http://www.trefethenandco.com/pdf/09-01-11-1Trefethen-Advisors-C-Store-Market-Update-April%202010

Page 1

Trefethen Advisors

market update

C o n v e n i e n c e S t o r e ⎟ R e t a i l P e t r o l e u m M a r k e t N e w s Trefethen Advisors, LLC is pleased to bring you the April 2010 edition of its market update. This periodical is designed to provide current information on the capital and equity markets, convenience store and retail petroleum industry transaction activity and company valuations, and related news and commentary.

Version 6 Issue 1 | April 2010

INSIDE market update

2

|

Money and Commodity Markets

Market Summary

3

|

Capital Markets

Over the last month, the capital market pricing across all tenors have increased as a result of the recovering economy, concern over the long‐term impact of increasing government deficits and un‐winding of the Fed’s economic stimulus efforts. The general equity markets posted strong gains over the last month with the S&P 500 increasing nearly 6% buoyed by growing consensus that the economy is, in fact, in recovery. Retailers fared better with the Spider Retail Index posting a 12% increase for the month. Equity performance of pure play convenience retailers included the Trefethen Advisors Index (ATD, CASY, PTRY, SUSS) was off approximately 1% for the month and 6% for the year to date.

4

|

Equity Markets

6

|

Public Company Information

10

|

Comparative Graphics

11

|

M&A Valuations and Transactions

12

|

Industry and Company News (Continued)

14

|

Featured Article

Earnings Announcements About Trefethen Advisors, LLC

Alimentation Couche‐Tard Inc. (ATD) reported on March 9, 2010 the results for its third quarter of fiscal 2010 ending January 31, 2010. The company’s results for the quarter were lower than the same period last year primarily as a result of a decrease in motor fuel gross margins in the US. Lower fuel gross margins were partially offset by the increase in same‐store merchandise sales in Canada and the US, and by the contribution from stores acquired, and a lower income tax rate. Highlights include:

Trefethen Advisors, LLC is a privately-owned investment and merchant banking firm focused on providing sound advice and capital to the multi-unit retail industry.

Services Include: - Mergers & Acquisitions (Buy-Side, Sell-Side) - Financial Restructuring and Distressed M&A

Income Net income for the quarter was $54.8 million, or $0.29 per diluted share, compared to $71.1 million, or $0.36 per diluted share, for the third quarter of fiscal 2009. EBITDA EBITDA for the third quarter of fiscal 2010 was $141.3 million, versus $168.1 million for the third quarter last year.

- Corporate Finance / Recapitalizations - Strategic Transactions (Asset Optimization, Value Creation, Liquidity, Taxation)

Private Capital Products Include: - Private Equity

Merchandise & Service Merchandise and service revenues for the third quarter increased 10.50% overall and 3.0% on a comparable store basis in the US, and 4.9% in Canada over the corresponding period last year. The merchandise and service gross margin in the US was 32.9%, compared with 32.8% a year ago. In Canada, the merchandise and service gross margin was 33.1%, compared with 33.7% a year ago. Total merchandise and service gross profit for the quarter was $565.4, up 10.2% from a year ago. Fuel Fuel gallons sold in the US during third quarter increased 3.9%, but decreased 0.2% on a comparable basis. In Canada, liters sold increased 8.2% during the third quarter, and 1.4% on a comparable store basis. Retail fuel margin in the US for the third quarter was $0.128 cents per gallon, versus $0.182 cents per gallon for the same period last year.

- Mezzanine Financing (Sub-Debt, Preferred Equity) - Sale-Leaseback Financing For more information, contact us at (480) 922-9966 or visit our website @ www.trefethenadvisors.com. 2010 Trefethen Advisors, LLC. All rights reserved. Market update is published by Trefethen Advisors, LLC. Sources include various market participants deemed to be reliable. We do not guarantee such information, undertake to advise you of changes or make any representations as to its accuracy nor does such information represent the opinion of Trefethen Advisors, LLC or any of its affiliates.

(Continued on Page 12)

1

- Debt Financing (Bridge, High Leverage, DIP)


Money & Commodity Markets Money Markets 4/5/10

‐ 1 Wk

‐ 1 Mo

‐ 6 Mos

‐ 1 Yr

6 Month

0.24%

0.23%

0.19%

0.13%

0.40%

1 Year

0.41%

0.38%

0.33%

0.34%

0.58%

5 Year

2.67%

2.60%

2.34%

2.21%

1.85%

10 Year

3.94%

3.86%

3.68%

3.22%

2.89%

3.50%

30 Year

4.81%

4.77%

4.64%

4.02%

3.69%

3.00%

3 Year

1.89%

1.79%

1.66%

1.81%

1.90%

2.00%

5 Year

2.86%

2.71%

2.55%

2.58%

2.47%

1.50%

10 Year

3.96%

3.79%

3.64%

3.39%

3.13%

30 Year

4.62%

4.50%

4.39%

3.91%

3.49%

1 Month

0.25%

0.25%

0.23%

0.25%

0.50%

3 Month

0.44%

0.44%

0.38%

0.62%

1.72%

1 Year

0.92%

0.91%

0.84%

1.24%

1.95%

Treasury Rates

Swap Curve 5.00% 4.50% 4.00%

Swaps

2.50%

3 Year

5 year

4/5/2010

10 year

‐1 Month

30 year

‐6 Month

‐1 Year

LIBOR Featured Economic Graphic

Chain Store Monthly Same Store Sales % Change 6.00

Other Key Rates

4.00

Prime

3.25%

3.25%

3.25%

3.25%

3.25%

Discount

0.75%

0.75%

0.75%

0.50%

0.50%

2.00 ‐

Foreign Exchange

(2.00)

Dollar Index (USD/Basket)

81.01

81.68

80.43

76.64

84.17

Pound / USD

1.53

1.49

1.50

1.59

1.48

Euro / USD

1.35

1.34

1.36

1.46

1.34

USD / Yen

94.40

92.52

89.02

89.53

100.99

USD / CAD

1.01

1.03

1.03

1.07

1.24

(4.00) (6.00) (8.00) (10.00) Jan

Feb

Mar

Apr

May

2008

Jun

July

2009

Aug

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

2010

Source: ICSC Market Commentary Fixed income yields increased slightly over the last 30 days, reflecting the market's concerns over government deficit spending and constrained optimism regarding the economy and the Fed's exit strategy. Over the past month, the US Dollar posted a modest rally against major currencies, and then declined in the past week as sovereign debt issues eased. This issue , our featured economic statistic is chain store same store sales as reported by ICSC, which cover approximately 80 chains, and confirm a consistent, although rather modest, recovery in retail sales vs 2009.

Commodity Markets 4/5/10

‐ 1 Wk

‐ 1 Mo

‐ 6 Mos

‐ 1 Yr

Crude (W. TX Cushing Spot)

84.87

80.20

78.70

70.82

48.39

90

18

Crack Spread (NYMEX 3‐2‐1)

11.31

10.98

11.45

3.78

9.52

80

16

Unleaded Retail Gas (US Avg) 2.83

2.81

2.71

2.46

2.04

70

14

60

12

Energy Markets

2.17

2.15

1.82

1.46

Rack to Retail Spread

0.55

0.64

0.56

0.64

0.58

Other Commodity Markets Gold

1,126

1,110

1,135

1,017

893

Silver

18

17

17

17

13

Wheat

471

478

506

487

646

Corn

347

356

376

363

454

50

10

40

8

30

6

20

4

10

2 0

0 Dec‐08

Crack Spread

2.27

Spot Price

Unleaded Rack (US Avg)

Crude Spot vs Refining Spread

Feb‐09

Apr‐09

Source: Bloomberg

Jun‐09

Aug‐09

Oct‐09

Spot Price

Dec‐09

Feb‐10

321 Crack M1

Featured Commodity Graphic Rack vs Retail Price

Regular Gasoline Deliveries By Prime Supplier 2.40

320,000 310,000 300,000 290,000 280,000

3.00 2.80

2.20

2.60

2.00

2.40

1.80

2.20 2.00

1.60

1.80

1.40

1.60 1.40

1.20

1.20 1.00

1.00

270,000 Jan Average gallons/Day: Source:DOE

Feb

Mar

Apr 2008

May

Jun 2009

July

Aug

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec‐08

Dec

Mar‐09

Jun‐09

Sep‐09 Rack Price

2010

Gross Retail Price $

Reg. Unleaded Rack Price $

330,000

Dec‐09

Mar‐10

Retail Price

Market Commentary Crude prices rallied nearly 8% over the last month, which resulted in compressed retail margins in many parts of the country. Refining spreads, after a period of stability, posted a recent increase. This issue, our featured commodity graphic focuses on gasoline demand measured by average deliveries of gasoline by prime suppliers. Data through January 2010 show a decrease in demand over the pervious years, reflecting the weak economy and, perhaps, increases in fuel efficiency and driving behavior trends.

