EFFECTIVENESS, ECONOMETRICS AND OOH
THINKING OUTSIDE IN 2024_
FFECTIVE REATIVE AUDIENCE USTAINABLE
EFFECTIVENESS, ECONOMETRICS AND OOH_
OOH'S ACES
EFFECTIVE OUTCOMES
DRIVING IMPACT
DELIVERING DATA-DRIVEN AUDIENCES
CREATIVITY MAXIMISES ENGAGEMENT SUSTAINABLE CHANNEL
EFFECTIVENESS, ECONOMETRICS AND OOH_
EFFECTIVE OOH
EFFECTIVENESS, ECONOMETRICS AND OOH
EFFECTIVENESS, ECONOMETRICS AND OOH_
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Dilki Weerakoon Head of Client Strategy, TALON
THE OOH PLANNING EVOLUTION
EFFECTIVENESS, ECONOMETRICS AND OOH
EFFECTIVENESS, ECONOMETRICS AND OOH_
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THE EVOLUTION OF OOH
PROGRAMMATIC OOH
The way OOH is measured econometrically hasn't changed
EFFECTIVENESS, ECONOMETRICS AND OOH_ 1970’S 2000’S 2010’S TODAY
/
OOH CAN BE PLANNED WITH MANY NUANCES IN MIND
2-week blocks
Fully flexible DOOH
National general distribution
Location specific targeting
Broad reach
Audience first targeting
Long term brand building
Short term bottom end of the funnel
EFFECTIVENESS, ECONOMETRICS AND OOH_
Vs. Vs. Vs. Vs.
OOH CAN BE PLANNED WITH MANY NUANCES IN MIND
The creative and measurement methodology needs to match the original objective
EFFECTIVENESS, ECONOMETRICS AND OOH_
SALES
DYNAMIC CREATIVE INCREASES ROI PERFORMANCE VS STANDARD OOH CREATIVE
Standard DOOH creative Digital OOH with weather triggered creative Using DOOH to its full potential is fundamental to increasing DOOH ROI
Source: FMCG Case Study, Analytic Partners
EFFECTIVENESS, ECONOMETRICS AND OOH_ +57%
OOH IS THE ONLY PASSIVELY CONSUMED CHANNEL
a priming channel with a halo effect
EFFECTIVENESS, ECONOMETRICS AND OOH_ CONSUMER ONLINE TV SVOD/BVOD PRINT CINEMA PODCASTS DISPLAY SEO OOH OOH
is
ROUTE HAS THE DATA TO DELIVER MORE ROBUST ROI RESULTS
ü Joint industry currency
ü Evolved to reflect real world changes and increased nuances in OOH
ü Passive methodologies without relying on cookies
ü Granular data which should feed into econometric models
OOH has evolved to have multiple routes to market for several objectives. Route has evolved to reflect these changes, so we need to utilise this granular data.
EFFECTIVENESS, ECONOMETRICS AND OOH_
CURRENT STATE OF PLAY
EFFECTIVENESS, ECONOMETRICS AND OOH_ Impacts Spend Frequency Cover TV Area Format Environment Static VS Digital Reach GRPS Day Parts Standard vs contextual vs dynamic creative Postal Sector Width Campaign Dates Which Creative? Height Faces Region Town Conurbation Longitude Latitude Frame ID SOV Spot Length Media Owner Address Brand Campaign Name Full Motion vs Subtle Campaign ID
improve
There needs to be variation in the data to
the models
KEY TAKEAWAYS
ENSURE THE MEASUREMENT FRAMEWORK AND CREATIVE MATCHES THE OBJECTIVE
UTILISING DOOH TO ITS FULL CAPABILITY WILL IMPROVE ROI
PROVIDE MORE DETAILED AND VARIED DATA FOR OOH
EFFECTIVENESS, ECONOMETRICS AND OOH_
IN THE DETAILS
EXPLORING THE OBSTACLES AND SOLUTIONS TO MEASURING OOH ECONOMETRICALLY
Emily Alcorn Head of Effectiveness , TALON
EFFECTIVENESS, ECONOMETRICS AND OOH
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HISTORY OF ECONOMETRIC MODELLING
1950’s Developed by retail industry
60’/70’s Championed by Marketers
70’s Computer revolution improving accuracy
90’s/00’s Digital revolution
2020 Fundamental part of Media measurement
Importance of making sure the right data is feeding into these models now to underpin any future AI models
Source:
EFFECTIVENESS, ECONOMETRICS AND OOH_
2024+ AI
Adjust: Media Mix modelling: The comeback kid of advertising analysis
A UNIQUE SET OF CHALLENGES
CREATIVE
MODELLING THE WHOLE
LOW SPEND
DATA QUALITY TIME
On average 20-25 hours to compile data for MMM
These specific challenges present the need for nuanced modelling approaches
LOCATION
Absence of location data
EFFECTIVENESS, ECONOMETRICS AND OOH_
OPTIMUM MEDIA SPEND OPTIMUM DOOH SPEND
+54% +20% +17% +17% +7% Search Social TV Radio Press
DATA QUALITY
“GARBAGE IN, GARBAGE OUT”
YOUR ANALYSIS IS AS GOOD AS YOUR DATA
OOH has varied and quality data to feed into MMM models
• Data critical role
• Poor quality data can lead to unreliable forecasts
• Lowest level of detail essential
EFFECTIVENESS, ECONOMETRICS AND OOH_
CREATIVE IMPACT
Source:
1 Nielsen analysis of over 500 campaigns 2 Analytic Partners 3Talon Canvas EFFECTIVENESS, ECONOMETRICS AND OOH_ Creative and media effectiveness should be looked at in unison Executional elements 59% Copy quality / creative 41% The
by creative for OOH
significant
often overlooked2 In a low dwell time media understanding creative effectiveness
Creative contributes most to sales1 47% 22% 15% 9% Targeting Brand Reach Creative
ROI driven
is still
and
is paramount3
MODELLING THE WHOLE
OOH boosts business effects of all channels
Digital returns with TV Digital returns without OOH or TV
strategy comparison
Uplift to business effects %
OOH amplifies the effectiveness of the wider media mix1
ROI index of digital drops without offline support2
You can’t look at a channel in isolation, understanding the impact offline channels has on online returns is paramount
Multimedia campaigns tend to have a higher ROI2
Analytic
EFFECTIVENESS, ECONOMETRICS AND OOH_
Source: 1 IPA databank 2
Partners
+54% +20% +17% +17% +7% Search Social TV Radio Press
-49
Single Two Three Four Five ROI (Index) Media Platforms
GenomeTM ROI
Analytic Partners: ROI
HOW ARE WE ADDRESSING THESE CHALLENGES?
