY RESPONDENTS.) Q1 Do you have a landline in addition to your cell phone, or is your cell phone the only telephone you have? Have a landline ................................. Cell phone is only telephone ............. Not sure ..........................................

Q2a

100 -

For statistical purposes only, would you please tell me how old you are? (IF “REFUSED,” ASK:) Well, would you tell me which age group you belong to? (READ LIST.) 18-24 ................................................ 25-29 ................................................ 30-34 ................................................ 35-39 ................................................ 40-44 ................................................ 45-49 ................................................ 50-54 ................................................ 55-59 ................................................ 60-64 ................................................ 65-69 ................................................ 70-74 ................................................ 75 and over ....................................... Not sure/refused .............................

Q2b

11 7 9 10 10 8 10 10 10 5 4 5 1

To ensure that we have a representative sample, would you please tell me whether you are from a Hispanic or Spanish-speaking background? Yes, Hispanic .................................... No, not Hispanic ............................... Not sure/refused .............................

Q2c

TERMINATE CONTINUE TERMINATE

11 89 1

And again, for statistical purposes only, what is your race--white, black, Asian, or something else? White ................................................. Black ................................................. Asian ................................................. Other ................................................. Hispanic (VOL) ................................ Not sure/refused..............................

73 12 2 4 6 1


HART/McINTURFF May 2012 Q3

Study #12412 --page 2 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

All in all, do you think things in the nation are generally headed in the right direction, or do you feel things are off on the wrong track? High

Headed in the right direction ..... Off on the wrong track .............. Mixed (VOL) ........................... Not sure ..................................

3/12 33 58 5 4

1/12 30 61 5 4

12/11 22 69 6 3

11/11 19 73 5 3

10/11 17 74 5 4

8/11 19 73 5 3

9/01 72 11 11 6

Low 10/1720/08+ 12 78 7 3

7/11 25 67 5 3

6/11 29 62 6 3

5/11 36 50 10 4

4/11 28 63 6 3

2/11 31 60 6 3

1/11 35 56 5 4

12/10 28 63 6 3

11/10 32 58 6 4

10/2830/10+ 31 60 5 4

10/1418/10+ 32 59 6 3

9/10 32 59 5 4

8/2630/10 30 61 6 3

8/59/10 32 58 6 4

6/10 29 62 5 4

5/611/10 34 56 6 4

3/10 33 59 5 3

1/23 25/10 32 58 7 3

1/1014/10 34 54 10 2

12/09 33 55 10 2

10/09 36 52 9 3

9/09 39 48 10 3

7/09 39 49 9 3

6/09 42 46 9 3

4/09 43 43 10 4

2/09 41 44 9 6

1/09 26 59 9 6

5/12 33 58 5 4

4/12 33 59 6 2

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

Q4

In general, do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president?

Approve ................. Disapprove............. Not sure ...............

5/12 48 46 6

4/12 49 46 5

3/12 50 45 5

1/12 48 46 6

12/11 46 48 6

11/11 44 51 5

10/11 44 51 5

8/11 44 51 5

High 4/09 61 30 9

Low 8/11 44 51 5

7/11 47 48 5

6/11 49 46 5

5/11 52 41 7

4/11 49 45 6

2/11 48 46 6

1/11 53 41 6

12/10 45 48 7

11/10 47 47 6

10/2830/10+ 45 50 5

10/1418/10+ 47 49 4

9/10 46 49 5

8/2630/10 45 49 6

8/59/10 47 48 5

6/10 45 48 7

5/2023/10 48 45 7

5/611/10 50 44 6

3/10 48 47 5

1/2325/10 50 44 6

1/1014/10 48 43 9

12/09 47 46 7

10/09 51 42 7

9/09 51 41 8

8/09 51 40 9

7/09 53 40 7

6/09 56 34 10

4/09 61 30 9

2/09 60 26 14

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.


HART/McINTURFF May 2012 Q5

Study #12412 --page 3 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Do you generally approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing in handling the economy?

Approve................ Disapprove ........... Not sure .............

5/12 43 52 5

4/12 45 52 3

3/12 45 51 4

1/12 45 50 5

12/11 39 57 4

11/11 40 57 3

10/11 39 57 4

8/11 37 59 4

High 2/09 56 31 13

Low 8/11 37 59 4

7/11 43 54 3

6/11 41 54 5

5/11 37 58 5

4/11 45 52 3

2/11 46 49 5

1/11 45 50 5

12/10 42 54 4

11/10 42 54 4

10/1418/10+ 43 53 4

9/10 42 54 4

8/2630/10 39 56 5

8/59/10 44 52 4

6/10 46 50 4

5/611/10 48 46 6

3/10 47 50 3

1/2325/10 47 49 4

1/1014/10 43 49 8

12/09 42 51 7

10/09 47 46 7

9/09 50 42 8

7/09 49 44 7

6/09 51 38 11

4/09 55 37 8

2/09 56 31 13

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

Q5b

Do you generally approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing in handling foreign policy?

Approve .............................. Disapprove .......................... Not sure ............................

5/12* 51 42 7

1/12 51 41 8

11/11 52 41 7

8/11 50 45 5

6/11 50 44 6

5/11 57 35 8

4/11 49 46 5

11/10 48 44 8

1/10 50 37 13

12/09 49 42 9

10/09 51 39 10

9/09 50 36 14

7/09 57 33 10

6/09 54 36 10

4/09 56 31 13

* Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM A).


HART/McINTURFF May 2012

Study #12412 --page 4 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

I’d like to ask you a question about the November 2012 presidential election‌ Q6 Please tell me how interested you are in November's elections, using a scale from one to ten, on which a "ten" means that you are very interested in November's elections and a "one" means that you are not at all interested. You may choose any number from one to ten. (IF "NOT SURE," RECORD AS "DK.")

10, very interested ........ 9 .................................... 8 .................................... 7 .................................... 6 .................................... 5 .................................... 4 .................................... 3 .................................... 2 .................................... 1, not at all interested.... Cannot rate .................

5/12+ 62 7 12 6 4 5 1 1 1 1 -

4/12+ 61 6 12 7 3 5 2 2 1 2 -

3/12+ 48 11 14 9 5 6 2 1 1 2 1

1/12+ 57 10 11 7 3 6 2 2 1 1 -

10/45/08+ 72 7 10 4 1 3 1 2 -

9/1922/08+ 70 8 9 5 2 3 1 1 1 -

9/68/08+ 69 10 10 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 -

8/08+ 65 8 11 5 2 3 1 1 1 3 -

7/08+ 64 8 12 5 3 4 1 1 2 -

6/08+ 67 7 11 5 2 4 1 1 2 -

4/08+ 65 9 11 4 3 3 1 2 2 -

3/08+ 67 8 10 5 2 3 1 1 2 1

1/08+ 66 10 10 4 3 4 1 1 1 -

12/07+ 65 8 12 5 2 4 1 1 2 -

11/07+ 62 9 11 6 3 5 1 1 2 -

10/04+ 74 8 9 3 2 2 1 1 -

9/04+ 71 7 9 5 2 4 1 1 -

8/04+ 63 10 12 6 2 4 1 1 1 -

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.