2


Capital Markets

Issuers / Providers

Senior Term Debt

Senior Debt Asset Based

Mortgage Financing

Bank and non- bank

Bank and non- bank

Reduced base of

lender s ( e.g., capt ive

lender s ( e.g., lif e

t r adit ional lender s

High Yield

banks, st and- alone

of lar ge commer cial

r egional, r egional and

f inance companies, and

banks, st and- alone

local banks.

f inance ar ms of lar ge

f inance companies, and

diver sif ied

f inance ar ms of lar ge

Inst it ut ional invest or s.

syndicat ion on a best

Pr ivat e equit y / hedge

subsidiar ies of lar ge

f unds and capt ive

commer cial banks and

subsidiar ies of lar ge

st and- alone f inance

commer cial banks.

Sale Lease‐Back

Individual r et ail invest or s, pr ivat e r eal est at e companies, REIT' s, developer s and pr ivat e equit y / hedge f unds.

Non- amor t izing; bullet mat ur it y. Suggest ed

t er m loan. Issue size may det er mine need f or

/ hedge f unds, capt ive

companies.

Revolver and/ or f unded

General Structure / Issue Size

Private Equity

Pr ivat e invest ment f unds

subs. of lar ge commer cial companies, capt ive subs

including nat ional, super -

Mezzanine / Sub‐ Debt

minimum t r ansact ion Revolver - gener ally.

size of $125 t o $150

Ter m loan.

million. Absolut e

ef f or t s or under wr it t en

Amor t izing t er m loan $5

Issue size gener ally $20

t o $50 million.

t o $200 million.

Fr om a single asset t o a t ot al issue size up t o $300 million.

minimum EBITDA of $30

basis.

million. 7.5%t o 12%depending on t enant cr edit , r emaining

Fixed: Swaps + appr ox.

Cost of Capital

Libor + 375- 500 bps.

Libor + appr ox. 350- 450

350- 450 bps.

Tr easur ies plus 350 t o 650

bps.

Var iable: Libor + appr ox.

bps.

350- 450 bps.

pr imar y lease t er m,

Gener ally pr icing in t he t eens. May include

20%- 30%.

escalat ions, unit economics, asset qualit y

war r ant s.

and concept ( as appr opr iat e) .

Interest Type

Fixed t o swaps and var iable.

Capacit y limit ed by

Advance Rate

Term / Amortization

Long- t er m f ixed r at e Var iable.

of A/ R and invent or y

lever age.

balances.

year s.

1t o 3 year s - gener ally. Int er est only.

Collateral / Security

guar ant ies most likely r equir ed f or smaller

May include pr ef er r ed

Fixed - wit h per iodic

dividends - cash or PIK.

escalat ions.

60%t o 70%loan t o r eal

Gener ally up t o 4X f ir m

cash f low depending on

est at e value.

cash f low.

nat ur e of asset s ( f ee RE vs leased RE) .

10 t o 30 year s.

A/ R, invent or y and ot her

Specif ic r eal est at e

available asset s.

asset s.

Invest or s will t ypically desir e aggr essive levels of lever age in or der t o invest ed equit y.

Gener ally 7 t o 10 year s.

Ter m is gener ally less

Non- amor t izing; bullet

t han 7 year s.

mat ur it y.

Amor t izat ion var ies.

Pr imar y t er m 15 t o 20 Gener ally 3 t o 5 year s.

year s plus mult iple t enant opt ion t er ms.

Senior , senior -

Fir st or second lien on all asset s. Per sonal

put r ight s and ot her

subor dinat ed lien on

guar ant ies may be

subst ant ial minor it y

specif ic or all long- t er m

r equir ed f or smaller

pr ot ect ions. May have

asset s.

companies.

out r ight cont r ol.

companies.

100%of r eal est at e value.

maximize r et ur n on

subor dinat ed or

Senior lien on all longt er m asset s. Per sonal

Fixed / Var iable. May include PIK component .

Gener ally up t o 6X f ir m

Capacit y limit ed by asset

4.5x lease adjust ed

Ter m of 5 year s.

Fixed.

var iable) .

lever age. Availabilit y up cover age. Typically <70%

Amor t izat ion up t o 20

f inancing ( can be

War r ant s / shar es wit h Lessor owns asset s.

Moder at e balance sheet

Typical Covenants

Minimum balance sheet

Numer ous balance sheet

and income st at ement covenant s ( subject t o

Numer ous balance sheet

Numer ous balance sheet

covenant s. Moder at e

and income st at ement

and income st at ement

and income st at ement

income st at ement

covenant s - but gener ally

covenant s.

covenant s.

cover age t ypes of

less r est r ict ive t han bank

covenant s.

covenant s.

senior lender r equir ement s) .

May

Cont r ol pr ovisions / boar d r epr esent at ions.

Minimal covenant s.

cont ain cont r ol pr ovisions.

Yield maint enance f or

Call Protection

f ixed lit t le or no pr emium f or f loat ing r at e.

Pr e- payable wit h lit t le or no call pr emiums.

Yield maint enance f or

Non- callable f or 3/ 4

f ixed lit t le or no pr emium

year s; t her eaf t er at set

f or f loat ing r at e.

pr emiums.

Non- callable / makewhole payment s.

N/ A

Least r est r ict ive

Other Advantages / Disadvantages

No public disclosur e of

No public disclosur e of

No public disclosur e of

f inancial per f or mance.

f inancial per f or mance.

f inancial per f or mance.

covenant package. S&P

No public disclosur e of

Negot iable cont r ol and

and Moody' s r at ing

f inancial per f or mance.

gover nance issues. No

r equir ed. Public

Pr emium pr icing t o

public disclosur e of

disclosur e r equir ement s /

public bond.

f inancial per f or mance.

Sar banes Oxley.

Select lender s ar e

mar ket is dr iven by

The high yield mar ket

get t ing mor e act ive in

cur r ent economic

may ent er t ain lower

t he indust r y.

condit ions, cont r act ion

Under wr it ing is

in t he t r adit ional bank

conser vat ive, but t her e is

mar ket and a r enewed

gr eat er r isk in t he sear ch

debt available.

f ocus on st r uct ur e and

f or yield.

May be expensive t o pr e- r at ed issuer s as invest or s pay.

may be willing t o t ake on

collat er al by issuer s.

abilit y t o cont r ol t he pr oper t y f or up t o 50 year s t hr ough opt ions.

include a st r ong,

May be usef ul f or gr owt h

sust ainable cash f low,

capit al / acquisit ions /

gr owt h pot ent ial in

lar ge pr oject f inancing.

r evenue and cash f low,

Requir ement s would

liquidit y r esult ing in

st r ong asset base and

include cur r ent or near

compr essed cap r at es.

exper ienced

t er m pr of it abilit y, st r ong

management t eams wit h

management t eam.

owner ship posit ion.

3

Minimal covenant s, higher advance r at es and

Cr edit r equir ement s

The Asset Based Lending

Other General Comments

N/ A

Mar ket is gaining some


Equity Markets $ in Local Currency

($M M , Except per Share Dat a)

Security Indexes Dow Jones Industrial Avg S&P 500 SPDR S&P Retail ETF Trefethen Advisors C‐Store Convenience ALIMENTATION COUCHE‐TARD ‐B CASEY'S GENERAL STORES INC PANTRY INC SUSSER HOLDINGS CORP

Ticker

Most Recent Qtr End

XRT

Last

52W High 52W Low

(4/ 1/ 10)

10,927 1,178 41.80 27.33

10,956 1,181 41.98 27.33

7,751 815 23.39 16.80

Mkt Cap

Net Debt

Enterprise TTM LTM Value EPS EBITDA

ATD.B CASY PTRY SUSS

01/10 01/10 12/10 12/09

18.42 31.65 12.57 8.57

22.24 33.06 25.97 14.86

12.24 23.58 12.00 8.11

3,379 1,611 285 147

724 29 1,058 403

4,103 1,641 1,343 551

1.44 2.16 (0.25) 0.12

601 259 208 89

Refining ALON USA ENERGY INC DELEK US HOLDINGS INC HESS CORP HOLLY CORP MARATHON OIL CORP MURPHY OIL CORP SUNOCO INC TESORO CORP WESTERN REFINING INC

