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European football handbook
The beautiful game
No matter how long you’ve been a football fan, the beautiful game never ceases to amaze. The finale of last season’s Premier League was astonishing. With the game between Man City and QPR entering injury time, City needed Can Man City to score two to do it again? wrest the title from the other side of Manchester. With the United game over, Ferguson and his players milled about anxiously waiting for news from the Etihad Stadium. When it came it wasn’t good – and scarcely believable. First Dzeko and then Aguero had done it and Man City had won the Premier League for the first time. It capped off a glorious campaign which offered untold betting opportunities. The good news is that it’s now even easier to bet on football with Betfair. You can place multiples wherever you are with Betfair Mobile and use Betfair’s Cash Out function to lock in a profit when you choose. Plus, the Betfair Exchange offers you great value on every single match. To help you make the most from your bets we’ve compiled a fantastic guide to the upcoming campaign. Inside you’ll find full fixtures for the Premier League, the Championship, Bundesliga 1 and the Spanish Primera Division. We’ve packed your handbook full of essential stats, recommended bets from our experts (including Harry Redknapp), and tips for making the most from Betfair’s unique betting environment. Don't settle for less. Enjoy and, whoever you support, I hope you have a successful season on and off the pitch.
Dave Woods, Editor 18+
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contents 4 Premier League Full fixtures, stats and our recommended bets for the season
25 The Championship Tips and fixtures from the hugely competitive second tier
14 Expert opinion: Dennis Irwin The ex-United and Republic of Ireland legend reveals his winning tips for the new season
29 Primera Division Can Barcelona get back to their winning ways next season?
16 Game of two halves How much faith can you place in the end-of-year table?
17 Cash Out Lock in profit with a single click wherever you are 20 Correct your bets Expert tips for cleaning up on the Correct Score markets 22 What were the odds? A look at the incredible In-Play action at the end of last season
European football handbook
33 Bundesliga 1 Everything you need to know about the German top tier 38 Room 1.01 The latest and greatest footballing upsets 42 Inside Betfair Find out what weâ€™re betting on in the Betfair offices
All prices and fixtures in the mag are correct at time of going to press
2012/13 Premier League Full fixtures, tips and all the stats that matter from the best league in the world â€“ everything you need for a stunning season of football on Betfair
harry redknapp's premier league preview The Premier League is never straightforward with plenty of twists and turns. And never more so than last season when Man Utd threw it away when the title was in the bag. That means there’s plenty of extra value to be had in their price this year. At some point in the season to come, just like last year, they’ll go top of the league and that should make them favourites. At that point you can trade your 3.5 or let it ride. I’m not writing off Man City. They’ve got massive firepower upfront and are big, strong and fast. They’re rightful favourites
but 2.26 is a skinny price. With Roberto di Matteo in charge I think Chelsea will compete but they need to improve, and I don’t see them winning the title. The difference between the Blues and my old club Spurs isn’t as big as their odds suggest – 6.4 and 36.0 respectively – and I think it will be a good battle for the top-three between those two. I can see Liverpool running Arsenal close for a top-five spot. My advice – back United, then sit back and wait for the drama to unfold. And, if you’re a clever punter, trade that price all the way through the season.
Top TIP Back Man Utd to win the Premier League @ 3.5 Harry Redknapp is a Betfair Ambassador. Turn to page 13 for the rest of his tips for the new season.
Fixtures subject to change for TV
Saturday 18 August 2012 Arsenal v Sunderland Fulham v Norwich City Newcastle United v Tottenham Hotspur Queens Park Rangers v Swansea City Reading v Stoke City West Bromwich Albion v Liverpool West Ham United v Aston Villa Sunday 19 August 2012 Wigan v Chelsea Manchester City v Southampton Monday 20 August 2012 Everton v Manchester United Wednesday 22 August 2012 Chelsea v Reading Saturday 25 August 2012 Aston Villa v Everton Chelsea v Newcastle United Manchester United v Fulham Norwich City v Queens Park Rangers Southampton v Wigan Athletic Sunderland v Reading Swansea City v West Ham United Tottenham Hotspur v West Bromwich Albion 18+
FIXTURES Click here to bet now at Betfair.com
Sunday 26 August 2012 Liverpool v Manchester City Stoke City v Arsenal Saturday 1 September 2012 Manchester City v Queens Park Rangers Swansea City v Sunderland Tottenham Hotspur v Norwich City West Bromwich Albion v Everton West Ham United v Fulham Wigan Athletic v Stoke City Sunday 2 September 2012 Liverpool v Arsenal Southampton v Manchester United Newcastle United v Aston Villa Saturday 15 September 2012 Arsenal v Southampton Aston Villa v Swansea City Fulham v West Bromwich Albion Manchester United v Wigan Athletic Norwich City v West Ham United Queens Park Rangers v Chelsea Stoke City v Manchester City Sunderland v Liverpool Sunday 16 September 2012 Reading v Tottenham Hotspur
Monday 17 September 2012 Everton v Newcastle United
29 KEY FIXTURES You might think these two fixtures look competitive, but youâ€™d be surprised. Chelsea have only won three of their last 20 visits to Arsenal and, incredibly, Spurs havenâ€™t beaten United in the league in their last 22 attempts home or away! Home prices will be very short so look for added value with Betfair Multiples.
Saturday 22 September 2012 Chelsea v Stoke City Newcastle United v Norwich City Southampton v Aston Villa Swansea City v Everton West Bromwich Albion v Reading West Ham United v Sunderland Wigan Athletic v Fulham Sunday 23 September 2012 Liverpool v Manchester United Manchester City v Arsenal Tottenham Hotspur v Queens Park Rangers Saturday 29 September 2012 Arsenal v Chelsea Everton v Southampton Fulham v Manchester City Manchester United v Tottenham Hotspur Norwich City v Liverpool Reading v Newcastle United Stoke City v Swansea City Sunderland v Wigan Athletic Sunday 30 September 2012 Aston Villa v West Bromwich Albion
Monday 1 October 2012 Queens Park Rangers v West Ham United Saturday 6 October 2012 Chelsea v Norwich City Liverpool v Stoke City Manchester City v Sunderland Swansea City v Reading West Bromwich Albion v Queens Park Rangers West Ham United v Arsenal Wigan Athletic v Everton
Going down? West Brom: 5.1 Wigan Athletic: 2.74 Southampton: 2.48
Sunday 7 October 2012 Southampton v Fulham Newcastle United v Manchester United Tottenham Hotspur v Aston Villa
Norwich, Villa and Swansea could get sucked in, but we think these are the three likely to make the drop. Wigan are the best bet – it’s going to be tough for them to pull off a third consecutive escape act.