AUTOMATED MMM TEMPLATE
ü More granular data provided to improve modelling accuracy at the click of a button
ü Effectiveness feeding into our product suite
ü Market leading template
EFFECTIVENESS, ECONOMETRICS AND OOH_
COLLABORATION WILL IMPROVE OOH EFFECTIVENESS
EFFECTIVENESS, ECONOMETRICS AND OOH_
Chris Felton Director of Data and Insight , JCDecaux
LOCATION MATTERS FOR MMM
EFFECTIVENESS, ECONOMETRICS AND OOH
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"OUT
OF HOME DOES NOT DELIVER ROI – MY
EFFECTIVENESS, ECONOMETRICS AND OOH_
THE MOVEMENT OF PEOPLE IS KEY TO ACCURATELY CAPTURE HOW POTENTIAL CONSUMERS INTERACT WITH OOH ADVERTISING
EFFECTIVENESS, ECONOMETRICS AND OOH_
CURRENCY MOVEMENT DATA + SALES DATA =
EFFECTIVENESS, ECONOMETRICS AND OOH_
2 MAIN FINDINGS...
CORRELATION BETWEEN LOCAL IMPRESSIONS AND SPEND
LOW CORRELATION HIGH CORRELATION
Impacts per Population
Source: JCD and Nielson, ‘Location Matters for MMM’
Impacts per Population
EFFECTIVENESS, ECONOMETRICS AND OOH_
Incremental transactions Incremental transactions
GRANULAR DATA INCREASES
UTILISING GRANULAR LOCATION DATA INCREASES OOH ROI BY +42%
National Location Data
Postcode Level Location Data
1.42
Indexed ROI: total base model revenue
total spend
1 Retailer 1, 2 & 3 combined EFFECTIVENESS, ECONOMETRICS AND OOH_
OOH ROI
/
=
1.00
HOW YOU CAN WORK WITH US TO TEST THIS MODEL
PARTNERSHIP APPROACH
EFFECTIVENESS, ECONOMETRICS AND OOH_ TALK DATA PROVISIONS
LOCATION MATTERS
UTILISING LOCATION
DATA INCREASES OOH ROI BY +42%
EFFECTIVENESS, ECONOMETRICS AND OOH_
HOW CAN YOU MAKE YOUR OOH MORE EFFECTIVE? EFFECTIVENESS, ECONOMETRICS AND OOH
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OOH & ECONOMETRICS CHECKLIST
REQUEST MORE DATA POINTS FOR OOH
ENSURE YOU’RE MEASURING CREATIVE EFFECTIVENESS
UTILISE THE AUTOMATED MMM TEMPLATE DESIGNED FOR OOH DATA 02_ ARE YOU USING OOH TO ITS FULL POTENTIAL? THIS WILL IMPROVE ROI
MAKE SURE THE MEASUREMENT FRAMEWORK MATCHES THE OBJECTIVE
UTILISING LOCATION DATA INCREASES OOH ROI BY 42%
REMEMBER THE IMPORTANCE OFFLINE CHANNELS PLAY
EFFECTIVENESS, ECONOMETRICS AND OOH_
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03_
04_
05_
07_
06_
OOH & ECONOMETRICS CHECKLIST
ENSURE YOU’RE MEASURING CREATIVE EFFECTIVENESS
REQUEST MORE DATA POINTS FOR OOH 01_ UTILISE THE AUTOMATED MMM TEMPLATE DESIGNED FOR OOH DATA 02_ ARE YOU USING OOH TO ITS FULL POTENTIAL? THIS WILL IMPROVE ROI 03_ REMEMBER THE IMPORTANCE OFFLINE CHANNELS PLAY 04_
05_ MAKE SURE THE MEASUREMENT FRAMEWORK MATCHES THE OBJECTIVE 06_
EFFECTIVENESS, ECONOMETRICS AND OOH_ UTILISING LOCATION DATA INCREASES OOH ROI BY 42% 07_ ROI PLANNING
DATA OUTPUT
STRATEGIES
Chris
THANK YOU
Data
Insight,
Felton Director of
and
JCDecaux chris.felton@jcdecaux.com
TALON
Emily Alcorn Head of Effectiveness,
emily.alcorn@talonooh.com