ALJ DK HES HOC MRO MUR SUN TSO WNR

12/09 12/09 12/09 12/09 12/09 12/09 12/09 12/09 12/09

7.47 7.40 63.70 28.47 32.09 57.64 30.76 14.39 5.58

15.90 12.41 69.74 33.53 35.71 65.12 34.49 18.77 16.30

6.52 5.65 46.33 16.71 27.15 43.46 21.45 10.62 4.03

405 402 20,845 1,512 22,732 11,017 3,597 2,023 499

897 249 3,105 582 6,475 273 2,087 1,428 1,042

1,310 651 24,094 2,682 29,207 11,290 6,246 3,451 1,541

(2.46) 0.03 2.28 0.35 1.71 3.87 (3.12) (1.02) (4.50)

18 4 4,181 185 5,507 2,265 613 443 281

Major Oil BP PLC CHEVRON CORP CONOCOPHILLIPS EXXON MOBIL CORP ROYAL DUTCH SHELL PLC‐A SHS TOTAL SA

BP CVX COP XOM RDSA FP

12/09 12/09 12/09 12/09 12/09 12/09

631.30 76.69 52.02 67.61 1,924.50 43.64

640.10 81.09 54.13 76.54 1,973.00 46.74

426.50 60.88 37.52 63.56 1,403.00 34.72

181,021 154,021 79,429 319,205 179,520 102,485

26,039 1,786 28,111 (1,257) 25,314 14,581

207,581 156,454 108,130 322,771 206,538 118,053

0.88 5.26 3.26 3.99 2.04 3.79

33,392 26,432 17,606 38,156 29,079 22,234

Drug CVS CAREMARK CORP WALGREEN CO

CVS WAG

12/09 02/10

36.23 37.75

38.27 40.69

27.38 26.34

50,378 36,936

10,084 60,499 (746) 36,190

2.59 2.14

7,827 4,434

Restaurant BURGER KING HOLDINGS INC DARDEN RESTAURANTS INC MCDONALD'S CORP STARBUCKS CORP YUM! BRANDS INC

BKC DRI MCD SBUX YUM

12/10 02/10 12/09 12/10 12/09

21.09 44.50 67.58 24.24 39.20

24.10 45.29 67.71 26.00 39.24

15.61 29.94 51.76 10.95 28.66

2,853 6,256 72,713 18,020 18,396

719 1,433 8,782 (807) 2,913

3,572 7,689 81,496 17,226 21,398

1.51 2.98 4.15 0.75 2.29

436 954 7,996 1,505 2,143

Grocery KROGER CO SAFEWAY INC

KR SWY

01/10 12/09

21.88 25.34

24.80 25.41

19.45 17.87

14,139 9,852

7,632 4,430

21,845 14,282

0.10 (2.84)

3,730 2,517

Home Improvement HOME DEPOT INC LOWE'S COS INC

HD LOW

01/10 01/10

32.38 24.54

32.98 25.31

22.27 18.02

54,830 35,421

8,255 4,023

63,085 39,444

1.56 1.20

6,609 4,846

Discount DOLLAR GENERAL CORP FAMILY DOLLAR STORES WAL‐MART STORES INC

DG FDO WMT

01/10 11/10 01/10

25.52 37.00 55.49

26.51 37.20 56.27

21.00 25.52 47.35

8,698 5,120 208,587

3,181 11,879 (119) 5,001 244,180 35,593

N/A 2.15 3.73

1,210 639 31,107

4

Selected Financial Data (US$)


Equity Markets (Continued) Price / Earnings

($M M , Except per Share Dat a)

Total Debt / LTM Lease Adj LTM EBITDA Leverage (Est)

LTM

CY (Est)

+1Y (Est)

LTM

CY (Est)

+1Y (Est)

Total Debt

ATD.B CASY PTRY SUSS

12.7 14.7 (50.3) 71.4

12.4 14.1 11.0 21.0

11.3 14.1 8.3 9.5

6.8 6.3 6.5 6.2

6.6 6.2 5.7 5.6

6.1 6.1 5.4 4.8

862 182 1,238 421

1.4 0.7 6.0 4.7

3.2 0.7 6.5 5.8

Refining ALON USA ENERGY INC DELEK US HOLDINGS INC HESS CORP HOLLY CORP MARATHON OIL CORP MURPHY OIL CORP SUNOCO INC TESORO CORP WESTERN REFINING INC

ALJ DK HES HOC MRO MUR SUN TSO WNR

(3.0) 246.7 27.9 81.3 18.8 14.9 (9.9) (14.1) (1.2)

N/A N/A 14.5 16.6 9.4 12.6 28.7 654.1 N/A

45.5 19.3 10.3 9.0 6.3 8.9 12.6 8.9 22.5

72.8 166.9 5.8 14.5 5.3 5.0 10.2 7.8 5.5

11.9 6.7 4.0 8.4 3.8 3.9 8.7 5.9 6.5

5.5 6.0 3.3 5.8 3.0 3.3 6.3 3.8 4.6

937 317 4,467 707 8,532 1,353 2,464 1,841 1,117

52.1 81.3 1.1 3.8 1.5 0.6 4.0 4.2 4.0

22.7 24.0 1.8 4.2 1.7 1.0 4.7 5.5 4.2

Major Oil BP PLC CHEVRON CORP CONOCOPHILLIPS EXXON MOBIL CORP ROYAL DUTCH SHELL PLC‐A SHS TOTAL SA

BP CVX COP XOM RDSA FP

713.4 14.6 16.0 16.9 941.6 11.5

9.3 9.8 8.9 11.8 10.1 9.7

8.0 7.8 7.0 9.4 8.1 8.6

6.2 5.9 6.1 8.5 7.1 5.3

4.8 3.6 3.9 4.9 4.6 4.3

4.2 3.1 3.4 4.2 4.0 3.9

34,627 10,608 28,653 9,605 35,033 26,554

1.0 0.4 1.6 0.3 1.2 1.2

1.7 0.6 1.9 0.7 2.1 1.4

Drug CVS CAREMARK CORP WALGREEN CO

CVS WAG

14.0 17.6

13.0 16.7

11.7 14.2

7.7 8.2

7.5 7.8

6.9 6.8

11,175 2,355

1.4 0.5

2.8 2.9

Restaurant BURGER KING HOLDINGS INC DARDEN RESTAURANTS INC MCDONALD'S CORP STARBUCKS CORP YUM! BRANDS INC

BKC DRI MCD SBUX YUM

14.0 14.9 16.3 32.3 17.1

15.5 15.2 15.3 21.9 16.3

13.8 13.7 14.0 19.2 14.6

8.2 8.1 10.2 11.4 10.0

8.1 8.1 9.5 9.6 9.2

7.5 7.5 9.0 8.8 8.4

859 1,693 10,578 550 3,266

2.0 1.8 1.3 0.4 1.5

3.6 2.5 2.1 2.8 2.8

Security Indexes Dow Jones Industrial Avg S&P 500 SPDR S&P Retail ETF Trefethen Advisors C‐Store Convenience ALIMENTATION COUCHE‐TARD ‐B CASEY'S GENERAL STORES INC PANTRY INC SUSSER HOLDINGS CORP

Ticker

XRT

Grocery KROGER CO SAFEWAY INC

KR SWY

218.8 12.5 (8.9) 14.0

11.2 12.4

5.9 5.7

5.7 5.5

5.4 5.4

8,056 4,902

2.2 1.9

3.2 2.9

Home Improvement HOME DEPOT INC LOWE'S COS INC

HD LOW

20.8 20.5

17.7 17.4

15.0 14.5

9.5 8.1

8.8 7.6

8.1 6.9

9,682 5,080

1.5 1.0

2.2 1.6

Discount DOLLAR GENERAL CORP FAMILY DOLLAR STORES WAL‐MART STORES INC

DG FDO WMT

N/A 17.2 14.9

15.8 14.9 13.9

13.5 13.5 12.6

9.8 7.8 7.8

8.1 7.1 7.3

7.3 6.7 6.8

3,403 250 41,320

2.8 0.4 1.3

N/A 3.0 1.6

5

Leverage

EV / EBITDA


Alimentation Couche‐Tard, Inc. Alimentation Couche‐Tard Inc. operates a network of 24‐hour convenience stores. in the United States and Share Price & Volume Canada. The Company offers a variety of food and other products, fast‐food services, lottery and gasoline Share Price $ CAD 25 sales, and automated banking machines.

