Asia Outlook - Issue 28

Page 23

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A sign at the Air New Zealand checkin counter in Shanghai’s Pudong International Airport warning passengers not to bring Samsung’s Galaxy Note 7 phone onto any flight due to problems with that phone’s battery.

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And with global debt now standing at a record $217 trillion, “roll over” risks will increase as central banks start raising interest rates, weighing especially on emerging markets that have borrowed in euros and dollars. In Southeast Asia, manufacturing in Vietnam was boosted by ramped up production by South Korea’s Samsung Electronics. Vietnam’s electronics output fell one percent in the first quarter from a year earlier on problems with Samsung’s Galaxy Note 7, which the Company scrapped last year, but recovered in the second quarter. Samsung is Vietnam’s biggest foreign investor. Despite the encouraging electronicsdriven headline numbers for Japan, Taiwan and South Korea, signs of weakness are showing in other parts of these economies. Household consumption remains sluggish in Japan, job creation in Taiwan was the weakest in 20 months and South Korea’s factory output

ASIA

Asia’s manufacturing growth forecast is sluggish

shrank for a 11th straight month and factory employment fell for a 10th. “The larger story seems to be that a moderate recovery continues to be in place,” Mizuho’s Varathan said. “But for a virtuous cycle of wider household consumption that leads to a pickup in industries, we still have to wait a few more quarters before that plays out. And that’s the optimistic view.”

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