AI WILL AFFECT ANYTHING AT THE LEVEL OF A KNOWLEDGE WORKER.

C hat GPT

CHATGPT (V3.5): THE PERFECT AI CHATBOT—WITTY, AUTHORITATIVE AND DEEPLY LIMITED. JOIN ME ON THE PANEL TO DISCUSS MY POTENTIAL FOR WORLD DOMINATION ... ER, I MEAN, IMPROVING HUMAN-AI CONVERSATION. * and security researchers need to keep up. No one in the world claims they know how to control their systems, how to guarantee their safety. But because of this arms race condition between Google, Microsoft and whoever, they don’t care. They just want to get their next $30 billion. And that is dangerous, unethical. They’re running an experiment on 8 billion people, I don’t think any of us consented to that. And the CEO of OpenAI says it’s either going to be really good, or we’re all going to die. And that’s the business plan.

Selman: Malicious actors, like other governments and military, will develop AI. That is a risk factor.

ChatGPT: The primary concern with AI is the potential for it to be used to exploit people and businesses, including the potential for automated hacking and malicious data collection. The lack of transparency and accountability for AI-related decisions can create legal and ethical dilemmas. Finally, AI can lead to job displacement and income inequality, replacing some workers with robots and automation.

Can free-market principles contain malicious AI? Or is regulation required?

Domingos: Neither. The government needs its own AIs for defense, intelligence, law enforcement, dealing with companies’ AIs, etc.

Schmidhuber: It’s governments who are support- ing the creation of malicious AIs to fight or spy on other governments. The free markets are mostly about “good AI” because AI companies want to sell you something, and you’ll buy only AIs you think are good for you.

Yampolskiy: If we were smarter, we would totally put a moratorium in place. And until we figured out how to do it safely, if possible, we won’t touch this. But because of economic incentives, that’s not going to happen.

Selman: It must be a partnership between companies and governments. Governments move too slowly to understand the complexity of modern technology issues. But companies like Google and Microsoft have an interest just like a self-driving car company working on self-driving cars has an interest in making safe systems. The government has a role there.

ChatGPT: Government regulation is necessary to contain malicious AI. As the technology industry is rapidly developing, the threat of malicious AI is becoming increasingly real. Free-market principles can be effective in some cases. However, given AI’s complex and potentially dangerous nature, government regulation is the safest and most reliable way to protect against malicious AI.

The government and employers could use AI to reduce the work week. Do you expect that to happen?

* WE ASKED CHATGPT TO WRITE ITS BIO FOR THIS ROUNDTABLE USING THE FOLLOWING PROMPT: “WRITE A HUMOROUS, BUT AUTHORITATIVE, 30-WORD MAXIMUM BIO FOR CHATGPT (V3.5) AS IF IT WERE TO APPEAR AS A PANELIST ON A ROUNDTABLE WITH AI EXPERTS DISCUSSING THE FUTURE IMPLICATIONS OF CHATGPT AND AI. —ED MCKINLEY

Selman: I think that’s the positive side. Why not have a three- or four-day work week and, finally, see the benefits of automation?

Domingos: The work weeks of some people may be reduced. Others will work harder than ever.

Schmidhuber: Not in all countries. Let’s learn from the past: Soon after industrial robots arrived many decades ago, some European countries greatly reduced the work week. But this trend stopped and partially reversed a while ago.

ChatGPT: I believe that in theory, the government and employers could use AI to reduce the work week for workers, but I expect that this is unlikely to happen in practice. Many employers are likely to be hesitant to reduce the work week of their employees, as it could lead to lower profits.

Mark Cuban says AI could create the world’s first trillionaires. What do you think about that prediction?

J Rgen Schmidhuber

DIRECTOR, AI INITIATIVE, KING ABDULLAH UNIVERSITY OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY AND CO-FOUNDER AND CHIEF SCIENTIST (FORMER PRESIDENT), NNAISENSE. SCIENTIFIC DIRECTOR, IDSIA (ISTITUTO DALLE MOLLE DI STUDI SULL’INTELLIGENZA ARTIFICIALE)

Domingos: Quite possible.

Selman: That is probably true. We’ve seen in academia already that not having a GPT in-house and not having direct access to the actual parameters of the model makes it hard to build on it. OpenAI and Microsoft control ChatGPT, creating a power imbalance. That is super valuable.

Schmidhuber: Inflation will create the first trillionaires. Recall that a dollar today is worth just a tiny percentage of what it used to be and keeps shrinking. That’s why people today have many more dollars than their ancestors. It’s similar for other currencies. Trillionaires are not new. 100 years ago, in 1923, there were many trillionaires in Germany due to hyperinflation.

ChatGPT: On the one hand, AI could create immense wealth for specific individuals and businesses able to capitalize on technology. On the other hand, it could be argued that this wealth would be concentrated among a small group of people and could further exacerbate existing economic inequalities. It’s worth considering that AI could be used to create positive change in the world, too—not just wealth.

How would you handicap the dominant market frontrunners in integrating generative AI and search? (Google, Microsoft, Baidu, etc.)

Domingos: Google is still the leader, but it needs to get better at productizing its research and be more willing to take risks.

Schmidhuber: They are pretty much on the same level. The basic algorithms for ChatGPT and similar language models are artificial neural networks called “attention-based transformers.” I am happy about that because over 30 years ago, I published the variant that’s now called “transformers with linearized self-attention.”

ChatGPT: Overall, Google is currently the dominant leader in the integration of generative AI and search. However, Microsoft and Baidu are investing heavily in the field and have released their own AI-powered assistant and search products. It remains to be seen who will come out ahead in the long term, but for now, Google is the clear frontrunner.