Volume

3.5 M 3.0 M

20

USD/CAD

1.01

2.5 M

Valuation Analytics

11/30/2009 4/7/2009 4/1/2010

18.42

3,405

Relative Stock Price Performance YTD Change ($) YTD Change (%) Spider Retail Index YTD Change (%)

4/24/05 8,037 1,558 1,299 259 343 155 155 0.75

Sales Gross Profit Operating Expense Operating Income EBITDA Net Income Net Income (Cont'd Ops) Diluted EPS (Cont'd Ops) Margins

04/2009 1/31/10 22.24 12.24 804,181 18.28 ‐17.2% 50.5% 61.8% 129.9 3,379 862 ‐ ‐ 138 4,103

2.0 M

10

1.5 M 1.0 M

5

.5 M

0

.0 M A-09

M-09

J-09

J-09

A-09

S-09

O-09

N-09

D-09

J-10

F-10

Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Interest (Short Ratio to Daily Trading Volume, # Shares) 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted Beta Analysts Recommendations Consensus Ratings (1‐5)

Valuation Enterprise Value / Revenue (2.40) Enterprise Value / EBITDA ‐11.5% Price / Earnings (P/E) 17.4% Summary Income Statement FY Ended 4/30/06 4/29/07 4/27/08 4/26/09 10,157 12,087 15,370 15,781 1,792 2,005 2,224 2,437 1,460 1,646 1,911 2,032 332 358 312 405 439 492 485 588 196 196 189 254 196 196 189 254 0.94 0.94 0.92 1.29

Last Fiscal 0.3 7.0 14.2 Prev LTM 2/1/09 16,493 2,398 2,032 366 547 231 231 1.17

LTM 0.3 6.8 12.7

Cur LTM 1/31/10 15,430 2,482 2,079 403 601 272 272 1.44

FY+1 04/10 Y 16,190 N/A N/A N/A 619 286 N/A 1.47

FY+1 0.3 6.6 12.4

FY+2 04/11 Y 17,604 N/A N/A N/A 667 309 N/A 1.62

19.4%

17.6%

16.6%

14.5%

15.4%

14.5%

16.1%

3.2%

3.3%

3.0%

2.0%

2.6%

2.2%

2.6%

EBITDA (%)

4.3%

4.3%

4.1%

3.2%

3.7%

3.3%

3.9%

Net Income (%) Fuel Operations Fuel Volume Fuel Margin ($) Fuel Margin (CPG) Same Store Fuel in USA (%) Merchandise Merchandise Sales Merchandise Margin ($) Merchandise Margin (%) Same Store Merch in USA (%) Other Information Store Count (Co‐Op) Capital Expenditures Balance Sheet Assets Total Current Assets Long‐Term Assets Fixed, Net Other Long Term Investments Total Long‐Term Assets Total Assets Liabilities Short‐Term Liabilities (Excl Debt & Cap Leases) Long‐Term Liabilities Long‐Term Debt (Incl Cap Leases) Other Long‐Term Liabilities Total Liabilities Shareholders' Equity Paid in Capital Preferred Equity & Minority Retained Earnings Total Shareholders' Equity Total Liabilities & Shareholders' Equity Credit Ratings Long‐Term Rating Long‐Term Outlook Credit Metrics Funded Debt / EBITDA

1.9%

1.9%

1.6%

1.2%

1.6%

1.4%

1.8% Quarterly Margins ($)

2,232 307 0.138 6.3%

2,515 376 0.150 6.0%

3,020 431 0.143 2.9%

3,457 476 0.138 ‐0.2%

3,215 636 0.198 ‐6.4%

3,505 4,009 565 610 0.161 0.152 N/A N/A

3,804 1,251 32.9% 10.4%

4,239 1,415 33.4% 5.2%

4,617 1,574 34.1% 3.3%

5,201 1,748 33.6% 2.5%

5,416 1,801 33.3% 0.6%

5,324 5,577 1,779 1,855 33.4% 33.3% N/A N/A

3,605 183

3,632 245

4,072 4,068 4,395 4,370 4,396 373 280 238 248 273 Graphics Annual Same Store Sales / Volume in US (% Chg)

1

FQ+1 04/10 Q4 3,788 N/A N/A N/A 126 50 N/A 0.26

FQ+2 07/10 Q1 4,230 N/A N/A N/A 173 97 N/A 0.47

500.0 400.0 300.0 200.0 100.0 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Fiscal 2007

964

Fiscal 2009

Fiscal 2010

Merch Margin

% Change

1,949 655 ‐ 2,604 3,568 719 862 453 2,034

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Fiscal 2007

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Fiscal 2008

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Fiscal 2009

Same Store Gallons USA

338 ‐ 1,196 1,534 3,568

Q2

Q3

Fiscal 2010

Same Store Merch/Service USA

Earnings vs Valuation

20.0 15.0 10.0 5.0

7/19/2009

10/11/2009

2/1/2009

4/26/2009

7/20/2008

T12 Diluted EPS

10/12/2008

2/3/2008

4/27/2008

7/22/2007

10/14/2007

2/4/2007

4/29/2007

12.2% 18.9%

7/23/2006

-

1/29/2006

3.2 36.0% 1.3

30.0 25.0

10/15/2006

1.4

PE Ratio

EPS USD

4/30/2006

1.80 1.60 1.40 1.20 1.00 0.80 0.60 0.40 0.20 -

BB+ STABLE

18.3%

Fiscal 2008 Fuel Margin

10.0 8.0 6.0 4.0 2.0 (2.0) (4.0) (6.0) (8.0) (10.0) (12.0)

PE

Lease adjusted leverage is calculated as follows: (FY+1 Rent * 8) + LT Debt)) / EBITDAR

6

FY+2 0.2 6.1 11.3

600.0

1

Lease Adjusted Leverage Total Debt / Capital Current Ratio Profitability Metrics Return on Capital (LTM) Return on Common Equity (5 Yr, LTM) Notes

0.7% 0.33 128 0.67 42.5% ‐11.3% 0.55 9 4.1

0.7%

Operating Income (%)

Gross Profit (%)

M-10

Next Yr. Est

Latest Fiscal Year LTM as of 52‐Week High (CAD) 52‐Week Low (CAD) Daily Volume (30 Day Avg) Current Price (CAD & USD) 52‐Week High (% Chg) 52‐Week Low (% Chg) % 52‐Week Price Range High/Low Shares Outstanding Market Capitalization (CAD & USD) Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interests Cash & Equivalents Enterprise Value

15

1/31/2010

Exchange Rate

Cur Yr Est

($USD M M , Except per Share Dat a and Where Otherwise Not ed)


Casey's General Stores, Inc. Casey's General Stores, Inc. operates convenience stores in the Midwest. The Company's stores, operating under the name Casey's General Store, carry a selection of food, beverages, tobacco products, health and beauty aids, automotive products, and other non‐food items, as well as sells gasoline.

Share Price & Volume Share Price $

Volume 2.0 M

35

1.8 M

30

1.6 M

($M M , Except per Share Dat a)

25

Valuation Analytics

20

1.2 M

15

.8 M

10

.6 M

10/22/2009 5/13/2009 4/1/2010

Relative Stock Price Performance YTD Change ($) YTD Change (%) Spider Retail Index YTD Change (%)

4/30/05 2,789 457 379 78 130 37 42 0.84

1

M-09

J-09

J-09

A-09

S-09

O-09

N-09

D-09

J-10

F-10

Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Interest (Short Ratio to Daily Trading Volume, # Shares) 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted Beta Analysts Recommendations Consensus Ratings (1‐5)

Valuation Enterprise Value / Revenue (0.26) Enterprise Value / EBITDA ‐0.8% Price / Earnings (P/E) 17.4% Summary Income Statement FY Ended 4/30/06 4/30/07 4/30/08 4/30/09 3,494 4,025 4,829 4,688 526 583 686 723 419 475 542 574 107 109 144 150 164 173 211 219 60 62 85 86 63 63 85 86 1.24 1.25 1.67 1.68

Last Fiscal 0.3 7.5 18.8 Prev LTM 1/31/09 5,012 710 565 145 214 85 85 1.66

Cur LTM 1/31/10 4,338 775 589 187 259 111 111 2.16

FY+1 04/10 Y 4,596 N/A N/A N/A 264 115 N/A 2.24

14.5% 2.7% 4.3%

14.2% 3.0% 4.4%

15.4% 3.2% 4.7%

14.2% 2.9% 4.3%

1.3%

1.7%

1.5%

1.8%

1.8%

1.7%

1,010 109 0.108 1.9%

1,098 125 0.114 4.4%

1,194 124 0.104 1.4%

1,215 169 0.139 ‐2.0%

1,242 160 0.129 1.0%

1,223 1,266 170 166 0.139 0.131 N/A N/A

928 347 37.4% 4.8%

1,014 401 39.5% 5.7%

1,143 459 40.1% 4.6%

1,270 517 40.7% 7.3%

1,366 564 41.3% 5.9%

1,317 1,415 539 594 42.0% 40.9% N/A N/A

1,339 95

1,394 100

1,448 1,454 1,478 1,469 1,507 91 91 147 120 142 Graphics Annual Same Store Sales / Volume (% Chg)