Saturday 20 October 2012 Fulham v Aston Villa Liverpool v Reading Manchester United v Stoke City Norwich City v Arsenal Swansea City v Wigan Athletic Tottenham Hotspur v Chelsea West Bromwich Albion v Manchester City West Ham United v Southampton Sunday 21 October 2012 Sunderland v Newcastle United Queens Park Rangers v Everton
Saturday 27 October 2012 Arsenal v Queens Park Rangers Everton v Liverpool Manchester City v Swansea City Newcastle United v West Bromwich Albion Reading v Fulham Stoke City v Sunderland Wigan Athletic v West Ham United
Bad boys QPR received nine red cards last season, the jointmost by a team in a single Premier League campaign (with Sunderland 2009/10). Djibril Cissé didn’t help – he played in eight games last season: he was sent off in two and scored in the other six. Fulham were the only team not to get a red card all season.
Sunday 28 October 2012 Aston Villa v Norwich City Chelsea v Manchester United Southampton v Tottenham Hotspur Saturday 3 November 2012 Fulham v Everton Manchester United v Arsenal Norwich City v Stoke City Sunderland v Aston Villa Swansea City v Chelsea Tottenham Hotspur v Wigan Athletic West Ham United v Manchester City Sunday 4 November 2012 Queens Park Rangers v Reading Liverpool v Newcastle United
Man Utd’s win rate drops alarmingly after playing in the Champions League – from 86 per cent to 71 per cent at home and from 54 per cent to 43 per cent away. This year United have to travel after five of six Champions League fixtures.
Fixed odds Betfair is now offering Fixed Odds alongside the traditional Exchange. The Exchange – where you can back and lay – is the best place to look for the biggest odds. If there are any gaps in the market you can switch by clicking the ‘Fixed Odds’ toggle above the market. With Fixed Odds you back selections by betting directly against Betfair.
Monday 5 November 2012 West Bromwich Albion v Southampton Saturday 10 November 2012 Arsenal v Fulham Aston Villa v Manchester United Everton v Sunderland Newcastle United v West Ham United Reading v Norwich City Southampton v Swansea City Stoke City v Queens Park Rangers Wigan Athletic v West Bromwich Albion Sunday 11 November 2012 Manchester City v Tottenham Hotspur Chelsea v Liverpool Saturday 17 November 2012 Arsenal v Tottenham Hotspur Liverpool v Wigan Athletic Manchester City v Aston Villa Newcastle United v Swansea City Norwich City v Manchester United Queens Park Rangers v Southampton Reading v Everton West Bromwich Albion v Chelsea Sunday 18 November 2012 Fulham v Sunderland Monday 19 November 2012 West Ham United v Stoke City Saturday 24 November 2012 Aston Villa v Arsenal Everton v Norwich City Manchester United v Queens Park Rangers Southampton v Newcastle United Stoke City v Fulham Swansea City v Liverpool Wigan Athletic v Reading Sunday 25 November 2012 Sunderland v West Bromwich Albion Chelsea v Manchester City Tottenham Hotspur v West Ham United Tuesday 27 November 2012 Aston Villa v Reading Stoke City v Newcastle United Sunderland v Queens Park Rangers Wednesday 28 November 2012 Chelsea v Fulham Everton v Arsenal Manchester United v West Ham United Southampton v Norwich City Swansea City v West Bromwich Albion Tottenham Hotspur v Liverpool
Wigan Athletic v Manchester City Saturday 1 December 2012 Arsenal v Swansea City Fulham v Tottenham Hotspur Liverpool v Southampton Manchester City v Everton Newcastle United v Wigan Athletic Norwich City v Sunderland Queens Park Rangers v Aston Villa Reading v Manchester United West Bromwich Albion v Stoke City West Ham United v Chelsea
HIGHLIGHT Newcastle were last season’s surprise package, finishing a creditable fifth. Alan Pardew takes most of the credit, with new signings Demba Ba and Papiss Cissé scoring 29 goals between them. They did lose home (3-1) and away (2-0) to champions Man City though, so this is the perfect chance to prove last season wasn’t just a flash in the pan.
Saturday 8 December 2012 Arsenal v West Bromwich Albion Aston Villa v Stoke City Fulham v Newcastle United Manchester City v Manchester United Southampton v Reading Sunderland v Chelsea Swansea City v Norwich City West Ham United v Liverpool Wigan Athletic v Queens Park Rangers Sunday 9 December 2012 Everton v Tottenham Hotspur Saturday 15 December 2012 Liverpool v Aston Villa Manchester United v Sunderland Newcastle United v Manchester City Norwich City v Wigan Athletic Queens Park Rangers v Fulham Reading v Arsenal Stoke City v Everton Tottenham Hotspur v Swansea City West Bromwich Albion v West Ham United
Saturday 22 December 2012 Chelsea v Aston Villa Liverpool v Fulham Manchester City v Reading Newcastle United v Queens Park Rangers Southampton v Sunderland Swansea City v Manchester United Tottenham Hotspur v Stoke City West Bromwich Albion v Norwich City West Ham United v Everton Wigan Athletic v Arsenal
Great escape? The Premier League might not break for Christmas but the end of the year table rarely lies. Only one team bottom at the end of the year has gone on to escape relegation, West Brom in 2004/05.
