COLLIERS IDAHO
First Quarter Market Review
2014 BOISE
755 WEST FRONT STREET, SUITE 300
BOISE, IDAHO 83702
NAMPA
208 345 9000
www.colliers.com
2014 Q1 MARKET REVIEW
Floating Feather Rd.
Floating Feather Rd.
55 55
10
44
W. State Street
S. Eagle Rd.
Middleton e
84 Marble Front Rd.
6
184 I84 84 BB
5
84 84
Overland Rd.
14
84 84
e. Av ise Bo Vista Ave.
16
8
AV AV AV W. Fairview Ave. AV A AV
2
Maple Grove Rd.
Nampa
Five Mile Rd.
W. Ustick Rd.
84 Orchard Ave.
7
W. Franklin Rd.
E. Franklin Rd.
Karcher Rd.
Cloverdale Rd.
11
Meridian Rd.
Linder Rd.
12
Roa d
McMillan Rd. Black Cat Rd.
W. Ustick W. Ustick Rd.Rd.
13
Cherry Lane
Hill
Star Star Rd. Rd.
Rd.
W. Ustick Rd. lB lv d.
E. Chinden Blvd.
Can-Ada N. N. Can-Ada Rd.
hA Ave. . Nor r h Ex d d 11th Ave. North Extended
Lake Ave.
S. Indiana Ave.
Ca ld w el
Franklin Rd.
Midland Blvd.
Middleton Rd.
Caldwell
Northside Blvd.
20
1
Lake Lowell Ave.
Amity Rd.
E. Amity Ave. W. Iowa Ave.
15
Greenhurst Rd.
FF FFF
Victory Rd.
Lone Star Rd.
3
9
4
Fe de ra lW ay
E. Amity Rd.
Gowe n Rd.
Lake Hazel Rd.
Ada County Submarkets 1
4 Airport
7 Garden City
10 Eagle
2 North End
5 Central Bench
8 West Bench
11 Meridian
3 South East
6 Downtown Boise
9 Southwest
Northwest
Canyon County Submarkets 12 Idaho Center
14 Downtown Nampa
13 Northside
15 South Nampa
16 Karcher
VACANCY RATE vs BOISE MSA UNEMPLOYMENT RATE 20.0%
Office
Retail
Industrial
Unemployment Rate
16.0%
12.0%
8.0%
4.0%
0.0%
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YE 2007
MY 2008
YE 2008
MY 2009
YE 2009
MY 2010
YE 2010
MY 2011
YE 2011
MY 2012
YE 2012
MY 2013
YE 2013
PG. 2
OFFICE
Q1 REVIEW
OFFICE TRENDS Ada Co.
Canyon Co.
Q1
Q4
Q1
Q4
2014
2013
2014
2013
VACANCY RATES ASKING RATES
LEASE TRANSACTION DATA Q1 TOP 5
1,700 SF
Class B
*Top 5 based on total consideration
ASKING RATES Asking rates throughout the Treasure Valley were on the rise, ending the first quarter at $13.35. Ada County witnessed an $0.29 increase in asking rates for the first quarter of 2014 versus the fourth quarter of 2013, while Canyon County experienced a $1.11 increase between quarters. The Karcher and Idaho Center submarkets contributed the highest increases, at $3.33 and $1.37 respectively.
