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The Emissions Gap Report 2015

Page 44

Republic of Korea

applies to five sectors (energy, industrial processes and product use, agriculture, LULUCF and waste) and six gases (CO2, CH4, N2O, HFCs, PFCs and SF6).

The Republic of Korea put forward an economy-wide target to reduce its GHG emissions by 37 per cent from businessas-usual (BAU) by 2030. The Republic of Korea intends to achieve a 25.7 per cent emissions reduction from BAU domestically. The INDC covers energy, industrial processes and product use, agriculture and waste, and states that “[…] a decision will be made at a later stage on whether to include greenhouse gas emissions and sinks of the land sector as well as the method for doing so” (UNFCCC, 2015). The target

The Republic of Korea provides an official estimate in its INDC document, which would equate to emission levels of about 535.9 MtCO2e in 2030. Modelling groups agree on the emission levels in 2030 since they use the emission level taken from the INDC document. The Climate Action Tracker (CAT, 2015) provides a higher estimate indicating the levels of intended domestic reductions.

Figure A1.10: GHG emissions of the Republic of Korea under the 2020 pledge, INDC and current policy trajectory case The official and national study is: UNFCCC National Reports (2015)

South Korea

Mt CO2e 850

750

650

CROADS U.Melbourne LSE 550

PBL CAT Official Median 2020 pledges 10th-90th percentile for pledges

450

350

250 1990

2010

2020

2025 2030 Current policy trajectory

2020 Pledge Conditional

2030 INDC

The Emissions Gap Report 2015 – Annex 1: Country-specific findings

61


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