The Year No One Saw Coming | Asia Society Magazine

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partnership, there is a new force binding them together. India is trying to attract U.S. companies, such as Apple, that are currently manufacturing in China but are looking to diversify their supply chains amid the trade war between Washington and Beijing. Since the COVID-19 crisis enveloped the world, India has been part of talks initiated by the Trump administration to reduce excessive dependence on China and reorient global supply chains towards a network of trusted partners. As the Unit-

come the traditional nativist opposition to the United States in his own Bharatiya Janata Party. From inviting an American president — Barack Obama — for the first time as the honored guest at India’s annual Republic Day celebrations to flipping India’s position on climate change to work with the United States, and from reviving the “quad” framework with the United States, Japan, and Australia to signing the so-called foundational military agreements w ith Washing ton, Modi took steps that had become

TH E P OST- PAN D EMIC ENVIRO N M ENT AN D CHINA’S AGGRESSION IN INDIA’S EASTERN L ADAKH REGION HAVE ONLY SHARPENED THE CASE IN DELHI FOR A STRONGER SECURIT Y PARTNERSHIP WITH WASHINGTON.

ed States takes a fresh look at its China policy and explores new ways of dealing with the challenges being posed by Beijing, Delhi figures prominently in the new Washington discourse in multiple ways — from new supply chain networks to a coalition of democracies and stronger Indo-Pacific security partnerships. Meanwhile, India under Modi has slowly shed many of the historic hesitations about drawing closer to the United States, especially in the security domain. If his predecessor Manmohan Singh was tied down by the ideological reservations of the Indian National Congress against a strategic embrace of the United States, Modi was determined to transform the partnership with America and found ways to over-

which barely touches $3 trillion), the traditional perception in Delhi of a broad parity with China had become unsustainable. It is replaced by the recognition that China was and is rapidly expanding its strategic influence in India’s near and extended neighborhood at Delhi’s expense. This was reinforced by China’s brazen efforts to block India’s larger international aspirations — whether it was a permanent seat at the United Nations Security Council or the membership in the Nuclear Suppliers Group. Delhi also discovered that the wider the gap in comprehensive national power, the less sensitive China was to India’s concerns. Even during Modi’s first term, however, the realists could not overcome Delhi’s entrenched ambivalence towards Beijing. China’s aggression in Ladakh has ended India’s reluctance to confront the military and economic challenges posed by China. Like all major interlocutors of China, Delhi would prefer managing the difficulties through dialogue with Beijing rather than embark on a confrontation. But Beijing has left Delhi with no other choice but to respond vigorously. Delhi is also acutely aware that U.S. policy towards China has entered a period of unpredictability and that it cannot rely on Washington to resolve its problems with Beijing. Nevertheless, Delhi is preparing to stand up to the China challenge with or without American support in this definitive moment of its national evolution.

quite inconceivable during the Singh-led United Progressive Alliance decade. The post-pandemic environment and China’s aggression in India’s eastern Ladakh region have only sharpened the case in Delhi for a stronger security partnership with Washington. For more than a decade, realists in Delhi were pointing to India’s mounting China challenge. Although India had a long record of befriending China, Beijing has been unresponsive to India’s concerns — whether it is the boundary dispute or the trade deficit. And as the gap in their comprehensive national power widened in favor of Beijing (China’s Professor C. Raja Mohan is the director of the GDP of $14 trillion is nearly five Institute of South Asian Studies at the Natimes larger than that of India’s, tional University of Singapore.

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