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OFFICE VACANCY & ASKING RATES 2006 - to Present Asking Rate Vacancy
$18.00
25.0%
$16.00 20.0%
$14.00 $12.00
15.0%
$10.00 $8.00
10.0%
$6.00 $4.00
5.0%
$2.00 $-
YE 13
West Bench
Q1 14
$6.00 FSEJ
Activity in the Office market held steady in the first • Swing Down, LLC purchased the 50,000 quarter of 2014. While both vacancy rates and square foot John Alden Life Insurance building asking rates were up over the 2013 year end, the in downtown Boise trend continued to demonstrate positive change in • Quail Hollow Holdings, LLC purchased 16,000 this segment. square feet on Emerald Street in Boise Vacancy rates throughout the Treasure Valley for • Four office condominiums were purchased in the first quarter of 2014 were mixed, with seven Eagle totaling 5,800 square feet. submarkets showing an increase in vacancy rates over the 2013 year end, and eight submarkets • Idaho Primary Care Association leased 3,900 showing a decrease in vacancy rates. The oversquare feet in the downtown periphery all outcome resulted in a 102 basis point reduction for Ada County, a 101 basis point increase for • F&M Tile Contractors purchased 2,000 square feet in the Northwest submarket Canyon County, and a 100 basis point increase for the Treasure Valley as a whole. The greatest LOOKING FORWARD quarter-to-quarter increase occurred in Southeast Boise, rising from 11.0% at the end of 2013 to As anticipated at the 2013 year end, asking rates 17.3% at the end of the first quarter of 2014. The should continue to rise and newly constructed Southwest submarket experienced the largest de- space may increase the vacancy rate as the decrease, from 19% at the end of 2013 to 6.0% at velopments become available. the end of the first quarter of 2014.
YE 12
Class A
MY 13
2,724 SF
YE 11
Southeast
KEY TRANSACTIONS
MY 12
$14.14 FSEJ
OVERVIEW
YE 10
Class B
MY 11
1,225 SF
YE 09
Meridian
MY 10
$14.03 FSEJ
YE 08
Class A
MY 09
5,000 SF
YE 07
West Bench
MY 08
$12.56 FSEJ
YE 06
Class A
MY 07
3,896 SF
MY 06
$18.20 FSEJ DT Periphery
0.0%
PG. 3
RETAIL
Q1 REVIEW
RETAIL TRENDS Ada Co.
Canyon Co.
Q1
Q4
Q1
Q4
2014
2013
2014
2013
VACANCY RATES ASKING RATES
LEASE TRANSACTION DATA TOP 5 $13.92 NNN
Karcher
12,000 SF
Big Box
$24.68 NNN
Meridian
4,572 SF
Restaurant
$22.00 NNN
Meridian
3,392 SF
Anchored
$14.93 NNN
West Bench
6,900 SF
Unanchored
$12.00 NNN
West Bench
8,309 SF
Unanchored
*Top 5 based on total consideration
OVERVIEW
KEY TRANSACTIONS
The first quarter of 2014 experienced continued • The IHOP on Caldwell Blvd. in Nampa was absorption of the Valley’s retail market space, purchased by an investor reflecting a growth trend that began at the 2010 • A national big box retailer leased 12,000 year end. Over the same period, asking rates have square feet in the Treasure Valley Crossing remained in the upper twelve dollar range, indicatshopping center in Nampa ing stability. Vacancy rates dropped in both Ada and Canyon counties, ending the first quarter of 2014 at 6.5% for the Treasure Valley, a 102 basis point reduction over the 2013 year end. In Ada County, the vacancy rate decreased from 8.1% for Q4 2013 to 6.9% for Q1 2014 – the largest reduction was witnessed in the Central Bench, which decreased from 9.4% to 3.5% quarter-to-quarter. In Canyon County, the vacancy rate decreased from 6.9% in the previous quarter to 5.7% in the first quarter of 2014. The Idaho Center submarket showed the most significant drop, going from 14.2% in Q4 2013 to 5.8% for Q1 2014.
• Le Peep Meridian, LLC purchased restaurant space in the Gateway Marketplace in Meridian
• The Dutch Bros. Coffee on Cleveland Blvd. in Nampa was purchased by an investor
• Eckhardt Family, LLP purchased 1.12 acres of retail pad space in Meridian LOOKING FORWARD With available retail space continuing to decrease and speculative development on the rise, asking rates are also likely to rise. Expect to see former challenged properties experience activity.