Wednesday 26 December 2012 Arsenal v West Ham United Aston Villa v Tottenham Hotspur Everton v Wigan Athletic Fulham v Southampton Manchester United v Newcastle United Norwich City v Chelsea Queens Park Rangers v West Bromwich Albion 18+
Reading v Swansea City Stoke City v Liverpool Sunderland v Manchester City Saturday 29 December 2012 Arsenal v Newcastle United Aston Villa v Wigan Athletic Everton v Chelsea Fulham v Swansea City Manchester United v West Bromwich Albion Norwich City v Manchester City Queens Park Rangers v Liverpool Reading v West Ham United Stoke City v Southampton Sunderland v Tottenham Hotspur Tuesday 1 January 2013 Chelsea v Queens Park Rangers Liverpool v Sunderland Manchester City v Stoke City Newcastle United v Everton Southampton v Arsenal Swansea City v Aston Villa Tottenham Hotspur v Reading West Bromwich Albion v Fulham West Ham United v Norwich City Wigan Athletic v Manchester United
Trading places The beauty of Betfair is the ability to back and lay selections, effectively taking opposing sides of a market to lock in a profit. Say you backed Liverpool pre-season for €100 at odds of 40.0, only to see them get off to a flyer. Their odds have now dropped down to 9.0, but they’ve got three tricky away fixtures in the space of a few weeks, at Man Utd, Arsenal and Man City. Trading out would guarantee you a €345 profit for a stress-free season.
Saturday 12 January 2013 Arsenal v Manchester City Aston Villa v Southampton Everton v Swansea City Fulham v Wigan Athletic Manchester United v Liverpool Norwich City v Newcastle United Queens Park Rangers v Tottenham Hotspur Reading v West Bromwich Albion Stoke City v Chelsea Sunderland v West Ham United Saturday 19 January 2013 Chelsea v Arsenal Liverpool v Norwich City Manchester City v Fulham Newcastle United v Reading Southampton v Everton Swansea City v Stoke City Tottenham Hotspur v Manchester United West Bromwich Albion v Aston Villa West Ham United v Queens Park Rangers Wigan Athletic v Sunderland Tuesday 29 January 2013 Arsenal v Liverpool Aston Villa v Newcastle United Norwich City v Tottenham Hotspur Queens Park Rangers v Manchester City Reading v Chelsea Stoke City v Wigan Athletic
Sunderland v Swansea City Wednesday 30 January 2013 Arsenal v Liverpool Everton v West Bromwich Albion Fulham v West Ham United Manchester United v Southampton Saturday 2 February 2013 Arsenal v Stoke City Everton v Aston Villa Fulham v Manchester United Manchester City v Liverpool Newcastle United v Chelsea Queens Park Rangers v Norwich City Reading v Sunderland West Bromwich Albion v Tottenham Hotspur West Ham United v Swansea City Wigan Athletic v Southampton
Man Cityâ€™s total of 93 goals last season was the third highest in Premier League history, behind Chelsea 2009-10 (103) and Man Utd 1999-2000 (97). Man Utd scored 89 goals, the highest tally of any club not to have won the Premier League.
Saturday 9 February 2013 Aston Villa v West Ham United Chelsea v Wigan Athletic Liverpool v West Bromwich Albion Manchester United v Everton Norwich City v Fulham Southampton v Manchester City Stoke City v Reading Sunderland v Arsenal Swansea City v Queens Park Rangers Tottenham Hotspur v Newcastle United
Saturday 23 February 2013 Arsenal v Aston Villa Fulham v Stoke City Liverpool v Swansea City Manchester City v Chelsea Newcastle United v Southampton Norwich City v Everton Queens Park Rangers v Manchester United Reading v Wigan Athletic West Bromwich Albion v Sunderland West Ham United v Tottenham Hotspur
Man Utd were the only team to record 20 clean sheets last season. Old Trafford also saw 71 goals, more than any other ground in the league.
Saturday 2 March 2013 Aston Villa v Manchester City Chelsea v West Bromwich Albion Everton v Reading Manchester United v Norwich City Southampton v Queens Park Rangers Stoke City v West Ham United Sunderland v Fulham Swansea City v Newcastle United Tottenham Hotspur v Arsenal Wigan Athletic v Liverpool
The average number of goals per game in the Premier League last season. See page 21 for tips on betting on the popular Over/Under 2.5 Goals market on Betfair.
Saturday 9 March 2013 Arsenal v Everton Fulham v Chelsea 18+
FIXTURES 6 Key fixture 12
The Manchester derby this time last year was critical to Man City getting back in the race. This time Man Utd play at home and it should be another crunch encounter. In 15 visits to Old Trafford in the Premier League, Man City have only won two, but they saved their best for last season when they humiliated United 6-1. Expect this one to be much more competitive.
Liverpool v Tottenham Hotspur Manchester City v Wigan Athletic Newcastle United v Stoke City Norwich City v Southampton Queens Park Rangers v Sunderland Reading v Aston Villa West Bromwich Albion v Swansea City West Ham United v Manchester United Saturday 16 March 2013 Aston Villa v Queens Park Rangers Chelsea v West Ham United Everton v Manchester City Manchester United v Reading Southampton v Liverpool Stoke City v West Bromwich Albion Sunderland v Norwich City Swansea City v Arsenal Tottenham Hotspur v Fulham Wigan Athletic v Newcastle United Saturday 30 March 2013 Arsenal v Reading Aston Villa v Liverpool Everton v Stoke City Fulham v Queens Park Rangers Manchester City v Newcastle United Southampton v Chelsea Sunderland v Manchester United Swansea City v Tottenham Hotspur West Ham United v West Bromwich Albion Wigan Athletic v Norwich City Saturday 6 April 2013 Chelsea v Sunderland Liverpool v West Ham United Manchester United v Manchester City Newcastle United v Fulham Norwich City v Swansea City Queens Park Rangers v Wigan Athletic Reading v Southampton Stoke City v Aston Villa Tottenham Hotspur v Everton West Bromwich Albion v Arsenal Saturday 13 April 2013 Arsenal v Norwich City Aston Villa v Fulham Chelsea v Tottenham Hotspur Everton v Queens Park Rangers Manchester City v West Bromwich Albion Newcastle United v Sunderland Reading v Liverpool Southampton v West Ham United Stoke City v Manchester United Wigan Athletic v Swansea City Saturday 20 April 2013 Fulham v Arsenal
Liverpool v Chelsea Manchester United v Aston Villa Norwich City v Reading Queens Park Rangers v Stoke City Sunderland v Everton Swansea City v Southampton Tottenham Hotspur v Manchester City West Bromwich Albion v Newcastle United West Ham United v Wigan Athletic
Harry Redknapp’s top tips Top four Arsenal are odds-on to finish top four but I’d rather back Spurs – Andre’s got a good team.