M-10

6.1%

LTM 0.4 6.3 14.7

15.1% 3.1% 4.7%

FY+1 0.4 6.2 14.1

FY+2 04/11 Y 5,191 N/A N/A N/A 268 114 N/A 2.25

0.24% 0.78 50.05 3.24 17.2% ‐0.5% 0.85 9 3.9 FY+2 0.3 6.1 14.1

FQ+1 04/10 Q4 1,140 N/A N/A N/A 52 20 N/A 0.38

FQ+2 07/10 Q1 1,361 N/A N/A N/A 83 38 N/A 0.76

17.9% 4.3% 6.0% 2.5% Quarterly Margins ($) 180.0 160.0 140.0 120.0 100.0 80.0 60.0 40.0 20.0 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Fiscal 2007

299 ‐ 988 65 ‐ 1,053 1,352

12.0 10.0 8.0 6.0 4.0 2.0 (2.0) (4.0) (6.0)

196 ‐ 182 167 546

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Fiscal 2007

Fiscal 2009

Fiscal 2010

Merch Margin

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Fiscal 2008

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Fiscal 2009

Q2

Q3

Fiscal 2010

Same Store Gallons Change Average Grocery & Other Merch. Same-Store

64 ‐ 742 806 1,352

Earnings vs Valuation 2.50

EPS

PE Ratio 25.00

2.00

20.00

‐ ‐

1.50

15.00

1.00

10.00

0.7

0.50

5.00

0.7 18.4% 1.3

11.2%

Fiscal 2008 Fuel Margin

% Change

Q1

-

PE

Next Yr. Est

1/31/2010

Cur Yr Est

7/31/2009

10/31/2009

4/30/2009

1/31/2009

7/31/2008

T12 Diluted EPS

Lease adjusted leverage is calculated as follows: (FY+1 Rent * 8) + LT Debt)) / EBITDAR

10/31/2008

4/30/2008

1/31/2008

7/31/2007

10/31/2007

4/30/2007

1/31/2007

-

7/31/2006

12.0% 14.4%

7

.0 M A-09

16.4% 2.8% 4.7%

1

Lease Adjusted Leverage Total Debt / Capital Current Ratio Profitability Metrics Return on Capital (LTM) Return on Common Equity (5 Yr, LTM) Notes

.2 M

0

10/31/2006

Net Income (%) Fuel Operations Fuel Volume Fuel Margin ($) Fuel Margin (CPG) Same Store Fuel (%) Merchandise Merchandise Sales Merchandise Margin ($) Merchandise Margin (%) Same Store Grocery & Other Merch (%) Other Information Store Count (Co‐Op) Capital Expenditures Balance Sheet Assets Total Current Assets Long‐Term Assets Fixed, Net Other Long Term Investments Total Long‐Term Assets Total Assets Liabilities Short‐Term Liabilities (Excl Debt & Cap Leases) Long‐Term Liabilities Long‐Term Debt (Incl Cap Leases) Other Long‐Term Liabilities Total Liabilities Shareholders' Equity Paid in Capital Preferred Equity & Minority Retained Earnings Total Shareholders' Equity Total Liabilities & Shareholders' Equity Credit Ratings Long‐Term Rating Long‐Term Outlook Credit Metrics Funded Debt / EBITDA

.4 M

5

4/30/2006

Sales Gross Profit Operating Expense Operating Income EBITDA Net Income Net Income (Cont'd Ops) Diluted EPS (Cont'd Ops) Margins Gross Profit (%) Operating Income (%) EBITDA (%)

1.0 M

04/2009 1/31/10 33.06 23.58 395,522 31.65 ‐4.3% 34.2% 85.1% 50.9 1,611 182 ‐ ‐ 153 1,641

1/31/2006

Latest Fiscal Year LTM as of 52‐Week High 52‐Week Low Daily Volume (30 Day Average) Current Price 52‐Week High (% Chg) 52‐Week Low (% Chg) % 52‐Week Price Range High/Low Shares Outstanding Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interests Cash & Equivalents Enterprise Value

1.4 M


The Pantry, Inc. The Pantry, Inc. operates convenience stores in the southeastern United States. The Company's stores offer a variety of merchandise and gasoline, as well as ancillary services designed to appeal to the convenience needs of the customers. The Pantry's stores are located in FL, NC, SC, KY, IN, TN, VA, and GA.

Share Price & Volume Share Price $

Volume

30

($M M , Except per Share Dat a)

1.2 M

25

1.0 M

20

.8 M

15

.6 M

10

.4 M

5

.2 M

Valuation Analytics 09/2009 12/24/09 25.97 12.00 191,477 12.57 ‐51.6% 4.7% 4.1% 22.7 285 1,238 ‐ ‐ 180 1,343

5/5/2009 3/29/2010 4/1/2010

Relative Stock Price Performance YTD Change ($) YTD Change (%) Spider Retail Index YTD Change (%)

9/29/05 4,429 663 515 149 213 58 58 2.64

1

J-09

A-09

S-09

O-09

N-09

D-09

J-10

F-10

M-10

Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Interest (Short Ratio to Daily Trading Volume, # Shares) 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted Beta Analysts Recommendations Consensus Ratings (1‐5)

Valuation Enterprise Value / Revenue (1.02) Enterprise Value / EBITDA ‐7.5% Price / Earnings (P/E) 17.4% Summary Income Statement FY Ended 9/28/06 9/27/07 9/25/08 9/24/09 5,962 6,911 8,996 6,390 799 811 858 901 597 693 720 731 202 118 138 170 278 213 246 280 89 27 32 59 89 27 32 59 3.88 1.17 1.43 2.65

Last Fiscal 0.2 4.8 4.7 Prev LTM 12/25/08 8,650 924 728 196 305 67 67 3.01

Cur LTM 12/24/09 6,494 825 762 64 208 (6) (6) (0.25) 12.7% 1.0% 3.2%

13.4% 3.4% 4.7%

11.7% 1.7% 3.1%

9.5% 1.5% 2.7%

14.1% 2.7% 4.4%

10.7% 2.3% 3.5%

1.3%

1.5%

0.4%

0.4%

0.9%

0.8%

1,497 214 0.143 4.7%

1,758 281 0.160 3.1%

2,033 225 0.111 1.0%

2,103 263 0.125 ‐4.4%

2,078 314 0.151 ‐3.3%

2,077 2,096 337 241 0.162 0.115 N/A N/A

1,229 449 36.6% 5.3%

1,386 518 37.4% 4.9%

1,576 586 37.2% 2.3%

1,637 595 36.4% ‐1.7%

1,659 587 35.4% 0.0%

1,631 1,686 587 585 34.7% 36.0% N/A N/A

1,400 73

1,493 97

1,644 1,653 1,673 1,648 1,658 146 110 123 99 106 Graphics Annual Same Store Sales / Volume (% Chg)

0.00% 1.37 22.30 0.89 ‐34.3% ‐7.5% 1.25 9 3.2

4.7%

LTM 0.2 6.5 N/M FY+1 09/10 Y 7,482 N/A N/A N/A 235 21 N/A 1.14

FY+1 0.2 5.7 11.0

FY+2 09/11 Y 7,954 N/A N/A N/A 248 24 N/A 1.52

FY+2 0.2 5.4 8.3

FQ+1 03/10 Q2 1,733 N/A N/A N/A 49 2 N/A 0.04

FQ+2 06/10 Q3 1,922 N/A N/A N/A 67 13 N/A 0.57

‐0.1% Quarterly Margins ($) 180.0 160.0 140.0 120.0 100.0 80.0 60.0 40.0 20.0 0.0 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 F2007

427 ‐ 1,014 672 ‐ 1,686 2,113

F2008

Fuel Margin

F2009

F2010

Merch Margin

% Change

8.0 6.0 4.0 2.0 (2.0) (4.0) (6.0)

244 ‐ 1,238 189 1,671

(8.0) Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2

F2007

Q4

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

F2009

Q1 F2010

Merch Same Store Sales

Earnings vs Valuation 30.00 25.00 20.00 15.00 10.00 5.00

T12 Diluted EPS

Lease adjusted leverage is calculated as follows: (FY+1 Rent * 8) + LT Debt)) / EBITDAR

