ot h e r a s i a : r e f e r e n c e s c e n a r i o table 13.9.1 Other asia: electricity generation twh/a 2012 power plants 1,180 hard coal (& non-renewable waste) 203 lignite 143 gas 467 of which from H2 0 oil 84 diesel 32 nuclear 45 biomass (& renewable waste) 8 hydro 175 wind 2 of which wind offshore 0 pv 1 geothermal 20 solar thermal power plants 0 ocean energy 0 combined heat and power plants 39 hard coal (& non-renewable waste) 28 lignite 5 gas 4 of which from H2 0 oil 2 biomass (& renewable waste) 0 geothermal 0 hydrogen 0 CHP by producer main activity producers 8 autoproducers 31 total generation 1,219 fossil 969 hard coal (& non-renewable waste) 231 lignite 147 gas 471 oil 87 diesel 32 nuclear 45 hydrogen 0 of which renewable H2 0 renewables (w/o renewable hydrogen) 206 hydro 175 wind 2 pv 1 biomass (& renewable waste) 8 geothermal 20 solar thermal power plants 0 ocean energy 0 distribution losses 99 own consumption electricity 54 electricity for hydrogen production 0 electricity for synfuel production 0 final energy consumption (electricity) 1,081 fluctuating res (pv, wind, ocean) 3 share of fluctuating res 0% res share (domestic generation) 17%
13
table 13.9.2 Other asia: final energy consumption 2012 road 5,471 fossil fuels 5,143 biofuels 79 synfuels 0 natural gas 248 hydrogen 0 electricity 1 rail 65 fossil fuels 50 biofuels 0 synfuels 0 electricity 15 navigation 177 fossil fuels 177 biofuels 0 synfuels 0 aviation 172 fossil fuels 172 biofuels 0 synfuels 0 total (incl. pipelines) 5,886 fossil fuels 5,543 biofuels (incl. biogas) 79 synfuels 0 natural gas 248 hydrogen 0 electricity 15 total res 82 res share 1%
table 13.9.4: Other asia: installed capacity gw 2020 1,640 441 181 559 0 69 19 72 33 220 10 0 8 27 0 0 47 33 6 6 0 2 0 0 0
2025 2,021 647 201 643 0 55 14 75 47 267 24 1 14 33 0 0 50 34 6 8 0 2 0 0 0
2030 2,402 852 221 727 0 38 12 78 62 315 38 2 20 39 1 0 52 35 7 9 0 2 0 0 0
2040 3,487 1,454 260 1,037 0 14 8 56 90 396 82 7 33 55 1 0 57 37 7 11 0 2 0 0 0
2050 4,503 1,823 299 1,433 0 4 4 39 127 492 154 18 51 74 3 0 64 40 8 15 0 1 0 0 0
10 37 1,687 1,317 474 187 566 71 19 72 0 0 298 220 10 8 33 27 0 0 137 68 0 0 1,497 18 1% 18%
11 39 2,071 1,609 680 207 651 57 14 75 0 0 386 267 24 14 47 33 0 0 168 83 0 0 1,835 38 2% 19%
11 41 2,454 1,901 887 227 736 40 12 78 0 0 475 315 38 20 62 39 1 0 199 98 0 0 2,172 58 2% 19%
12 45 3,544 2,830 1,490 267 1,048 16 8 56 0 0 658 396 82 33 90 55 1 0 288 135 0 0 3,137 115 3% 19%
14 50 4,567 3,627 1,863 307 1,447 6 4 39 0 0 901 492 154 51 127 74 3 0 374 135 0 0 4,074 205 4% 20%
in transport pj/a 2020 2025 6,863 7,738 6,414 7,227 198 237 0 0 249 272 0 0 1 2 89 105 68 81 0 0 0 0 20 25 228 264 228 264 0 0 0 0 263 318 263 318 0 0 0 0 7,442 8,425 6,973 7,889 198 237 0 0 249 272 0 0 21 27 202 242 3% 3%
2030 8,601 8,029 274 0 295 0 3 122 93 0 0 29 300 300 0 0 384 384 0 0 9,407 8,806 274 0 295 0 32 280 3%
2040 10,138 9,264 381 0 489 0 5 159 118 0 0 42 372 372 0 0 507 507 0 0 11,177 10,261 381 0 489 0 46 390 3%
