TRADING MAGAZINE
GUÍA TRADERS A B R I L
NUM.2-2022
NIO
WHAT’S GOING ON WITH THE TESLA SPLIT?
ALIBABA GROUP HOLDINGS LTD
Claudia
Blanco
WOMEN: THE NEW PILLAR OF THE GLOBAL ECONOMY
Sr. Analyst Erlher Martinez erlhermartinez@guiatraders. org Analyst at guiatraders.org. I have an International Business degree from the University of the Incarnate Word campus Bajío. I currently write for the Westmoney app.
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Sr. Analyst rmiguelperaza@guiatraders.org Founder of Guía Traders Ph.D in Managenent and Finances Full-time professional trader for 6 years with a proven track record, high level technical and fundamental analysis and statistics. I have developed hundreds of stock analyses on Fiverr and I am a writer for Westmoney and getquin.
VISION To be an internationally recognized global investment consulting firm, through highlevel analysts, by applying the highest professional standards. Jr. Analyst Iván Vizcarra ivanvizcarra@guiatraders.org Jr. Analyst at guiatraders.org. I currently write for the Westmoney app and getquin app.
Jr. Analyst Angel Vallejo Lozano angelvallejo@guiatrade rs.org Writer at guiatraders.org. I currently write for the Westmoney app and getquin app.
Collaborator Bernardo González Collaborator at guiatraders.org Professional with 18 years of track record in different industries, experience at international and national firms with Chief Officer positions in financials and commercial Areas. Specialized in Sales, Negotiation, Leadership and an interpersonal relationship master, my best aptitudes are; team work coordination, customer service, high complexity deal maker, adaptability and learning capacity, I am always looking to bring innovating solutions to my customers, Friends and investors
writers. Hello! I’m Georgina Álvarez, everyone calls me Georgie. I am 22 years old and I am currently studying finance. I strongly believe that our opinions shape the way we perceived the world. Definitely, being able go make a critical analysis is key. Welcome to our site! Together we will learn more!
Writers Claudia Blanco Collaborator at guiatraders.org. I have a public accountant degree from the University of Guanajuato. I currently write for the Westmoney app.
Graphic designer & Editorial design. Cristal Vallejo.
NTENT
" W O M E N : T H E N E W P I L L A R O F T H E G L O B A L E C O N O M Y "
CLAUDIA BLANCO ERLHER MARTINEZ
WHAT’S GOING ON WITH THE TESLA SPLIT?
MIGUEL PERAZA
ALIBABA GROUP HOLDINGS LTD
C
Erlher Martinez
IVAN VIZACARRA WILL THE CONTINUOUS RISE IN OIL PRICES
Will the continuous rise in oil prices give new market FOR GIVE NEW MARKET OPPORTUNITIES ENERGYvehicles? VEHICLES? opportunities for newNEW energy IVAN VIZCARRA
BIG INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENT IS HOT, WHERE IS THE DIRECTION THIS YEAR? BY GEORGIE
¿Como invertir de forma exitosa?
BERNARDO GONZÁLEZ
DAVID VALLEJO Erlher Martinez
NIO
BE PART OF THE FREE
CLAUDIA BLANCO
" W O M E N : T H E N E W P I L L A R T H E G L O B A L E C O N O M Y "
GUIA TRADERS
O F
www.guiatraders.org |6
CLAUDIA BLANCO When was the first time you got involved in the subject of finances? My name is Claudia Blanco Hernández, I was born in Mexico, I’m 26 years old and I studied Public Accounting at the University of Guanajuato. Remembering, I think that the first time, I heard about finances was one day when I was eating at home, my brother decided to study Financial Administration and he always talked to me about technical concepts of finance and investment, he could take hours explaining to me but the truth is that he didn’t pay the enough attention, I thought that would never be for me. When I decided to study Accounting, I realized that it had been very useful and I remember having asked him to borrow a book on Finance for beginners. Later I was part of a student group called "IMEFU", which is the Mexican Institute of Finance for University Students and that's when I got more involved because thanks to this group I was part of conferences related to finance and investments. Some time after I finished university I was invited to be part of GuiaTraders where I did technical analysis on stocks.
