2021
Panhandle Regional Water Plan
Panhandle Water Planning Group Meeting February 18, 2020
2021
Panhandle Regional Water Plan
Agenda Item #5: TWDB Presentation of the SocioEconomic Impacts of Not Meeting Water Needs 2
2021
Panhandle Regional Water Plan
Agenda Item #6: Draft Panhandle Initially Prepared Plan (IPP)
3
2021 Overview of IPP • Two volumes • Volume 1: Eleven chapters • Volume 2: Corresponding appendices • Brief summary of eleven chapters • Action today to approve IPP
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Panhandle Regional Water Plan
2021
Panhandle Regional Water Plan
Chapter 1 – Description of the Region • 21 counties • Red and Canadian River Basins • Two Major Aquifers • Ogallala • Seymour • Three Minor Aquifers • Dockum • Blaine • Rita Blanca • Three Major Reservoirs • Economic Drivers • Agriculture • Oil • Cattle
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Panhandle Regional Water Plan
Chapter 1 – Description of the Region • Major Water Providers • City of Amarillo • Canadian River Municipal Water Authority • Greenbelt Municipal and Industrial Water Authority • City of Borger • City of Cactus
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Panhandle Regional Water Plan
Historical Water Use Water Use in Acre-Feet
3,000,000
2,500,000
2,000,000
1,500,000
1,000,000
500,000
0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Irrigation
Municipal
Manufacturing
Mining
Power
Livestock
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Panhandle Regional Water Plan
Chapter 2 – Population and Water Demands 700,000
• Population in PWPA projected to increase 50% over next 50 years
Population
600,000
500,000 400,000
• 75% of that growth is expected to occur in Randall and Potter Counties
300,000
200,000 100,000 0 2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
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Panhandle Regional Water Plan
Chapter 2 – Population and Water Demands 2020 Water Demand by Use Type Mun, 4%
IRRIGATION, 90%
IRRIGATION MINING
LIVESTOCK MUNICIPAL
MANUFACTURING STEAM ELECTRIC POWER
2070 Water Demand by Use Type MUN, 9%
• Agriculture is the largest water use category • Municipal is estimated to grow from 4% of total demand to 9% by 2070
IRRIGATION, 84%
IRRIGATION MINING
LIVESTOCK MUNICIPAL
MANUFACTURING STEAM ELECTRIC POWER
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Chapter 3 – Water Supply • Groundwater accounts for 98% of available water supply
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Panhandle Regional Water Plan
Chapter 3 – Water Supply • Surface water accounts for 1% of available water supply in PWPA • Approximately 50,000 acre-feet per year • Half is from Lake Meredith
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Panhandle Regional Water Plan
Chapter 3 – Water Supply (Total Supplies) 4,500,000 4,000,000
Available Supply (Ac-ft/yr)
3,500,000 3,000,000 2,500,000 2,000,000 1,500,000 1,000,000 500,000 0
2020
2030
Ogallala Aquifer
2040
2050
Other Aquifers
2060
2070
Surface Water
Reuse
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Panhandle Regional Water Plan
Chapter 4 – Identification of Water Needs (Connected Supplies vs. Demands) Acre-Feet Per Year
2,500,000
2,000,000
1,500,000
1,000,000
500,000
0 2020
2030
IRRIGATION DEMAND LIVESTOCK DEMAND STEAM ELECTRIC POWER DEMAND AVAILABLE SUPPLY
2040
2050
2060
2070
MINING DEMAND MANUFACTURING DEMAND MUNICIPAL DEMAND
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Panhandle Regional Water Plan
Chapter 4 – Identification of Water Needs • First Tier: Available Supplies – Demands • Second Tier: Available Supplies + Conservation and Direct Reuse – Demands 450,000
Needs (acre-feet per
400,000 350,000 300,000 250,000 200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 0 2020
2030
2040 First Tier
2050
2060
2070
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Panhandle Regional Water Plan
Chapter 5 – Water Management Strategies • • • •
Chapter 5A: Identification of Potentially Feasible WMS Chapter 5B: Water Conservation Chapter 5C: Major Water Provider Strategies Chapter 5D: Water Management Strategies by County
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Panhandle Regional Water Plan
Chapter 5A – Identification of WMS
CONSERVATION
PRECIPITATION ENHANCEMENT
GROUNDWATER DEVELOPMENT
WATER QUALITY IMPROVEMENTS
REUSE
BRUSH CONTROL
INFRASTRUCTURE IMPROVEMENTS
VOLUNTARY TRANSFER
ASR
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Panhandle Regional Water Plan
Chapter 5B – Municipal Conservation 9,000
Savings (acre-feet per year)
8,000 7,000
6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 0
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
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Chapter 5B – Irrigation Conservation 600,000
Savings (acre-feet per year)
500,000 400,000 300,000 200,000 100,000 0
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
