Manawatu Farming Lifestyles, March 2014

Page 19

MANAWATU FARMING LIFESTYLES

My point of view

MAY 2014

19

Allen Cookson

Massive population growth has a downside A talkback host said that Christchurch should grow to over a million population ‘stretching from the coast to the Southern Alps’. Overwhelmingly, callers’ responses to this were supportive of the idea. No consideration of the loss of export earnings resulting from loss of farmland sacrificed for housing! How would all these extra people be employed? Low wage manufacturing attempting to match Asian competitors? What about quality of life? A similar proposal for Auckland envisaged the city expanding to Helensville. It has been reported that the Ministry of Immigration’s plan is to boost our population to 10 million. The distinguished Chilean ecological economist Manfred Max-Neef developed the ‘threshold hypothesis’ that when an economic system grows beyond a certain size, the attendant costs exceed the benefits.

Already Auckland firms, recognising the principle, have started relocating to Hamilton. Some farmers understand the principle as it applies to their land. I doubt that Fonterra recognises it. ‘Biocapacity’ equals the area of land and water available per human/city/ country/planet to supply useful biological material to humans and absorb wastes sustainably. ‘Ecological footprint’ means the area of productive land and water needed to sustain a human/city/country/ planet at their current consumption level. Subtract ecological footprint from biocapacity. A positive answer means the country is an ‘ecological creditor’. A negative answer means an ‘ecological debtor’. New Zealand is one of the few ecological creditor countries (ecological credit 5.88 ha per person). But this is not because of low per capita ecological footprint.

Our consumption of fossil fuels is very high, mainly because of our transport. Were it not for our small population, we would be an ecological debtor country. All ecological creditor countries have small populations for their areas. The worst ecological debtor ‘country’ I have spotted in research statistics is United Arab Emirates with an ecological deficit of 9.83 ha per person. Clearly this is because of the low biocapacity of the desert and the high consumption of oil. Earth as a whole has an ecological deficit of 0.9 ha per person. Present human activity is unsustainable. What are New Zealand’s choices for our

future economy? We could continue to supply ecological debtor countries with ‘virtual land’ in the form of food and timber, preferably adding value to these products by processing them here. We could also develop and sell our skills in science, engineering, information technology, etc. In return we would import materials unavailable to us, and cheap manufactures. Or we could fill up our land with people who would consume most of the food we produce. To balance our international accounts we would have to lower wages in manufacturing and tourism and destroy our environment.

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MANAWATU FARMING CLASSIFIEDS

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SAFETY FIRST ON THE FARM • Septic Tanks & Filters. • Quality Products & Service. • Wastewater Treatment Plants. • We Design, Manufacture, Install and Service our own • Water Tanks, Pumps & Filters NZ Made Products. • Farm Tanks / Killing Sheds. • Residential & Commercial. T 06 353 6157 F 06 353 3020 FP 0800 253 273 E andrew@wrighttanks.co.nz W www.wrighttanks.co.nz

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LOOK OUT FOR YOUR WORK MATES

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STOLEN QUAD-BIKES? You won’t find any listed here, but you can pre-empt this kind of thing happening and protect your fuel too. Visit www.parabeam.co.nz or call 0508 727 223 for more information.

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