PE

Cur Yr Est

Next Yr. Est

9/24/2009

12/24/2009

6/25/2009

3/26/2009

9/25/2008

12/25/2008

6/26/2008

3/27/2008

9/27/2007

12/27/2007

‐ ‐1.2%

6/28/2007

-

3/29/2007

6.5 73.7% 1.7

PE Ratio 35.00

9/28/2006

6.0

EPS

12/28/2006

4.5 4.0 3.5 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 -0.5 -1.0

B+ STABLE

14.8%

Q3

F2008

Fuel Same Store Gallons

206 ‐ 237 443 2,113

8

J-09

15.0% 3.4% 4.8%

1

Lease Adjusted Leverage Total Debt / Capital Current Ratio Profitability Metrics Return on Capital (LTM) Return on Common Equity (5 Yr, LTM) Notes

M-09

6/29/2006

Net Income (%) Fuel Operations Fuel Volume Fuel Margin ($) Fuel Margin, Net of CC (CPG) Same Store Fuel (%) Merchandise Merchandise Sales Merchandise Margin ($) Merchandise Margin (%) Same Store Merch (%) Other Information Store Count (Co‐Op) Capital Expenditures Balance Sheet Assets Total Current Assets Long‐Term Assets Fixed, Net Other Long Term Investments Total Long‐Term Assets Total Assets Liabilities Short‐Term Liabilities (Excl Debt & Cap Leases) Long‐Term Liabilities Long‐Term Debt (Incl Cap Leases) Other Long‐Term Liabilities Total Liabilities Shareholders' Equity Paid in Capital Preferred Equity & Minority Retained Earnings Total Shareholders' Equity Total Liabilities & Shareholders' Equity Credit Ratings Long‐Term Rating Long‐Term Outlook Credit Metrics Funded Debt / EBITDA

A-09

3/30/2006

Sales Gross Profit Operating Expense Operating Income EBITDA Net Income Net Income (Cont'd Ops) Diluted EPS (Cont'd Ops) Margins Gross Profit (%) Operating Income (%) EBITDA (%)

.0 M

0

12/29/2005

Latest Fiscal Year LTM as of 52‐Week High 52‐Week Low Daily Volume (30 Day Average) Current Price 52‐Week High (% Chg) 52‐Week Low (% Chg) % 52‐Week Price Range High/Low Shares Outstanding Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interests Cash & Equivalents Enterprise Value


Susser Holdings Corporation Susser Holdings Corporation owns and operates convenience stores and distributes motor fuels. The Company, through its various locations, offers merchandise, foodservice, motor fuel, and other services.

Share Price & Volume 16

Share Price $

Volume

.3 M

14

12/2009 1/3/10 14.86 8.11 38,043 8.57 ‐42.3% 5.7% 6.8% 17.1 147 421 ‐ 1 18 551

4/29/2009 12/18/2009 4/1/2010

Relative Stock Price Performance YTD Change ($) YTD Change (%) Spider Retail Index YTD Change (%)

12/31/05 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A

.1 M

2 0

.0 M A-09

M-09

J-09

J-09

A-09

S-09

O-09

N-09

D-09

J-10

F-10

Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Interest (Short Ratio to Daily Trading Volume, # Shares) 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted Beta Analysts Recommendations Consensus Ratings (1‐5) Last Fiscal 0.2 6.2 71.4

Valuation Enterprise Value / Revenue (0.02) Enterprise Value / EBITDA ‐0.2% 17.4% Price / Earnings (P/E) Summary Income Statement FY Ended 12/31/06 12/30/07 12/28/08 1/3/10 2,265 2,718 4,241 3,307 221 263 437 427 200 237 372 385 21 26 66 42 44 56 107 89 (4) 16 16 2 (4) 16 16 2 (0.35) 0.97 0.97 0.12

Prev LTM 12/28/08 4,241 437 372 66 107 16 16 0.97

Cur LTM 1/3/10 3,307 427 385 42 89 2 2 0.12

N/A N/A N/A

9.8% 0.9% 1.9%

9.7% 1.0% 2.1%

10.3% 1.6% 2.5%

12.9% 1.3% 2.7%

10.3% 1.6% 2.5%

N/A

‐0.2%

0.6%

0.4%

0.1%

0.4%

N/A N/A N/A N/A

846 80 0.094 4.8%

922 93 0.101 6.3%

1,164 151 0.130 2.6%

1,214 125 0.103 2.4%

1,164 1,214 151 125 0.130 0.103 N/A N/A

N/A N/A N/A N/A

365 119 32.6% 6.1%

444 145 32.5% 7.7%

730 251 34.3% 6.6%

784 261 33.3% 3.3%

730 784 251 261 34.3% 33.3% N/A N/A

N/A N/A

325 70

504 512 525 512 525 90 69 75 69 75 Graphics Annual Same Store Sales / Volume (% Chg)

M-10

6.1%

LTM 0.2 6.2 71.4 FY+1 12/10 Y 3,843 N/A N/A N/A 99 8 N/A 0.41

FY+1 0.1 5.6 21.0

FY+2 12/11 Y 4,029 N/A N/A N/A 116 15 N/A 0.90

0.00% 1.18 7.50 0.23 ‐37.5% ‐0.2% 1.12 10 3.6 FY+2 0.1 4.8 9.5

FQ+1 FQ+2 03/10 Q1 06/10 Q2 908 954 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 18 27 (3) 3 N/A N/A (0.19) 0.20

12.9% 1.3% 2.7% 0.1% Quarterly Margins ($) 70.0 60.0 50.0 40.0 30.0 20.0 10.0 0.0 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Fiscal 2006

172 ‐ 409 292 ‐ 701 873

14.0 12.0 10.0 8.0 6.0 4.0 2.0 (2.0) (4.0) (6.0) (8.0)

163 ‐ 421 78 663

Fiscal 2007

Fiscal 2008

Fuel Margin

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Fiscal 2006

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Fiscal 2007

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Fiscal 2008

Average Gallons /Store Retail

Q2

Q3

Q4

Fiscal 2009

Merch Same Store Sales

Earnings vs Valuation 1.20

EPS

PE Ratio

50.0

0.80

40.0

0.60

30.0

0.40

4.7

20.0

0.20

5.8 66.7% 1.0

10.0 -

T12 Diluted EPS

Lease adjusted leverage is calculated as follows: (FY+1 Rent * 8) + LT Debt)) / EBITDAR

9

PE

Next Yr. Est

Cur Yr Est

1/3/2010

9/27/2009

6/28/2009

3/29/2009

12/28/2008

9/28/2008

-

0.3% 1.0%

70.0 60.0

1.00

‐ ‐

1.3%

Fiscal 2009

Merch Margin

% Change

Q1

184 1 26 210 873

1

Lease Adjusted Leverage Total Debt / Capital Current Ratio Profitability Metrics Return on Capital (LTM) Return on Common Equity (5 Yr, LTM) Notes

.1 M

4

6/29/2008

Net Income (%) Fuel Operations (Incl Wholesale) Fuel Volume Fuel Margin ($) Fuel Margin (CPG) Average Retail Fuel Volume per Store (% Chg) Merchandise Merchandise Sales Merchandise Margin ($) Merchandise Margin (%) Same Store Merch (%) Other Information Store Count (Co‐Op) Capital Expenditures Balance Sheet Assets Total Current Assets Long‐Term Assets Fixed, Net Other Long Term Investments Total Long‐Term Assets Total Assets Liabilities Short‐Term Liabilities (Excl Debt & Cap Leases) Long‐Term Liabilities Long‐Term Debt (Incl Cap Leases) Other Long‐Term Liabilities Total Liabilities Shareholders' Equity Paid in Capital Preferred Equity & Minority Retained Earnings Total Shareholders' Equity Total Liabilities & Shareholders' Equity Credit Ratings Long‐Term Rating Long‐Term Outlook Credit Metrics Funded Debt / EBITDA

.2 M

6

3/30/2008

Sales Gross Profit Operating Expense Operating Income EBITDA Net Income Net Income (Cont'd Ops) Diluted EPS (Cont'd Ops) Margins Gross Profit (%) Operating Income (%) EBITDA (%)

8

12/30/2007

Latest Fiscal Year LTM as of 52‐Week High 52‐Week Low Daily Volume Current Price 52‐Week High (% Chg) 52‐Week Low (% Chg) % 52‐Week Price Range High/Low Shares Outstanding Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interests Cash & Equivalents Enterprise Value

.2 M

10

Valuation Analytics

1

.3 M

12

($M M , Except per Share Dat a)


