ENERGY [R]EVOLUTION A SUSTAINABLE ASEAN ENERGY OUTLOOK
6.9.9 employment in coal
Jobs in the coal sector fluctuate in the Reference scenario, and are 19% above 2010 in 2030. Jobs increase sharply from 136,000 in 2010 to 181,000 in 2015, fall to 87,000 in 2020 and then reach 216,000 by 2030. Employment numbers follow the planned construction of coal fired power stations.
6
Coal sector employment in the Energy [R]evolution scenario falls dramatically over the period, reflecting a reduction in coal generation between 2010 and 2030 from 27% to only 3% of total electricity supply.
future employment |
Coal jobs in both scenarios include coal used for heat supply. 6.9.10 employment in gas, oil & diesel
In the Energy [R]evolution scenario, more gas sector jobs are maintained until 2020. Employment falls 5% by 2015, remains stable until 2020, and then falls to 295,000 in 2030, 31% below 2010 levels. Electricity generation from gas increases by 40% from 2010 to 2030. Gas jobs in both scenarios include gas used for heat supply. 6.9.11 employment in nuclear energy
In the Reference scenario, nuclear capacity comes on line in 2016. Employment increases from 4,700 in 2010 to 25,700 in 2015, peaks at 75,900 in 2020, and falls back to 23,000 by 2030. The peak in employment reflects the maximum construction period. In the Energy [R]evolution, this sector is not developed at all, and employment is phased out by 2015.
EMPLOYMENT IN THE RENEWABLE HEATING SECOTR
Jobs in the gas sector follow similar paths in the Reference Scenario and the Energy [R]evolution scenario. In the Reference Scenario gas employment is projected to fall 13% by 2015, increase slightly to 2020, and then fall to 313,000 in 2030, 27% below 2010 levels. Electricity generation from gas increases by 48% from 2010 to 2030.
table 6.15: fossil fuels: capacity, generation and direct jobs Employment in the energy sector - fossil fuels and nuclear
REFERENCE 2030 2020
ENERGY [R]EVOLUTION 2030 2015 2020
UNIT
2015
jobs jobs jobs
181,000 373,000 25,700
87,000 380,000 75,900
216,000 313,000 23,000
33,000 404,000 -
18,000 406,000 -
7,000 295,000 -
COAL Energy Installed capacity Total generation Share of total supply Annual increase in capacity
GW TWh % MW
45 276 33% 3.4
66 423 39% 2.6
84 545 35% 6.8
29 179 22% -1.8
21 136 14% -2.0
7 43 3% -0.6
GAS, OIL & DIESEL Energy Installed capacity Total generation Share of total supply Annual increase in capacity
GW TWh % MW
104 430 52% 3.6
125 483 45% 2.3
153 583 37% 1.2
121 511 62% 2.8
139 550 57% 4.0
191 553 37% 5.2
NUCLEAR ENERGY Energy Installed capacity Total generation Share of total supply Annual increase in capacity
GW TWh % MW
0.2
1 8 1% 0.4
22 172 11% 0
-
-
-
coal gas, oil & diesel nuclear energy
note “neg� = negligible
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