May 2, 2011 Duncan Market Trends Report

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REAL ESTATE MARKET REPORT

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Monday, May 2

2011

TABLE OF CONTENTS Charts and Commentary ……………………………………………….. Market Summary Table ……………………………………………….. Glossary ………………………………………………………………...

Jay Kinder Real Estate Experts

Real Market Reports RealMarketReports.com

Pages 1-2 Page 3 Page 4


REAL ESTATE MARKET REPORT

DUNCAN Monday, May 2, 2011

Jay Kinder Real Estate Experts

Let's take a look

Typically, a pending ratio indicates the supply and demand of the market. Specifically, a high ratio means that listings are in demand and quickly going to contract. Alternatively, a low ratio means there are not enough qualified buyers for the existing supply.

at the real estate market. Currently there are 43 sales pending in the market overall, leaving 272 listings still for sale. The resulting pending ratio is 13.7% (43 divided by 315). So you might be asking yourself, that's great... but what exactly does it mean? I'm glad you asked!

''The current inventory can best be described as very active.''

Contracts Pending

Taking a closer look, we notice that the $75K - $100K price range has a relatively large number of contracts pending sale. We also notice that the $50K - $75K price range has a relatively large inventory of properties for sale at 45 listings. The average list price (or asking price) for all properties in this market is $129,789.

Number of Listings For Sale vs. Pending Contract

For Sale

Duncan

50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0

Num Sold vs. Off-Market (Last 6 mos.)

Sold Off-Market

Duncan

35

Updated on 05/02/2011, RealMarketReports.com Copyright Š Jay Kinder Real Estate Experts

30

$350K

$325K

$300K

$275K

$250K

$225K

$200K

$175K

$150K

$125K

$100K

$75K

$50K

$0K

$25K

Updated on 05/02/2011, RealMarketReports.com Copyright Š Jay Kinder Real Estate Experts

A total of 167 contracts have closed in the last 6 months with an average sold price of $109,930. Breaking it down, we notice that the $25K - $50K price range contains the highest number of sold listings.

25 20 15 10 5 $350K

$325K

Market Dashboard

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$300K

$275K

$250K

$225K

$200K

$175K

$150K

$125K

$100K

$75K

$50K

$25K

0

Alternatively, a total of 190 listings have failed to sell in that same period of time. Listings may fail to sell for many reasons such as being priced too high, having been inadequately marketed, the property was in poor condition, or perhaps the owner had second thoughts about selling at this particular time. The $25K - $50K price range has a high number of off-market listings at 31 properties.

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REAL ESTATE MARKET REPORT

DUNCAN Monday, May 2, 2011

Jay Kinder Real Estate Experts

The recent history of sales can be seen in the two charts below. The average sold price for the last 30 days was $122,729 with an average DOM of 132 days. Since the recent DOM is greater than the average DOM for the last 6 months, it is a negative indicator for demand. It is always important to realize that real estate markets can fluctuate due to many factors, including shifting interest rates, the economy, or seasonal changes.

Duncan

250

Updated on 05/02/2011, RealMarketReports.com Copyright © Jay Kinder Real Estate Experts

200 150 100 50

Ratios are simple ways to express the difference between two values such as list price and sold price. In our case, we typically use the list-to-sale ratio to determine the percentage of the final list price that the buyer ultimately paid. It is a very common method to help buyers decide how much to offer on a property.

Dec

$350K

$325K

$300K

$275K

Average Days on Market (Sold)

Duncan $140K $120K $100K $80K $60K $40K $20K $0K

$250K

Analysis of the absorption rate indicates an inventory of 9.8 months based on the last 6 months of sales. This estimate is often used to determine how long it would take to sell off the current inventory of listings if all conditions remained the same. It is significant to mention that this estimate does not take into consideration any additional properties that will come on the market in the future.

''The average list-to-sales ratio for this area is 92.9%.''

Average Sold Prices

$225K

$200K

$175K

$150K

$125K

$100K

$75K

0 $50K

Analysis of sold properties for the last six months reveals an average sold price of $109,930 and 130 days on market. Notice that properties in the $275K - $300K price range have sold quickest over the last six months.

Average Days on Market (DOM)

Sold For Sale

$25K

Looking at the chart to the right, you might be wondering why average days on market (DOM) is important. This is a useful measurement because it can help us to determine whether we are in a buyer's market (indicated by high DOM), or a seller's market (indicated by low DOM). Active listings, or properties for sale, have been on the market for an average of 107 days.

Duncan 200 150 100 50

Copyright © Jay Kinder Real Estate Experts Updated on 05/02/2011, RealMarketReports.com

Jan

Feb

Mar

0

Apr

Dec

Jan

Feb

Mar

Apr

Market Dashboard

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Copyright © Jay Kinder Real Estate Experts Updated on 05/02/2011, RealMarketReports.com

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REAL ESTATE MARKET REPORT

DUNCAN Monday, May 2, 2011

Jay Kinder Real Estate Experts

Contracts Pending For Sale Price Range

[2]

Off-Market in the Last 6 Months

[1]

[3]

Absorption Rate

Sold in the Last 6 Months

Avg DOM

Avg List Price

Total Num

Pending Ratio

Total Num

Total Avg Avg Orig Num DOM List Price

[4]

Avg List Price

Avg Sold Price

List to Sales

Mos.

Min.

Max.

