Population and Development Planning (PDP) Model: The 1998 Update

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45 Equation: KCAREQ Dependent Variable: KCAR Method: Least Squares Date: 09/07/98 Time: 15:39 Sample(adjusted): 1956 1997 Included observations: 42 after adjusting endpoints Variable

Coefficient

Std. Error

t-Statistic

Prob.

C KP+KG KP(-1)+KG(-1) KCAR(-1)

-1913.472 0.063458 -0.060308 0.848447

762.7867 0.010285 0.010102 0.059178

-2.508528 6.169794 -5.969950 14.33721

0.0165 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000

R-squared Adjusted R-squared S.E. of regression Sum squared resid Log likelihood Durbin-Watson stat

0.996656 0.996393 1480.840 83329755 -364.1090 1.632007

Mean dependent var S.D. dependent var Akaike info criterion Schwarz criterion F-statistic Prob(F-statistic)

33980.36 24655.14 17.52900 17.69449 3775.777 0.000000

Equation: IINVEQ Dependent Variable: IINV Method: Least Squares Date: 09/09/98 Time: 16:38 Sample(adjusted): 1956 1997 Included observations: 42 after adjusting endpoints Convergence achieved after 10 iterations Variable

Coefficient

Std. Error

t-Statistic

Prob.

C INVPY/GNP AR(1)

48121.92 -127785.2 0.977427

125436.8 36898.94 0.061799

0.383635 -3.463113 15.81618

0.7033 0.0013 0.0000

R-squared Adjusted R-squared S.E. of regression Sum squared resid Log likelihood Durbin-Watson stat Inverted AR Roots

0.756305 0.743808 4612.031 8.30E+08 -412.3689 1.604465 .98

Mean dependent var S.D. dependent var Akaike info criterion Schwarz criterion F-statistic Prob(F-statistic)

7365.619 9111.910 19.77947 19.90359 60.51812 0.000000


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