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India Post
March 28, 2014
www.indiapost.com
Demographic dividend - Is it an asset or liability? D SUBA CHANDRAN
S
ocieties such as Japan and few in Europe are considered to be ageing societies. Thanks to the increased healthcare, life expectancy of people has substantially increased. On the other hand, thanks also to the population control measures and child strategies, there is a thinning down of population at the lower levels. If a pyramid has to be built on age groups counting from 1-10, 11-20 and so on, certain countries such as Japan will have an inverted pyramid - with more people on 50-90 groups, than in 01-20, and 21-50 groups. While the first considered as children, adolescents and teens, the second from 20-50 is considered to be carrying the bulk of work load, income earning and hard working. In India, both at the national and sub-regional levels, the demographic pyramid will be bulkier in the middle level. Meaning, both
and "level playing field"? If the youth have to choose their own destiny, instead of being condescending and attempting to channelize their energy, they should be provided with all the right ingredients and strong base, and be allowed to decide their own future. Back to the original question: how to ensure that the youth bulge adds qualitative value and not just the numbers? First and foremost, a strong system of education from the beginning, starting from class one both in rural and urban areas has to be established. There is a big myth that the rural education is backward, while education system in the urban areas are advanced and better developed. When the focus is on quality education, it has to focus equally on both sectors - rural and urban. And there has to be a partner-
Like parent-teacher meetings in schools, there have to be a parent-political leader meeting in every community. It is ironic in many cases, the leaders would love to use the youth as their pawns, but will ensure their own children are well educated abroad, and earning in dollars and euros at the national and regional levels, the population belonging to 20-50 is the biggest. Hence, India along with few other countries in South Asia are considered to have a demographic dividend. There is a Youth Bulge in India. Undoubtedly. But the important question is whether this bulge is an asset or liability. How qualified is this bulge? Quantity - yes, but what about the quality? The above question is important - both at the national and regional levels in India. We may have a youth bulge; but how qualified that bulge is to take us forward? What measures need to be undertaken at the State and Society levels, to ensure that the youth bulge remains an asset and not turn into a liability? There have been discussions about "channelizing" the youth potential; this is essentially a negative approach with a condescending attitude towards the youth - as if they are misguided and taken wrong paths. Do our youth need to be "channelized"? Or do they be provided with "right opportunities"
ship between the State and Society. While the State has to ensure that there is adequate infrastructure in place, the society will have to ensure that there is work culture, especially amongst the teachers. It is easier for the Society to blame the State for the failure in educational structure, and accuse the system for being corrupt and inefficient. While it may very well be true, the hard reality is, neither the educational bureaucracy nor the teachers have been chosen from another planet! They are very much a part of us, and from our own society. Teachers and members of the educational bureaucracies consist of our brothers, cousins, sisters, fathers and mothers. Since teachers are considered in the line only after the mothers and fathers, they have a huge responsibility in ensuring that children are provided with right background and equipped with the required knowledge. This is where our school and college system of education has to keep itself cur-
rent and updated. The parents, on their part have to "parent" the children. Many of modern day problems, especially related to youth in our part of the world would amplify the growing parental crisis. Parenting is just not paying fees to schools and providing with food and shelter. How many of our parents really know what our children are doing in the schools and outside? The above focus on parents and teachers - are primarily due to their ability in being the primary agents of contribution and change amongst the youth. No other social institutions impacts positively as the parents and teachers do. Besides the education, the second major area that needs to be addressed is the politicization of youth by leaders and groups. Youths have to be politically aware, but should not become a ploy in the hands of individuals and groups. Since they are our future, we should let them choose their own, and not impose our past and present on them. Some of them would ultimately choose politics, as their career; but in our warped and immediate needs, we should not allow politics to jeopardize their career. Like parent-teacher meetings in schools, there have to be a parent-political leader meeting in every community. It is ironic in many cases, the leaders would love to use the youth as their pawns, but will ensure their own children are well educated abroad, and earning in dollars and euros. Finally, the State has to ensure, there is no negative environment that would seduce the youth from focusing on what they are supposed to - creating strong foundations for a future that they may want to choose. From drugs to terrorism, there are multiple evils, which the State will have to ensure that our youths do not fall prey to. The State will also have to ensure good governance. True, there is a demographic dividend in India. It is in every one's interest that this quantity becomes a quality and an asset. Every one of us at the State and Society levels have a responsibility in ensuring that our youth bulge does not become a liability. They are our future. Let us protect their present. The writer is Director, IPCS
India Post Won't fade away
T
he Congress harbors several non-performing assets which luckily will be discarded in the coming election. Many like the present Finance Minister P. Chidambaram have seen the writing on the wall and have decided not to contest. This however is no altruistic decision. Chidambaram had barely scraped through in the last General Election from Tamil Nadu and with the UPA's dismal show and poor image this time the certainty of defeat has persuaded him to stand down in favor of his son. So he has made a wise decision. The biggest non-performing asset of all times, Manmohan Singh, however is safe as his tenure in Rajya Sabha is secure for a few more years. He can take a back seat and would be happy not to be noticed. The case of the old men in BJP is however different. They are refusing to fade away because they see the party winning and they want a hand in the spoils. L.K. Advani is 86 but his ambition to be prime minister has not faded. Jaswant Singh is 76 and his best as a politician is behind him but he wants to fight the Lok Sabha election. There is a great controversy over his being denied ticket from his home base of Barmer in Rajasthan. These two stalwarts are the ideal candidates for a seat in Rajya Sabha as a reward for what they have done for the party in the past. But they need not be active as before and leave something for the next generation. Advani's main function these days seems to be to put hurdles in the way of Narendra Modi in his march towards leadership of a coalition to head the NDA in case of victory. Recently he created a great fuss over his desire to change his seat from Gandhinagar in Gujarat, from where he has won five times, to Bhopal in Madhya Pradesh. Perhaps he thinks that Modi's men in Gandhinagar would not cooperate and make his victory difficult. Another reason being trotted out is that the chief minister of Madhya Pradesh, Shivraj Singh Chauhan is Advani's protĂŠgĂŠ and he would easily win from there and also be able to project Chauhan as a rival of Modi for the prime ministership. Advani has tried all the tricks in the trade to be accepted as the prime ministerial candidate. In 2009 he was the PM candidate but the electorate rejected him and his party. Thereafter he tried to be more secular than the secular wallas by visiting Pakistan and praising Jinnah. The move fell flat and he was not only criticized in his own party but was even divested of the presidentship of the party. Today he has still not lost his ambition and hopes to do some damage if the NDA comes to power. Jaswant Singh is a respected scholar-politician and his dignity and demeanor command respect. He also wrote a book on Jinnah praising him and was expelled from the party for this reason. He doesn't fit in the ethos of the present day party and should not mind being relegated to the Rajya Sabha to spend the rest of his days as advisor to the party. His son is already in politics and he should leave it to the coming generation to shape things for the modern age. Advani camp followers are also seeking to put spokes in the wheels of Modi. Sushma Swaraj, Leader of the Legislature party in Lok Sabha, and Ananth Kumar, an influential leader of Karnataka BJP, are Advani camp followers and have little hope of gain if Modi becomes prime minister. So they are questioning the "humiliation" of Jaswant Singh. Sushma however had a positive point to make when she questioned the Lok Sabha ticket given to scam accused Sriramulu in Karnataka. It seems the new BJP has opened its doors to anybody who can win.