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How have finances improved your professional development? I studied Accounting, since I was halfway through my degree I started working in an accounting office that provided taxaccounting advice, I had a minimum income since I carried out my activities as an intern and even so, thanks to my good savings habit, I can always aspire to most of the things I wanted. Then I worked in an Audit firm for a year and in the same way I managed to save more than 50% of my income. Currently I do technical analysis for GuiaTraders. I think it is vitally important that we all have knowledge at least about personal finance.
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CLAUDIA BLANCO
Why should finance be given importance? When we talk about finances, we refer to our personal finances, such as the income we receive, savings, investments, retirement savings, not debts, and thus improve the economy at home. Referring to national and global finances, I believe that in order to have a better economy in the country we must begin by analyzing ourselves, realizing how we are financially and how we can improve. With the current conditions in the labor markets, where women have already obtained a more remarkable participation in society, sharing financial knowledge will be the next step in global economic growth. As a first stage, personal finances should be analyzed. It is recommended to use the 50/30/20 rule, this means:
● 50% of income is used to cover basic needs, such as food, housing, services, etc. ● 30% for personal expenses ● 20% savings When we have a sufficient amount in the savings category, we can begin to invest in stocks where we can generate a greater profit. If these steps are mastered, you can aspire to a stable economy, without debt problems and a calm and happy life. GUIA TRADERS
Why is it good to invest? The value of money remains: We know that saving is always the first step, but we must jump to investment, since the first one does not provide you with returns and in the long run your money has less value due to the inflation that exists in the countries. You invest according to your possibilities and risk that you are willing to acquire. There is the “conservative, moderate and risky” investor according to his profile.
● Conservative investors are those who do not want to take any chances.
●
Moderate investors are those who seek returns, with minimal risk.
●
Risk takers take more risk but have larger returns. Financial Freedom: Because you can increase your income in less time, it is possible to reach your goals and objectives faster, but remember that there is always the price of risk. Different investments within your reach and access to different markets.
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What role do women play in finance and
Do
investment?
professional to invest?
For
all
finances
they
start
from
you
need
the
support
of
a
the
Support from a professional is always
administration of personal income, expenses
needed either because you want to learn
and savings, for many women also in addition to personal finances, there is talk of the correct administration of household
to invest on your own or if you just want to hire the services of a professional and
expenses.
avoid all the work.
Currently the Mexican population has not
For the latter, there is the possibility
developed the culture of having a financial
that they do all the work for you or there
plan or investing, however focusing on
are professionals who can carry out the
developing this quality in women could have a great impact on the national economy. Mainly due to their increased participation as active entities in society, most women work
entire study of the value you want to acquire and you make the purchase of it.
and are sometimes even the breadwinners of
In the current scenario of the business
the household.
woman, having support for the analysis of her projects in the short, medium or
They have businesses, they go into politics,
long term, allows her to access a little
they create jobs and they provide them too.
more
Financial education should be for everyone, but women should not be made less of (as is often the case) in order to generate a far-
of
developing
her
time
and
to
economically
continue without
neglecting her assets.
reaching impact.
GUIA TRADERS
www.guiatraders.org | 9
CLAUDIA BLANCO What is GuiaTraders? And what is your experience working for them? We are a team of professional Traders who will help you trade successfully and profitably in any market condition and grow your portfolio. We analyze the stock market and its related fields with factors such as technical indicators, financial data and market conditions to provide you with the most accurate information. Working with GuiaTraders has been my first direct experience performing technical analysis and every time I do it I realize how important it is to approach a professional so that they can advise you and make the best decision before investing your money. Most beginning investors usually tend to make hasty decisions without a background to support them. Frequently, this profile of investors will find themselves in situations of loss and will require a period longer than initially contemplated to recover their capital and, if the market allows it, to withdraw with a profit that is not very conspicuous. Having the fundamental and technical knowledge to support an investment possibility is an essential requirement prior to any economic activity, not only in those investments related to the stock market. Familiarizing my self with these analysis procedures has allowed me to understand not only the business and financial world better, it has also helped me develop my investment processes and increase my profits. At GuiaTraders we always try to provide a service with the highest efficiency and quality. We work hard in an environment that promotes the values of inclusion and respect for female development as a strong pillar of the economy of Mexico and the world.
