Declassified per Executive Order 13526, Section 3,3 NND Project Number: NND 63316. By: NWD Date: 2011
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310 §,,, .To me et the Soviet threat to U Sc secu:ci ty O
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, '" In doing so, to avoid seriously \-,eaken~· ing tEe U. So economy 0 1' undermining our funcla mental values 'and institutions o coo
320, flo VIi th increasing atomic, po\Vel~? the Soviets have a mounting capability of inflicting very serious and possibly crippling de,mage on the Uni ted States" The USSR 'i,j.ll also continue , to have large military forces capable of aggressive action against cOLmtries of the free \'forld Present estimates are, hOHever, that the USSR will not deliberately initiate general war during the next several years, although general ,::ar might result fro]';} miscalcul atiol1 o In the absence of general war, a prolonged period of te nsion may ensue, during \·,hich each side increase s its armaments, ~eagl"!.es_ .c;l.~o~ic_.,plen t.Y and seeks to improve its relative pOI-leI' posi tioDo ' Q
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k~ In any cas e. the Soviets will continue to seek to divide anA weaken the free world coalition, to absorb or win the aJ,legiance of the presently uncommi tted areas of the "lOrld, and to isolate the United States 7 using cold \--faJ:' tactlcs 2,nd t.he co:-nm u.ni.st apparatus. Their capaci ty for poli tical i'!al"fare against:. the Uni ted States as vlell as its allies \vill be enhanced by their increa sed atomic ca pabilityc
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E';,o . A sOQ,l1do strong, and grO\'ling Do S .. economy 1S necessary to support over the long pull a satisfactory postUl'e cf defense-- rrl 't he \ free \tIor Id eJld a U So capabili ty rapidly and effectively to change to full mobilization. The ! Uni ted States should not \,;eal-:en its capaci ty i for high productivity for defense, its free j institutions, and the incentives 6n which its long- t ero economic ~rowth depends o /
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NSC 162/2
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