ASKING RATES
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RETAIL VACANCY & ASKING RATES 2006 - to Present $18.00
16.0% Asking Rate Vacancy
$16.00
14.0%
$14.00
12.0%
$12.00
10.0%
$10.00
8.0%
$8.00 6.0%
$6.00
4.0%
$4.00
Q1 14
YE 13
YE 12
MY 13
YE 11
MY 12
YE 10
MY 11
YE 09
MY 10
YE 08
MY 09
YE 07
0.0%
MY 08
$-
YE 06
2.0% MY 07
$2.00 MY 06
Despite a drop in vacancy rate, asking rates in the Treasure Valley were flat between the first quarter of 2014 and the year end 2013, decreasing slightly from $12.67 to $12.59. Ada County witnessed a $1.32 decrease, while Canyon County saw a $1.11 increase. The largest decreases between Q1 2014 and Q4 2013 were seen in the North End and Central Bench submarkets, where rates dropped by $3.25 and $3.21 respectively. The South Nampa submarket experienced the largest increase, in Q1 2014, by $4.95 over Q4 2013.
PG. 4
INDUSTRIAL
Q1 REVIEW
INDUSTRIAL TRENDS Ada Co.
Canyon Co.
Q1
Q4
Q1
Q4
2014
2013
2014
2013
VACANCY RATES ASKING RATES
LEASE TRANSACTION DATA TOP 5 $0.55 NNN
Southwest
25,409 SF
Warehouse
$0.74 NNN
Southwest
7,700 SF
Warehouse
$0.44 NNN
Idaho Center
4,400 SF
Industrial
$0.81 NNN
Eagle
2,105 SF
Flex
$0.45 NNN
Southeast
12,000 SF
Warehouse
*Top 5 based on total consideration
OVERVIEW
KEY TRANSACTIONS
The limited available product on the Industrial • Teton I, LP purchased 11,000 square feet in the market continued to dwindle in the first quarter West Bench submarket of 2014. Asking rates, while flat at the 2013 year • Carahan/Woodman, LP purchased 22,724 end, began increasing in the majority of submarsquare feet in Nampa kets, perhaps indicating the onset the trend necessary to spark new construction. • True North Investment Boise, LLC purchased 14,099 square feet in the Airport submarket Vacancy rates in the Treasure Valley showed a decrease in every submarket except Northside • Florida Tile leased 25,409 square feet in the Nampa, which increased only slightly by 10 basis Victory Business Center points. At 4.8% the overall vacancy rate was down 290 basis points over the last quarter of 2013. • SRS Distribution, Inc. leased 7,700 square feet on Liberty Road in Boise Ada County experienced the greatest reduction, going from 7.8% in Q4 2013 to 4.2% in Q1 2014. LOOKING FORWARD Canyon County also experienced a significant decrease, from 7.7% at the end of 2013 to 5.9% at Expect asking rates to continue rising, and stimthe end of the first quarter. The Karcher submar- ulate speculative development. Activity in Canyon ket had the greatest reduction in vacancy due to County should increase. the large transactions at the former Micron sites. ASKING RATES
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INDUSTRIAL VACANCY & ASKING RATES 2006 - to Present
$0.60
14.0%
Asking Rate Vacancy
12.0%
$0.50
10.0%
$0.40
8.0% $0.30 6.0% $0.20
4.0%
$0.10 Q1 14
YE 13
YE 12
MY 13
MY 12
MY11
YE 11
YE 10
YE 09
MY 10
YE 08
MY 09
YE 07
MY 08
YE 06
MY 07
$-
2.0% MY 06
The Treasure Valley asking rate increased $0.02 to conclude the first quarter of 2014 at $0.49. All but two submarkets (Southeast Boise and Garden City/North End/Northwest) in Ada County reflected an increase in asking rates – up $0.03 over Q4 of 2013. Canyon County ended the first quarter nearly equal to the previous quarter, showing a $0.01 decrease over Q4 2013. The greatest increase in asking rates was experienced in the Central Bench and West Bench submarkets, which were up $0.12 and $0.09 respectively quarter-to-quarter.
