Davis
MODERATE CHALLENGERS TO INCUMBENT HOUSE DEMOCRATS I!l>!rl<l
Stltu. (Inc,)
Candidate(s)
R.e. DescrlpUon
H2:t. QIo!II2211. (C2211. 5IOQl
KS.()3
Challenger (Moore)
Greg Musil
8113· way GOP primary
Lean D
CA·l0
Challenger (Tauscher)
Claude Hutchinson
General Election
LeanD
CA·22
Challenger (Capps)
Mike Stoker
General Election
Likely D
CT"()2
Challenger (Gejdenson)
Robert Simmons
Unopposed in GOP primary
Likely 0
CHl5
Challenger (Maloney)
Marl!. Nielsen
Unopposed In GOP primary
Toss Up
ME·Ol
Challenger (Allen)
Jane Armero
Unopposod in GOP primary
Likely D
NJ·12
Challenger (Holl)
Dick Zimmer
General Election
Toss UP
PA·13
Challenger (Hoeffel)
Stu Greenleal, Jr.
General Election
Toss Up
WI"()2
Challenger (Baldwin)
John Sharpless
Unopposed currently In 9/12 primary
Likely D
bers prove it. She out-raised Brown 2-to-1 during t he Apri l filing period. She has a war chest of 5350,000 cash-an-hand. We are encouraged by her campaign and hope to wrest this seat from the Democrats.
Michigan -
8th District
Open sea ts a re t he main crack in t he Democrat's armor this cycle. In what has been described as a bellwether of the GO P's chances this fall, Mike Rogers, a Michigan State Senator and former FB I agent, is running fo r an open seat in M ichigan's eight h congressional district. T he seat is being vacated by Representative Stabenow. Roge rs is an ex perienced candi date wit h a campaign that is rapi dly gaining momentum. According to a recent potl, Roge rs is tied with his Democrat opponent at 40 percent. Last September, the same poll showed his oppone nt ahead 39 perce nt to 34 percen t. The eigh th district is solidly behind GOP cand idates. Geo rge W. Bush leads Vice- Presiden t Al Gore in the same d istrict, 52 percent to 38 percent.
was overwhe lmingly Democra t. Republicans held on ly five of the 23 state represen tative seats and did not hold a si ngle State senate scat. The district is now trendi ng Republican. T he GOP holds 12 state represe ntative seats, an increase of seven scats from 1992. Republican state senators also represen t 17 of the 23 counties in the district. According to CQ~ Politics in Amui((l, "The sixth is the state's (Missouri) most politically marginal district.~
Montana - At Large In j\·l ontana, Denny Rehberg, the fo rme r Lieutenant Governor of jVlontana is running for t he At- Large open scat being vacated by Republican Rick H ill. Republicans have great suppOrt in M ontana. H ill won elections in 1996 and ] 998 by large margi ns and fo rmer Se nator Bob Dole (RKansas) won M ontana in the 1996 presidential election. In the recent l\'lontana primary, Rehberg beat Democrat cand idate Nancy Keenan 54 percen t to 46 percent. Th is represe nts the first headto- head matchup between the two candidates and proves Rehberg's strength as a candidate.
Missouri - 6th District
New J ersey -
Unexpected retirements are always a concern in a hard-fough t election year, and there have been many surprises this yea r. Democrats received a major blow when Representative Pat Danner unexpectedly chose to ret ire. She represents a district ready fo r a Repub lican takeover. When Danner was fi rst elected in 1992, the sixth district
We have seve ral races in the East that hold prom ising oppo rtun ities. In New Jersey, former three-term congressman, Dic k Z im mer, is runni ng to regain his old seat from Rush Holt. The race for New j ersey's twelft h district offers an excellent chance to gai n a scat from the Democrats. Political analyst Cha rlie Cook rates the race as
Ripon Forum· Summer 2000
12 th District
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