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WILL THE CONTINUOUS RISE IN OIL PRICES GIV NEW MARKET OPPORTUNITIES FOR NEW ENERG VEHICLES? Jr. Analyst Iván Vizcarra ivanvizcarra@guiatraders.org
Of course, it will, with oil prices high people will start to question whether it is worth continuing to consume gasoline or better to opt for an electric vehicle (EV) which in turn would cause a demand on the industry which would force EV companies to invest more in EV research. But although it seems very logical the direct super benefit to EVs is not that simple, the world is currently very accustomed to the consumption of fossil fuels that it will take so many years to have the ability to change cars with combustion engines by electric motors, there are currently cities in which it is becoming mandatory to install a charging center capable of supporting the power of an EV in new homes (newly built) and is also in research and prototypes of smart cities which are designed in a world where everything works with renewable energy or mostly. In March 2022, looks like is not so late to start investing in EV companies, it is a sector in which there is much to grow and expand, it would not be a bad idea to consider having a small part of a well-diversified portfolio since we must also not forget the risks of each sector and select solid companies with good ideas and above all in good financial shape. But rising oil prices are not good for the economy, it could look like everything is going to improve and we will develop new technologies and better vehicles however a sharp rise in oil prices will contribute to higher inflation.
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IVÁN VIZCARRA
W W W . G U I A T R A D E R S . O R G
This is because transportation costs will rise, leading to higher prices for many goods. This will be cost-driven inflation, which is very different from inflation caused by increased aggregate demand/excessive growth.
From a personal point of view, taking into account what the future seems to point to in terms of the type of vehicle we drive, the price of oil will continue to rise in the near future but in the medium term the price could stagnate and long term the price could even decrease at some point in the future.
GUIA TRADERS
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To make it easy to do business anywhere. Alibaba Group Holdings Ltd. provides the technology infrastructure and marketing reach to help merchants, brands, retailers, and other businesses to leverage the power of new technology to engage with their users and customers and operate in a more efficient way. BABA is it a good pick? The annual active consumers (“AACs”) of the Alibaba Ecosystem across the world reached approximately 1.24 billion. This quarter, Alibaba continued to firmly invest in its three strategic pillars of domestic consumption, globalization, and cloud computing to establish solid foundations for its long-term goal of sustainable growth in the future. GUIA TRADERS
Alibaba's revenue (Revenue was RMB200,690 million (US$31,147 million), an increase of 29% year-over-year. Excluding the consolidation of Sun Art, its revenue would have grown 16% year-over-year to RMB180,438 million (US$28,004 million). Aggregate revenue of its international commerce retail and international commerce wholesale was RMB15,092 million (US$2,342 million), an increase of 34% year-over-year. Its cloud computing revenue was RMB20,007 million (US$3,105 million), an increase of 33% year-over-year.
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Technical analysis From September 02, 2021 to October 05, 2021, the share price suffered a -22% decline along with the international stock market due to the Evergrande crisis. Then from October 05, 2021 to October 22, 2021, the downward trend stopped after the United States and China agreed to hold a virtual summit and the share price rose 32% to $182.09, but from October 22, 2021 to November 05, 2021, the share price fell -13% due to the rise of Covid cases, the stalling of Ant Group's IPO and, the slippage of the Asian market. After these events, from November 5, 2021 to November 17, 2021, the share price rose 8% due to good economic data reported by the Chinese government. However, from November 17, 2021, to December 3, 2021, the share price plunged 36% after the company reported worse-than-expected second-quarter earnings per share and sales results, Covid's omicron variant and the fall in Asian technology stocks. Recently, from December 3, 2021 to December 5, 2021, the share price rallied 20% as China's factory inflation slowed, but this week the price took a -6% dip due to U.S. sanctions.
After these events, from November 5, 2021 to November 17, 2021, the share price rose 8% due to good economic data reported by the Chinese government. However, from November 17, 2021, to December 3, 2021, the share price plunged 36% after the company reported worse-thanexpected second-quarter earnings per share and sales results, Covid's omicron variant and the fall in Asian technology stocks. Recently, from December 3, 2021 to December 5, 2021, the share price rallied 20% as China's factory inflation slowed, but this week the price took a -6% dip due to U.S. sanctions. Based on current technical indicators, the share price could drop -11% to test the $108.70 level (25-week low) and then possibly recover up to 20% or even more if the global economic and health scenario has a positive change, as the current price does not match the company's fundamentals.