Saturday 27 April 2013 Arsenal v Manchester United Aston Villa v Sunderland Chelsea v Swansea City Everton v Fulham Manchester City v West Ham United Newcastle United v Liverpool Reading v Queens Park Rangers Southampton v West Bromwich Albion Stoke City v Norwich City Wigan Athletic v Tottenham Hotspur
Back Tottenham for a Top 4 Finish @ 2.9
Top Promoted Team I fancy all the new sides to stay up and West Ham can finish top of this mini league.
Saturday 4 May 2013 Fulham v Reading Liverpool v Everton Manchester United v Chelsea Norwich City v Aston Villa Queens Park Rangers v Arsenal Sunderland v Stoke City Swansea City v Manchester City Tottenham Hotspur v Southampton West Bromwich Albion v Wigan Athletic West Ham United v Newcastle United
Back West Ham to be Top Promoted Team @ 2.6
Top ten QPR flirted with relegation last time out but I like the signings Mark Hughes has made.
Sunday 12 May 2013 Arsenal v Wigan Athletic Aston Villa v Chelsea Everton v West Ham United Fulham v Liverpool Manchester United v Swansea City Norwich City v West Bromwich Albion Queens Park Rangers v Newcastle United Reading v Manchester City Stoke City v Tottenham Hotspur Sunderland v Southampton
Back QPR for a Top 10 Finish @ 3.4
Back the Mackems Alan Pardew did an amazing job last year but Sunderland look bound to improve and are good value.
Sunday 19 May 2013 Chelsea v Everton Liverpool v Queens Park Rangers Manchester City v Norwich City Newcastle United v Arsenal Southampton v Stoke City Swansea City v Fulham Tottenham Hotspur v Sunderland West Bromwich Albion v Manchester United West Ham United v Reading Wigan Athletic v Aston Villa
Back Sunderland @ 2.9 in a season match bet against Newcastle
The Premier League is getting more entertaining every year, but the ex-United and Republic of Ireland legend can’t see past the two Manchester teams for the title because the manager has been there so many times. Shinji Kagawa is a creative player who can play just off the front man or wide and the young players, like Danny Welbeck, are more experienced.
Who do you think will battle it out for top spot? I can't see past Manchester United and Manchester City again. Both teams will improve this summer with more signings. Chelsea have spent a few quid and after finishing outside the top four last season I expect them to do better. Arsenal will be up there as well, but it will be interesting to see how Spurs and Liverpool get on with new managers, and whether Newcastle are as good as last year. Do you think another team can surprise us? I always think Everton will finish well if they get off to a good start, but they always start slowly! You’ll know better than anyone how much last season will have hurt Sir Alex Ferguson… They only lost on goal difference, and that was despite injuries and people saying they weren’t at their best. They will be involved again 18+
What do Chelsea and Arsenal need to do to close the gap? Chelsea have a few new players already and a manager who did well at the back end of last season. As a club they will want to get closer to winning the league, although they have lost Didier Drogba who has been so influential for them. Fernando Torres has come into form and their new signings will freshen things up. Arsenal did tremendously well to finish third last season despite the upheaval of
players coming and going last summer and in January. They’ll be better prepared this season but will need to improve defensively.
There have been a lot of managerial changes this summer, who’s caught your eye? Aston Villa have had a couple of quiet seasons and Paul Lambert has a tough job. He did well at Norwich but Villa is a different kind of pressure.
Who will finish top goalscorer? Wayne Rooney will be up there. Torres will play more games Paul Lambert has a and he has his How would you tough job. He did well confidence assess the at Norwich but Aston back. It will be teams likely to interesting to be involved at Villa is a different kind see where Robin the bottom? of pressure van Persie ends Wigan finished up and whether last season well, the new Arsenal boys Lukas so it’ll be interesting to see if they Podolski and Olivier Giroud impress. can continue that form. Villa will improve under Lambert while it’s What do you think of the general harder for the teams in their second standard of players coming to season in the top flight. Swansea the Premier League this season? and Norwich impressed last year The standard always rises. You but it’s tougher second time around, can’t stand still or you'll get left and they both have new managers. behind. The top teams only need I think the three teams coming up marginal additions to freshen things are good enough to stay up. West up, but there’s no doubt the league Ham will be hard to beat while will be stronger. You only have to Reading and Southampton like to look at how many goals were play football, like Swansea did last scored between the top clubs in season. You can always bank on key games last season to see that one surprise team getting caught it keeps getting better. up in trouble as well.
Rooney or Torres for top goalscorer? 18+
Game of two halves They say the table never lies but backing the team that's top at Christmas is a risky strategy
People say that the first meaningful Premier League table is the one at the end of the year. In 2008 Rafael Benitez infamously predicted that if Liverpool were top at Christmas they would have an 80 per cent possibility of ending the season as champions. They were and they didn’t. Other teams have topped the table at Christmas and fallen away when the going gets tough and squads get exposed. There is one team however that seems to get stronger as
the season progresses. It's fair to say that Man Utd have completely dominated the Premier League, winning 12 of the 20 titles. Seven of these were won when another team topped the table at Christmas. If you really want to use the Christmas table as a prescient guide, look to the bottom of the league. Of the 20 teams that have propped up the league while tucking into their Christmas dinner, only one – West Brom in 2004/05 – has gone on to escape relegation.
Manchester United Norwich Aston Villa Manchester Manchester United United Blackburn Chelsea NorwichNorwich Champions at Premier LEAGUE Arsenal Aston Villa Aston Villa Christmas champions Manchester City Blackburn Blackburn Liverpool ChelseaChelsea Manchester Manchester United United Leeds Arsenal Arsenal Norwich Norwich Newcastle Manchester City City Aston Villa Aston Villa Manchester Liverpool Blackburn Blackburn Liverpool Leeds Leeds ChelseaChelsea Newcastle Newcastle ArsenalArsenal 18+ www.gambleaware.co.uk Manchester Manchester City City
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Cash Out Instead of placing a bet and waiting to see if it wins or loses, Betfair gives you the option to trade out of your position when you want. You can do this manually or with Betfair's unique one-click Cash Out feature. Cash
It only takes a second to score a goal. On Betfair it only takes one click to lock in a profit Out automatically works out your optimal profit, or limits your liability, in any given situation. All you have to do is click, confirm the amount offered and your bet will be settled (pending any standard In-Play delay).