2050 10,927 9,702 457 0 759 0 8 199 142 0 0 56 444 444 0 0 652 652 0 0 12,222 10,941 457 0 759 0 64 470 4%
table 13.9.3 Other asia: heat supply pj/a district heating plants fossil fuels biomass solar collectors geothermal heat from chp1 fossil fuels biomass geothermal hydrogen direct heating fossil fuels biomass solar collectors geothermal heat pumps2 electric direct heating hydrogen total heat supply3 fossil fuels biomass solar collectors geothermal heat pumps2 electric direct heating hydrogen res share (including res electricity)
2012 0 0 0 0 0 105 105 0 0 0 10,247 5,167 4,215 4 0 0 861 0 10,352 5,272 4,215 4 0 0 861 0 42%
2020 0 0 0 0 0 141 141 0 0 0 12,398 6,953 4,509 26 0 0 910 0 12,539 7,094 4,509 26 0 0 910 0 37%
2025 0 0 0 0 0 164 164 0 0 0 13,751 8,147 4,583 41 0 0 980 0 13,915 8,311 4,583 41 0 0 980 0 35%
2030 0 0 0 0 0 190 190 0 0 0 15,144 9,367 4,651 55 0 0 1,070 0 15,333 9,557 4,651 55 0 0 1,070 0 32%
2040 0 0 0 0 0 268 268 0 0 0 18,719 12,563 4,820 96 0 0 1,240 0 18,988 12,831 4,820 96 0 0 1,240 0 27%
1 public chp and chp autoproduction / 2 heat from ambient energy and electricity use / 3 incl. process heat, cooking
348
2050 0 0 0 0 0 406 406 0 0 0 21,532 15,199 4,780 154 0 0 1,399 0 21,938 15,605 4,780 154 0 0 1,399 0 24%
total generation fossil hard coal (& non-renewable waste) lignite gas (w/o h2) oil diesel nuclear hydrogen (fuel cells, gas power plants, gas chp) renewables hydro wind of which wind offshore pv biomass (& renewable waste) geothermal solar thermal power plants ocean energy fluctuating res (pv, wind, ocean) share of fluctuating res res share (domestic generation)
2012 289 221 41 26 109 33 12 6 0 62 52 1 0 1 5 3 0 0 2 1% 21%
table 13.9.5: Other asia: final energy demand pj/a 2012 total (incl. non-energy use) 26,182 total energy use1 23,024 transport 5,886 oil products 5,543 natural gas 248 biofuels 79 synfuels 0 electricity 15 RES electricity 3 hydrogen 0 res share transport 1% industry 7,331 electricity 1,751 RES electricity 295 public district heat 9 RES district heat 0 hard coal & lignite 1,922 oil products 1,167 gas 1,433 solar 0 biomass 1,048 geothermal 0 hydrogen 0 res share industry 18% other sectors 9,807 electricity 2,125 RES electricity 358 public district heat 28 RES district heat 0 hard coal & lignite 183 oil products 1,328 gas 477 solar 4 biomass 5,663 geothermal 0 hydrogen 0 res share other sectors 61% total res 7,451 res share 32% non energy use 3,158 oil 2,489 gas 662 coal 7
2020 411 303 86 34 139 34 9 9 0 99 74 5 0 6 10 4 0 0 11 3% 24%
2020 31,750 28,234 7,442 6,973 249 198 0 21 4 0 3% 9,892 2,354 416 9 0 2,592 1,441 2,229 9 1,258 0 0 17% 10,900 3,014 533 35 0 222 1,397 677 17 5,537 0 0 56% 7,973 28% 3,516 2,701 767 48
2025 501 362 122 37 163 32 8 10 0 129 90 11 0 11 12 5 0 0 21 4% 26%
2025 35,545 31,690 8,425 7,889 272 237 0 27 5 0 3% 11,385 2,747 513 9 0 2,911 1,462 2,883 11 1,363 0 0 17% 11,880 3,831 715 42 0 264 1,483 858 30 5,372 0 0 51% 8,244 26% 3,855 2,944 858 53
2030 591 422 157 40 187 29 8 10 0 159 107 16 1 15 14 6 0 0 32 5% 27%