HART/McINTURFF May 2012 Q7

Study #12412 --page 5 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Now I'm going to read you the names of several public figures and groups and I'd like you to rate your feelings toward each one as very positive, somewhat positive, neutral, somewhat negative, or very negative. If you don't know the name, please just say so. (RANDOMIZE EXCEPT BARACK OBAMA)

Barack Obama May 2012 ..................................... April 2012 ..................................... March 2012 .................................. January 2012 ............................... December 2011 ............................ November 2011 ............................ October 2011 ............................... August 2011 ................................. June 2011 .................................... May 2011 ..................................... April 2011 ..................................... February 2011 .............................. January 2011 ............................... December 2010 ............................ November 2010 ............................ October 28-30, 2010+ .................. October 14-18, 2010+ .................. September 2010 ........................... August 26-30, 2010 ...................... August 5-9, 2010 .......................... June 2010 .................................... May 20-23, 2010 .......................... May 6-11, 2010 ............................ March 2010 .................................. January 23-25, 2010 .................... January 10-14, 2010 .................... December 2009 ............................ October 2009 ............................... September 2009 ........................... July 2009 ...................................... June 2009 .................................... April 2009 ..................................... February 2009 .............................. January 2009 ............................... December 2008 ............................ October 17-20, 2008+ .................. October 4-5, 2008+ ...................... September 19-22, 2008+ ............. September 6-8, 2008+ ................. August 2008+ ............................... July 2008+ .................................... June 2008+ .................................. April 2008+ ................................... March 2008+ ................................ January 2008 ...............................

Very Positive

Somewhat Positive

Neutral

Somewhat Negative

Very Negative

Don't Know Name/ Not Sure

32 30 28 28 22 26 23 24 27 33 28 28 29 25 28 29 29 29 26 27 27 28 29 31 29 29 29 36 38 37 41 45 47 43 45 37 30 29 33 28 27 25 23 24 19

17 18 21 22 23 19 23 20 22 21 22 21 23 23 21 18 19 18 20 19 20 19 20 19 23 23 21 20 18 18 19 19 21 23 22 19 22 19 20 22 21 23 23 25 30

10 13 14 10 13 15 14 12 14 14 14 15 15 14 12 12 9 12 12 13 13 15 12 11 14 12 13 11 11 10 11 12 12 17 15 10 12 15 13 13 16 17 16 18 22

12 13 12 14 15 13 12 14 13 13 13 15 14 14 13 15 17 14 14 14 15 14 14 14 14 16 15 12 14 14 12 10 9 8 8 10 12 14 12 17 11 11 17 16 11

29 26 25 25 27 27 28 30 24 18 23 20 18 24 26 27 26 27 27 27 25 24 24 24 20 19 22 21 19 20 17 13 10 6 8 23 23 22 20 19 23 22 20 16 14

1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 3 2 1 1 1 2 1 2 2 1 1 4

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.


HART/McINTURFF May 2012

Study #12412 --page 6 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Barack Obama (cont'd) Very Positive 17 15 15 16 19 18

Somewhat Positive 29 28 27 26 26 19

Somewhat Negative 14 12 13 12 8 11

Very Negative 12 12 12 10 6 6

Neutral December 2007 ............................ 22 November 2007 ............................ 24 September 2007 ........................... 23 July 2007 ...................................... 24 April 2007 ..................................... 25 March 2007 .................................. 26 Barack Obama High February 2009 .............................. 47 21 12 9 10 Presidential Term Low August 2011 ................................. 24 20 12 14 30 All-time Obama Low October 28-30, 2006+ .................. 14 17 18 5 6 NBC-WSJ All-time Presidential Tracking High/Low within Presidential Term High March 1991 (George H.W. Bush) .................... 50 30 9 6 4 Low October 17-20, 2008+ (George W. Bush) ....................... 11 18 11 15 45 The Democratic Party May 2012 ................................... 17 22 19 21 19 April 2012 ................................... 15 24 21 19 19 March 2012 ................................ 15 23 24 18 18 January 2012 ............................ 15 23 23 21 18 December 2011 ......................... 9 23 25 23 19 November 2011 ......................... 15 25 22 18 19 October 2011 ............................ 12 25 19 20 22 August 2011 .............................. 11 22 21 19 25 June 2011 ................................. 13 25 21 19 20 May 2011 .................................. 15 26 22 18 17 April 2011 .................................. 12 26 22 18 21 January 2011 ............................ 15 24 25 19 16 December 2010 ......................... 9 28 20 18 23 November 2010 ......................... 14 26 18 18 23 October 28-30, 2010+ ............... 16 23 17 19 23 October 14-18, 2010+ ............... 14 24 16 19 26 September 2010 ........................ 15 22 20 20 22 August 26-30, 2010 ................... 11 25 19 19 24 August 5-9, 2010 ....................... 11 22 22 18 26 June 2010 ................................. 11 24 21 20 24 May 20-23, 2010 ....................... 15 26 18 18 22 May 6-11, 2010 ......................... 11 26 19 18 24 March 2010 ............................... 9 28 19 19 24 January 23-25, 2010 ................. 14 25 22 17 21 January 10-14, 2010 ................. 11 27 20 18 23 December 2009 ......................... 10 25 19 19 26 October 2009 ............................ 14 28 20 14 22 September 2009 ........................ 14 27 18 17 22 July 2009 ................................... 13 29 19 17 20 June 2009 ................................. 19 26 16 16 21 April 2009 .................................. 17 28 19 15 19

Don't Know Name/ Not Sure 6 9 10 12 16 20

1 40

1

1 1 2 1 1 2 2 2 2 1 1 2 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2


HART/McINTURFF May 2012

The Democratic Party (cont'd) February 2009 ........................... December 2008......................... October 17-20, 2008+ ............... October 4-5, 2008+ ................... September 19-22, 2008+ .......... September 6-8, 2008+ .............. August 2008+ ............................ July 2008+................................. June 2008+ ............................... April 2008+ ................................ March 7-10, 2008+ .................... January 2008 ............................ November 2007......................... September 2007........................ July 2007 ................................... January 2007 ............................ October 28-30, 2006+ ............... July 2006 ................................... January 2006 ............................ May 2005 .................................. February 2005 ........................... October 2004+ .......................... High January 2000 ............................ Low July 2006 ................................... The Republican Party May 2012 ................................... April 2012 ................................... March 2012 ................................ January 2012 ............................. December 2011.......................... November 2011.......................... October 2011 ............................. August 2011 ............................... June 2011 .................................. May 2011 ................................... April 2011 ................................... January 2011 .............................. December 2010........................... November 2010........................... October 28-30, 2010+ ................ October 14-18, 2010+ ................ September 2010......................... August 26-30, 2010 .................... August 5-9, 2010 ........................ June 2010 .................................. May 20-23, 2010 ........................ May 6-11, 2010 .......................... March 2010 ................................. January 23-25, 2010 ................... January 10-14, 2010 ................... December 2009........................... October 2009 ............................. September 2009......................... July 2009 .................................... June 2009 .................................. April 2009 ...................................

