WORLD ENERGY [R]EVOLUTION A SUSTAINABLE WORLD ENERGY OUTLOOK
eastern europe/eurasia GLOBAL SCENARIO
MIDDLE EAST EASTERN EUROPE/EURASIA INDIA
OECD NORTH AMERICA LATIN AMERICA OECD EUROPE AFRICA
eastern europe/eurasia: future employment in the energy sector
figure 5.92: eastern europe/eurasia: employment in the energy scenario under the reference and energy [r]evolution scenarios
The Energy [R]evolution scenario results in more energy sector jobs in Eastern Europe/Eurasia at every stage of the projection.
2.5
key results |
• There are 2 million energy sector jobs in the Energy [R]evolution scenario in 2015, and 1.6 million in the Reference scenario. 2.0
EASTERN EUROPE/EURASIA - EMPLOYMENT
• In 2020, there are 2 million jobs in the Energy [R]evolution scenario, and 1.5 million in the Reference scenario. • In 2030, there are 1.6 million jobs in the Energy [R]evolution scenario and 1.4 million in the Reference scenario. Figure 5.92 shows the change in job numbers under both scenarios for each technology between 2010 and 2030. Jobs in the Reference scenario reduce gradually over the period, leading to an overall decline of 17% by 2030.
Direct jobs - millions
5
NON OECD ASIA CHINA OECD ASIA OCEANIA
1.5
1.0
0.5
Exceptionally strong growth in renewable energy leads to an increase of 16% in total energy sector jobs in the Energy [R]evolution scenario by 2015. Jobs continue to grow until 2020. By 2030, jobs fall below 2010 levels, but are 0.2 million more than in the Reference scenario. Renewable energy accounts for 64% of energy jobs by 2030, with biomass having the greatest share (24%).
0 2010
2015
2020
2030
REFERENCE
•• •• ••
2015
2020
2030
ENERGY [R]EVOLUTION
GEOTHERMAL & HEAT PUMP SOLAR HEAT OCEAN ENERGY SOLAR THERMAL POWER GEOTHERMAL POWER PV
•• •• ••
WIND HYDRO BIOMASS NUCLEAR GAS, OIL & DIESEL COAL
table 5.40: eastern europe/eurasia: total employment in the energy sector THOUSAND JOBS
2010
2015
2020
REFERENCE 2030
2015
Coal Gas, oil & diesel Nuclear Renewable Total Jobs
745 692 75 176 1,688
637 727 69 158 1,591
587 742 52 162 1,542
509 709 33 146 1,398
498 715 32 719 1,965
309 660 32 994 1,994
153 386 32 999 1,570
Construction and installation Manufacturing Operations and maintenance Fuel supply (domestic) Coal and gas export Total Jobs
125 37 187 975 363 1,688
75 20 177 911 408 1,591
57 19 171 849 447 1,542
42 17 146 819 373 1,398
330 161 203 920.2 351 1,965
413 214 232 866 269 1,994
325 226 262 653 104 1,570
144
ENERGY [R]EVOLUTION 2020 2030