0.0%
PG. 5
Q1
STATISTICS
2014 | MARKET REVIEW
INDUSTRIAL SUBMARKET STATISTICS AT A GLANCE Submarket
Count of Property
Sum of Bldg SF
Direct Vacant
Total Vacant
Vacancy Rate
Average of Asking Rate
112
4,297,818
140,657
140,657
3.3%
$0.38
Central Bench
85
2,630,435
140,497
140,497
5.3%
$0.60
Eagle
11
351,896
11,000
11,000
3.1%
$0.67
Meridian
157
4,102,439
173,921
173,921
4.2%
$0.56
GC/N.End/NW
142
2,191,634
77,246
77,246
3.5%
$0.37
Southeast
97
5,891,114
156,742
156,742
2.7%
$0.43
Southwest
95
1,843,844
158,077
158,077
8.6%
$0.52
West Bench
201
7,458,951
389,406
389,406
5.2%
$0.57 $0.51
Airport
947
29,768,826
1,247,546
1,247,546
4.2
Idaho Center
Ada County Total
72
2,040,907
38,977
38,977
1.9%
$0.48
Karcher
42
2,051,079
24,023
24,023
1.2%
$0.42
Northside
123
6,051,775
858,974
858,974
18.3%
$0.45
Caldwell
179
4,951,252
46,840
46,840
0.9%
$0.38
466
16,472,881
968,814
968,814
5.9%
$0.43
1,413
46,241,707
2216360
2216360
4.8%
$0.49
Canyon County Total Grand Total
OFFICE SUBMARKET STATISTICS AT A GLANCE Submarket
Count of Property
Sum of Bldg SF
Direct Vacant
Central Bench
113
2,239,041
412,101
Downtown Boise
101
4,177,362
330,501
Downtown Periphery
102
2,226,160
184,189
Sublease
Total Vacant
Vacancy Rate
Average of Asking Rate
412,101
18.4%
$10.13
346,814
8.3%
$17.05
184,189
8.3%
$15.52
16,313
Eagle
62
766,816
72,695
72,695
9.5%
$14.37
Meridian
161
3,225,255
396,231
396,231
12.3%
$15.00
CG / N.End / NW
60
807,158
68,555
68,555
8.5%
$13.10
Southeast
54
1,423,104
238,497
8,225
246,722
17.3%
$15.00
Southwest
56
1,041,867
52,882
9,838
62,720
6.0%
$14.50
West Bench
162
3,112,976
483,048
744
483,792
15.5%
$12.13
871
19,019,739
2,238,699
35,120
2,273,819
12.0%
$14.09
Downtown Nampa
65
588,571
45,467
45,467
7.7%
$11.26
Idaho Center
19
227,618
33,785
33,785
14.8%
$14.69
Karcher
44
344,403
47,626
47,626
13.8%
$15.00
Northside Nampa
9
196,919
16,309
16,309
8.3%
$12.45
South Nampa
48
471,853
26,247
26,247
5.6%
$10.80
Caldwell
51
500,116
31,533
31,533
6.3%
$10.63
Middleton
5
83,997
2,912
2,912
3.5%
$12.00
Canyon County Total
241
2,413,477
203,879
203,879
8.4%
$12.40
Grand Total
1111
21,332,218
2,442,578
2,477,698
11.6%
$13.35
Ada County Total
35,120
RETAIL SUBMARKET STATISTICS AT A GLANCE Submarket
Count of Property
Sum of Bldg SF
Direct Vacant
Total Vacant
Vacancy Rate
Average of Asking Rate
Central Bench
61
1,477,031
Downtown Boise
52
1,254,180
51,530
51,530
3.5%
$10.31
107,697
107,697
8.6%
Eagle
32
925,140
106,925
$15.36
106,925
11.6%
$12.69
Garden City
31
752,910
25,510
25,510
3.4
$10.56
Meridian
113
3,584,685
255,268
255,268
7.1%
$14.45
North End
8
179,720
2,880
2,880
1.6%
$14.00
Northwest
30
800,804
28,670
28,670
3.6%
$10.91
Southeast
39
1,238,070
107,019
107,019
8.6%
$14.20
Southwest
41
1,724,473
108,330
108,330
6.3%
$12.68
West Bench
79
2,990,700
238,323
238,323
8.0%
$12.18 $12.73
486
14,927,713
1,032,152
1,032,152
6.9%
Downtown Nampa
Ada County Total
31
823,928
51,095
51,095
6.2%
$9.10
