California Policy Options 2010

Page 134

WARNING LIGHT

The solution developed for San Diego ratepayers was a short-term transitional patch whereby rates

In 1996, an elaborate electricity plan for California

would rise more gradually through a borrowing

was adopted with bipartisan support in the legislature

arrangement. It did not include a re-evaluation of the

as well as support by Governor Wilson. The theory

entire deregulation plan to see if other problems lay

was that competition in electricity supply could bring

ahead. Various issues competed for Davis’ attention

down the costs of power. Generation (power supply)

in summer 2000 such as creating a César Chavez

would be separated from distribution. Customers,

holiday for the state and deciding how the state would

both residential and commercial, would buy from the

celebrate the 150th anniversary of statehood. There

cheapest source. Retail prices would be controlled

were pressures to enlarge the Cal Grant funds for

and capped until the former generating/distribution

college tuition and controversy over a possible state

regulated monopoly firms divested themselves of their

law to resolve labor disputes for police and firefighters

generation capacity. Despite the appealing theory,

through an arbitration process.

there are many practical issues in any deregulation scheme, once the plan moves from general concept to

Also competing for the governor ’s attention was the

specific details.

aftermath of a scandal that had led to resignation of Insurance Commissioner Charles Quackenbush, a bill

Unlike other markets, electricity demand and supply

related to racial profiling by police, reduction of fees

must match exactly, moment by moment. Insufficient

at state parks, political jockeying surrounding various

supply can cause equipment failures at both the sup-

ballot measures destined for the November election,

ply and demand ends. So there must always be enough

and nursing home regulation. One of these measures

power, something that can only be ensured either by

would be the ballot proposition that would reduce

having excess capacity or by quickly cutting off power

the voter approval hurdle for school bonds from

(blackouts) to some customers. The electricity market

two thirds to 55 percent. 2 3 In short, it was easy for

can be subject to manipulation unless the deregulation

the warning light flashed in San Diego on electricity

plan includes a new version of regulation to prevent

deregulation to be ignored, especially if all important

artificial withholding of power and ensure sufficient

and not-so-important decisions ended up in the

supply and capacity. As it turned out, California’s de-

governor ’s office.

regulation plan was flawed and was famously manipulated on the supply side.

And there was so much good news to announce, including a reduction in the sales tax beginning on

Governor Davis was not responsible for the original de-

January 1, 2001, triggered by the state’s revenue boom

regulation plan, since it was signed into law by his pre-

and extra payments to schools for education of the

decessor. However, Davis’ tendency to micro-manage

disabled, a matter that had been in litigation for years.

and his aversion to delegation meant that his adminis-

The projections for 2001-02 also were rosy, according

tration could overload in a crisis situation. San Diego

to the legislative analyst and the Department of

Gas and Electric was the first major utility to divest

Finance. “Extra revenue in the billions,” was how the

itself of its generating capacity and so was free to raise

forecast as of November 2000 was characterized by the

its rates. San Diegans saw their electric bills soar in July

Department of Finance spokesperson.2 4

2000, leading to a public outcry. That outcry should have been a warning sign that there were problems with

However, there also were suggestions that maybe

the larger deregulation scheme outside of San Diego.

some of the revenue should be spent to shore up the

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