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World Drug Report 2014

Page 48

iv

ANNEX I

Potential production of fresh coca leaf, 2005-2012 (Tons) Colombia

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

555,400

528,300

525,300

389,600

343,600

305,300 305,300-349,600

263,800

231,700 179,200-284,200

Range

Potential production of fresh coca leaf in oven-dried equivalent, 2005-2012 (Tons) 2005 Colombia

164,280

2006

2007

154,130

154,000

2008

2009

2010

116,900

103,100

91,600 91,600-104,880

Range

2011

2012

79,100

69,500

Sources: National Illicit Crop Monitoring System supported by UNODC. Notes: Owing to the introduction of an adjustment factor for small fields, estimates since 2010 are not directly comparable with those of previous years. The ranges reflect the uncertainty associated with the estimates. For Bolivia (Plurinational State of) and Peru, the ranges are based on confidence intervals, and the best estimate is the midpoint between the upper and lower bounds of the range. In the case of Colombia, the range is estimated on the basis of the area under coca cultivation in the two previous years. The methodology used to calculate uncertainty ranges for production estimates is still under development, and figures may be revised when more information becomes available.

Potential manufacture of 100% pure cocaine, 2005-2012 (Tons) 2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

80

94

104

113

n.a.

n.a.

n.a.

n.a.

680

660

630

450

410

350

345

309

Bolivia (Plurinational state of) Colombia

350-400

Range

240-377

Peru

260

280

290

302

n.a.

n.a.

n.a.

n.a.

Total

1,020

1,034

1,024

865

*

*

*

*

Sources: For Bolivia (Plurinational State of): Government calculations based on coca leaf yield surveys by UNODC (Yungas of La Paz) and United States DEA scientific studies (Chapare). For Colombia: national illicit crop monitoring system supported by UNODC and DEA scientific studies. Due to the introduction of an adjustment factor for small fields, estimates since 2010 are not directly comparable with those of previous years. For Peru: Government calculations, based on a coca leaf to cocaine conversion ratio from DEA scientific studies. Notes: Owing to the ongoing review of conversion factors, no point estimate of the level of cocaine production could be provided since 2009. Because of uncertainty about the level of total potential cocaine manufacture and about the comparability of the estimates of the various countries, the figures were estimated as ranges (842-1,111 tons in 2009, 788-1,060 tons in 2010, 776-1,051 tons in 2011 and 714-973 tons in 2012). Detailed information on the ongoing revision of conversion ratios and cocaine laboratory efficiency is available in the World Drug Report 2010 (p. 249). Figures in italics are being reviewed. Information on estimation methodologies and definitions can be found in the section on methodology in the online version of this report.

Reported cumulative eradication of coca bush (ha), 2005-2012) 2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

Bolivia (Plurinational State of)

manual

6,073

5,070

6,269

5,484

6,341

8,200

10,460

Colombia

manual

31,980

43,051

66,805

95,634

60,544

43,690

33,727

spraying

138,775

172,026

153,134

133,496

104,771

101,939

103,302

2012

11,044 30,486 100,549

Peru

manual

7,605

9,153

10,188

11,102

10,091

12,239

10,290

14,235

Ecuador

manual

18

9

12

12

6

3

14

..

Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of)

manual

40

0

0

0

0

..

..

..

Source: UNODC annual report questionnaire and database on estimates and long-term trend analysis (DELTA); Government of Bolivia (Plurinational State of), Colombia and Peru. Notes: Totals for Bolivia (Plurinational State of) since 2006 include voluntary and forced eradication. Totals for Peru include voluntary and forced eradication. Two dots (..) indicate that data are not available


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