Say that you’ve backed Fulham for €100 to beat Norwich at odds of 1.9. Your potential profit (before commission) is €90. Fulham take the lead and their odds drop. By laying Fulham at 1.4 you can now guard against the possibility of Norwich coming back into the game. By using Cash Out you can guarantee a profit (before commission) of nearly €36 with a single click.
Because Cash Out saves you time, it can make you money when every second counts. When Dzeko equalised for Man City in injury time in the last game of last season, Man Utd were still 1.09 to win the league. If you’d clicked Cash Out, Aguero’s incredible last gasp winner wouldn’t have left your bet in tatters. Cash Out is available in any market where this yellow icon is displayed
BEST PRICED WINNING MATCH ODDS
PREMIER LEAGUE 2011/12 In the 2011/12 Premier League season, Betfair were better priced than Bet365 in the match odds market on 272 of the 380 winning outcomes, better than William Hill on 268 of the 380 and better than Ladbrokes on 245 of the 380. Now thatâ€™s value.
Exchange prices only. Prices captured just before kick-off. 5% commission deducted from Betfair prices. Other charges may apply. For verification see betchecker.betfair.com/football. 18+ gambleaware.co.uk 18+ Please gamble responsibly. www.gambleaware.co.uk
Correct your bets Are you using the Correct Score market to maximise your chance of a profit? We show you how… The Correct Score market The facts Team A have only failed to is a great place to profit score once at home this season. from football, and you don’t have to predict the exact result to win. You don’t expect early goals Here’s a good example. After doing but you think they’ll come as your research on a game you’ve identified that the home side very Team A frequently score at home. seldom fails to score. You also You can’t decide an outcome think the game will be tight – both on the Match Odds market sides are frequently involved in (home/away/draw). low scoring encounters.
1 2 3
Assuming Team A are going to score at least once, then by backing 1-0, 2-0 and 1-1 prior to kick off you can cover all the results under 2.5 goals. You can then use the Over/Under 2.5 Goals market for insurance.
For an outlay of €34.50 you'll win €53 if any of the three scores come in.
After 20 minutes, if the game is still 0-0, you can take out cheap insurance by laying Under 2.5 Goals – you’re looking to get at least your initial €34.50 outlay back here.
Once these four bets are matched, all you need is for Team A to score and you are in a no-lose position. You don’t really want the away team to score, but that’s why 1-1 is covered. 1-1 should then decline in price and the price for Over 2.5 Goals will also come down, so you should still be able to get out at close to break even. If
it stays 0-0 until the end you'd lose all your bets, so you should consider taking a hit and cutting your losses using Cash Out if it’s still goalless after 65 minutes. You’ll make a loss but if you start taking these trading lines it’s important to protect your bank and have a strategy that takes all factors, including the worst case scenario, into account.
Going for goals? The Over/Under 2.5 Goals market is hugely popular on Betfair, with excellent In-Play trading opportunities to help lock in a profit
Greece: great for the unders
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In this market you’re betting there are either two goals or less, or three goals or more in a game. It's popular because there are lots of stats that give you a good idea as to whether a game is going to be tight or not. Some managers are happy to concede as long as they're scoring freely at the other end. Remember Blackpool in the Premier League? In contrast, teams like Greece have become
famous for a safety-first approach, with plenty of 0-0, 1-0 and 1-1 scorelines. It's also a great market for In-Play betting. Certain teams tend to score early so you can back the overs and trade out when they score. If the early goal doesn’t go in you can trade out for a small hit, or even back your initial judgement if the game is looking open and back the overs for more at a better price.
what were the odds on that? at
CITY TO WIN
to premwin t ie
agu e e
3:45pm 3:30pm 3:15pm 3pm es
the to win
3:20 1-0 rooney puts united ahead!
Man City hit backâ€Ś
Rooney gave Man Utd the lead 18+
There was ecstasy at the Etihad and carnage on the markets as we look back at the most incredible Premier League finale ever!
100.94 1.01 4:53 aguero scores 1.10
4:08 1-1 cisse
go into injury time
capitalises on mistake
4:15pm 4pm mcfc mufc
Click here to bet now at Betfair.com Before the last gasp winner! 18+
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Reading topped the table last year
2012/13 Championship The Championship is one of the most competitive leagues in the world, with no strong favourite and near enough 20 of the 24 clubs given a chance by the Betfair market. As you’d expect, the three relegated Premier League teams are among the contenders, but a mixture of big clubs, those beaten in the play-offs and rising Championship forces will be going all out to grab their shot at the big time. Leicester have thrown plenty of money at the playing and coaching staff in recent years and with manager Nigel Pearson in his second season, a more settled Foxes outfit could make a genuine bid for promotion. Bouncing back to the Premier League straight away is never easy – just ask Birmingham or Blackpool – and a swift return for Blackburn, Bolton or Wolves is not assured. Bolton look best placed, with Wolves an
unknown quantity following the appointment of Ståle Solbakken as manager. Blackburn under Steve Kean remain unconvincing. The ever-entertaining Blackpool and Ian Holloway are also a great bet to be challenging for the top. If you're looking for teams with a bigger price, fans of Sheffield Wednesday and Charlton will be dreaming of the Premier League again after coming up from League One. Southampton proved last season that successive promotions can be achieved, and in this most open of leagues it’s not so outlandish to think one or both of them could go close. Pre-season prices Bolton 9.0 Leicester 9.4 Wolves 10.0 Blackburn 12.5 Blackpool 19.0 Birmingham 26.0 Sheffield Wednesday 27.0 Charlton 40.0 18+
Two of the promoted teams, Charlton and Sheffield Weds, are well placed to stay up. Huddersfield will struggle if they lose top scorer Jordan Rhodes. Pre-season favourites for the drop are Barnsley, Bristol City and Peterborough and we think they will all be involved at the bottom.