From September 02, 2021 to October 05, 2021, the share price suffered a -22% decline along with the international stock market due to the Evergrande crisis. Then from October 05, 2021 to October 22, 2021, the downward trend stopped after the United States and China agreed to hold a virtual summit and the share price rose 32% to $182.09, but from October 22, 2021 to November 05, 2021, the share price fell -13% due to the rise of Covid cases, the stalling of Ant Group's IPO and, the slippage of the Asian market. GUIA TRADERS
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GBM
¡Te regalamos una acción! Con GBMHOMEBROKER Con el Código BH6501
Descarga la app, abre una cuenta en Trading y deposita al menos $100.00 pesos, En la opción de perfil ir a la opción "Recompensas" y después en "Obtener tu primera acción" capturar el código BH6501, Recibirás una accion con valor de $200.00 M.N a $350.00 M.N
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Company Overview.
BY
ANGEL VALLEJO
Aptorum Group Limited (Nasdaq: APM) is a biopharmaceutical company dedicated to developing and commercializing novel therapeutics to tackle unmet medical needs. Aptorum Group is pursuing therapeutic projects in neurology, infectious diseases, gastroenterology, oncology and other disease areas. Its principal office in Asia provides easy access to prosperous medical research resources and some of the world’s most talented specialists and clinicians. We have established strong relationships and collaborations with leading academic institutions to propel therapeutic innovations. To date, Aptorum has obtained 11 exclusively licensed technologies in the areas of neurology, infectious diseases, gastroenterology, oncology, surgical robotics and natural health. Is APM a good pick? APM in the last 5 years has been improving its financial health, in 2020 they had profits over 100% compared to 2019. The company is based in Europe but China is its best customer where in the coming years it seeks to position itself strongly, hand in hand with its pharmaceutical projects such as the new drug that seeks to eradicate neuroblastoma that was recently approved by the FDA. The company has not yet released its annual report for 2021 but it is expected to increase its profits by more than 20%. GUIA TRADERS
www.guiatraders.org | 18
ANGEL VALLEJO
Technical Analysis. From July 2021 the stock has been in a downtrend, during the last 25 weeks the price has oscillated between $2.87 and $1.17, whereas January 19 took the 25 week low over $1.17, At the present time, the price is $1.48 The price of the stock in the last month had a loss of 40%, then revalued by 46% in a sudden rise on January 20, we see that the price touched SMA50, and it could not break it and stopped its rise. Looking at our indicators we obtain that the RSI has remained in the last two months in an oversold zone, MACD has also been below its signal and after the sudden rise of last week it took strength to cross its signal What happened last January 20? The FDA cleared a new drug for APM, which seeks to eradicate neuroblastoma. Following the news the stock had a strong 46% revaluation, the company indicated that it will now move into the testing phase and is looking to bring out this new product in 2023.
Considering all that is mentioned, it is probable that the price will go up at least 36% until the first Fibonacci resistor, which is at $1.66.
GUIA TRADERS
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S R E D A R T A I GU
AZINE G A M ING TRAD
T R A D I N G
G U Í A
M A G A Z I N E
T R A D E R S
BIG INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENT IS HOT, WHERE IS THE DIRECTION THIS YEAR? Guía traders.org @guia_traders
BY GEORGIE Infrastructure investments have always been one of the
Infrastructure investment in China will remain key for the
most important drivers of China's economy. Governments
economic growth of China. At the Central Economic Work
are aware that when facing a slow economy, infrastructure development can continue to grow, increasing spending and reducing government debt. Projects that involve sustainability, digitalization, transport, public sanitation and affordable housing are considered nowadays as a priority. Infrastructure spending has had a rise over the past three decades in China. Starting from miles of railway
Conference, China's government
said that it will
“appropriately front-load infrastructure investment” for 2022. There will be a new monetary policy for the next few years. Sustainable fiscal incentives and support maintain a great level of liquidity without flooding the market. Trends for infrastructure investment food the next
tracks to huge skyscrapers, providing jobs and improving
years are: innovative infrastructure: Technology that
the quality of life of the population.
increases productivity, speed, accuracy and internet of
Beijing is one of the most remarkable examples of China.
things.