2030 39,340 35,137 9,407 8,806 295 274 0 32 6 0 3% 12,879 3,140 607 10 0 3,230 1,483 3,536 13 1,468 0 0 16% 12,851 4,649 899 48 0 307 1,560 1,040 42 5,206 0 0 48% 8,515 24% 4,202 3,191 954 57
2040 826 596 253 45 270 19 9 7 0 222 135 34 2 25 19 8 0 0 59 7% 27%
2040 48,317 43,545 11,177 10,261 489 381 0 46 9 0 3% 16,602 4,162 773 12 0 3,882 1,483 5,368 18 1,678 0 0 15% 15,767 7,083 1,315 68 0 453 1,748 1,494 78 4,841 0 0 40% 9,092 21% 4,772 3,579 1,127 65
2050 1,067 754 311 51 374 11 7 5 0 308 168 62 6 39 26 11 1 0 102 10% 29%
2050 55,148 50,151 12,222 10,941 759 457 0 64 13 0 4% 19,724 5,327 1,051 13 0 4,034 1,354 7,212 21 1,764 0 0 14% 18,205 9,275 1,830 84 0 654 1,835 1,916 133 4,307 0 0 34% 9,576 19% 4,997 3,700 1,228 68
1 excluding heat produced by chp autoproducers
table 13.9.6: Other asia: cO2 emissions mill t/a condensation power plants hard coal (& non-renewable waste) lignite gas oil diesel combined heat and power plants hard coal (& non-renewable waste) lignite gas oil co2 emissions power and chp plants hard coal (& non-renewable waste) lignite gas oil & diesel co2 intensity (g/kWh) without credit for chp heat co2 intensity fossil electr. generation co2 intensity total electr. generation co2 emissions by sector % of 1990 emissions (697 mill t) industry1 other sectors1 transport power generation2 other conversion3 population (mill.) co2 emissions per capita (t/capita)
2012 673 180 185 213 56 40 37 24 9 3 1 710 203 194 215 97
2020 915 392 196 249 55 23 46 30 11 4 1 961 422 208 253 79
2025 1,125 577 213 274 44 17 49 32 11 4 1 1,174 609 224 278 62
2030 1,335 763 228 299 31 14 52 35 12 5 1 1,387 798 240 304 46
2040 1,976 1,287 264 405 11 9 59 41 12 6 1 2,035 1,328 276 411 21
2050 2,483 1,606 303 566 3 4 70 49 13 7 1 2,553 1,655 316 573 9
733 582 1,741 250% 378 144 430 685 104 1,086 1.6
730 569 2,241 321% 511 164 537 930 98 1,193 1.9
729 567 2,618 376% 582 185 607 1,140 104 1,254 2.1
729 565 2,994 430% 652 204 677 1,351 110 1,308 2.3
719 574 3,999 574% 821 258 797 1,993 130 1,395 2.9
704 559 4,755 682% 936 306 863 2,503 146 1,449 3.3
1 incl. chp autoproducers / 2 incl. chp public / 3 district heating, refineries, coal transformation, gas transport
table 13.9.7: Other asia: primary energy demand pj/a 2012 2020 total 35,534 43,459 fossil 26,189 32,914 hard coal (& non-renewable waste) 4,127 7,218 lignite 2,157 2,273 natural gas 7,732 9,223 crude oil 12,173 14,201 nuclear 491 788 renewables 8,854 9,757 hydro 630 791 wind 6 37 solar 8 56 biomass (& renewable waste) 7,502 8,101 geothermal 708 774 ocean energy 0 0 of which non-energy use 3,158 3,516 net electricity imports (final energy) 55 56 total res incl. net electricity import 8,863 9,767 res share 25% 22%
2025 48,947 37,914 9,602 2,420 10,660 15,231 821 10,212 963 87 92 8,260 810 0 3,855 56 10,222 21%
2030 54,578 43,022 11,995 2,561 12,204 16,262 854 10,701 1,135 137 129 8,422 878 0 4,202 56 10,712 20%
2040 68,905 56,500 18,504 2,881 17,206 17,909 614 11,791 1,427 296 220 8,754 1,094 0 4,772 57 11,801 17%
2050 79,542 66,497 22,415 3,214 22,354 18,514 430 12,615 1,771 553 348 8,603 1,341 0 4,997 57 12,626 16%