Comparative Graphics: Convenience Retailing 52 Week Relative Performance

ptry US Equity

casy US equity

suss us equity

atd/b cn equity

3/22/2010

3/8/2010

2/22/2010

2/8/2010

1/25/2010

1/11/2010

12/28/2009

12/14/2009

11/30/2009

11/16/2009

11/2/2009

10/19/2009

10/5/2009

9/21/2009

9/7/2009

8/24/2009

8/10/2009

7/27/2009

7/13/2009

6/29/2009

6/15/2009

6/1/2009

5/18/2009

5/4/2009

4/20/2009

4/6/2009

1.70 1.50 1.30 1.10 0.90 0.70 0.50

SP 500

Indexed t o 4/ 6/ 09

EV / Corp EBITDA Ratio

Price / Earnings Ratio

8.00

80.00

7.00

60.00

6.00

40.00

5.00

20.00

4.00 3.00

2.00

(20.00)

1.00

Trailing 12 Months

Est.Current Fiscal Year

Est. Next Fiscal Year

(40.00)

‐ Trailing 12 Months ATD

Est.Current Fiscal Year CASY

PTRY

Est. Next Fiscal Year

(60.00) ATD

SUSS

LTM Operating Margin (%)

CASY

PTRY

SUSS

Return on Avg Common Equity

5.0%

20%

4.5% 4.0%

15%

3.5% 3.0%

10%

2.5% 2.0%

5%

1.5% 1.0%

0% ATD

0.5% 0.0%

CASY

PTRY

SUSS

‐5% ATD

CASY

PTRY

SUSS

LTM ROE

5 year Average ROE

10


C‐Store M&A Valuation & Transactions C‐Store M&A Valuation Metrics Fee Owned Real Estate Low High 1

Store‐Level EBITDA Multiple 2

Corporate EBITDA Multiple

Low

Leasehold High

4.0x

6.0x

2.0x

3.0x

5.0x

7.0x

2.5x

3.5x

1

The above capital market multiples were derived by Trefethen Advisors, LLC based on an analysis of private transactions, involving the sale of petroleum retailing/convenience store companies and/or specific assets, from interviews with active buyers and sellers, and from analysis of publicly available information relating to the industry. All transactions were analyzed using a consistent methodology. The multiples above reflect a composite of transactions, interviews and other publicly available information, and do not reflect the multiple for any individual transaction. The above multiples do not reflect transactions involving individual assets, which may be significantly higher (or lower) for certain types. 2

Trefethen Advisors, LLC has not independently verified any of the information supplied to it by third parties or otherwise made available through publicly available information. Accordingly, Trefethen Advisors, LLC does not make any representation or warranty, express or implied, as to the accuracy or completeness of such information or the effect thereof in deriving the overall capital market multiples listed above.

Announced C‐Store M&A Transactions Date Jan‐09 Feb‐09 Mar‐09 Apr‐09 Jun‐09 Aug‐09 Sep‐09 Sep‐09 Oct‐09 Nov‐09 Nov‐09 Nov‐09 Dec‐09 Dec‐09 Jan‐10 Jan‐10 Jan‐10

Target

Stores

BP Products North America, Inc. 57 13 Exploitation Quali‐T, Inc. 37 Cody's Convenience Stores 43 ExxonMobil 55 Jack In The Box, Inc. 30 Crescent Oil Co. Appalachain Oil Company, Inc. 47 36 ExxonMobil ‐ Pilot Travel Centers Getty Petroleum Marketing, Inc. 164 PICS Marketing/Riggerunner Prop 9 3 Green Lantern Stores 58 New England Pantry Shell Oil 66 Uni‐Marts, Inc. 204 Alimentation Couche‐Tard, Inc. 8 Thorntons, Inc. 4

Location IL Canada MO National West Coast Midwest KY, TN, VA D.C./MD National North East MO KS MA WA NY, OH, PA NC CT

Purchase Price Not Disclosed Atlas Oil Co. Alimentation Couche‐Tard, Inc. Not Disclosed Not Disclosed Kum & Go Alimentation Couche‐Tard, Inc. Not Disclosed Not Disclosed Various Florida Sunshine Investments Not Disclosed Florida Sunshine Investments Not Disclosed Not Disclosed White Oak Petroleum, LLC Not Disclosed Flying J $195.5MM LUKOIL North America, LLC Not Disclosed Casey's General Stores, Inc. Casey's General Stores, Inc. Not Disclosed 7‐Eleven, Inc. Not Disclosed PacWest Energy, LLC Not Disclosed Various Not Disclosed Accel Mareting, Inc. Not Disclosed Cumberland Farms, Inc. Not Disclosed Acquirer

Comments ‐ ‐ ‐ On‐The Run Franchise System; 43 stores Quick Stuff ‐ APPCO ‐ ‐ branded gas stations; 339 supply contracts ‐ ‐ ‐ JV between Shell and Jacksons Food Stores 144 assets to Kwik Pik, LLC ‐ ‐

11


Earnings Announcements (Continued from Page 1) Casey’s General Stores, Inc. (CASY) reported on March 8, 2010 the results for its third quarter of fiscal 2010 ending January 31, 2010. Earnings were up slightly with a positive impact from fuel margins and a higher prepared food margin. Highlights include: Income Net income for the quarter was $17.2 million, or $0.34 per diluted share, compared to net income of $14.0 million, or $0.28 per diluted share, for the third quarter of fiscal 2009. EBITDA EBITDA for the third quarter of fiscal 2010 was $48.7 million, versus $42.2 for the third quarter last year. Merchandise Revenues for the third quarter increased 5.3% overall. On a same store basis, grocery and other sales were up 1.7%, and prepared food & fountain sales were up 1.4%. The merchandise and other gross margin was 32.7%, compared to 32.9% a year ago. Prepared food & fountain gross margin was 62.8%. Total merchandise gross profit was $138 million, up 5.9% from a year ago. Fuel Retail fuel gallons sold in the third quarter were up .75% overall, but down 2.9% on a comparable store basis. Retail fuel margin for the first quarter was $0.124 cents per gallon, versus $0.099 cents per gallon for the same period last year. Susser Holdings Corporation (SUSS) reported on February 26, 2010 the results for the fourth quarter and the full year ended January 3, 2010. Susser reported lower earnings for the year, and a loss for the quarter due to cigarette tax increases, increased sales of lower margin items, and compressed fuel margins due to higher fuel costs. Income The Company reported a net loss of $5.7 million, or $0.33 per diluted share, versus net income of $6.3 million, or $0.37 per diluted share, for the fourth quarter of last year. EBITDA EBITDA for the fourth quarter totaled $14.0 million, compared with $29.5 million a year ago. Merchandise Merchandise revenues for the fourth quarter increased 9.5% overall, but declined 1.2% on a comparable store basis from the corresponding period last year. The merchandise gross margin was 32.7%, compared with 34.6% a year ago. Total merchandise gross profit for the quarter was $65.9, up 3.6% from a year ago. Fuel Retail fuel gallons sold in the fourth quarter increased 4.2% overall, but average gallons sold declined 5.9% from the same period last year. Total retail fuel gross profit for the quarter was $22.2 million, down 30.0% from the previous year. Retail fuel margin before credit card for the first quarter was $0.119 cents per gallon, versus $0.177 cents per gallon for the same period last year. The Pantry Inc. (PTRY) reported on February 2, 2010 the results for its first fiscal quarter of fiscal 2010 ending December 24, 2009. The company’s results for the quarter were dramatically worse than the same period last year as a result of lower fuel margins and, to a lesser extent, merchandise gross profit as a result of cigarette tax increases. Highlights include: Income Net loss for the quarter was $26.1 million, or $1.17 per share, compared to net income of $38.5 million, or $1.73 per diluted share, for the first quarter of fiscal 2009. EBITDA EBITDA for the first quarter of fiscal 2010 was $40.3 million, versus $112.2 million for the first quarter last year. Adjusted EBITDA, which includes the lease payments under lease finance obligations as a deduction to EBITDA, was $28.4 million, versus $100.5 million for the first quarter last year. Merchandise Merchandise revenues for the first quarter increased 7.0% overall, and 5.2% on a comparable store basis from the corresponding period last year. The merchandise gross margin was 32.6%, compared with 35.5% a year ago. Total merchandise gross profit for the quarter was $136.3, down 2.0% from a year ago. Fuel Retail fuel gallons sold in the first quarter increased 3.7% overall, and 0.8% on a comparable store basis. Total fuel gross profit for the quarter was $57.3 million, down 56.0% from the previous year. Retail fuel margin for the first quarter was $0.11 cents per gallon, versus $0.26 cents per gallon for the same period last year. The Pantry, Inc. reports fuel gross profit per gallon inclusive of credit card processing fees, and cost of repairs and maintenance on fuel equipment. Other Non‐cash impairment charge $.90 per share, primarily attributable to a reduction in the carrying value of the Petro Express® trade name and certain land parcels, was incurred. 12


