A Natural Investment Project: A Regional Development Case Study

Page 56

A Natural Investment Project

6 Findings: Implications for Regional Economic Activity

Period

1

2

3

4

5

6

Total

(Years) NPV total investment ($ m)

(1-5) 11.3

(6-10) 47.0

(11-15) 47.3

(16-20) 36.8

(21-25) 25.9

(26-30) 11.6

Total restoration area (ha)

15,149

73,339

76,395

67,228

51,949

21,391

305,580

NPV total investment

$35.3m

$142.4m

$140.8m

$108.7m

$75.8m

$33.1m

$536.1m

179.8

All zones

Table 6-12

Funds required for Scenario 3 over 30 years (203,720 hectares)

Period

1

2

3

4

5

6

(Years) Zone 1

(1-5)

(6-10)

(11-15)

(16-20)

(21-25)

(26-30)

Area to be restored (ha)

3,407

16,353

17,035

14,990

11,583

4,770

68,138

NPV cost of access ($m)

4.0

15.0

12.3

8.5

5.1

1.4

46.3

NPV restoration costs ($m)

5.0

20.5

21.9

17.5

12.7

6.1

83.6

NPV total investment ($ m)

9.0

35.5

34.1

26.0

17.8

7.4

129.8

Area to be restored (ha)

3,459

16,604

17,296

15,220

11,761

4,843

69,182

NPV cost of access ($m)

1.8

6.9

5.6

3.9

2.4

0.6

21.3

NPV restoration costs ($m)

5.2

21.2

22.6

18.1

13.1

6.3

86.5

NPV total investment ($ m)

7.0

28.1

28.2

22.0

15.5

6.9

107.7

Area to be restored (ha)

3,320

15,936

16,600

14,608

11,288

4,648

66,400

NPV cost of access ($m)

2.0

7.6

6.2

4.3

2.6

0.7

23.5

NPV restoration costs ($m)

5.5

23.7

25.3

20.2

14.7

7.0

96.3

NPV total investment ($ m)

7.5

31.3

31.5

24.5

17.3

7.7

119.8

Total restoration area (ha)

10,316

48,893

50,930

44,818

34,632

14,260

203,720

NPV total investment

$23.5m

$95.0m

$93.9m

$72.5m

$50.5m

$22.1m

$357.5m

Total

Zone 2

Zone 3

All zones

Table 6-13

Funds required for Scenario 4 over 30 years (150,391 hectares)

Period

1

2

3

4

5

6

(Years) Zone 1

(1-5)

(6-10)

(11-15)

(16-20)

(21-25)

(26-30)

Total

Area to be restored (ha)

3,250

15,600

16,250

14,300

11,050

4,550

65,000

NPV cost of access ($m)

4.6

17.4

14.2

9.8

5.9

1.6

53.6

NPV restoration costs ($m)

5.0

20.2

21.5

17.2

12.5

6.0

82.4

NPV total investment ($ m)

9.6

37.6

35.8

27.1

18.4

7.6

136.0

Zone 2 Area to be restored (ha)

2,520

12,094

12,598

11,086

8,566

3,527

50,391

NPV cost of access ($m)

1.5

5.7

4.6

3.2

1.9

0.5

17.4

NPV restoration costs ($m)

3.8

15.6

16.7

13.4

9.7

4.7

63.9

NPV total investment ($ m)

5.3

21.3

21.3

16.6

11.6

5.2

81.3

Zone 3

38

43283561/01/01


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