Study #12412 --page 7 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Neutral 18 22 22 20 20 17 21 18 24 22 18 19 24 27 21 26 25 27 28 26 28 22

Somewhat Negative 14 15 17 18 16 19 16 18 13 15 16 18 18 22 20 16 18 22 20 20 16 16

Very Negative 17 13 21 19 20 14 19 19 19 17 19 15 17 16 15 14 17 17 15 14 13 19

Don't Know Name/ Not Sure 2 1 1 2 2 1 1 2 1 2 2 1 2 1 2 2 1 2 1 2 1 1

30

23

15

10

2

7

25

27

22

17

2

9 11 8 8 6 9 11 8 8 8 7 7 11 11 12 8 8 7 6 6 10 8 6 7 7 5 6 5 9 6 7

23 22 24 23 21 21 22 24 22 24 24 27 27 23 22 23 23 23 18 24 23 22 25 25 23 23 19 23 19 19 22

23 23 23 24 23 23 21 21 24 22 24 24 23 24 24 25 25 25 28 26 26 26 24 27 27 27 27 27 29 29 25

19 19 19 19 23 18 18 23 23 21 22 21 17 20 18 19 21 22 24 23 21 22 20 18 24 24 23 22 21 23 22

24 24 24 25 25 26 26 23 21 23 22 19 20 19 23 23 22 21 22 19 19 20 23 20 18 19 23 21 20 21 22

2 1 2 1 2 3 2 1 2 2 1 2 2 3 1 2 1 2 2 2 1 2 2 3 1 2 2 2 2 2 2

Very Positive 20 17 16 15 19 24 17 15 16 17 20 22 12 8 15 13 14 7 11 12 14 17

Somewhat Positive 29 32 23 26 23 25 26 28 27 27 25 25 27 26 27 29 25 25 25 26 28 25

20

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.


HART/McINTURFF May 2012

The Republican Party (cont'd) February 2009 ............................ December 2008.......................... October 17-20, 2008+ ................ October 4-5, 2008+ .................... September 19-22, 2008+ ........... September 6-8, 2008+ ............... August 2008+ ............................. July 2008+.................................. June 2008+ ................................ April 2008+ ................................. March 7-10, 2008+ ..................... January 2008 ............................. November 2007.......................... September 2007......................... July 2007 .................................... January 2007 ............................. Oct 28-30, 2006+ ....................... July 2006 .................................... January 2006 ............................. May 2005 ................................... February 2005 ............................ October 2004+ ........................... High December 2001.......................... Low August 5-9, 2010 ........................ Mitt Romney May 2012 .................................. April 2012 ............................... March 2012 ............................ January 2012 ......................... December 2011...................... November 2011...................... October 2011 ......................... August 2011 ........................... June 2011 .............................. February 2011 ........................ December 9-13, 2010 ............ September 2010..................... March 2010 ............................ July 2009 ................................ April 2008+ ............................ January 2008 ......................... December 2007...................... November 2007...................... September 2007..................... June 2007 .............................. March 2007 ............................ December 2006......................

Study #12412 --page 8 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Neutral 24 20 18 17 18 15 22 20 24 23 15 26 24 20 19 21 16 18 20 17 19 18

Somewhat Negative 25 26 23 21 19 18 19 22 22 22 21 19 20 27 23 23 20 21 20 19 18 15

Very Negative 22 26 25 26 28 25 23 26 25 26 28 18 22 20 23 21 28 25 22 22 18 22

Don't Know Name/ Not Sure 3 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 1 2 2 3 2 2 2 2 1 3 1 2 1 1

36

18

13

9

3

6

18

28

24

22

2

10 10 6 6 4 5 6 5 7 6 10 6 7 10 9 7 9 4 6 5 4 3

24 23 22 25 20 21 21 19 20 19 18 15 20 18 19 21 16 18 18 16 11 8

23 26 28 26 30 32 30 32 30 30 30 29 29 30 31 24 26 27 26 23 24 22

19 18 20 21 21 17 17 18 16 13 10 20 16 12 17 19 16 17 14 13 11 7

19 18 19 15 11 13 12 11 10 12 10 10 9 8 11 13 11 12 11 7 6 4

5 6 5 7 14 12 14 15 17 20 22 20 19 22 13 16 22 22 25 36 44 56

Very Positive 7 7 11 12 13 18 10 8 7 8 10 13 8 8 8 10 15 11 13 13 17 20

Somewhat Positive 19 20 21 23 21 22 25 23 21 19 24 21 24 23 25 23 20 22 24 27 27 24

21

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.


HART/McINTURFF May 2012

Study #12412 --page 9 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Q7 (cont'd)

Joe Biden May 2012 ............................... December 2010....................... August 26-30, 2010 ................. January 10-14, 2010 ............... July 2009 ................................. January 2009 .......................... December 2008....................... October 17-20, 2008+ ............. October 4-5, 2008+ ................. September 19-22, 2008+ ........ September 6-8, 2008+ ............ September 2007...................... December 2006....................... June 2004+ ............................. Bain Capital May 2012* .............................. J.P. Morgan Chase May 2012**.............................

Neutral

Somewhat Negative

Very Negative

Don't Know Name/ Not Sure

20 24 21 23 25 27 25 23 22 20 22 13 14 11

21 25 21 25 20 22 25 19 24 25 23 26 23 25

16 15 15 15 17 12 12 12 12 13 13 11 10 6

21 18 20 14 19 9 11 14 15 16 12 11 6 4

7 8 9 8 6 10 7 4 6 9 12 35 44 49

3

6

19

10

9

53

2

9

26

20

29

14

Very Positive

Somewhat Positive

15 10 13 15 13 20 20 28 21 17 18 4 3 5

* Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM A). ** Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM B). + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

SUMMARY TABLE OF IMAGES – BY D/S (POSITIVE – NEGATIVE) TOTAL TOTAL D/S POSITIVE NEGATIVE Barack Obama ....................................... 49 41 8 The Democratic Party ............................ 39 40 -1 Joe Biden ............................................... 35 37 -2 Mitt Romney ........................................... 34 38 -4 Bain Capital............................................ 9 19 -10 The Republican Party ............................ 32 43 -11 J.P. Morgan Chase ................................ 11 49 -38


HART/McINTURFF May 2012 And… Q8a

Study #12412 --page 10 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Do you feel confident or not confident that life for our children's generation will be better than it has been for us?

Feel confident .................................... Do not feel confident ......................... Not sure...........................................

5/12* 30 63 7

8/2630/10 27 66 7

12/09 27 66 7

6/09 31 57 12

9/1922/08+ 34 56 10

1/07 33 60 7

7/06 27 65 8

12/01 49 42 9

9/93 25 68 7

12/92 41 52 7

12/91+1 44 51 5

10/90+ 50 45 5

1

In December 1991, the question was phrased, “Do you feel very confident, fairly confident, or not at all confident that life for our children will be better than it has been for us?” + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. * Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM A).

Q8b

All in all, thinking about where the United States is today, do you feel we are experiencing the kind of tough times the country faces from time to time, or is this the start of a longer-term decline where the US is no longer the leading country in the world?

Experiencing a tough time ........................................................... Start of a longer-term decline........................................................ A little of both (VOL) ................................................................... Neither (VOL) ............................................................................. Not sure ......................................................................................

5/12** 45 48 2 1 4

11/11 40 54 3 1 2

** Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM B).

Now…(Q9 & Q10 ROTATED) Q9 In selecting a president, which of the following is most important to you? (ROTATE) A candidate who comes closest to your views on issues ......................................... 56 A candidate who has the right personal style and strong leadership qualities .......... 40 None/other (VOL) ................................................................................................ 2 Not sure ................................................................................................................ 2

Q10

Do you believe that it is more important to have––a president who stands up for his convictions, OR a president who seeks common ground? (IF "BOTH," ASK:) Well, between the two, which do you think is MORE important?