Other M&A News Alimentation Couche‐Tard Inc. announced on April 9, 2010 that it had submitted a proposal to the Board of Directors of Casey’s General Stores, Inc. to acquire all of the outstanding shares of common stock of Casey’s for $36.00 per share. The offer represents a 14% premium over Casey’s closing price of $31.59 per share on April 8, 2010. On a fully diluted basis, the offer implies a total enterprise value of $1.9 billion, including net debt of approximately $29 million. Shortly after Couche‐Tard issued its press release, Casey’s announced that its Board of Directors had received and reviewed Couche‐Tard’s unsolicited offer, and unanimously rejected the proposal as it was not in the best interests of the corporation. Gulf Oil, L.P., a wholly owned subsidiary of Cumberland Farms, Inc., on January 13 announced its intentions to execute a significant geographic brand expansion. The “Gulf” brand, one of the petroleum industry’s most venerable, has been in existence for almost 110 years. However, for the last 20 years, Gulf branded gasoline in the continental U.S. has only been available in an eleven‐state region in the Northeast through a licensing agreement between Gulf Oil L.P.’s parent company and Chevron U.S. A. Inc. Effective January 12, 2010, Gulf Oil L.P. acquired all rights, title and interest to the “Gulf” brand in the U.S. Gulf Oil now controls the right to market the brand throughout the United States and its territories. This acquisition enables Gulf Oil to expand its use of the Gulf brand throughout the U.S for the first time since it first acquired certain right to the brand in 1986. Alimentation Couche‐Tard Inc., on January 12, 2010 announced that it had signed an agreement, through its subsidiary Circle K Stores Inc., to acquire eight stores in central North Carolina from Accel Marketing LLC, which operates under the Accel banner. The transaction is anticipated to close in April 2010. Uni‐Marts, Inc., announced on January 8, 2010 the final closings on the sale of its 204 convenience stores. As reported in CSP Daily News in October, Kwik Pik LLC, an affiliate of Lehigh Gas Corp., purchased 144 of the stores, and the remaining 60 sites were divided among 25 other purchasers. Thorntons Inc., an operator of 161 convenience stores across five states in the Midwest and Southern U.S., sold its four Connecticut convenience store locations to Framingham, Massachusetts‐based Cumberland Farms. Thorntons sold these locations to focus on its core operations in the Midwest and South, regions in which it continues to build and expand. As a result of this sale, Thorntons now only operates stores in Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Ohio and Tennessee.

13


Featured Article: What a Difference a Year may Make C‐Store operators, interested in selling any businesses assets in the near‐term, should consider the financial impact of the expected increases at the end of this year in both the federal ordinary income (“Ordinary Income”) tax rate and the federal long‐term capital gains (“LTCG”) tax rate. These tax rate changes would materially impact the sale of individual assets, such as sale lease‐back transactions, individual stores and entire businesses. By way of background, in 2001, then‐President George W. Bush signed into law legislation that temporarily decreased the highest Ordinary Income tax rate to 35.0% from 39.6%. In 2003, he signed The Jobs and Growth Tax Relief Reconciliation Act (“JGTRRA”) which, among other things, reduced the LTCG tax rate to 15.0% from 20.0% for most taxpayers. Originally set to expire after five years at the end of 2008, the tax breaks granted under JGTRRA were extended for an additional two years in 2006 under the Tax Increase Prevention and Reconciliation Act (“TIPRA”), which was enacted by then‐President George W. Bush. If Congress doesn’t pass new legislation further extending the current Ordinary Income tax rate and LTCG tax rate, for many taxpayers they will automatically increase by 13.1% and 33.3 % (i.e., revert back to 39.6% and 20.0%, respectively) at the end of this year. Given the need to raise revenue in order to bring down the U.S. budget deficit, which at $1.4 trillion currently stands at its highest level relative to the economy since WWII, Congress is not only contemplating allowing these tax breaks to sunset, but also discussing increasing the LTCG tax rate to a level above the previous one of 20.0%. To illustrate the potential financial impact of selling prior to an increase in both the current Ordinary Income and LTCG tax rates, as opposed to afterwards at the “old” rates of 35.0% and 20.0%, respectively, we’ve prepared the following simplified example using a fictitious C‐Store operator called Shop & Gas (“SAG”). Assume the 100% shareholder of SAG (“Seller” or “Owner”) is exploring an asset sale of the company, which has no indebtedness and, over the last twelve months, has revenue of $200.0 million and earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) at the corporate level of $10.0 million. SAG’s adjusted basis in the assets, after accumulated depreciation of $7.5 million, is $22.5 million. At a purchase price equal to 6.0x forward corporate EBITDA, Seller would receive pre‐tax proceeds of $60.0 million. Owner would realize a gain of $37.5 million which, under the current federal tax rates, would be taxed $7.2 million (e.g., $7.5 million of depreciation recapture at the current Ordinary Income tax rate of 35.0%, which would equal $2.6 million; and the remaining gain of $30.0 million at the present LTCG tax rate of 15.0%, which would equal $4.5 million), resulting in net proceeds before any state taxes of $52.9 million. However, should Owner decide to wait and sell SAG’s assets until after the expiration of the current tax breaks, Seller would pay an additional $1.8 million in taxes, due to the 13.1% increase in the Ordinary Income tax rate to 39.6%, and the 33.3% increase in the LTCG tax rate to 20.0%. The tax bite would be larger if one, or both, of the tax rates increased even further, which is possible given the revenue issues presently facing the federal government. As the average sell‐side transaction takes approximately three to six months from start to finish to successfully complete, we encourage all C‐ Store operators, who may have an interest in selling their businesses in the near‐term, to consider the potential impact of these changes. Trefethen Advisors, LLC can assist owners in evaluating various sale strategies, and understanding the potential impact of these impending changes to the federal tax rates. The information contained herein is general in nature and based on authorities that are subject to change. Nothing contained in this communication is intended to constitute tax advice. Applicability to specific situations can only be determined through consultation with your financial adviser.

14


Trefethen Advisors

market update

C o n v e n i e n c e S t o r e ⎟ R e t a i l P e t r o l e u m M a r k e t N e w s About Trefethen Advisors, LLC Trefethen Advisors, LLC is a privately‐owned investment and merchant banking firm focused on providing strategy‐led advice and capital to the multi‐unit retail industry. Since its inception in 2002, the firm has completed more than 45 transactions with a combined value in excess of $4.0 billion. Trefethen Advisors has delivered a range of services on a national basis to leading operating companies, financial institutions and investors in the multi‐unit retail industry, including: identifying and negotiating value‐enhancing acquisitions; executing exclusive sales and divestitures; arranging debt and equity financings for acquisitions, growth capital and recapitalizations; negotiating complex financial restructurings; advising and executing on various asset optimization strategies; and investing as a principal where Trefethen Advisors’ industry expertise, transaction experience and capital can be a catalyst for value creation. Trefethen Advisors, LLC 6710 East Camelback Road, Suite 200 Scottsdale, Arizona 85251 Tel: (480) 922‐9966 Fax: (480) 922‐1666 www.trefethenadvisors.com Trefethen Advisors, LLC Disclaimer The information contained herein is not a complete analysis of every material fact respecting any company, industry or security. Although opinions and estimates expressed herein reflect the current judgment of Trefethen Advisors, LLC and are given in good faith, neither Trefethen Advisors, LLC, its associates nor any person involved in the preparation of this publication is under any obligation to update these opinions or estimates if any of them become aware of change or inaccuracy in the information upon which such opinions and estimates are based. The information upon which such opinions and estimates are based is not necessarily updated on a regular basis. In addition, opinions and estimates are subject to change without notice. This Report contains forward‐looking statements, which involve risks and uncertainties. Actual results may differ materially from the results described in the forward‐ looking statements. This material is for your information only and is not a solicitation, or an offer, to buy or sell securities mentioned. Neither Trefethen Advisors, LLC, its associates nor any person involved in the preparation of this publication accepts any liability or responsibility whatsoever for the accuracy or completeness of this publication and none of them makes any representation or warranty in relation thereto. Trefethen Advisors, LLC, each of its associates and every person involved in the preparation of this publication expressly disclaim all liability for any loss or damage of whatsoever kind (whether foreseeable or not) which may arise from any person acting on any statements contained in this publication notwithstanding any negligence, default or lack of care. This publication has been prepared without consideration of the particular investment objectives, financial situation and needs of recipients. In all cases recipients should conduct their own investigation and analysis of the information contained in this publication. No recipient should act on the basis of any matter contained in this publication without considering and, if necessary, taking appropriate legal, financial and other professional advice upon the recipient’s own particular circumstances. 15


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