NORTH WEST ENERGY CLUSTER MAPPING & ACTION PLAN DEVELOPMENT
Table 3
World Primary Energy Consumption by Fuel
2000 Millions toe
2001 Millions toe
Increase (Decrease) %
Oil
3519.0
3510.6
-0.2
Natural gas
2157.5
2164.3
+0.3
Coal
2216.8
2255.1
+1.7
Nuclear
585.0
601.2
+2.8
Hydroelectricity
616.9
594.5
-3.6
Adjustment
+0.4
-0.9
9095.6
9124.8
Fuel
Total
+0.3
Source: BP Statistical Review of World Energy 2002
** Data on increased use of renewables – see below. ** Slight discrepancy between BP and IEA data mostly accounted for by renewables. Future Demand Global primary energy demand is expected to increase by 1.7% per year between 2000 and 2030 rising to about 15.3 billion toe. According to IEA data, world primary energy demand was 10.1 billion toe in 2000 and is expected to reach 14.8 billion toe by 2020. The largest energy demand is expected to occur in the developing and transitional countries as a result of increasing populations and economic growth. However, North America and Europe will remain the largest energy users over the next 15 to 20 years, both in absolute terms and per capita terms. The IEA are anticipating substantial investments in new generating capacity in the coming years. The largest single investor is expected to be China but significant investment is also expected in North America, Western Europe, India, South East Asia and Central and South America. Alongside this investment in new generating plant, there will be a need to invest in associated power system technologies, designed to reduce system losses and improve system reliability and power quality. Table 4
World Primary Energy Consumption by Region
2000 Millions toe
2010 Millions toe
2020 Millions toe
OECD
5320
5518
5880
Latin America
455
856
1095
Eastern Europe/Former CIS
1020
1215
1465
Middle East
380
496
680
Africa
510
645
800
Asia
2290
3509
4700
Adjustment
135
161
180
Region
Total
10110
Source: Enviros based on IEA data
NORTH WEST DEVELOPMENT AGENCY
8
12400
14800