Stands up for convictions ................. Seeks common ground ..................... Depends (VOL)............................... Not sure ..........................................

5/12 56 38 3 3

6/07 46 43 8 3


HART/McINTURFF May 2012

Study #12412 --page 11 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Now, thinking again about this November’s elections‌ Q11 What is your preference for the outcome of this year's congressional elections -- (ROTATE:) a Congress controlled by Republicans or a Congress controlled by Democrats?

Republican-controlled Congress .......... Democrat-controlled Congress ............. Not sure ..............................................

5/12+ 43 44 13

4/12+ 44 46 10

3/12+ 41 46 13

1/12+ 41 47 12

12/11+ 43 45 12

11/11+ 43 46 11

10/11+ 41 45 14

8/11+ 47 41 12

6/11+ 44 44 12

9/10+ 44 44 12

8/2630/10+ 43 43 14

8/59/10+ 42 43 15

6/10+ 45 43 12

5/2023/10+ 44 43 13

5/611/10+ 44 44 12

3/10+ 42 45 13

1/2325/10+ 42 44 14

1/1014/10+ 41 41 18

12/09+ 41 43 16

10/09+ 38 46 16

9/09+ 40 43 17

7/09+ 39 46 15

4/09+ 39 48 13

11/08+ 36 48 16

10/08+ 36 49 15

9/08+ 37 50 13

8/08+ 36 47 17

7/08+ 36 49 15

6/08+ 33 52 15

4/08+ 34 49 17

3/08+ 35 49 16

11/07+ 37 46 17

9/07+ 35 47 18

10/06+ 37 52 11

9/06+ 39 48 13

7/06+ 38 48 14

6/06+ 38 49 13

4/06+ 39 45 16

3/06+ 37 50 13

1/06+ 38 47 15

12/05+ 38 46 16

11/05+ 37 48 15

10/05+ 39 48 13

7/05+ 40 45 15

5/05+ 40 47 13

10/04+ 43 44 13

9/04+ 42 46 12

6/04+ 42 44 14

5/04+ 41 44 15

3/04+ 42 45 13

1/04 42 43 15

12/13/03 42 42 16

10/02+ 43 42 15

9/02 42 42 16

7/02 43 41 16

6/02 42 41 17

1/02 44 40 16

12/01 42 40 18

12/99 40 44 16

10/99 39 41 20

7/99 39 43 18

6/99 42 41 17

4/99 41 40 19

3/99 37 43 20

10/98+ 41 43 16

9/98 40 39 21

7/98 41 40 19

6/98 39 40 21

2/98 41 37 22

1/98 40 42 18

12/97 41 37 22

9/97 41 39 20

7/97 45 39 16

4/97 44 38 18

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

10/10+ 44 46 10


HART/McINTURFF May 2012

Study #12412 --page 12 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Thinking about the presidential race for a moment‌ Q12 And, if the next election for president were held today, and (ROTATE) Mitt Romney were the Republican candidate and Barack Obama were the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote?

Mitt Romney ........................ Barack Obama .................... Depends (VOL) ................. Neither/other (VOL)........... Not sure ............................

5/12+ 43 47 1 6 4

4/12+ 43 49 1 4 2

3/12+ 44 50 1 4 1

1/12+ 43 49 1 4 3

12/11+ 45 47 1 4 3

11/11+ 43 49 1 4 3

10/11+ 44 46 1 5 4

8/11+ 45 46 2 4 3

6/11+ 43 49 1 3 4

2/11+ 40 49 6 5

12/10 40 47 1 6 6

1/08 35 48 2 7 8

11/07 36 48 1 6 9

9/07 34 51 1 7 7

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

(ASK ONLY OF RESPONDENTS WHO MAKE A CHOICE IN Q12) Q13 Would you definitely vote for (CANDIDATE CHOSEN IN Q12), probably vote for (CANDIDATE CHOSEN IN Q12) but are still thinking about it, or are you just leaning toward voting for (CANDIDATE CHOSEN IN Q12)? RESULTS SHOWN AMONG VOTERS WHO CHOSE EACH CANDIDATE

Definitely vote for candidate ........................................... Probably vote for candidate ........................................... Just leaning toward voting for candidate ........................ Not sure .......................................................................

Romney Voters+ 5/12 4/12 72 65 14 16 14 19 -

Definitely vote for candidate ........................................... Probably vote for candidate ........................................... Just leaning toward voting for candidate ........................ Not sure .......................................................................

Obama Voters+ 4/12 5/12 73 74 13 13 13 12 1 1

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

RESULTS SHOWN OFF BASE OF ALL REGISTERED VOTERS

Definitely vote for candidate ........................................... Probably vote for candidate ........................................... Just leaning toward voting for candidate ........................ Not sure ....................................................................... TOTAL VOTE (Q12) ...................................................

Romney Voters+ 4/12 5/12 31 28 6 7 6 8 43 43

Definitely vote for candidate ........................................... Probably vote for candidate ........................................... Just leaning toward voting for candidate ........................ Not sure ....................................................................... TOTAL VOTE (Q12) ...................................................

Obama Voters+ 4/12 5/12 34 37 6 6 7 6 47 49

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.


HART/McINTURFF May 2012

Study #12412 --page 13 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

(Q14A/B & Q15 ROTATED) Q14a Do you think Barack Obama has mostly brought the right kind of change to the country, mostly brought the wrong kind of change, or has not really brought much change either way?

Has brought right kind of change .................... Has brought wrong kind of change .................. Has not brought much change either way ....... Not sure.........................................................

1/12 35 32 31 2

5/12* 36 33 29 2

* Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM A).

Q14b

Do you think if Barack Obama is re-elected as president he will mostly bring the right kind of change to the country, mostly bring the wrong kind of change, or will not really bring much change either way?** Will bring right kind of change ......................... Will bring wrong kind of change ...................... Will not bring much change either way............ Not sure ........................................................

35 31 33 2

** Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM B).

Q15

Do you think if Mitt Romney wins the presidency he will mostly bring the right kind of change to the country, mostly bring the wrong kind of change, or will not really bring much change either way? Will bring right kind of change ......................... Will bring wrong kind of change ...................... Will not bring much change either way............ Not sure ........................................................

Q16

32 25 37 6

Please tell me whether Barack Obama has a background and set of values that you can identify with, or whether he does NOT have a background and set of values that you can identify with.

Has background/set of values I identify with......................... Does NOT have background/set of values I identify with ..... Not sure ..............................................................................

