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The Emissions Gap Report 2015

Page 45

Russian Federation

30 per cent below the 1990 level (UNFCCC, 2015). It is an economy-wide target and includes all greenhouse gases.

The INDC of the Russian Federation states that “Limiting anthropogenic greenhouse gases in Russia to 70-75% of 1990 levels by the year 2030 might be a long-term indicator, subject to the maximum possible account of absorbing capacity of forests”. This implies reducing emissions by 25-

Study estimates diverge significantly on future emission trends under the current policy trajectory and under the INDC. This is due primarily to different assumptions on accounting of LULUCF emissions.

Figure A1.11: GHG emissions of the Russian Federation under the 2020 pledge, INDC and current policy trajectory case The official studies are: UNFCCC inventories for historic data/6th National Communication for current policy projections (UNFCCC National Reports, 2015). For INDC: reductions from INDC submission applied to base year 1990 (UNFCCC, 2015)

Russia

Mt CO2e 4 000

3 500

CROADS

3 000

U.Melbourne LSE PBL CAT Official Median 2020 pledges

2 500

10th-90th percentile for pledges

2 000

1 500 1990

62

2010

2020

2025 Current policy trajectory

2030

The Emissions Gap Report 2015 – Annex 1: Country-specific findings

2020 Pledge

2030 INDC


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