Can Mayor Sylvester Turner Win His Bid for Re-Election in Houston, Texas?

CITY OF HOUSTON SPOTLIGHT

Mayor Turner

Can Mayor Turner Win Re-Election? — Analysis By Aubrey R. Taylor, Publisher HBC Newspaper

Election Day: Tuesday, November 5, 2019 PUBLISHED BY AUBREYRTAYLORCOMMUNICATIONS - ALL RIGHTS RESERVED

www.aubreyrtaylor.blogspot.com

Dwight Boykins is running for Mayor of Houston, Texas on Tuesday, November 5, 2019.

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Bill King is running for Mayor of Houston, Texas on Tuesday, November 5, 2019.

HOUSTON - 2019

“Election info published by Aubrey R. Taylor Communications. All Rights Reserved.”

“THE FIGHT FOR WHAT’S RIGHT FAR FROM OVER.” MARTY LANCTON: “The court’s Prop B ruling is a disappointment, but our fight for what’s right is far from over.

Two courts have ruled on the constitutionality of Prop B – one for, one against. We certainly will appeal this ruling.

We will continue to strive to force Sylvester Turner to respect the will of 298,000 Prop B voters who sent a strong message that Houston should equally value its police and fire personnel. The mayor’s vindictive, taxpayerfunded campaign against Houston firefighter families continues. While this fight goes on, we will continue to deliver excellent service, be good stewards of city resources, and give back to the communities we serve.”

ELECTION DAY IS ON NOVEMBER 5, 2019

“Will Mayor Sylvester Turner become the first one-term Mayor in the history of Houston, Texas? City of Houston voters will give you the answer to this question on Tuesday, November 5, 2019.”

AUBREY R. TAYLOR COMMUNICATIONS

957 NASA Parkway #251 Houston, Texas 77058

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Council Member Mike Knox Supports Our Firefighters!

MIKE KNOX: “For those who are interested, I voted to place Proposition B onto the ballot last November.

I voted against spending tax dollars to join the HPOU lawsuit challenging Proposition B, and I voted against laying off city employees.”

“I’m endorsing Council Member Mike Knox in his bid for re-election on Tuesday, November 5, 2019.”

- Jacquie Baly, Political Analyst

HOW DID WE GET HERE?

Houston City Councilman Mike Knox Explains What’s Next for Prop B; How Things Got to This Point in the First Place Council Member Mike Knox Houston City Council At-Large Position #1

Back on Wednesday, May 15, 2019, Judge Garrison, of the 157th Harris County District Court, ruled Proposition B unconstitutional.

What does this mean, and how did this happen?

Following the passage of Proposition B, the Houston Police Officers Union filed a lawsuit challenging the legality of Proposition B. The City of Houston joined this lawsuit.

An injunctive motion was filed to delay the implementation of Prop B until the merits of the lawsuit were heard by the court. The injunction was granted for a short time and then Mike Knox was vacated by a judge who ruled that the implementation of Prop B would cause no irreparable harm or hardship to the City or the taxpayers.

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HOUSTON - 2019

“Election info published by Aubrey R. Taylor Communications. All Rights Reserved.”

“Will Mayor Sylvester Turner become the first one-term Mayor in the history of Houston, Texas?

City of Houston voters will give you the answer to this question on Tuesday, November 5, 2019.”

- Aubrey R. Taylor, Publisher

The process of implementing Prop B was begun, resulting in the notification of layoffs of many city employees.

The 157th District Court held hearings and ordered the parties into mediation, which ultimately failed. The court then ruled on the matter in favor of the HPOU and the city and against the HPFFA. The Judge’s ruling means that Proposition B cannot be implemented because it violates an existing state law, Chapter 174 of the Texas Government Code.

Chapter 174 is the part of the Texas Government Code that requires Houston to engage in collective bargaining with Fire Fighters for pay and benefits. Proposition B was determined not to be a collectively bargained agreement and did not follow the law as defined in chapter 174 of the Texas Government Code.

The Texas Constitution prohibits a city from implementing an ordinance which violates an existing state law. Therefore, Prop B was ruled unconstitutional by the court.

The Houston Professional Fire Fighters have filed an appeal, so the issue is not yet finally settled.