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

5/12 48 46 6

12/08 57 34 9

10/1720/08+ 55 40 5

9/1922/08+ 50 44 6

9/68/08+ 53 40 7

8/08+ 50 42 8

7/08+ 47 43 10

6/08+ 50 42 8

4/08+ 45 46 9

3/2425/08+ 50 39 11


HART/McINTURFF May 2012

Study #12412 --page 14 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Moving on… Q17 For each of the following, please tell me if you think this is an area that Barack Obama’s approach has made things better, made things worse or has Barack Obama’s approach not made much of a difference either way in this area? (RANDOMIZE) THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE WHO SAY OBAMA HAS MADE BETTER

Obama Has Made Better

Obama Has Made Worse

Obama Not Made Much Difference

Not Sure

54

13

30

3

48

18

31

3

47

18

29

6

38

34

28

1

33

37

29

1

32

43

21

4

31

37

29

3

24

32

40

4

18

39

36

7

17

47

33

3

17

31

50

3

11

37

50

2

The war in Iraq May 2012* ................................................ The war in Afghanistan May 2012** ............................................... The American automobile industry May 2012** ............................................... Looking out for the middle class May 2012** ............................................... America’s standing in the world May 2012** ............................................... The health care issue May 2012.................................................. The economic downturn May 2012.................................................. The housing market May 2012.................................................. The division and partisanship in politics May 2012* ................................................ The budget deficit problem May 2012.................................................. The gap between the rich and poor May 2012* ................................................ Gas prices May 2012* ................................................ * Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM A). ** Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM B).

(Q18 & Q19 ROTATED) Q18 And how confident are you that Barack Obama has the right set of goals and policies to improve the economy--extremely confident, quite confident, only somewhat confident, or not at all confident?

Extremely confident ...................... Quite confident .............................. Only somewhat confident .............. Not at all confident ........................ Not sure ......................................

Q19

5/12 13 19 26 41 -

8/10 16 21 24 39 -

1/1014/10 16 19 31 33 1

12/09 13 20 29 36 2

9/09 18 22 27 32 1

7/09 16 23 28 32 1

6/09 20 26 24 29 1

And how confident are you that Mitt Romney has the right set of goals and policies to improve the economy--extremely confident, quite confident, only somewhat confident, or not at all confident? Extremely confident ....................... Quite confident .............................. Only somewhat confident .............. Not at all confident ......................... Not sure .......................................

7 12 40 36 5


HART/McINTURFF May 2012

Study #12412 --page 15 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Changing topics‌ Q20 When it comes to the idea of having (READ ITEM) as president, is this something that raises concern for you and your family personally, something that raises concern for people in your neighborhood or who you work with, or something that does not raise any concerns with anyone you know? (RANDOMIZE)

A person who is gay May 2012 ............................ A Mormon May 2012 ............................ A Hispanic May 2012 ............................ A woman May 2012 ............................ An African American May 2012 ............................

Total Raises Concerns

Raises concerns for me and my family

Raises concerns for neighbors/co-workers

Does not raise concerns

Not Sure

41

24

16

56

3

27

16

11

71

2

16

6

10

82

2

14

6

8

85

1

12

3

9

87

1


HART/McINTURFF May 2012 Q21

Study #12412 --page 16 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Now I'm going to list some institutions in American society, and I'd like you to tell me how much confidence you have in each one--a great deal, quite a bit, some, very little, or none at all? (RANDOMIZE) THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE WHO SAY A GREAT DEAL OR QUITE A BIT

Confidence

The military May 2012*............................................ January 2011 ....................................... August 26-30, 2010.............................. December 20096 .................................. January 2009 ...................................... July 2007 ............................................. July 2002 ............................................. January 2002 ....................................... December 2000 ................................... June 19981 ........................................... May 19961 ............................................ January 19962 ...................................... December 19913 .................................. December 1988 4 ................................. October 19864 ...................................... November 19814 .................................. January 19774 ...................................... June 19754 ........................................... The high-tech industry May 2012** .......................................... January 2011 ....................................... January 2009 ....................................... July 2002 ............................................. December 2000 ................................... The Presidency May 2012 ............................................. The Supreme Court May 2012** .......................................... January 2009 ....................................... July 2007 ............................................. December 2000 ................................... The automobile industry May 2012** .......................................... January 2011 ....................................... August 26-30, 2010.............................. January 2009 ......................................

A Great Deal

Quite A Bit

Some

Very Little

None At All

Not Sure

54 46 48 53 42 45 54 54 36 33 30 32 47 15 29 22 23 27

22 25 24 24 27 22 28 31 27 31 36 38 31 31 34 28 34 31

17 23 21 16 22 22 14 11 25 25 25 22 15 33 24 29 25 25

3 5 4 3 5 6 3 2 7 9 7 7 6 15 10 14 11 11

3 1 1 3 2 4 1 1 3 1 NA NA 1 6 1 1

1 2 1 2 1 1 2 2 2 1 1 7 2 2 6 5

22 28 21 19 26

25 24 30 22 28

41 34 30 38 31

7 8 8 11 9

2 2 5 5 2

3 4 6 5 4

26

16

31

11

14

1

14 16 15 27

19 23 21 25

45 36 39 32

14 13 17 8

6 8 7 5

2 4 1 3

11 12 7 6

17 13 12 7

53 50 49 34

10 18 21 32

6 5 9 19

3 2 3 2

* Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM A). ** Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM B). PLEASE NOTE: Comparative data shown does not necessarily reflect all of the existing data for an item. It is possible that an institution received higher or lower confidence ratings in a survey that is not shown. 2 Comparative data comes from a survey conducted by Princeton Survey Research for the Kaiser Foundation, Harvard University, and the Washington Post. 3 Comparative data comes from a survey conducted by ABC News. 4 Comparative data comes from surveys conducted by Gallup. 5 Comparative data comes from a survey conducted by Hart/Teeter for the Council for Excellence in Government. 6 Comparative data comes from a survey conducted by Hart/McInturff for CNBC. 7 Comparative data comes from surveys conducted by Gallup. + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.


HART/McINTURFF May 2012

Study #12412 --page 17 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE WHO SAY A GREAT DEAL OR QUITE A BIT

Confidence

Your state government May 2012*............................................ July 2007 ............................................. July 2002 ............................................. December 2000 ................................... Religious leaders and organizations May 2012*............................................ January 2011 ....................................... January 2009 ....................................... July 2007 ............................................. July 2002 ............................................. Professional sports May 2012*............................................ January 2009 ....................................... July 2007 ............................................. Online social networking websites such as Facebook or LinkedIn May 2012*............................................ January 2011 ....................................... Online social networking websites such as Facebook, Twitter or LinkedIn May 2012** .......................................... Large corporations May 2012*............................................ January 2011 ....................................... August 26-30, 2010.............................. January 2009 ...................................... September 19-22, 2008+ ..................... July 2007 ............................................. July 2002 ............................................. January 2002 ....................................... December 2000 ................................... July 1998 ............................................ January 19962 ...................................... December 19913 .................................. December 19884 .................................. October 19864 ...................................... November 19814 .................................. January 19774 ...................................... June 19754 ...........................................