Middlesbrough to fly After a tough opener at Cardiff, Middlesbrough have a good run against weak opposition, and in this league momentum is everything. They're a good outside shot for the play-offs at 3.65.
Three for the bottomâ€Ś Barnsley Bristol City Peterborough United
Barnsley Birmingham Blackburn Blackpool Bolton Brighton Bristol City Burnley Cardiff Charlton Crystal Palace Derby Huddersfield Hull City Ipswich Leeds Leicester Middlesbrough Millwall Nottingham Forest Peterborough Sheffield Wednesday Watford Wolves 18+
H O M E
26/12 29/12 15/09 02/03 16/02 01/09 27/11 24/11 13/04
04/05 05/03 18/09 19/01 06/11 22/12 01/01 18/08
02/02 27/11 15/12
29/03 28/11 22/12 02/02 16/03 08/12 19/01
17/11 29/12 05/03 04/05
10/11 27/10 02/03 13/04 19/01 06/10
25/08 29/09 26/01 20/04 24/11
09/03 20/10 09/02 03/11 15/12
23/02 16/04 15/09 17/11 13/04 05/03
27/11 23/02 21/08 02/04
05/03 26/01 01/12 20/10 18/08 01/09 06/04
23/10 25/08 11/11
09/03 02/10 01/04 29/09 27/04 19/02 16/02 27/10
20/10 09/02 29/09 12/01 30/03 08/12 04/05 02/03 06/11
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2012/13 Championship war of the Roses Both Bolton and Blackburn will have eyes on automatic promotion, but we think Owen Coyle's outfit has what it takes to hit the top of the league.
The number of goals scored last season, an average of 2.57 per game.
The number of yellow cards Brighton got last season â€“ the most in the league. They also got eight reds, second only to Leicester with nine.
Ian Holloway's fun-loving Blackpool went behind in 29 league games last season, but won more points from losing positions than any other side.
23/10 16/04 10/11 27/04 29/09 12/01 01/04 18/08 26/01 27/10 02/10 15/12 16/03 19/02 15/12 09/03 06/10 17/11 03/11 20/04 20/10 01/12 06/04 02/02 01/09 19/02 16/02 01/04 27/04 13/04 17/04 22/08 09/02 23/02 25/08 21/09 24/11 01/01 02/03 24/10 27/10 06/10 01/04 27/04 22/09 01/01 25/08 21/08 23/02 18/09 09/02 23/10 16/03 16/04 24/11 22/12 29/09 21/08 01/04 23/02 01/12 02/10 06/11 20/04 12/01 24/08 26/01 26/12 15/09 06/04 16/03 12/01 02/03 09/02 02/10 02/11 06/04 20/10 26/12 15/12 06/11 14/09 29/12 04/05 21/08 15/12 27/04 27/10 26/01 29/09 12/01 09/03 02/10 09/02 29/12 01/04 26/12 01/12 12/01 26/12 16/02 09/03 04/05 06/11 29/12 19/02 29/09 01/04 15/09 01/10 15/12 03/11 26/12 05/03 17/08 10/11 12/01 15/09 26/01 17/11 29/12 13/04 15/12 02/12 23/10 02/09 14/09 29/12 24/11 25/08 26/12 06/04 21/08 03/11 16/03 23/02 27/11 26/01 02/10 20/04
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02/10 25/08 13/04 16/04 29/12 09/02 16/09 30/03 27/11 24/11 26/12 29/09 02/03
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Who says Barcelona are the best in Europe?
2012/13 Primera Division Maldini’s Primera preview For several years now, the Primera Division has been a straight battle between two clubs. Real Madrid and Barcelona seem to stretch ever further away from the rest with every passing season, playing almost in a parallel competition of their own. That makes picking the title winner quite easy – it will be one of these two! This year, the third placed team will finish far behind the big two, perhaps even further than in previous campaigns. Of Pre-season prices Real Madrid 1.9 Barcelona 2.2 Malaga 100.0 Atletico Madrid 110.0 Valencia 120.0 Real Zaragoza 160.0 Sevilla 250.0 Athletic Bilbao 310.0
this year’s candidates for the third spot, Malaga will continue to grow and I think they will offer a genuine challenge to Valencia. However, the team that catches my eye is Marcelo Bielsa’s Athletic Bilbao. Last season the Argentinian coach did great things, but a lack of experience undid them. With a better understanding of the players and the game in La Liga, I believe Bielsa has reached a point where he can lead his team back to the glory of previous eras. Julio 'Maldini' Maldonado is the chief football expert on the Betfair Spanish Betting site. Turn the page for his top tips for 2012/13 18+
Maldini's recommended bets
Granada stayed up by one point from Villarreal but are expected to go down this time. Valladolid were relegated following their last promotion in 2010, and could do so again. They could be joined by either Rayo Vallecano or Real Zaragoza, who only just escaped the drop last season.
