ENERGY [R]EVOLUTION A SUSTAINABLE EU 27 ENERGY OUTLOOK
map 8.2: gas reference scenario and the energy [r]evolution scenario WORLDWIDE SCENARIO
92.4 20.9
9.4
6.2 5.4
8 energy resources & security of supply |
9.8
OECD NORTH AMERICA
GAS
REF 2010
10-20
5-10
E[R] ENERGY [R]EVOLUTION SCENARIO
0-5
% RESOURCES GLOBALLY
PIPELINE GAS TRADE FLOWS (BILLION CUBIC METRES) LNG TRADE FLOWS (BILLION CUBIC METRES)
RESERVES TOTAL TRILLION CUBIC METRES [tn m3] | SHARE IN % OF GLOBAL TOTAL [END OF 2011] CONSUMPTION PER REGION BILLION CUBIC METRES [bn m3] | PETA JOULE [PJ] CONSUMPTION PER PERSON CUBIC METRES [m3] 0 H HIGHEST | M MIDDLE | L LOWEST
1000 KM
5.2%
bn m3
PJ
%
7.4
3.9%
7.4
3.9%
bn m3
PJ
bn m3
PJ
bn m3
PJ
731H
27,790H 731H
27,790H
2009
119
4,539
119
4,539
2050
890H
33,814H 67
2,559
2050
301
11,441
62
2,373
m3
m3
2009
1,598
1,598
2050
1,496
113
m3
m3
2009
255
255
2050
499
104
COST gas prices of LNG/ natural gas 1984 - 2010 and future predictions comparing the REF and E[R] scenarios.
E[R] REF
SOURCE JAPAN CIF/EUROPEAN UNION CIF/IEA 2010 - US IMPORTS/ IEA 2010 - EUROPEAN IMPORTS
LNG
YEARS 1988 - 2010 PAST
88
2010
tn m3
2050
20-30
9.9
%
2040
REF REFERENCE SCENARIO
5.2%
E[R]
tn m3
2030
30-40
9.9
2020
40-50
%
2010
>50
30 29 28 27 26 25 24 23 22 21 20 19 18 17 16 15 14 13 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0
tn m3
2015
LEGEND
REF
%
2009
$ PER MILLION Btu
GAS
E[R]
tn m3
1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
NON RENEWABLE RESOURCE
LATIN AMERICA
YEARS 2009 - 2050 FUTURE