Total Num

$0

$ 24,999

4

93

$ 18,875

3

42.9%

5

17

105

$ 37,118

$ 35,541

$ 15,341

43.2%

1.4

$25,000

$ 49,999

35

119

$ 40,101

4

10.3%

31

27

133

$ 49,204

$ 43,557

$ 37,770

86.7%

7.8

$50,000

$ 74,999

45

95

$ 62,940

6

11.8%

28

21

94

$ 70,843

$ 68,490

$ 64,281

93.9%

12.9

$75,000

$ 99,999

44

95

$ 85,858

12

21.4%

31

26

125

$ 98,215

$ 92,692

$ 88,077

95.0%

10.2

$100,000

$ 124,999

39

116

$ 113,709

6

13.3%

16

17

133

$ 129,294

$ 122,459

$ 115,727

94.5%

13.8

$125,000

$ 149,999

28

135

$ 138,868

3

9.7%

23

16

143

$ 147,866

$ 141,653

$ 139,097

98.2%

10.5

$150,000

$ 174,999

19

102

$ 162,537

1

5.0%

16

14

148

$ 179,564

$ 169,807

$ 160,800

94.7%

8.1

$175,000

$ 199,999

20

127

$ 187,085

3

13.0%

8

5

216

$ 199,880

$ 189,660

$ 182,000

96.0%

24.0

$200,000

$ 224,999

6

82

$ 209,800

0

-

6

9

168

$ 242,256

$ 227,400

$ 214,961

94.5%

4.0

$225,000

$ 249,999

8

96

$ 234,750

0

-

10

6

129

$ 264,650

$ 249,650

$ 235,917

94.5%

8.0

$250,000

$ 274,999

5

108

$ 258,600

2

28.6%

4

4

154

$ 332,500

$ 277,375

$ 264,625

95.4%

7.5

$275,000

$ 299,999

6

81

$ 286,725

1

14.3%

5

1

56

$ 275,000

$ 275,000

$ 275,000

100.0% 36.0

$300,000

$ 324,999

1

52

$ 324,000

0

-

0

2

105

$ 358,500

$ 322,000

$ 300,000

93.2%

3.0

$325,000

$ 349,999

1

5

$ 339,500

0

-

1

0

-

-

-

-

-

-

$350,000

+

11

94

$ 477,000

2

15.4%

6

2

152

$ 462,500

$ 442,500

$ 400,000

90.4%

33.0

272

107

$ 129,789

43

13.7%

190

167

130

$ 126,306

$ 118,326

$ 109,930

92.9%

9.8

Market Summary >>>

Data believed to be accurate but not guaranteed.

Date Range = 11/01/2010 to 05/02/2011 Property Type = Single House, Condominium, Townhouse

Search Area = ADDINGTON, ALEX, BRAY, CENTRAL, CITYLAKE, COMANCHE, CORUM, COUNTYLINE, CYRIL, DEVOL, DUNCAN, ELGIN, EMPIRE, ENOS, FLETCHER, Foster, GERONIMO, GRANDVIEW, HASTINGS, Hennepin, INDIAHOMA, KINGSTON, LAWTON, LINDSAY, LOCO, MARLOW, Maysville, MERIDIAN, OMA, OTHER, OUTDUNCAN, PAULSVALLE, PERNELL, RATLIFFCIT, RINGLING, RINGOLD, RUSHSPRING, RYAN, STERLING, TEMPLE, Status = [1] ACT,UCS,TMPA,TMP,BC,BOM; [2] PND,UC; [3] EXP,WTH,UWT,CWT; [4] SLD

Market Summary Table

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REAL ESTATE MARKET REPORT

DUNCAN Monday, May 2, 2011

Jay Kinder Real Estate Experts

1. PROPERTIES FOR SALE a. Number Active: The number of listings for sale which are currently being marketed but do not yet have a purchase agreement. b. Average Days on Market (DOM): The average marketing period of currently active listings. This does not account for some listings which have had a previous listing period, but were re-entered as a new listing. c. Average List Price: The average price that a seller is currently asking. 2. CONTRACTS PENDING a. Number Pending: The number of current listings for which a contract has been signed but has not yet closed. b. Pending Ratio: Sometimes called a “list to pending ratio�. This is a measure of how fast properties are going under contract vs. how fast they are being listed. Pending Ratio =

P (Number of Pending Listings) A+P (Number of Active + Pending)

(P) represents properties that buyers have chosen (A+P) represents the entire pool from which they have chosen 3. OFF-MARKET a. Number Off-Market: The number of listing agreements that have failed to close in the last 6 months. Some owners may choose to reoffer their property for sale. 4. PROPERTIES SOLD a. Number Sold: The number of properties that have gone to a closing in the last 6 months. b. Average Days on Market (DOM): The average marketing time it has taken properties to sell in the last 6 months. c. Average Original List Price: The average price at which a sold property was originally marketed. d. Average List Price: The average price at which a sold property was marketed just prior to selling. e. Average Sold Price: The average price for which a property sold. f.

List to Sales Ratio: The percentage of the list price that the buyer ultimately paid for the property. List to Sales Ratio =

Average Sold Price Average List Price

5. OTHER a. Absorption Rate / Months of Inventory: An estimate of how fast listings are currently selling measured in months. For example, if 100 properties sell per month and there are 800 properties for sale - there is an 8 month supply of inventory before counting the additional properties that will come on the market.

Glossary

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