A Great Deal

Quite A Bit

Some

Very Little

None At All

Not Sure

12 10 10 13

15 17 20 25

37 44 42 42

19 21 19 15

16 7 8 4

1 1 1 1

12 11 13 11 12

13 11 16 16 13

38 45 38 35 38

17 21 17 20 21

18 10 13 15 13

2 2 3 3 3

11 9 6

10 11 8

33 29 26

18 21 28

19 20 26

9 10 6

10 11

9 6

29 34

18 23

23 17

11 9

9

9

34

18

20

10

7 6 5 6 2 5 4 8 9 13 6 11 6 7 6 11 10

10 7 7 7 9 6 8 14 17 18 15 15 16 21 14 21 24

37 42 42 31 33 37 37 44 42 42 45 47 39 40 36 35 36

26 29 26 35 33 30 32 23 22 22 30 26 32 26 29 25 23

18 15 16 20 21 19 17 9 8 2 2 NA NA 2 11 2 2

2 1 4 1 2 3 2 2 2 3 2 2 8 4 3 6 5

* Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM A). ** Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM B). PLEASE NOTE: Comparative data shown does not necessarily reflect all of the existing data for an item. It is possible that an institution received higher or lower confidence ratings in a survey that is not shown. 2 Comparative data comes from a survey conducted by Princeton Survey Research for the Kaiser Foundation, Harvard University, and the Washington Post. 3 Comparative data comes from a survey conducted by ABC News. 4 Comparative data comes from surveys conducted by Gallup. 5 Comparative data comes from a survey conducted by Hart/Teeter for the Council for Excellence in Government. 6 Comparative data comes from a survey conducted by Hart/McInturff for CNBC. 7 Comparative data comes from surveys conducted by Gallup. + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.


HART/McINTURFF May 2012

Study #12412 --page 18 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE WHO SAY A GREAT DEAL OR QUITE A BIT

Confidence

The federal government May 2012** .......................................... January 2011 ....................................... August 26-30, 2010.............................. January 2009 ..................................... September 19-22, 2008+ ..................... July 2007 ............................................. July 2002 ............................................. December 2000 ................................... February 19975 .................................... May 19944 ............................................ May 19904 ............................................ The national news media May 2012** .......................................... January 2011 ....................................... August 26-30, 2010.............................. January 2009 ....................................... September 2008+ ................................ July 2007 ............................................. July 2002 ............................................. December 2000 ................................... February 19975 .................................... January 19962 ...................................... December 19913 .................................. The entertainment industry May 2012** .......................................... January 2009 ...................................... December 2000 ................................... Health insurance companies May 2012*............................................ January 2011 ....................................... August 26-30, 2010.............................. December 20096 .................................. January 2009 ...................................... July 2007 .............................................

A Great Deal

Quite A Bit

Some

Very Little

None At All

Not Sure

7 8 7 6 5 7 13 9 6 4 10

9 10 11 13 14 9 21 19 16 16 26

43 46 38 47 45 41 47 52 45 44 45

23 26 27 23 23 29 13 14 32 35 18

16 9 15 10 12 13 5 5 NA NA NA

2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2

8 8 5 8 7 9 9 7 5 6 16

7 10 8 11 10 9 18 13 15 14 21

39 39 32 38 38 39 37 39 39 40 38

22 28 28 24 26 24 23 25 40 37 25

23 14 23 18 18 18 12 15 NA 2 NA

1 1 4 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

7 10 8

6 14 9

38 27 31

22 18 26

24 25 23

3 6 3

7 4 7 5 6 5

6 5 5 12 11 5

32 29 30 33 31 26

28 39 36 26 30 37

26 23 20 23 21 25

1 2 1 1 2

* Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM A). ** Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM B). PLEASE NOTE: Comparative data shown does not necessarily reflect all of the existing data for an item. It is possible that an institution received higher or lower confidence ratings in a survey that is not shown. 2 Comparative data comes from a survey conducted by Princeton Survey Research for the Kaiser Foundation, Harvard University, and the Washington Post. 3 Comparative data comes from a survey conducted by ABC News. 4 Comparative data comes from surveys conducted by Gallup. 5 Comparative data comes from a survey conducted by Hart/Teeter for the Council for Excellence in Government. 6 Comparative data comes from a survey conducted by Hart/McInturff for CNBC. 7 Comparative data comes from surveys conducted by Gallup. + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.


HART/McINTURFF May 2012

Study #12412 --page 19 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE WHO SAY A GREAT DEAL OR QUITE A BIT

Confidence

The financial industry May 2012*............................................ January 2011 ....................................... August 26-30, 2010.............................. December 20096 .................................. January 2009 ....................................... September 19-22, 2008+ ..................... July 2007 ............................................. July 2002 ............................................. December 2000 ................................... Your local government May 2012** .......................................... July 2007 ............................................ December 2000 ................................... Wall Street May 2012** .......................................... January 2011 ....................................... January 2009 ......................................

A Great Deal

Quite A Bit

Some

Very Little

None At All

Not Sure

6 4 4 2 4 5 5 5 11

6 5 6 8 6 5 11 10 25

35 39 33 29 28 33 48 49 45

29 35 33 31 34 37 21 27 13

23 16 20 26 26 18 9 8 4

1 1 4 4 2 2 6 1 2

11 12 18

17 22 20

44 38 38

14 17 14

12 10 8

2 1 2

4 4 6

5 6 7

37 41 25

26 32 31

25 14 28

3 3 3

* Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM A). ** Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM B). PLEASE NOTE: Comparative data shown does not necessarily reflect all of the existing data for an item. It is possible that an institution received higher or lower confidence ratings in a survey that is not shown. 2 Comparative data comes from a survey conducted by Princeton Survey Research for the Kaiser Foundation, Harvard University, and the Washington Post. 3 Comparative data comes from a survey conducted by ABC News. 4 Comparative data comes from surveys conducted by Gallup. 5 Comparative data comes from a survey conducted by Hart/Teeter for the Council for Excellence in Government. 6 Comparative data comes from a survey conducted by Hart/McInturff for CNBC. 7 Comparative data comes from surveys conducted by Gallup. + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.


HART/McINTURFF May 2012

Study #12412 --page 20 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Thinking again about the election for president… (ASK ONLY OF REG VOTERS (F1a:1) VOTING FOR OBAMA (Q12:2) Q22a When it comes to your decision to support Barack Obama, does his position favoring same-sex marriage reinforce the reason to support him, give you concern about supporting him, or really not make much difference either way? RESULTS SHOWN AMONG OBAMA VOTERS

Obama Voters+ 31 7 62 -

Reinforces support .......................................... Gives concerns about support......................... Does not make much difference either way .... Not sure.........................................................

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

(ASK ONLY OF REG VOTERS (F1a:1) VOTING FOR ROMNEY (Q12:1) Q22b When it comes to your decision to support Mitt Romney does his position opposing same-sex marriage reinforce the reason to support him, give you concern about supporting him, or really not make much difference either way? RESULTS SHOWN AMONG ROMNEY VOTERS

Reinforces support .......................................... Gives concerns about support ........................ Does not make much difference either way .... Not sure ........................................................

Romney Voters+ 32 8 59 1

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

Q22c

Would you be more likely to vote for…(ROTATE) Barack Obama because he supports same-sex marriage, Mitt Romney because he opposes same-sex marriage – or does this not make much difference in how you might vote? (IF “Obama” OR “Romney”, THEN ASK:) And, would you be much more likely to vote for (Barack Obama because he supports/Mitt Romney because he opposes) same-sex marriage, or just somewhat more likely?+ Much more likely vote for Barack Obama.......................... Somewhat more likely vote for Barack Obama ................. Somewhat more likely vote for Mitt Romney ..................... Much more likely vote for Mitt Romney ............................. No difference in vote ....................................................... Depends (VOL) ............................................................... Not sure........................................................................... + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

13 4 6 14 62 1


HART/McINTURFF May 2012

Study #12412 --page 21 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Now turning to the economy... Q23 During the next twelve months, do you think that the nation's economy will get better, get worse, or stay about the same?