However, it may HOUSTON CITY COUNCIL be years before the appeals AT-LARGE POS. #1 process runs its course. In the meantime, the current ruling prevails.

Today, the 66 Fire Cadets who have been in limbo were sworn in and are now full-fledged Fire Fighters. The lay off notices for the 220 Fire

KNOX

MIKE

RE-ELECT

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“Election info published by Aubrey R. Taylor Communications. All Rights Reserved.”

Fighters, and the 47 civilian employees have been rescinded. There will be no layoffs.

There will be no raises for Fire Fighters until they reach a collectively bargained agreement with Mayor Turner.

The City of Houston will still have to balance a 117 million dollar deficit.

For those who are interested, I voted to place Proposition B onto the ballot last November. I voted against spending tax dollars to join the HPOU lawsuit challenging Proposition B, and I voted against laying off city employees.

“The Honorable Jacquie Baly.”

Jacquie Baly, President of BalyProjects, has been a leader in the Houston region’s business and policy communities for more than two decades.

Jacquie founded BalyProjects with the objective of providing public affairs and media relations services to clients. She began her career as a city and regional planner for numerous entities then served as Governor Rick Perry’s appointee on water and wastewater issues. Soon after she was elected as Mayor Pro Tem and Councilmember At Large for the City of Sugar Land and most recently became an advisor and appointee of Governor Greg Abbott’s on higher education initiatives. If Jacquie looks familiar, that is because she can be seen and heard as a political analyst for various television and radio stations including FOX 26, KTRH and KSEV. Jacquie has won numerous awards including Woman of Excellence by the National Association of Women Business Owners, KTRK-13 Woman of Distinction, University of Houston Alumni Association’s “Rising Star for Achievement” award, and Black Alumnus of the Year award, Outstanding Young American by the United States Junior Chamber of Commerce, Houston Woman Magazine’s Most Influential Woman, Texas Executive Women’s “Woman on the Move” and Fort Bend Entrepreneur of the Year.

A native of St. Croix, U.S. Virgin Islands, Jacquie holds a bachelor’s degree in Political Science and a master’s degree in City Planning. She has been an Adjunct Professor at the University of Houston for over a decade and served as a FacultyIn-Residence at the University of Texas in Austin.

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“Election info published by Aubrey R. Taylor Communications. All Rights Reserved.”

Mike Knox

“I’m encouraging you to cast your ballot for Council Member Mike Knox on Tuesday, November 5, 2019.”

- Jacquie Baly, Political Analyst

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Can Mayor Turner Win Re-Election?

— Analysis By Aubrey R. Taylor, Publisher HBC Newspaper

“The answer to the question of whether Mayor Sylvester Turner can win his bid for re-election depends on who you ask. If you ask Mayor Sylvester Turner, you’re likely to get an “ALL-IS-WELL” affirmation. However, the numbers on the next few pages paint a much different picture.”

REPORT

There were 1,082,506 voters eligible to cast a ballot “for” or “against” Prop B. In case you don’t know, 291,964 Houstonians cast their ballot “for” and 200,903 Houstonians cast their ballot “against” Prop B.”

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Can Mayor Turner Win Re-Election?

— By Aubrey R. Taylor, Publisher HBC Newspaper

Whether Mayor Sylvester Turner can win his re-election bid in 2019 will depend on whether he can first make the runoff. And believe me when I tell you that there’s definitely going to be a December runoff.

Once in the runoff, Mayor Sylvester Turner’s path to victory will then become much more difficult — in my opinion. His numbers could decrease dramatically — especially if the candidate running against him in the December 2019 runoff can gain the support of the other candidates from the Tuesday, November 5, 2019, General Election. So, to substantiate my opinion, I’m providing you with a glimpse into a few of the return numbers I’ve been studying from the Tuesday, November 6, 2018, Special Election, and Mayor Sylvester Turner’s, December 12, 2015 “RUNOFF ELECTION” numbers when he barely beat Bill King to win the right to serve his first term as mayor of Houston.

As you study the numbers provided in this report, you must keep in mind the runoff election will take place in December when many voters are thinking about the holidays and what Christmas gifts they want to give and receive.