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Chapter 5C – Major Water Provider WMS (Recommended) CRMWA • • • • •
Customer Conservation Replace Well Capacity Expand Capacity ASR Brush Control
Amarillo • • • • • •
Municipal Conservation Supplies from CRMWA Potter/Carson Well Field Roberts County Well Field ASR Direct Potable Reuse
Borger • Municipal Conservation • Supplies from CRMWA
Greenbelt MIWA • Customer Conservation • Donley County Groundwater
Cactus • Municipal Conservation • New Well Field – Ogallala Aquifer 19
202 2021 1Chapter 5D – Water Management Strategies by WUG Panhandle Regional Water Plan
Panhandle Regional Water Plan
New Groundwater Development
20 WUGs with recommended Groundwater Strategies
• Booker
• Spearman
• Canyon
• Stinnett
• Dalhart
• Sunray
• Dumas
• TCW Supply
• Gruver
• Texline
• McLean
• Wellington
• Memphis
• Wheeler
• Pampa
• Manufacturing
• Panhandle • Perryton 3/9/2020
• Moore • Potter • Randall 20
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Panhandle Regional Water Plan
Chapter 5D – Water Management Strategies by WUG Other Recommended Strategies
• Conservation (Municipal and Irrigation) • Pampa – ASR (using CRMWA water) • Wellington – Nitrate Treatment
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Panhandle Regional Water Plan
Chapter 5D – Water Management Strategies by WUG Alternate Strategies
• Palo Duro Transmission System • Hall County Other • New Groundwater (Seymour) • Water Treatment with New Groundwater
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Chapter 5D – Water Management Strategies 2020
2070
6%
2% 12%
86%
92%
Groundwater
Conservation
Other
Groundwater
Conservation
Other
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Panhandle Regional Water Plan
Chapter 5D – Water Management Strategies • Unmet Water Needs in PWPA County Collingswo rth Dallam Hall Hartley Moore
WUG Irriga tion Irriga tion Irriga tion Irriga tion Irriga tion Total
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
(4,817)
(6,727)
(1,888)
(497)
(882)
0
(5,257)
(73,088)
(27,937)
(3,966)
0
0
(13,739)
(11,300) (144,713 )
(5,080)
(962)
0
0
(88,458)
(60,079)
(47,166)
(42,031)
(23,884) (259,712 )
0 (123,363 )
0
0
0
(65,504)
(48,048)
(42,031)
(57,606) 0 (81,419)
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Chapter 6 – Impacts of the Regional Water Plan • Socioeconomic Impacts of not meeting needs • Consistency with long-term protection of the state’s resources • • • • •
Water quality Impacts of moving water from agricultural and rural areas Protection of agricultural resources Protection of natural resources Protection of Public Health and Safety
• Consistency with TWDB rules for Regional Water Planning 25
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40,000
$4,000
35,000
$3,500
30,000
$3,000
25,000
$2,500
20,000
$2,000
15,000
$1,500
10,000
$1,000
5,000
$500
0
Lost Income (million $)
Population and Job
Socioeconomic Impacts of Not Meeting Needs
$0 2020
2030
Job Loss
2040
2050
Population Loss
2060
2070
Lost Income
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Panhandle Regional Water Plan
Chapter 6 – Impacts of the Regional Water Plan • Plan is consistent with protections of resources • Conservation – protects sources for future use • Reuse – provides additional beneficial use of water • ASR – better manages existing infrastructure and resources
• Protections of Agricultural • Willing buyer/seller • Larger projects have groundwater rights • Plan respects existing supplies for agricultural
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Panhandle Regional Water Plan
Chapter 7 – Drought Response Information, Activities, and Recommendations • Drought of record in PWPA • Most of PWPA still in DOR
• Current drought preparations and responses in PWPA • 20 entities submitted DCPs to the RWPG
• Emergency Interconnects (Existing and Potential) • Region-specific drought recommendations • Surface water – follows triggers in DCP of owner • Groundwater, Run-of-river – Drought Monitor • Model DCPs 28
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Chapter 7 – Drought Conditions • Combined Reservoir Storage in PWPA
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Chapter 8 – Unique Stream Segments, Reservoir Sites, and Legislative Recommendations • Recommends no unique stream segments or reservoir sites • Over 15 regulatory, legislative, and state water planning recommendations: • • • • • •
Reuse Groundwater Conservation Brush Control Data Collection and Updates Funding 30
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Panhandle Regional Water Plan
Chapter 9 – Infrastructure Funding Recommendations • Placeholder for IPP
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Chapter 10 – Public Participation and Plan Adoption • Outreach to the Public • PWPG meetings • Website: www.panhandlewater.org • Review and Comment on IPP
