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Jekyll or Hyde?

There are a number of systems craps players apply to the game in the hopes of improving their chances of winning. However, if you really want to improve your chances of winning use a betting strategy. Try as you may, you’ll likely fall short using these systems. No system can consistently beat a casino game based on chance, although this will not stop gamblers believing in them‌

This is a betting system in which a gambler will start with a given unit which he doubles every time he loses. As soon as he starts winning again, he begins betting again at his original amount. The goal of the system is to win an overall amount equal to the initial amount after every eventual win.

This system fails because the player will either run out of money, or he will be unable to bet the amount dictated by the system because it exceeds the table’s maximum bet. The Martingale system yields a profit equal to the initial bet every time the player wins. If the initial amount is small; the payout is small.

Other systems depend on the gambler’s fallacy: the belief that past dice rolls influence the probabilities of future dice rolls. For instance if a nine has not appeared often in the last 20 rolls, gambler’s fallacy dictates that a player should bet on a nine.

In reality, each roll is an independent event; the probability of rolling a nine is exactly 1/9 on every roll. Even in the dice are loaded, each roll is regarded as an independent event. This is commonly regarded as the ‘dice having no memory’.

This is a hoax and should totally be disregarded. It was first propagated by No such system exists and is, in fact, mathematically impossible. And even if it weren’t, it won’t help you win money at the craps table; otherwise everyone would be using it.

‘Setting’ the dice is to hold them at a particular orientation and then to throw them in such a way that they do not land randomly. Theoretically, this will result in the dice showing the same or similar values every time. Contrary to other systems, this one is mathematically plausible.

Casinos do take steps against this. The dice are required to hit the back wall, which is normally covered with an angular texture to make controlled throws more difficult. Whether humans are capable of such controlled throws is surrounded with controversy.

Nevertheless, there remains a small community of controlled shooters who maintain records and claim proof of dice influencing in casino conditions. A number have written books. Some people take it one step further and teach dice-setting skills. There remains no evidence that dice setting methods can be successfully applied in a real casino.

Although systems may have great allure and appeal, they will not deliver the way a good strategy will. There is no proof of these systems working in the casino arena, so stick to a good strategy and you’ll have a better chance of turning a profit. Please feel free to distribute and republish this document providing that all links contained herein remain intact Š MMXI

Craps Systems