Economy will get better ..................... Economy will get worse .................... Economy will stay about the same.... Not sure ..........................................

5/12 33 19 46 2

7/09 44 21 32 3

4/12 38 19 42 1

3/12 40 23 35 2

1/12 37 17 44 2

12/11 30 22 47 1

11/11 25 28 47 -

10/11 21 32 45 2

8/11 22 30 47 1

7/11 26 31 41 2

6/11 29 30 39 2

4/11 33 21 46 -

2/11 29 29 41 1

1/11 40 17 42 1

12/10 32 24 42 2

11/10 37 15 46 2

10/1418/10+ 37 20 41 2

9/10 32 24 41 3

8/2630/10 26 26 45 3

8/59/10 34 25 39 2

6/10 33 23 43 1

5/610/10 40 20 38 2

3/10 41 22 36 1

1/1014/10 41 19 38 2

10/09 42 22 33 3

9/09 47 20 30 3

6/09 46 22 29 3

4/09 38 30 30 2

10/08+ 38 20 37 5

910/06+ 22 22 51 5

10/04+ 43 10 33 14

10/02+ 41 20 34 5

10/98+ 17 24 54 5

10/94 31 24 40 5

1

Prior to April 2001, the question was phrased, “Over the next year…” + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

Q24

Now, thinking about what you have seen, read, and heard in the last few weeks about our country's economy, in general, would you say it has made you feel more optimistic or less optimistic about the direction of the economy?

More optimistic ................................ Less optimistic.................................. Mixed (VOL) ..................................... Not Sure .........................................

5/12* 42 53 3 2

* Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM A).

1/12 46 44 5 5


HART/McINTURFF May 2012 Q25

Study #12412 --page 22 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

The government agency that follows the job market recently found that in the month of April one hundred and fifteen thousand (115,000) jobs were created and the unemployment rate was eight point one percent (8.1%) Do you think that these statistics are a reason for optimism about the economic conditions in the country, or do you not think that these statistics are a reason for optimism about the economic conditions in the country?** Reason for optimism .................................... Not a reason for optimism ............................. Mixed (VOL).................................................. Not Sure......................................................

44 50 1 5

** Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM B).

Moving on… Q26 Mitt Romney has been a business executive for most of his professional life. How much difference do you feel that his background and experience would make in dealing with each of the following kinds of issues if he is elected president—would his background be a major advantage in this area, a minor advantage, a minor disadvantage, a major disadvantage, or would it not matter either way? (RANDOMIZE) THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE WHO SAY MAJOR ADVANTAGE

Improving the country’s overall economic and job conditions May 2012.................................. Reducing the federal budget deficit May 2012.................................. Making sure corporations pay their fair share in taxes May 2012** ............................... Dealing with trade agreements with foreign countries May 2012* ................................ Making sure that worker’s rights and working conditions are protected May 2012** ............................... Making sure companies live up to environmental standards May 2012* ................................

Major Advantage

Minor Advantage

Minor Disadvantage

Major Disadvantage

No Difference

Not Sure

35

24

8

8

23

2

33

26

6

8

24

2

29

16

12

20

22

2

28

29

6

8

25

4

27

21

11

15

23

3

20

24

9

13

31

3

* Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM A). ** Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM B).


HART/McINTURFF May 2012

Study #12412 --page 23 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Now, thinking about something different… Q27 When it comes to (READ ITEM), which party do you feel is most attuned and sensitive to issues that affect this group—(ROTATE) the Democratic Party, the Republican Party, both parties are about the same, or neither party is good here. (RANDOMIZE) THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE WHO GIVE THE ADVANTAGE TO THE REPUBLICAN PARTY

Religious conservatives May 2012......................................... Men and women in the military May 2012......................................... Small business owners May 2012......................................... Retirees May 2012......................................... You and your family May 2012......................................... Stay-at-home moms May 2012......................................... The middle class May 2012......................................... Working women May 2012......................................... Young adults under 30 years old May 2012......................................... Hispanics or Latinos May 2012......................................... Gays and lesbians May 2012.........................................

Party Advantage

Republican Party

Democratic Party

Both About The Same

Neither

Not Sure

R-51

60

9

14

11

6

R-8

31

23

31

10

5

R-6

37

31

15

12

5

D-2

29

31

20

16

6

D-7

30

37

15

16

2

D-8

23

31

24

16

6

D-13

27

40

17

14

2

D-26

16

42

24

14

4

D-29

14

43

21

15

5

D-35

11

46

21

16

6

D-58

5

63

13

14

5

Now, thinking about another topic… Q28a Do you feel more confident or less confident that the war in Afghanistan will come to a successful conclusion?

More confident .................................. Less confident ................................... Depends (VOL) ............................... Not sure ..........................................

5/12* 43 51 2 4

5/11 38 50 6 6

4/11 31 60 2 7

12/09 30 58 5 7

9/09 28 59 6 7

* Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM A).

Q28b

The current US plan in Afghanistan calls for almost all combat troops to be removed by 2014. Now, would you approve or disapprove of a proposal that would keep some US troops in Afghanistan to continue in targeted counter-terrorism efforts and training of Afghan troops for another ten years after 2014? (If Approve/Disapprove, then ask:) And, would you strongly (approve/disapprove) or just somewhat (approve/disapprove) of that proposal?** Strongly approve ........................................... Somewhat approve ....................................... Somewhat disapprove ................................... Strongly disapprove ....................................... Depends (VOL) .......................................... Not sure ...................................................... ** Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM B).

17 25 15 38 1 4


HART/McINTURFF May 2012

Study #12412 --page 24 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Now, thinking about something else… Q29 If a law passed that allowed same-sex marriages to become legal in your state, would you actively support such a law, be in favor but not actively support it, be opposed to it but not actively try to have it overturned, or be opposed to such a law and actively work to overturn it? Actively support .......................................................... Favor but not actively support it ................................... Opposed but not actively try to have it overturned ...... Opposed and actively work to overturn it..................... Not sure ...................................................................

24 30 23 17 6

Now I am going to ask you a few questions for statistical purposes only. QF1a Are you currently registered to vote [LANDLINE: at this address; CELL: in (state from Q1x)]? Registered ........................................ Not registered ................................... Not sure ..........................................

84 16 -

QF1b/c A lot of people are unable to get out and vote for many reasons. Did you happen to vote in last November's election for president? (IF “YES,” ASK:) For whom did you vote––Barack Obama, John McCain, or someone else? Yes, Voted Voted for Barack Obama ................ Voted for John McCain ................... Voted for someone else ................. Not sure .......................................... No, Did Not Vote ............................. Not sure ........................................

QF1d

41 31 6 3 18 1

And did you happen to vote in the 2010 election for U.S. Congress?+ Yes, Voted ........................................................ No, did not vote ................................................ Not sure ..........................................................

68 28 4

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

QF2

Are you currently employed? (IF "CURRENTLY EMPLOYED," ASK:) What type of work do you do? (RECORD UNDER "6--OTHER.") (IF "NOT CURRENTLY EMPLOYED," ASK:) Are you a student, a homemaker, retired, or unemployed and looking for work? Currently Employed Professional, manager............................. White-collar worker .................................. Blue-collar worker .................................... Farmer, rancher ....................................... Not Currently Employed Student .................................................... Homemaker ............................................. Retired ..................................................... Unemployed, looking for work ................. Other ....................................................... Not sure .................................................