Atletico Madrid 26/08
H O M E
Three for the bottom… Granada Valladolid Rayo Vallecano
I won’t be original here. Even with Ronaldo putting everything in, I think Leo Messi will be the main ‘pichichi’ again. For me the question is: will he defeat his own record? Back Leo Messi for top goalscorer
27/01 28/04 09/12 25/11 10/02 28/10 31/03 -
Barcelona 02/12 16/12
12/05 22/12 09/12 24/02 11/11 14/04 -
Celta Vigo 05/05 19/05 31/03
04/11 10/03 06/01 10/02 23/09 -
Deportivo 21/04 05/05 21/10 17/03
28/10 01/06 23/09 24/02 -
Espanyol 16/09 30/09 29/05 13/01 22/12
19/05 02/09 10/02 -
Getafe 17/03 07/04 16/09 17/02 03/02 21/04
25/11 28/04 -
Granada 04/11 18/11 17/02 30/09 16/09 02/12 01/06
Levante 06/01 19/08 25/11 28/04 14/04 02/09 10/03 28/10 Malaga 17/02 03/03 13/01 20/01 29/05 17/03 28/04 09/12 Mallorca 16/12 06/01 11/11 14/04 31/03 19/08 24/02 07/10 Osasuna 03/03 17/03 26/08 03/02 20/01 07/04 12/05 22/12 Rayo Vallecano 01/06 10/02 28/10 11/11 07/10 10/03 06/01 19/08 Real Betis 20/01 02/09 09/12 12/05 28/04 23/09 31/03 11/11 Real Madrid 18/11 02/12 03/03 21/10 30/09 16/12 27/01 02/09 Real Sociedad 30/09 21/10 20/01 26/08 13/01 04/11 09/12 12/05 Real Zaragoza 19/05 01/06 14/04 25/11 11/11 27/01 07/10 10/03 Sevilla 07/04 21/04 30/09 03/03 17/02 05/05 19/08 27/01 Valencia 21/10 04/11 03/02 16/09 26/08 18/11 22/12 29/05 Valladolid 03/02 17/02 22/12 29/05 12/05 07/10 14/04 25/11 18+
2012/13 Primera Division Stat attack
Top-Four Finish Athletic Bilbao have not played in the Champions League for several seasons now, but the current generation have the necessary talent to qualify. Back Athletic Bilbao @ 2.22
It might be the home of beautiful football, but the Primera Division saw 2,151 yellow cards (5.66 per game), and 131 reds (0.34 per game) last season, more than in any other top European league.
Percentage of games that ended in home wins in La Ligaâ€™s Primera Division in 2011/12, a higher proportion than any other top European league.
Real Madrid are the favourites with the punters, so I think it would be sensible to back Barcelona since itâ€™s essentially a 50-50 pick. Back Barcelona @ 2.2
29/05 23/09 12/05 07/10 13/01 19/08 14/04 24/02 22/12 11/11 10/03 02/09 20/01 07/10 29/05 28/10 16/09 03/02 28/04 10/03 13/01 25/11 31/03 23/09 21/04 01/06 07/04 27/01 17/03 05/05 07/10 19/08 18/11 24/02 02/09 19/05 02/12 19/08 18/11 02/09 07/04 16/12 10/03 27/01 21/04 07/10 10/02 06/01 18/11 06/01 04/11 19/08 03/03 02/12 24/02 01/06 07/04 23/09 27/01 16/12 03/02 28/10 20/01 11/11 21/10 17/02 12/05 31/03 26/08 09/12 14/04 03/03 21/10 02/12 30/09 16/12 29/05 04/11 26/08 05/05 03/03 20/01 19/05 18/11 17/03 05/05 03/03 19/05 20/01 07/04 03/02 16/12 21/10 26/08 06/01 21/04 16/09
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26/08 10/03 13/01 31/03 30/09 16/09 09/12 28/10 20/01 28/04 11/11
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Dortmund start as second favourites
2012/13 Bundesliga 1 Rudi Voeller’s season preview The Bundesliga 1 season starts soon and, as the new brand Ambassador of Betfair, I’m looking forward to many exciting games. As a customer you can be confident that you’re getting better prices, and along with that I hope we will also get to see the very best football. I’m very curious this season to see whether one of the other teams can keep up with Bayern and Dortmund. Maybe even my Leverkusen team, who knows… Enjoy the new Bundesliga season! Rudi Voeller is the sporting director at Leverkusen and a Betfair Ambassador. We asked him a few questions about the upcoming campaign. What are your ambitions for the new season? Our minimum requirement is to get into the Europa League but, of course, we really want to qualify for the Champions League. Sami Hyypia is your new coach. Why is he the right man for you? When he was a player he behaved like a coach. He’s played at Pre-season prices Bayern Munich 1.86 Borussia Dortmund 2.98 Schalke 04 25.0 Borussia Monchengladbach 34.0 Wolfsburg 44.0 Werder Bremen 60.0 Leverkusen 60.0 Stuttgart 65.0
Liverpool for ten years; he’s won the UEFA Cup and the Champions League. He’s always played at the highest level and now he can bring that experience to us. He’s also got an experienced coach in Sascha Lewandowski at his side. These two complement each other so well that I am convinced we will succeed. Is your squad complete now that Daniel Carvajal has joined? We’ve also signed Junior Fernandes from Universidad, and we expect a lot from him. Plus, we’ve decided to keep Andre Schurrle despite a very good offer from Chelsea. I think we have a strong squad now and should enjoy a very successful season. 18+
The league’s new boys might be favourites to go down, but Fortuna Dusseldorf won the play-off against Hertha Berlin to come up and Greuther Furth beat two top-flight teams on the way to the semi-finals of the cup. If they do well, expect Augsburg and Nuremberg to get sucked into trouble.
Augsburg Bayern Munich Borussia Dortmund Borussia Monchengladbach
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01/12 15/12 10/11 09/03 27/04 -
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06/10 26/01 03/11
17/11 06/04 25/09 02/03
19/01 20/10 27/04 01/09 01/12
H O M E
Automatic relegation Fortuna Dusseldorf: 2.08 Greuther Furth: 2.5 Augsburg: 2.88
After average summers for last season’s top three goalscorers, can someone else grab the Bundesliga’s Torjagerkanone? We think Dortmund's Marco Reus has a great shot at making a big name for himself.
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29/09 02/03 15/12 19/01 01/09 06/04 02/02
16/02 16/03 02/02 23/09 19/01 03/11 01/09
22/09 02/02 24/11 11/05 27/04 06/10 19/01
20/10 17/11 01/09 02/02 21/09 08/12 02/03
01/09 22/09 09/03 01/12 24/11 23/02 15/12
28/11 26/01 30/03 13/04 27/10 15/09 20/04
02/03 29/09 19/01 20/10 11/05 17/11 16/02
02/02 16/02 11/05 27/04 15/12 16/03 20/10
2012/13 Bundesliga 1 Stat attack
The average number of goals per game in the Bundesliga 1 last season, more than any other major European league.
None of the last ten Bundesliga winners have lost their opening game. Dortmund play Werder Bremen at home, while Bayern Munich travel to Greuther Furth.
Dortmund set a new points record last season and also won the cup, securing the clubâ€™s very first double.
In 32 of the Bundesliga 1â€™s 49 seasons (65 per cent of the time), the team top at the winter break has gone on to win the league title.