Idaho Center
22
1,322,811
76,658
76,658
5.8%
$16.38
Karcher
51
2,662,981
184,435
184,435
6.9%
$13.48
Northside Nampa
4
392,841
37,045
37,045
9.4%
$13.48 $14.98
South Nampa
22
716,417
9,001
9,001
1.3%
Caldwell
28
972,450
29,129
29,129
3.0%
$9.85
Middleton
10
73,571
10,400
10,400
14.1%
$9.50
Canyon County Total
168
6,964,999
397,763
397,763
5.7%
$12.39
Grand Total
654
21,892,712
1,429,915
1,429,915
6.5%
$12.59
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PG. 6
Colliers Idaho Management
2014 | RESEARCH REPORT
Investment Brokerage
Land Brokerage
George Iliff
Clay Anderson CPA, MBA
John Starr
Managing Owner & Office Associate 208.472.2858 george.iliff@colliers.com
Associate 208.489.6177 clay.anderson@colliers.com
Associate 208.472.2838 john.starr@colliers.com
Office Brokerage Greg Macmillan
Scott Feighner Associate 208.493.5107 scott.feighner@colliers.com
Associate 208.472.2857 greg.macmillan@colliers.com
Jimmy Roumanis Associate 208.472.2840 jimmy.roumanis@colliers.com
Canyon County Brokerage Matt Palmer Associate 208.472.2836 matt.palmer@colliers.com
Shanna Rondeau Transaction Coordinator 208.472.2854 shanna.rondeau@colliers.com
Mike Pe単a Associate 208.472.1666 mike.pena@colliers.com
Jamie Anderson
Lew Manglos CCIM, SIOR
Lincoln Hagood
Associate 208.472.2842 jamie.anderson@colliers.com
Associate 208.472.2841 lew.manglos@colliers.com
Associate 208.472.1667 lincoln.hagood@colliers.com
Retail Brokerage
Industrial Brokerage
Mike Christensen
Steve Foster
Associate 208.472.2866 mike.christensen@colliers.com
Associate 208.472.2834 steve.foster@colliers.com
Bryant Jones Associate 208.472.1663 bryant.jones@colliers.com
Property Management Lew Goldman
Devin Ogden, CCIM
Mike Attiani
Associate 208.472.2847 lew.goldman@colliers.com
Associate 208.472.1668 devin.ogden@colliers.com
Director of Property Services 208.472.2862 mike.attiani@colliers.com
W. Brook Blakeslee
Rick Scruton
Peter Draper
Associate 208.472.2835 brook.blakeslee@colliers.com
Associate 208.472.2851 rick.scruton@colliers.com
Sr. Project Manager 208.472.2869 pete.draper@colliers.com
Marketing & Research Dave Fernandez
Linda King
Director of Marketing 208.472.2868 dave.fernandez@colliers.com
Broker Assistant 208.472.2863 linda.king@colliers.com
Christina Turner
Robin Richards
Alexa Sakolsky-Basquill
Research Coordinator 208.472.2860 christina.turner@colliers.com
Broker Assistant 208.472.2839 robin.richards@colliers.com
Admin/Broker Assistant 208.345.9000 alexa.sakolsky-basquill@colliers.com
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PG. 7
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BOISE
755 West Front Street Suite 300 Boise, ID 83702 208 345 9000
NAMPA 5660 E. Franklin Rd. Suite 110 Nampa, ID 83687 208 472 1660
• 522 offices in 62 countries • 12,300 professionals and staff • 1.25 billion square feet under management
• US $68 billion total transaction value
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