Investors lean heavily on local governments to invest in
transformation of traditional industries and construction of
infrastructure. Even though the economy slowed
city - high - speed rail systems and charging stations for
throughout the pandemic, at the end of the fourth quarter
electric vehicles will be important. Furthermore, improving
of 2021, Beijing is once again turning to infrastructure
digitalization of agriculture and building welfare-oriented
spending to stimulate the economy at the beginning of this year. China's latest infrastructure fiscal policies promote spending. In 2021, fixed assets investment grew
Also,
integrated
infrastructure
such
infrastructure will be one of the most important construction trends.
by 4.9% compared to 2.9% growth from 2020. However, there was a slower growth compared to 2019 (5.1%). GUIA TRADERS
as
www.guiatraders.org | 21
T R A D I N G
G U Í A
M A G A Z I N E
T R A D E R S
(China infrastructure growth, National Bureau of Statistics) China has the objective that by 2025 transport infrastructure will include: Expanding the railway operating mileage by 19,000 km of which 12,000 km will be high speed rails. Also, build at least 25 airports and expand public roads by 302,000 kilometers of which 29,000 kilometers will be expressways. Definitely, China will continue to grow its different infrastructure investment options throughout the years.
GUIA TRADERS
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ND
¡C
W S! O N N
K IO T
A MO K LIC R O
R U O
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GUÍA TRADERS W W W . G U I A T R A D E R S . O R G
WHAT’S GOING ON WITH THE TESLA SPLIT?
By ERLHER MARTINEZ
On Mar 28th, 2022, Tesla’s stocks went up after the
In this case, if there is a 5 for 1 split, as they did
announcement of plans to increase the number of
before, the investors would receive five new
their authorized shares of common stock. If the
common shares in substitution of one they had
company gets the permission to do it, they could
with the old value. Also, investors would get a
make a stock split and this would allow them to pay dividends to their shareholders. Right now it’s just a plan and only after the shareholder’s approval, this will be executed. Tesla’s last split happened in Aug, 2020. Earlier that
stock dividend of five shares per every single share of Tesla they possess before the split.
The potential and the impact that this strategy can generate to the company applying it it's
month the company made the announcement of the 5
unknown. But the news is already increasing
for 1 stock split and during the time lapse between
Tesla’s value and it might be possible that we
this event and the effective split by the end of the
are about to witness once again a strong and
month, the shares gained 80%.
fast increase in their shares the moment the
A stock split is done to generate easier access to the
split happens, just like in Aug, 2020.
high-valued stocks of the company. The split doesn’t change the value of shares, these ones are only divided into smaller parts. The shares that the investors already have will increase in number, but the value will remain the same.
This is not very usual, and it is considered as a very rare event. Tesla’s shares were up more than 10% at about $1,146.44 by Apr 4th, 2022. Right now, since May 28th, 2022, the day of the announcement, it is up by 4.04% trading at $1,039.63.
GUIA TRADERS
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ERLHER MARTINEZ
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Summary:
By ERLHER MARTINEZ
Tesla is in the process of a second stock split. The first one was around Aug, 2020. The last split generated an increase at the stock value around 80%. Investors are strongly speculating about such a strong increase repeating once again if the plan gets approved during this month. Right now, since May 28th, 2022, the day of the announcement, the shares are up by 4.04% trading at $1,039.63.
GUIA TRADERS
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¿Como invertir de forma exitosa? BY En el pasado, era importante contar con acceso a la BERNARDO GONZÁLEZ información para tomar decisiones de inversión, esto implicaba; moverte en esferas sociales que comentaran esta información, tener una red de investigadores o personas con conocimiento del mercado que estuvieran en constante comunicación para tomar decisiones.
El punto clave está en escoger los temas o industrias que tu veas que están teniendo un crecimiento y sobre todo mayor adopción entre la población mundial actual, para sentar un precedente, te muestro algunos datos importantes:
Hoy en día, la información está disponible para todos, las tendencias de consumo, gasto, inversión se encuentran publicadas en internet y es mucho más fácil hacer la tarea.
