Appendix C-1: Base Case Scenario Model Puerto Rico Solid Waste Management Authority
Year # Year
1 2006
2 2007
3 2008
4 2009
5 2010
6 2011
7 2012
8 2013 116,659
9 2014 113,815
10 2015 110,426
11 2016 107,451
12 2017 107,773
13 2018 108,096
14 2019 108,421
15 2020 108,738
16 2021 108,955
17 2022 109,103
18 2023 109,322
19 2024 109,540
20 2025 109,766
21 2026 109,979
22 2027 110,199
23 2028 110,419
24 2029 110,640
25 2030 110,861
143,802 16.3 2,342,121
134,076 16.5 2,208,045 -
132,008 15.7 2,076,037
129,425 15.0 1,946,611 -
126,818 14.3 1,819,793 0
124,187 13.7 1,695,606 0
121,433 13.0 1,574,174 -
115,900 12.6 1,458,273
109,512 12.3 1,348,762 0
106,842 11.6 1,241,920 0
103,660 11.0 1,138,260 0 -
100,868 10.3 1,037,392 0
101,170 9.3 936,222 0
101,474 8.2 834,748 0
101,778 7.2 732,970 0
102,076 6.2 630,894 0
102,280 5.2 528,614 0
102,419 4.2 426,195 0
102,624 3.2 323,571 0
102,829 2.1 220,742 0
103,041 1.1 117,701 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
316,183 12.1 3,831,018
317,323 11.1 3,513,695
295,861 10.9 3,217,833 -
303,883 9.6 2,913,951 12,782
318,128 8.2 2,595,823 20,593
311,720 7.3 2,284,104
338,036 5.8 1,946,068 33,480
330,540 4.9 1,615,528
315,481 4.1 1,300,047 0
298,090 3.4 1,001,956 0
290,823 2.4 711,133 0
282,163 29.9 8,428,970 0 8,000,000
274,562 29.7 8,154,408 0
275,385 28.6 7,879,023 0
276,212 27.5 7,602,811 0
277,040 26.4 7,325,771 0
277,850 25.4 7,047,921 0
278,406 24.3 6,769,515 0
278,785 23.3 6,490,730 0
279,342 22.2 6,211,387 0
279,901 21.2 5,931,486 0
280,478 20.1 5,651,008 0
281,022 19.1 5,369,987 0
281,584 18.1 5,088,403 0
282,147 17.0 4,806,256 0
282,711 16.0 4,523,544 0
283,277 15.0 4,240,268 0
131,345 3.0 395,248
131,819 2.0 263,429
122,903 1.1 140,526 -
121,007 26.9 3,258,275 3,238,756
118,640 26.5 3,139,635 -
146,475 20.4 2,993,160 30,846
143,436 19.9 2,849,724 -
154,746 17.4 2,694,978 14,820
147,696 17.2 2,547,283 -
139,554 17.3 2,407,728 -
136,152 16.7 2,271,576 -
132,098 16.2 2,139,479 -
128,539 15.6 2,010,940 -
128,925 14.6 1,882,015 -
129,311 13.6 1,752,704 -
129,699 12.5 1,623,004 -
130,079 11.5 1,492,926 -
130,339 10.5 1,362,587 -
130,516 9.4 1,232,071 -
130,777 8.4 1,101,294 -
131,039 7.4 970,255 -
131,309 6.4 838,946 -
131,563 5.4 707,383 -
131,826 4.4 575,557 -
132,090 3.4 443,466 -
132,354 2.4 311,112 -
132,619 1.3 178,493 -
2007 26. Santa Isabel Annual disposal rate in Tons / yr Remaining actual useful life in yrs Volume available in Tons Volume transffered from others
13,660 8.8 120,414
13,709 7.8 106,705
12,782 7.3 93,923
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
2007 27. Toa Alta Annual disposal rate in Tons / yr Remaining actual useful life in yrs Volume available in Tons Volume transffered from others
137,888 2.6 358,609
138,386 1.6 220,223
129,026 0.7 91,198 -
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
2007 28. Toa Baja Annual disposal rate in Tons / yr Remaining actual useful life in yrs Volume available in Tons Volume transffered from others