22 23 16 4 5 23 6 1


HART/McINTURFF May 2012

Study #12412 --page 25 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

(IF EMPLOYED IN F2, THEN ASK) QF2a And, do you own or operate your own small business? Yes ....................................... No ......................................... Not sure .............................. Not Employed (QF2) ............ QF2b

12 49 1 38

And, are you currently serving in the US military, are you a military veteran, or have you never been in the military? Total Military ..................................................... Yes, Currently in the Military........................... Yes, Military Veteran ...................................... No, Never been in the Military .......................... Not sure ..........................................................

QF3

What is the last grade that you completed in school? (DO NOT READ CHOICES.) Grade school ....................................................... Some high school ................................................ High school graduate .......................................... Some college, no degree..................................... Vocational training/2-year college ....................... 4-year college/bachelor's degree......................... Some postgraduate work, no degree .................. 2-3 years postgraduate work/master's degree..... Doctoral/law degree ............................................ Not sure/refused ................................................

QF4a

13 1 12 86 1

1 5 24 18 10 24 2 12 4 -

Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as (ROTATE:) a Democrat, a Republican, an independent, or something else? (IF "DEMOCRAT" OR "REPUBLICAN," ASK:) Would you call yourself a strong (Democrat/Republican) or not a very strong (Democrat/Republican)? (IF "NOT SURE," CODE AS "NOT VERY STRONG DEMOCRAT/REPUBLICAN.") (IF "INDEPENDENT," ASK:) Do you think of yourself as closer to the Republican Party, closer to the Democratic Party, or do you think of yourself as strictly independent? (IF "NOT SURE," CODE AS "STRICTLY INDEPENDENT.") Strong Democrat ........................... Not very strong Democrat ............. Independent/lean Democrat .......... Strictly Independent....................... Independent/lean Republican ........ Not very strong Republican ........... Strong Republican ......................... Other (VOL) ................................... Not sure.......................................

21 8 15 16 14 7 15 3 1


HART/McINTURFF May 2012

Study #12412 --page 26 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Now, thinking about something else‌ QF4b Do you consider yourself a supporter of the Tea Party Movement?

Yes ................................ No .................................. Depends (VOL) ........... Not sure .......................

5/12+ 30 60 2 8

4/12+ 25 64 2 9

3/12+ 28 63 2 7

1/12+ 27 66 2 5

12/11+ 27 65 3 5

11/11+ 25 69 2 4

10/11+ 26 64 3 7

8/11+ 27 62 4 7

6/11+ 26 63 3 8

5/11+ 26 62 2 10

4/11+ 25 67 3 5

2/11+ 29 61 3 7

1/11+ 27 62 3 8

12/10+ 29 61 3 7

11/10+ 30 59 4 7

10/2830/10+ 28 61 3 8

10/1418/10+ 30 59 2 10

9/10+ 28 61 3 8

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters

ASK ONLY RESPONDENTS WHO SUPPORT THE TEA PARTY (QF4b:1) AND ARE REPUBLICAN (QF4a:5-7). QF4c Which better describes you, (ROTATE:) a supporter of the Tea Party Movement or a Republican?

Supporter of the Tea Party Movement......................... Republican .................................................................. Both (VOL) ................................................................ Not sure .................................................................... Not Republican and Tea Party Supporters ..................

All Reg Voters+ 11 11 1 1 76

GOP and Tea Party Supporters 45 46 6 3 n/a

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters

QF5

Thinking about your general approach to issues, do you consider yourself to be liberal, moderate, or conservative? (IF "LIBERAL" OR "CONSERVATIVE," ASK:) Do you consider yourself to be very (liberal/conservative) or somewhat (liberal/conservative)? Very liberal ...................................... Somewhat liberal ............................. Moderate ......................................... Somewhat conservative .................. Very conservative ............................ Not sure .........................................

11 13 35 22 16 3


HART/McINTURFF May 2012 QF6a

Study #12412 --page 27 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

What is your religion? Protestant (includes Baptist, Lutheran, Methodist, Episcopal, Presbyterian, and other Christians) .......................................... Catholic ..................................................................................... Jewish ....................................................................................... Muslim ....................................................................................... Mormon/LDS/Church of Jesus Christ of Latter Day Saints ........ Other ......................................................................................... None .......................................................................................... Not sure/refused ......................................................................

45 24 2 1 1 11 13 3

(ASK ONLY OF RESPONDENTS WHO SAY PROTESTANT, OTHER, NONE, OR NOT SURE IN QF6a.) QF6b Would you describe yourself as either a fundamentalist or an evangelical Christian, or would you not describe yourself that way? Fundamentalist/evangelical ................................. 14 Neither fundamentalist nor evangelical ............... 54 Not sure ............................................................ 4 Catholic/Jewish/Muslim/Mormon (QF6a) ............. 28

QF7a/b Are you a current or retired labor union member? (ASK ONLY OF RESPONDENTS WHO SAY "NO" OR "NOT SURE" IN QF7a.) Is anyone else in your household a current or retired labor union member? Labor union member......................... Union household ............................... Non-union household........................ Not sure ..........................................

QF8

Are you married, widowed, separated, divorced, single and never been married, or are you unmarried and living with a partner? Married ................................................. Widowed ................................................ Separated ............................................. Divorced ............................................... Single/never been married .................... Unmarried and living with a partner ....... Refused ...............................................

QF9

12 9 78 1

51 8 3 11 20 6 1

If you added together the yearly income of all the members of your family who were living at home last year, would the total be less than ten thousand dollars, between ten thousand dollars and twenty thousand dollars, between twenty thousand dollars and thirty thousand dollars, between thirty thousand dollars and forty thousand dollars, between forty thousand dollars and fifty thousand dollars, between fifty thousand dollars and seventy-five thousand dollars, between seventy-five thousand dollars and one hundred thousand dollars, or would the total be more than that? Less than $10,000 .................................... Between $10,000 and $20,000 ................. Between $20,000 and $30,000 ................. Between $30,000 and $40,000 ................. Between $40,000 and $50,000 ................. Between $50,000 and $75,000 ................. Between $75,000 and $100,000 ............... More than $100,000 .................................. Not sure/refused ......................................

5 10 8 9 9 15 15 21 8


HART/McINTURFF May 2012 F10a

Study #12412 --page 28 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Do you personally know or work with someone who is gay or lesbian?

Yes.............................. No ............................... Not sure ....................

5/12 67 30 3

3/12 64 33 3

3/04 62 35 3

(ASK ONLY OF RESPONDENTS WHO SAY YES IN QF10a.) F10b Is that person yourself, a member of your family, a close friend, a co-worker, or an acquaintance? (ACCEPT MULTIPLE RESPONSES)

Self ....................................................................... Family member ..................................................... Close friend .......................................................... Co-worker ............................................................. Acquaintance ........................................................ Other (VOL) ........................................................ Not sure/refused ................................................. Do not if know or work with anyone who is gay or lesbian or not sure (QF10a) ........................

5/12 3 16 27 28 24 1

3/12 3 15 23 26 22 1 1

3/04 1 12 18 20 25 -

32

36

38


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