Vehicle safety standards in Latin America
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Figure 25: Actual number of registered cars in Mexico from 2005 to 2014 and predicted number from 2015 to 2030 by scenario (the motorisaJon rate i.e. number of cars per person in 2030 is included on the right) The scenarios predict that in 2030 there will be between 29 and 50 million registered cars; equa)ng to between 0.19 and 0.33 cars per person by 2030 (assuming a linear growth in the popula)on). The current motorisa)on rate in Mexico is 0.20 and in Great Britain is 0.45 so all the scenarios are realis)c. Combining these results, the number of car occupant fatali)es between 2016 and 2030 is expected to follow similar trends to those seen in Figure 26.
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Figure 26: Actual number of car occupant fataliJes in Mexico from 2005 to 2014 and predicted baseline number from 2015 to 2030 by scenario12 In 2014, it is es)mated there were 3,952 car occupant fatali)es in Mexico. Assuming the car occupant fatality rate con)nues to fall as it has been (Figure 24), by 2030 it is predicted that dra_
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