429,857 3.0 1293538
431,406 2.0 862,132
402,228 1.1 459,903 -
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
26,269 3.0 79,050
26,364 2.0 52,686
24,581 1.1 28,106 -
0 0 0 0 24,201 4,138 20,063
0 0 0 0 23,728 4,057 19,671
0 0 0 0 23,250 3,976 19,274
0 0 0 0 22,768 3,893 18,874
0 0 0 0 22,263 3,807 18,456
0 0 0 0 21,248 3,633 17,615
0 0 0 0 20,077 3,433 16,644
0 0 0 0 19,588 3,349 16,238
0 0 0 0 19,004 3,250 15,755
0 0 0 0 18,492 3,162 15,330
0 0 0 0 18,548 3,172 15,376
0 0 0 0 18,604 3,181 15,422
0 0 0 0 18,659 3,191 15,469
0 0 0 0 18,714 3,200 15,514
0 0 0 0 18,751 3,206 15,545
0 0 0 0 18,777 3,211 15,566
0 0 0 0 18,814 3,217 15,597
0 0 0 0 18,852 3,224 15,628
0 0 0 0 18,891 3,230 15,661
0 0 0 0 18,928 3,237 15,691
0 0 0 0 18,965 3,243 15,722
0 0 0 0 19,003 3,250 15,754
0 0 0 0 19,041 3,256 15,785
0 0 0 0 19,079 3,263 15,817
12,227 19.0 232,215
12,271 17.9 219,944
11,441 18.2 208,503 -
11,265 17.5 197,238 0
11,044 16.9 186,194 0
10,822 16.2 175,372 0
10,597 15.5 164,775 0
10,362 14.9 154,412 0
9,890 14.6 144,522 0
9,345 14.5 135,177 0
9,117 13.8 126,060 0
8,846 13.3 117,214 0
8,607 12.6 108,607 0
8,633 11.6 99,974 0
8,659 10.5 91,315 0
8,685 9.5 82,630 0
8,710 8.5 73,919 0
8,728 7.5 65,191 0
8,740 6.5 56,452 0
8,757 5.4 47,694 0
8,775 4.4 38,920 0
8,793 3.4 30,127 0
8,810 2.4 21,317 0
8,828 1.4 12,489 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
36,574 2.0 73,089
34,100 1.1 38,989 -
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
115,521 4.2 485,519
107,708 3.5 377,811 -
106,046 2.6 271,765 0 -
103,972 1.6 167,793 0
101,877 34.8 3,543,545 0 3,477,630
99,763 34.5 3,443,782 0
97,551 34.3 3,346,231 0
93,107 34.9 3,253,124 0
87,974 36.0 3,165,150 0
85,830 35.9 3,079,321 0
83,274 36.0 2,996,047 0
81,030 36.0 2,915,016 0
81,273 34.9 2,833,743 0
81,517 33.8 2,752,226 -
81,762 32.7 2,670,464 0
82,001 31.6 2,588,463 0
82,165 30.5 2,506,298 0
82,277 29.5 2,424,022 0
82,441 28.4 2,341,580 0
82,606 27.3 2,258,974 0
82,776 26.3 2,176,198 -
135,486 15.1 2,040,711 52,448
135,757 14.0 1,904,954 0
136,029 13.0 1,768,925 0 -
136,301 12.0 1,632,624 0 -
136,574 11.0 1,496,050 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
88,646 264.6 23,452,380 90,656
84,664 276.0 23,367,716
105,000 221.5 23,262,716
138,696 166.7 23,124,020 37,161
134,566 170.8 22,989,454 0
130,940 174.6 22,858,514 0 96,713
131,333 173.0 22,727,181 0 97,003
168,258 134.1 22,558,923 36,421 97,294
168,763 132.7 22,390,160
169,256 131.3 22,220,904
171,962 127.2 21,879,348
172,306 126.0 21,707,042
172,651 124.7 21,534,391
100,538
100,739
101,344
101,547
289,151 69.9 20,197,419 101,750
289,729 68.7 19,907,689
100,337
287,423 73.3 21,063,142 103,041 101,142
288,574 71.0 20,486,570
97,871
183,826 116.1 21,350,565 10,797 100,946
287,998 72.1 20,775,144
97,586
169,595 130.0 22,051,310 98,067
2004
2005
143,286 17.3 2,485,923
Volume transferred to North WTE
Closure in Move to