• Outreach to Water Suppliers • Surveys • Meetings and Teleconferences • Review of Published Planning Documents
• Outreach to Adjoining Regions (Region B and Region O) • Regional Liaisons • Inter-regional Coordination
• Adoption Process • Public Meeting on Scope of Work • IPP Sent to Each County • Hearing on IPP • Solicit and Respond to Comments 32
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Chapter 11 – Implementation and Comparison to Previous RWP • Comparison to 2016 RWP • Implementation summary of 2016 RWP strategies • Assessment of regionalization (new requirement)
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Chapter 11 – Demand Comparison 2,500,000 2,000,000
Demand (acre-feet per
• Demands increased overall by approximately 25-35% from 2016 RWP • All categories increased, except for manufacturing and steam electric power • Largest demand increases were irrigation
1,500,000 1,000,000 500,000 0 2020
2030
2016 Plan
2040
2050
2060
2070
2021 Plan
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Chapter 11 – Groundwater Availability Comparison • Groundwater availability increased by approximately 5-15% from 2016 RWP • 16 of the 19 counties with Ogallala aquifer supply show an increase in availability • Increases in Dockum aquifer
4,500,000 Supply Availability (acre-feet
4,000,000 3,500,000 3,000,000
2,500,000 2,000,000 1,500,000 1,000,000
• Primarily in Oldham County
500,000 0 2020
2030
2040
2016 Plan
2050
2060
2070
• Decreases in Blaine aquifer
2021 Plan
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Panhandle Regional Water Plan
Chapter 11 – Surface Water Availability Comparison
• Surface water availability nearly doubled from 2016 RWP
Supply Availability (acre-feet per year)
60,000 50,000
• Increased availability from Lake Meredith
40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 0 2020
2030
2040
2016 Plan
2050
2021 Plan
2060
2070
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Chapter 11 – Water Need 450,000
Needs (acre-feet per year)
400,000 350,000 300,000 250,000 200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 0 2020
2030
2040
2016 Plan
2050
2060
2070
2021 Plan
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Chapter 11 – 2070 Water Need 2021 Plan
Irrigation Manufacturing
Municipal
2016 Plan
Irrigation
Municipal
Manufacturing
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Panhandle Regional Water Plan
Chapter 11 – Water Need (Major Water Providers) Needs (acre-feet per year)
100,000
80,000
60,000
40,000
20,000
0 Amarillo
Borger
2016 Plan
Cactus
CRMWA
Greenbelt MIWA
2021 Plan
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Chapter 11 – WMS Comparison • Four new Water Management Strategies • • • •
Amarillo Advanced Metering Infrastructure Moore County Manufacturing Develop Dockum Aquifer Pampa Aquifer Storage and Recovery Potter County Manufacturing Develop Ogallala Aquifer
• No new alternate strategies • Various altered strategies • Irrigation Conservation • MWP strategies
• Five Strategies from 2016 RWP removed from 2021 RWP 40
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Panhandle Regional Water Plan
Chapter 11 – WMS Implemented from 2016 RWP • City of Borger Develop Ogallala Aquifer Supplies • Drill 13 new groundwater wells • 10 miles of 20-inch pipeline • Currently online and operating
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Key Dates Leading Up to Public Hearing RWPG Meeting RWPG Meeting Feb 18, 2020
Public Hearing Public Hearing April 2020 Apr 16, 2020
Feb 20, 2020
PWPG Activity TWDB Activity
External Activity
Submit IPP to TWDB, Submit IPP to Distribute to Public
TWDB, Distribute Mar 3, 2020 to Public Mar 3, 2020
Due Date 42
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Panhandle Regional Water Plan
Key Dates Leading Up to Public Hearing Receive IPP Receive IPP Comments Comments from the Public from the Public
Jun 15, 2020 June 2020
Receive IPPIPP Receive Comments Comments from State from State and Federal & Federal Agencies Agencies
Receive IPP Receive IPP Comments Comments from TWDB from TWDB Jul 1, 2020 July 1, 2020
July 2020
PWPG Meeting RWPG Meeting September Sep 17, 2020 2020
Jul 15, 2020
Provide Provide Final Draft Final 2021 Plan, Draft 2021 Plan, Prioritizatio Prioritization to n to RWPG Sep 3,PWPG 2020
SubmitFinal Final Submit 2021 2021Plan, Plan, Prioritization Prioritization to to TWDB OctTWDB 4, 2020
Oct 14, 2020 43
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Panhandle Regional Water Plan
Agenda Item #7: Adopt the PWPG Initially Prepared Plan and authorize the PWPG political subdivision to submit the IPP to the TWDB by the March 3, 2020 deadline. 44
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Panhandle Regional Water Plan
Agenda Item #8: Authorize the PWPG political subdivision to provide public notice and hold a public hearing on the Initially Prepared Plan. 45