Robots
Hay algunas tendencias o “Temas” que muestran un claro crecimiento en los últimos años y que proyectan aún más crecimiento en los años por venir, dichas tendencias se pueden clasificar por industrias y sectores de diferentes formas como: Tecnología, Materias primas, demográficos, costumbres de consumo, medicina, infraestructura, etc. GUIA TRADERS
Numero de dispositivos conectados a la red 2020: 30 Millones. Expectativa 2030:500 Millones 15X crecimiento esperado
2019: 2 Millones, Expectativa 2030: Millones 10X crecimiento esperado
20
Energías Limpias 2020: 9%. Expectativa 2030: 25% Autos eléctricos Menos del 1% actual, expectativa 50% 2030 Hay muchos ejemplos de empresas e industrias que han pagado rendimientos extraordinarios en los últimos años por tener propuestas o soluciones “disruptivas”, tal es el caso de: www.guiatraders.org | 27
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Y son ejemplos de empresas que comparten características muy fáciles de detectar como: 1.- Son líderes en su industria 2.- Invierten fuertemente en investigación y desarrollo 3.- Tienen un enfoque tecnológico 4.- Compiten en la carrera por “Adquirir más usuarios”
No hay una fórmula mágica para invertir en los mercados, pero actualmente es mucho más sencillo escoger opciones que hagan sentido por el acceso que se tiene a la información. Hay muchas tendencias, temas o industrias que están ganando relevancia y una forma fácil de ganar dinero aparte del trading y obtener un buen resultado es, seleccionar 3 o 4 industrias que te gusten, con las que compartas valores, en las que te sientas orgulloso de participar, después escoges empresas en particular o ETF´s que tengan toda la industria dentro, destinas una parte de tu capital a largo plazo y solo “Espera que las cosas sucedan”, también puedes programar compras regulares e incrementar tu participación en el tema que más te convenga. GUIA TRADERS
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Muchos de nosotros conocemos a estas grandes marcas, las hemos consumido e incluso hemos pagado para disfrutar de sus servicios, y seguramente en algún momento nos hemos preguntado: ¿qué hacen esas compañías para ser exitosas? o incluso, ¿cómo puedo ser parte de su éxito? La respuesta es muy sencilla: invierte en ellas. ¿Cómo puedes hacerlo? Primero debes elegir el mercado en el que deseas invertir: Bolsa Mexicana de Valores (BMV) o el Sistema Internacional de Cotizaciones (SIC), mismo que te ayudará a diversificar tu portafolio de inversión. ¿En qué empresas puedo invertir? Sistema Internacional de Cotizaciones Bolsa de valores: · · · · · · · · · ·
ALSEA* AMERICA MOVIL (AMXL) BIMBO (BIMBOA) CEMEX (CEMEXCPO) FEMSA (FEMSAUBD) GRUPO AEROPORTUARIO DEL PACIFICO (GAPB) GRUPO CARSO (GCARSOA) GRUPO MEXICO (GMEXICOB) LALA (LALAB) WALMART MEXICO (WALMEX)
.
AMAZON (AMZN)
·
NETFLIX (NFLX)
·
GOOGLE (GOOGL)
·
MICROSOFT (MSFT)
·
FACEBOOK (FB)
·
STARBUCKS (SBUX)
·
TWITTER (TWTR)
·
APPLE (AAPL)
·
DISNEY (DIS)
· McDONALDS (MCD) Quiero comenzar a invertir ahora Si quieres poner a trabajar tu dinero o diversificar tu portafolio, contacta a uno de nuestros Asesor expertos, con su ayuda podrás detectar los mejores títulos dependiendo tu perfil de inversionista y objetivos. ¿Lo vas a seguir pensando?
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Crude oil hits new highs. Is the Commodity market here? BY First, let's talk about why commodities rise in price when the world market is in recession (downtrend). Commodities in a well-diversified portfolio have a role of protection against a possible crisis, this is mainly because people tend to exchange their money for precious metals when currency and stocks start to lose value, protecting themselves from price inflation. Oil prices hit record highs on Tuesday, March 8, 2022, after President Joe Biden announced that Russian fossil imports would be banned, including crude oil, in response to the situation between Russia and Ukraine. Oil soared as much as 7% to trade above $128 per barrel. It ended the day up 3.6% to 123.70 dollars. Brent crude, the international benchmark, rose 7.7% to 132.75 dollars, before trading below the highs.
It is because of these many other issues that we wonder if it is time to start thinking about the commodities market.