2026 23. Penuelas Penuelas New Annual disposal rate in Tons / yr Remaining actual useful life in yrs Volume available in Tons Volume transffered from others Volume transferred to North WTE
Expansion in
2015 24. Ponce Annual disposal rate in Tons / yr Remaining actual useful life in yrs Volume available in Tons Volume transffered from others Capacity added through expansion
Closure in
Closure in Move to
2032 25. Salinas Annual disposal rate in Tons / yr Remaining actual useful life in yrs Volume available in Tons Volume transffered from others Capacity added through expansion w/in property limits
Ponce
Closure in Move to North WTE
Humacao
Closure in Move to North WTE
Humacao
Closure in Move to North WTE
Arecibo
Closure in Move to
Fajardo
Closure in Move to
Humacao
Expansion in
New Capacity
2007 29. Vega Baja Annual disposal rate in Tons / yr Remaining actual useful life in yrs Volume available in Tons Volume transffered from others Growth of volume of Vega Baja C&D Waste Recovered before entering WTE (17.1%) Volume transferred to North WTE 2028 30. Vieques Annual disposal rate in Tons / yr Remaining actual useful life in yrs Volume available in Tons Volume transffered from others 2007 31. Yabucoa Annual disposal rate in Tons / yr Remaining actual useful life in yrs Volume available in Tons Volume transffered from others 2009 32. Yauco Annual disposal rate in Tons / yr Remaining actual useful life in yrs Volume available in Tons Volume transffered from others Capacity added through expansion Volume transferred to WTE
-
36,442 3.0 109663
115,106 5.2 601,040
2011 33. Penuelas - New Annual disposal rate in Tons / yr Remaining actual useful life in yrs Volume available in Tons Volume transffered from others Volume transferred to WTE Ash from West WTE
84,607 84,664
105,000
102,441
99,390
-
101,954
Total annual disposal rate
3,633,100
3,646,198
3,399,589
3,347,153
3,281,668
3,215,565
3,148,834
3,079,007
2,684,742
2,121,586
2,069,865
1,929,400
1,904,875
1,910,589
1,916,321
1,922,070
1,927,691
1,931,546
1,927,764
1,931,619
1,935,483
1,939,471
1,943,232
1,947,119
1,951,013
1,954,915
1,958,825
Net volume requiring disposal at landfill facilities in tons Difference in annual tons
3,633,100 -
3,646,198 -
3,399,589 -
3,347,153 -
3,281,668 -
3,215,565 -
3,148,834 -
3,079,007 -
2,684,742 -
2,121,586 -
2,069,865 -
2,000,493 71,093
1,904,875 -
1,910,589 -
1,916,321 -
1,922,070 -
1,927,691 -
1,931,546 -
1,927,764 -
1,931,619 -
1,935,483 -
1,939,471 -
1,943,232 -
1,947,119 -
1,951,013 -
1,954,915 -
1,958,825 -
32,088,125
28,441,927
25,042,338
24,270,919
21,618,580
28,036,861
25,187,416
45,519,858
57,557,157
59,366,313
57,324,679
63,399,401
61,591,031
59,777,236
57,914,835
56,090,141
54,260,110
52,426,420
50,581,752
48,750,084
46,914,753
45,062,232
43,061,005
41,214,640
39,352,093
37,498,335
35,640,870
Total volume capacity in Tons
Total useful life for all facilities in years
7.4
7.3
6.6
8.7
8.0
14.8
21.4
28.0
27.7
32.9
32.3
31.3
30.2
29.2
28.1
27.1
26.2
25.2
24.2
23.2
22.2
21.2
20.2
19.2
18.2
C-1-3