18/05 27/10 30/03 23/02 26/09 09/02 09/03 26/01 27/04 06/10 14/09 19/01 30/03 24/11 06/10 27/10 15/09 13/04 09/02 02/09 23/02 25/09 17/11 09/02 02/03 18/05 15/09 20/04 26/01 20/10 03/11 24/08 08/12 06/04 26/09 16/03 25/08 09/02 08/12 15/09 04/05 17/11 09/03 28/11 03/11 16/09 20/10 26/01 25/08 28/11 09/02 20/04 16/03 08/12 18/05 16/02 24/11 15/12 10/11 30/03 02/03 11/05 28/09 02/02 13/04 27/10 08/12 10/11 13/04 16/09 26/01 25/08 06/10 18/05 24/11 26/09 09/03 02/03
06/10 27/04 09/03 23/02 26/01 24/11 15/09 01/12 27/10 09/02 -
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20/10 11/05 23/09
09/02 08/12 04/05 26/09 26/08 06/04 15/09 26/01 -
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31/08 13/04 01/12 27/10 09/03
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22/09 01/12 02/09 13/04 10/11 30/09 30/03 02/03 19/01 24/11
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ROOM 1.01 Football’s an unpredictable game full of twists and turns. It’s why you love it – unless, of course, you end up on the wrong end of a 1.01 shocker
Man Utd 4-4 Everton Premier League 22 April 2012 With four games left in last season’s Premier League, Man Utd were five points clear at the top and looking on course for their 13th title when a fairly routine home game against Everton went desperately wrong. After falling behind, United took hold of the game with an iron grip, leading 4-2 with just ten minutes left. At Old Trafford that’s about as much of a sure thing as you can find in sport, but first Jelavic (83 mins) and then Pienaar (85 mins) stunned the home crowd into silence and held on to deliver what proved to be a fatal blow to United’s title hopes. 38
€16,005 matched at 1.01 on Man Utd Match Odds market
Pienaar delivers a fatal blow to Man Utd's title hopes 18+
From 1.01 shots to relegation fodder
Real Zaragoza 2-1 Villarreal Primera Division 4 March 2012 The home side were bottom of the league and 12 points behind Villarreal, who were one spot above the relegation zone. That gap looked certain to increase after Martinuccio put Villarreal ahead in the 16th minute. It stayed 0-1 until the 85th minute when Luis Garcia snatched a late equalizer. Then, with three minutes of stoppage time played, Abraham pounced on a deflected pass and slotted home for a late, late winner. It was a defining point of the season for the two teams: Zaragoza went on to secure their Primera status while Villarreal were relegated by a single point.
â‚Ź17,416 matched at 1.01 on Draw Match Odds market
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QPR 3-2 Liverpool Premier League 21 March 2012 Dalglish’s Liverpool weren’t having the best of seasons when they travelled to suffering QPR, but few expected anything but a red win. QPR hadn’t won a league game in two months while Liverpool were looking to improve on their dismal 7th position. A dull 0-0 game was brought to life spectacularly when Coates scored Liverpool’s first goal with an acrobatic scissor kick. It spurred Liverpool on and they seemingly put QPR to bed when Kuyt added a second in the 72nd minute. What followed was an incredible finale for the home faithful. Derry headed their first before Cisse struck in the 86th minute to level the game. Then, in injury time, Mackie found himself one-on-one with Reina. He kept his cool and slotted home to send the QPR fans wild.
€6,223 matched at 1.01 on Liverpool Match Odds market QPR's ecstasy was Liverpool's agony
ROOM 1.01 Real Sociedad 2-2 Barcelona Primera Division 10 Sept 2011 Barcelona were clear favourites to win their second game of the season, but manager Pep Guardiola Barcelona let a had slight two goal lead slip cause for concern after the Txuri-urdin had stunned his team 2-1 earlier in the year. That evaporated early on when Barcelona passed their way to a 2-0 lead in just ten minutes, with first Xavi and then Fabregas scoring for the visitors. The rest of the half was all Barcelona, but in the 59th minute Sociedad got a lifeline when Agirretxe headed past Valdes. It shocked the normally unflappable Barca, and straight from the kick-off Villa played a suicidal back pass that was intercepted by Agirretxe. He chipped a shot against the bar and it was Griezmann who was first to react to force the equaliser. Barcelona reacted instantly by bringing on Messi but Sociedad held on for a vital point.
â‚Ź120,504 matched at 1.01 on Barcelona Match Odds market Guardiola's pep talk didn't work
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Inside Betfair Are you looking for inspiration? Check out the best of the pre-season bets from the Betfair offices… The Munich/Dortmund duel is going to be renewed this season. But this time round I’m seeing Munich, with their new Sporting Director Matthias Sammer, ahead of last season’s champions. Michael Lessig, German Country Manager Back Bayern Munich to win the Bundesliga 1 @ 1.82
I think Man Utd will bounce back. They've been active during the transfer window, and Ferdinand and Vidic have had a summer break. A lot will rest on Rooney though. Alasdair Wright, Global Head of Customer Marketing & Loyalty Back a winning treble of Man Utd, Barcelona and Lille @ 43.6
It has to be Juventus or AC Milan for this year’s Serie A title, although with an unchanged squad it’s the champions who have the upper hand. If Juventus can show the same dedication they’ll win again. Maria Papapaschali, Operations Manager Back Juventus to win Serie A @ 2.38
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After a hugely impressive debut season, expect the Swans to struggle under new manager Michael Laudrup. I also think Juventus will win Serie A again. Graham Ross, Ireland Regional Manager Back Swansea for relegation @ 3.1 and Juventus to win Serie A @ 2.38
Brighton offer big value in the Championship – they finished 10th last season and have a very ambitious chairman in Tony Bloom, who has already added several quality players to the squad. Ian Lowther, Sports Marketing Back (to lay) Brighton to win the Championship @ 19.0
PSG are favourites to win Ligue 1, but too many big new names could cause issues in the dressing room and they could take time to gel. Reigning champions Montpellier offer excellent trading value. Sukhdeep Sadhra, VIP Marketing Executive Back (to lay) Montpellier to win Ligue 1 @ 20.0
Back Juventus to win Serie A again
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