GUIA TRADERS
IVAN VIZCARRA
Since 2020 when Covid-19 appeared around the world there has been a lot of uncertainty regarding the global economy, this is no secret but it is in these moments when money moves from one place to another, that is, people who innovate and accept change are the people who benefit from the crises, of course, there is the example of companies such as Microsoft, Zoom, Google, Mercado Libre, Amazon, etc.. which benefited from the pandemic but others saw their last days in the market or in other scenarios had a hard time because they were not ready for this kind of scenarios, so they were greatly affected. Now it is difficult to know if the commodity market is here, but it is very important to consider all scenarios and be prepared, so my personal point of view is that we do not have all the indicators to say that the commodity market is here, but it seems that the readjustment in market prices is getting closer, even there are already world-known investors taking shares in their portfolios defensively and it would not be a bad idea to diversify the portfolio with commodities and shares which protect us from bearish markets. www.guiatraders.org | 30
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BY GEORGIE Chinese medicine has changed throughout the years. Traditional Chinese Medicine was based on a vital force of life called “Qi”. Chinese ancestors believed that an imbalance in Qi could cause illness and disease. Also, they believed that humans were only microcosms of the surrounding universe, connected with nature. However, the pharmaceutical industry in China has been changing and growing in recent years. Even though natural medicine has always been present in the country, China started to invest in the prescription medicine uptake. According to Daxue Consulting, China's pharmaceutical industry is estimated to reach $161 B Yuan by 2023, taking over 30% of the global market. GUIA TRADERS
Low purchasing power and manufacturing costs of generic drugs (accounting for $85 B Yuan), are part of the whole pharmaceutical market ($219 B Yuan). Over the Counter medicines represent 13.6% of the market, supported by self medication and “open channels”. However, patented medicines contribute only to 22.9% of the whole pharmaceutical sales of the country. Even though China has become the second largest pharmaceutical market worldwide, it is expected to decline through 2023. One of the main reasons why China has been able to expand this industry is due to the fact that central government reforms and insurance access to rural and urban residents expand and modernize the health system. www.guiatraders.org | 31
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China´s Pharmaceutical industry Products, % of total industry revenue.
(Pharmaceutical Industry in China, Daxue Consulting) Acceleration of treatment concepts, new drug access, improvement of medical service quality and the dynamic adjustment of medical insurance access. Generic medication will keep rising in China´s laboratories, including anti-infective drugs, cardiovascular system drugs, anti tumor and cancer drugs and drugs for the digestive system. The expansion of generic drugs will reduce pharmaceutical expenditure and total drug sales. Furthermore, China has seen significant investment by foreign drug makers in the country´s generic medicine industry and partnerships with local companies and laboratories. Since profit is high and China has access to high level technology, the country has caught the attention of several pharmaceuticals.
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Company Overview
NIO
ANGEL VALLEJO
NIO Inc. is a pioneer in China’s premium electric vehicle
One of the main objectives for the company is
market. They design, jointly manufacture, and sell smart and
to be positioned in the top 6 of the automotive
connected premium electric vehicles, driving innovations in next-generation technologies in connectivity, autonomous driving, and artificial intelligence. Redefining user experience, they provide users with comprehensive, convenient, and innovative charging solutions and other user-centric service offerings. NIO’s Chinese name, Weilai, which means Blue Sky Coming, reflects his vision and commitment to a more environmentally friendly future. Is NIO a good pick?
companies
with
the
highest
sales
in
European continent, we will see if it achieves it. On the other hand last November, Nio shares received a target price of $87 by Citi, and in the second
week
of
December
Goldman
Sachs
analyst Fei fang, indicates a target price for the stock of $56, which implies a revaluation of almost 85%, currently the price is at $30.34.
In the current year, the company is doing a very good job of selling its cars, if we compare the average sales with 2020, it is fantastic to find that NIO has doubled its average sales just in one year with 24, 439 in the third quarter of this year, but it is not a normal year, as everyone knows. GUIA TRADERS
the
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Technical Analysis. Since last July the stock has started a downtrend, currently, the RSI is in an oversold zone and buyers are starting to accumulate positions, the indicator is sideways since the first week of December where it stopped its fall. The MACD is a little below its signal with a great potential to cross to the upside but a strong bullish move is needed, the current price at $30.34 is important to mention that, it is strong support, breaking it will mean an important loss and the price could get until $23 On December 18, NIO day will take place. With some good news, it could help the stock to reverse and change its trend, but all this is just speculation. But the reality tells us another story, data on the chart gave us a negative perspective, and it is possible a fall of 8% in the next two weeks.
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