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Pilot Program  for  Climate  Resilience     in  Tajikistan    

Muzaffar SHODMONOV Huaraz, Peru 13 July 2013


Programme Objec7ves   •  Objec7ves  –    demonstrate  ways  to  integrate  climate   risk  and  resilience  into  core  development  planning   •  Tajikistan  –  Partners  include  World  Bank,  Asian   Development  Bank,  European  Bank  of  Reconstruc@on  and   Development  


        PPCR  c   onsistent  with  Government  priori@es      


• Na@onal Development  Strategy   •   Poverty  reduc@on  Strategy   • Second  Communica@on  to   UNFCCC   • Other  Strategies    (e.g.  Na@onal   Disaster  Risk  Management   Strategy)   • Sector  Plans              

Interna7onal   • Joint  Country  Partnership   Strategy   • Stock-­‐take  of  ongoing  work  by   interna@onal  organisa@ons,   bilateral  donors  and  IFIs    


Iden7fica7on of  Priority  areas  for  Phase  1  evidence  building  ac7vi7es  and   Phase  2  investments  

Program Ac7vi7es:   Building  Capacity  for  Climate  Resilience   Government  of  Tajikistan  and  Asian  Development  Bank    

Improvement of  Weather,  Climate  and  Hydrological   Service  Delivery   The  State  Agency  for  Hydrometeorology  and  World  Bank      

Climate Science  and  Modelling  Programme  

The State  Agency  for  Hydrometeorology  and  Asian  Development  Ban  

Enhancing the  Climate  Resilience  of  the  Energy  Sector   Ministry  of  Energy  and  Industry,  The  European  Bank  of  Reconstruc@on  and   Development      

Agriculture and  Sustainable  Land  Management   Ministry  of  Agriculture,  The  World  Bank      

Building Climate  Resilience  in  the  Pyanj  River  Basin  

Ministry of  Meliora@on  and  Water  Resources  ,  The  Asian  Development  Bank    

Climate Resiliency  for  Natural   Resources    

Project Area  

Changes in  Mean  Annual  Precipita7on  (LeO)  And  The  Mean  Annual  Air   Temperature  (Right)  between  1980-­‐2010  and  Future  Decades  

Summary of  Projected  Climate  Changes   •  Annual  mean  air  temperature  is  likely  to  increase  from  -­‐0.6  °C  (2010)  to  1.1°C  (2050)   in  the  Pyanj  River  basin,  from  3.5  °C  (2010)  to  5.0  °C  (2050)  in  the  Vakhsh  River   basin  and  from  -­‐2.6  °C  (2010)  to  -­‐0.9  °C  (2050)  in  the  Pamir  glacier  zone;   •   Maximum  and  minimum  daily  air  temperatures  are  likely  to  increase;   •   Annual  poten7al  evapo-­‐transpira7on  is  likely  to  increase  due  to  the  increase  in  air     temperature;     •   Annual  rainfall  is  likely  to  increase  and  snowfall  to  decrease  due  to  the  increase  in  air     temperature;   •   Significant  changes  are  likely  in  mean  monthly  rainfall  and  snowfall  during  the  winter     and  spring  seasons;   •   The  he  frequency  of  local  high  precipita7on  days  may  increase  slightly;   •   The  magnitude  of  high  daily  precipita7on  (e.g.  the  50-­‐year  storm)  is  likely  to  increase     in  many  sub-­‐basins  in  the  Pyanj  and  Vakhsh  River  basins.  

Secretariat Contacts   •  Office  Adress  :  47  Shevchenko  Street,  State   Administra@on  for  hydrometeorology.   •  E-­‐mail:   •  hYps://    

Thank you  for  listening    

Muzaffar Shodmonov: Pilot program for climate resilience in Tajikistan  

Slides for presentation given to High Mountains Adaptation Partnership in Huaraz, Peru on 13 July 2013.

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