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PRECINCT NUMBER

REGISTERED 2018 VOTERS

“FOR” PROP B

2015 BILL KING

0001 0027 0030 0032 0033 0034 0039 0053 0055 0057 0058 0060 0070 0071 0086 0120 0129 0139 0140 0199 0200 0204 0206 0223 0233 0234 0256 0258 0262 0270 0286 0309 0312 0332 0340 0350 0356

3,001 3,411 3,274 3,294 4,228 3,289 3,410 3,323 2,812 3,528 3,419 3,017 4,125 5,798 3,993 4,206 5,453 3,915 3,418 3,500 3,954 3,661 3,229 4,014 5,277 4,205 3,429 3,324 4,548 4,019 3,879 3,645 3,810 3,276 3,473 3,391 3,276

1,003 1,106 1,041 1,075 1,345 1,049 1,172 1,078 1,080 1,139 1,195 1,062 1,160 2,036 1,414 1,279 1,648 1,241 1,034 1,127 1,228 1,245 1,027 1,242 1,794 1,084 1,045 1,038 1,237 1,231 1,090 1,184 1,040 1,094 1,162 1,093 1,073

236 215 117 154 260 245 271 375 119 482 327 203 790 396 307 649 1,079 445 120 825 585 691 194 115 541 1,450 394 1,027 655 688 141 846 542 12 678 258 577

2015 TURNER

327 364 287 186 488 486 528 408 146 514 292 484 313 319 249 169 338 325 753 105 429 327 298 311 360 190 241 177 198 389 1,199 118 137 6 164 321 165

* The numbers above are from the December 12, 2015 City of Houston “Runoff Election,” and the November 6, 2018 Election.

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PRECINCT NUMBER

0357 0360 0380 0407 0416 0435 0436 0438 0439 0444 0448 0459 0461 0483 0505 0508 0510 0536 0541 0559 0564 0568 0569 0612 0626 0635 0645 0649 0670 0711 0718 0722 0755 0758 0765 0964

REGISTERED 2018 VOTERS

3,848 3,690 4,995 4,078 3,487 3,444 4,099 3,734 3,861 3,759 3,202 4,001 4,354 4,781 4,236 4,959 3,969 6,054 5,222 5,242 3,479 3,627 4,621 3,507 4,886 3,606 5,007 4,886 3,325 4,248 4,642 4,753 5,694 4,168 5,912 3,609

“FOR” PROP B

2015 BILL KING

2015 TURNER

1,279 1,177 1,696 1,259 1,115 1,079 1,282 1,165 1,080 1,191 1,058 1,334 1,218 1,470 1,319 1,236 1,275 1,771 1,498 1,273 1,111 1,148 1,387 1,156 1,342 1,121 1,583 1,259 1,101 1,303 1,450 1,226 1,528 1,443 1,381 1,282

654 341 664 834 282 777 534 653 934 579 604 818 1,094 676 430 275 476 307 137 189 117 761 519 833 438 546 470 242 811 579 976 86 251 935 295 252

144 226 439 222 157 206 178 113 161 220 333 123 299 242 355 209 223 300 582 267 328 215 207 153 156 144 209 317 120 191 245 805 194 140 275 188

* The numbers above are from the December 12, 2015 City of Houston “Runoff Election,” and the November 6, 2018 Election.

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Sue Lovell is running for Mayor of Houston, Texas on Tuesday, November 5, 2019.

Kendall Baker is running for Mayor of Houston, Texas on Tuesday, November 5, 2019.

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“Early voting will begin on October 21st and end on Friday, November 1, 2019.”

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Victoria Romero is running for Mayor of Houston, Texas on Tuesday, November 5, 2019.

Johnny “J.T.” Taylor is running for Mayor of Houston, Texas on Tuesday, November 5, 2019.

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Demetria Smith is running for Mayor of Houston, Texas on Tuesday, November 5, 2019.

Derrick Broze is running for Mayor of Houston, Texas on Tuesday, November 5, 2019.

HOUSTON - 2019

“Election info published by Aubrey R. Taylor Communications. All Rights Reserved.”

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Tony Buzbee is running for Mayor of Houston, Texas on Tuesday, November 5, 2019.

Mayor Sylvester Turner will be running for re-election on Tuesday, November 5, 2019.

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“Election info published by Aubrey R. Taylor Communications. All Rights Reserved.”