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Mountains is represented by continuous gallery forests located on steep and humid slopes at higher elevations, it is possible that conditions allowing for population growth (or at least maintenance) could be present in those patches. If so, it will be necessary to identify currently unprotected forest fragments that serve to maintain connectivity between populations distributed from the northernmost part of the Eastern Cordillera to the Perijá Mountains (if they remain there). Future studies should focus on confirming presence in other areas suggested by our model, such as the Colombian slope of the Perijá Mountains, and the junction of the Merida Andes and the Eastern Cordillera (Botero-Delgadillo and Páez, 2011b). Evaluating our entire model in Colombia and Venezuela is also a priority research need. ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS.—We thank Fonds für bedrohte Papageien and Strunden Papageien Stiftung for funding this work, and to René Wüst for his advice and ideas for the entire project. We especially want to thank Miguel Lentino and Juan Pablo López for sharing helpful information. Miguel Mejía, Pedro Pablo Contreras, Daniel Rodríguez and Ramiro Álvarez provided valuable help during field surveys. Nicholas Bayly, Sandra Escudero and Camila Gómez made thorough comments on an earlier version of this manuscript. Two anonymous reviewers made valuable comments that helped improve the manuscript.

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